Storm Coordinaton Message #2

Hello to all….

….Hurricane Noel is transitioning into a large and powerful extratropical ocean storm. As this ocean storm passes to the northeast of Southern New England, it will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding to north and east facing beaches of Southeastern New England….
….High Wind Watch Continues for Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. Wind Advisories maybe required for areas outside of the High Wind Watch area….
….A Storm Warning is in effect for all coastal waters of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. Mariners should remain in port as this potentially dangerous storm to marine interests approaches….
….Potential exists for 2-3” of rainfall with isolated higher amounts. The greatest threat for the heaviest rainfall will be across extreme Southeastern New England….
….Potential exists for a minor coastal flood event with the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding if strong winds of 55 Knots or greater impact portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts….
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday for as long as an 18 hour period….

At 5 AM EDT, the latest National Hurricane Center advisory on Hurricane Noel indicated that Noel is growing in size and in the process of becoming a very large and powerful extratropical Ocean Storm. The advisory urges interests along the US East Coast from North Carolina northward to closely monitor the progress of Noel as it makes the transition to extratropical status and monitor products from local NWS Forecast Offices. It also urges people in the Canadian Maritimes to monitor products issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. Please see advisories and discussions from the National Hurricane Center per the links below:

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt31.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Public Advisory

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt41.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Technical Discussion

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt21.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Forecast/Advisory

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font11.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Wind Speed Probabilities

A High Wind Watch continues for Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. The latest statement indicates the potential for sustained winds of 40-50 MPH with gusts to 75 MPH for Cape Cod and the Islands with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH for much of the rest of the High Wind Watch area particularly near coastal areas. Winds of this magnitude are likely to cause widespread pockets of tree and power line damage with additional damage possible in Cape Cod and the Islands. The track of the transitioning to extratropical Noel will ultimately determine the intensity of the winds. A track closer to the coast would bring damaging winds more widespread over the region and result in the potential for more damage. A track further offshore would result in damaging winds confined to coastal areas. Tropical models bring the powerful ocean storm slightly closer to the coast than other models while non-tropical models bring it to a track similar to the NHC track of Noel.

A Storm Warning is in effect for all the coastal waters of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Mariners should remain in port as the extratropical storm that was one Hurricane Noel has the potential to be a dangerous and life threatening storm to the coastal waters.

Heavy rainfall is expected across the region with the potential of widespread 2-3” rainfall amounts over Eastern New England with isolated higher amounts over Southeast New England. It is noted that the NHC Advisory highlighted isolated rainfall amounts of 6” for portions of Eastern New England. This will continued to be monitored.

Widespread Minor Coastal Flooding is possible across North and east facing beaches of Eastern Massachusetts. There is the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding if strong winds of 55 Knots or greater impact portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts. If 55 Knot or greater winds were to occur, this would allow seas to build to 30 feet allowing for a greater threat of pockets of moderate coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday for as long as an 18 hour period. The next update will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below are links to the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Marine Weather Statement:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Marine Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

1

Hello to all….

….Hurricane Noel is transitioning into a large and powerful extratropical ocean storm. As this ocean storm passes to the northeast of Southern New England, it will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding to north and east facing beaches of Southeastern New England….
….High Wind Watch Continues for Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. Wind Advisories maybe required for areas outside of the High Wind Watch area….
….A Storm Warning is in effect for all coastal waters of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. Mariners should remain in port as this potentially dangerous storm to marine interests approaches….
….Potential exists for 2-3” of rainfall with isolated higher amounts. The greatest threat for the heaviest rainfall will be across extreme Southeastern New England….
….Potential exists for a minor coastal flood event with the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding if strong winds of 55 Knots or greater impact portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts….
….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday for as long as an 18 hour period….

At 5 AM EDT, the latest National Hurricane Center advisory on Hurricane Noel indicated that Noel is growing in size and in the process of becoming a very large and powerful extratropical Ocean Storm. The advisory urges interests along the US East Coast from North Carolina northward to closely monitor the progress of Noel as it makes the transition to extratropical status and monitor products from local NWS Forecast Offices. It also urges people in the Canadian Maritimes to monitor products issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. Please see advisories and discussions from the National Hurricane Center per the links below:

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt31.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Public Advisory

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt41.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Technical Discussion

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt21.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Forecast/Advisory

http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font11.KNHC.html Hurricane Noel Wind Speed Probabilities

A High Wind Watch continues for Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. The latest statement indicates the potential for sustained winds of 40-50 MPH with gusts to 75 MPH for Cape Cod and the Islands with sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH for much of the rest of the High Wind Watch area particularly near coastal areas. Winds of this magnitude are likely to cause widespread pockets of tree and power line damage with additional damage possible in Cape Cod and the Islands. The track of the transitioning to extratropical Noel will ultimately determine the intensity of the winds. A track closer to the coast would bring damaging winds more widespread over the region and result in the potential for more damage. A track further offshore would result in damaging winds confined to coastal areas. Tropical models bring the powerful ocean storm slightly closer to the coast than other models while non-tropical models bring it to a track similar to the NHC track of Noel.

A Storm Warning is in effect for all the coastal waters of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Mariners should remain in port as the extratropical storm that was one Hurricane Noel has the potential to be a dangerous and life threatening storm to the coastal waters.

Heavy rainfall is expected across the region with the potential of widespread 2-3” rainfall amounts over Eastern New England with isolated higher amounts over Southeast New England. It is noted that the NHC Advisory highlighted isolated rainfall amounts of 6” for portions of Eastern New England. This will continued to be monitored.

Widespread Minor Coastal Flooding is possible across North and east facing beaches of Eastern Massachusetts. There is the potential for pockets of moderate coastal flooding if strong winds of 55 Knots or greater impact portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts. If 55 Knot or greater winds were to occur, this would allow seas to build to 30 feet allowing for a greater threat of pockets of moderate coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday for as long as an 18 hour period. The next update will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below are links to the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Marine Weather Statement:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Marine Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

1

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