Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday July 26th, 2011

Hello to all..

..Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely this afternoon and evening across Southern New Hampshire and much of Massachusetts north of the Mass. Pike with potential for more isolated strong to severe thunderstorms south of the Mass. Pike. Damaging Winds, large hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for Severe Weather this afternoon into evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 2 PM Today..

At 730 AM, Satellite imagery showed some clouds over Southern New England that should burn off and move east as New York State is largely clear and this should allow sun to break out over the region and this should allow the atmosphere to destablize. A disturbance in the upper levels of the atmosphere will then work its way into New England during this afternoon and evening. This disturbance will have strong wind shear profiles to work with and the atmosphere should destabilize sufficiently for the development of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly along and north of the Mass. Pike in Massachusetts and into Vermont and New Hampshire with Damaging Winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. SPC has placed this area in a Slight Risk for severe weather.  A more isolated strong to severe thunderstorm threat exists south of the Mass. Pike. Activity could begin as early as 2-3 PM lasting through evening or as late as 5 PM lasting through evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 2 PM today. This will be the only complete coordination message on this threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator         
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely this afternoon and evening across Southern New Hampshire and much of Massachusetts north of the Mass. Pike with potential for more isolated strong to severe thunderstorms south of the Mass. Pike. Damaging Winds, large hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for Severe Weather this afternoon into evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 2 PM Today..

At 730 AM, Satellite imagery showed some clouds over Southern New England that should burn off and move east as New York State is largely clear and this should allow sun to break out over the region and this should allow the atmosphere to destablize. A disturbance in the upper levels of the atmosphere will then work its way into New England during this afternoon and evening. This disturbance will have strong wind shear profiles to work with and the atmosphere should destabilize sufficiently for the development of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly along and north of the Mass. Pike in Massachusetts and into Vermont and New Hampshire with Damaging Winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. SPC has placed this area in a Slight Risk for severe weather.  A more isolated strong to severe thunderstorm threat exists south of the Mass. Pike. Activity could begin as early as 2-3 PM lasting through evening or as late as 5 PM lasting through evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 2 PM today. This will be the only complete coordination message on this threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator         
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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