Storm Coordination Message #4 – 12/26/12-12/27/12 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Major Winter Storm will affect the region tonight through Thursday Evening. Additional Watches/Warnings/Advisories issued and adjusted with snowfall amounts adjusted slightly upward..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Southern New Hampshire. Snowfall amounts have been adjusted slightly upward to 12-18 inches with isolated higher amounts with a trace of ice still expected..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts. Snowfall amounts have been adjusted upwards to 8-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and around a tenth inch of ice. The Isolated higher amounts of snow are likely to be along and north of the Rte 2 corridor and in areas west of the Connecticut River Valley..
..A Winter Storm Warning has now been issued from 7 PM tonight until 1 AM Friday for Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of snow along with a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Northern Connecticut and has been expanded to include Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-5″ inches of snow and up to one-quarter inch of radial ice. In this area precipitation is expected to changeover to sleet and freezing rain and possibly to rain which is is why snow and ice amounts are lower in this area but this area will be near the transition zone between snow/ice versus rain and will need to be monitored closely during the storm event..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 10 PM tonight through 11 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth, Counties of Massachusetts and all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands and Bristol County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and possible isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM tonight through 11 AM Thursday for Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. A Wind Advisory is also in effect from 10 PM tonight through 7 AM Thursday for Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated tree and power line damage with possible isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM to Noon Thursday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nanctucket Island for minor coastal flooding and splashover at the time of the Thursday high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 7 PM tonight. Due to the fact that strong to damaging winds and heaviest precipitation is expected overnight through Thursday Morning and volunteer resources are available, overnight Ops for this storm will be done for this event with ops ending some time during Thursday Afternoon or early evening depending on storm evolution. This will be the last coordination message as we enter storm operations..

A major winter storm will affect Southern New England tonight through Thursday Evening. Since the last coordination message, snowfall amounts have been adjusted slightly upward with Winter Storm Warnings now covering into the I-495 corridor and Winter Weather Advisories brought further south and east into Northwest Rhode Island. Therefore the region along and north of the Mass. Pike and now north and west of the 128 corridor is likely to get the heaviest snow and ice accumulations from this storm event. The headlines above depict the current storm threats, snow/ice accumulations and potential for strong to damaging winds across portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island. It is noted that areas not under Winter Storm Warnings/Winter Weather Advisories from Rhode Island into East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts will see a brief period of snow/sleet with 1-3″ of snow/sleet that will quickly changeover to a windswept rain with rainfall in the 1-2″ range with isolated higher amounts of 2.5-3.00 inches possible. This rainfall may cause brief urban and poor drainage flooding. The High Wind Watch has been converted to High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories for portions of Eastern New England as highlighted in the above headlines.

It is noted that the transition zone between heavy snow, any potential significant icing and heavy rainfall could vary and precipitation type information in addition to snow and ice totals will be helpful as models still have some fluctations on where this transition zone will setup. Also, it is currently unclear whether the consistency of the snow will be heavy and wet or if ice accretion issues could be more than currently forecasted causing any kind of tree and power line damage in the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory areas. These items will need to be sorted during the storm via surface spotter and Ham Radio reports. In the High Wind Warning/Wind advisory areas, there is likely to be some isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages so wind measurement/wind damage reports will also be helpful. Also, if there are pictures from this storm event, they can be posted via pics@nsradio.org for distribution to emergency management, media and NWS.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 7 PM tonight. Due to the fact that strong to damaging winds and heaviest precipitation is expected overnight through Thursday Morning and volunteer resources are available, overnight Ops for this storm will be done for this event with ops ending some time during Thursday Afternoon or early evening depending on storm evolution. This will be the last coordination message as we enter storm operations.

Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Snowfall prediction map and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Major Winter Storm will affect the region tonight through Thursday Evening. Additional Watches/Warnings/Advisories issued and adjusted with snowfall amounts adjusted slightly upward..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Southern New Hampshire. Snowfall amounts have been adjusted slightly upward to 12-18 inches with isolated higher amounts with a trace of ice still expected..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts. Snowfall amounts have been adjusted upwards to 8-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and around a tenth inch of ice. The Isolated higher amounts of snow are likely to be along and north of the Rte 2 corridor and in areas west of the Connecticut River Valley..
..A Winter Storm Warning has now been issued from 7 PM tonight until 1 AM Friday for Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of snow along with a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 PM tonight through 1 AM Friday for Northern Connecticut and has been expanded to include Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-5″ inches of snow and up to one-quarter inch of radial ice. In this area precipitation is expected to changeover to sleet and freezing rain and possibly to rain which is is why snow and ice amounts are lower in this area but this area will be near the transition zone between snow/ice versus rain and will need to be monitored closely during the storm event..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 10 PM tonight through 11 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth, Counties of Massachusetts and all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands and Bristol County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and possible isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM tonight through 11 AM Thursday for Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. A Wind Advisory is also in effect from 10 PM tonight through 7 AM Thursday for Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated tree and power line damage with possible isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM to Noon Thursday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nanctucket Island for minor coastal flooding and splashover at the time of the Thursday high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 7 PM tonight. Due to the fact that strong to damaging winds and heaviest precipitation is expected overnight through Thursday Morning and volunteer resources are available, overnight Ops for this storm will be done for this event with ops ending some time during Thursday Afternoon or early evening depending on storm evolution. This will be the last coordination message as we enter storm operations..

A major winter storm will affect Southern New England tonight through Thursday Evening. Since the last coordination message, snowfall amounts have been adjusted slightly upward with Winter Storm Warnings now covering into the I-495 corridor and Winter Weather Advisories brought further south and east into Northwest Rhode Island. Therefore the region along and north of the Mass. Pike and now north and west of the 128 corridor is likely to get the heaviest snow and ice accumulations from this storm event. The headlines above depict the current storm threats, snow/ice accumulations and potential for strong to damaging winds across portions of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island. It is noted that areas not under Winter Storm Warnings/Winter Weather Advisories from Rhode Island into East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts will see a brief period of snow/sleet with 1-3″ of snow/sleet that will quickly changeover to a windswept rain with rainfall in the 1-2″ range with isolated higher amounts of 2.5-3.00 inches possible. This rainfall may cause brief urban and poor drainage flooding. The High Wind Watch has been converted to High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories for portions of Eastern New England as highlighted in the above headlines.

It is noted that the transition zone between heavy snow, any potential significant icing and heavy rainfall could vary and precipitation type information in addition to snow and ice totals will be helpful as models still have some fluctations on where this transition zone will setup. Also, it is currently unclear whether the consistency of the snow will be heavy and wet or if ice accretion issues could be more than currently forecasted causing any kind of tree and power line damage in the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory areas. These items will need to be sorted during the storm via surface spotter and Ham Radio reports. In the High Wind Warning/Wind advisory areas, there is likely to be some isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages so wind measurement/wind damage reports will also be helpful. Also, if there are pictures from this storm event, they can be posted via pics@nsradio.org for distribution to emergency management, media and NWS.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 7 PM tonight. Due to the fact that strong to damaging winds and heaviest precipitation is expected overnight through Thursday Morning and volunteer resources are available, overnight Ops for this storm will be done for this event with ops ending some time during Thursday Afternoon or early evening depending on storm evolution. This will be the last coordination message as we enter storm operations.

Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Snowfall prediction map and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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