Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday August 2nd, 2011 Severe Weather Threat

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely today across Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Damaging Winds, Large Hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island to a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today and NWS Taunton is in agreement. Western areas may see an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm but the main threat for today should be in Eastern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely today anytime after Noon today..

Satellite imagery shows clear skies over the region this morning. The Cold front remains back into Eastern New York and because of its slower movement, this resulted in most of the severe weather being in Western New England on Monday and will set the stage for a second day of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The main threat for today should be over Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island where NWS Taunton and SPC are in agreement on a Slight Risk for severe weather today. An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm or two could occur in Western parts of the NWS Taunton County Warning area depending on the movement of the front and how quickly it moves into the area. If its more towards early afternoon, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm will be possible but if its more toward morning, this should reduce the threat in western areas. Temperatures aloft will remain cold and wind shear profiles will be stronger today than yesterday. Instability will not be quite as high as yesterday due to lower dewpoints but the cold pool aloft along with stronger wind shear profiles will compensate for somewhat lower instability today. Damaging Winds, Large Hail and urban and poor drainage flooding will be the primary threats.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after noon today. This will be the last complete coordination message on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator          
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely today across Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Damaging Winds, Large Hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island to a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today and NWS Taunton is in agreement. Western areas may see an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm but the main threat for today should be in Eastern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely today anytime after Noon today..

Satellite imagery shows clear skies over the region this morning. The Cold front remains back into Eastern New York and because of its slower movement, this resulted in most of the severe weather being in Western New England on Monday and will set the stage for a second day of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The main threat for today should be over Southeast New Hampshire, Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island where NWS Taunton and SPC are in agreement on a Slight Risk for severe weather today. An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm or two could occur in Western parts of the NWS Taunton County Warning area depending on the movement of the front and how quickly it moves into the area. If its more towards early afternoon, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm will be possible but if its more toward morning, this should reduce the threat in western areas. Temperatures aloft will remain cold and wind shear profiles will be stronger today than yesterday. Instability will not be quite as high as yesterday due to lower dewpoints but the cold pool aloft along with stronger wind shear profiles will compensate for somewhat lower instability today. Damaging Winds, Large Hail and urban and poor drainage flooding will be the primary threats.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after noon today. This will be the last complete coordination message on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator          
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Leave a Reply