Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday February 16th-Sunday February 17th 2013 Potential Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..A Winter Storm Possible for portions of Southern New England this weekend. Uncertianty higher than normal due to large model spread..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Evening to Sunday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for 4 to 8 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts depending on the track of the storm system. Strong winds will also be possible during the Winter Storm Watch timeframe and may result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage..
..Winter Weather Advisories maybe required for portions of Eastern New England for Saturday Night into Sunday Morning particularly southeast portions. Wind Advisories may also be required for portions of Southern New England Saturday Evening into Monday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely this weekend for snowfall amounts and any wind damage reports. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if a storm scenario closer to the coast evolves..

Models have a wider than normal spread at this time range regarding the potential for a Winter Storm for the Saturday Evening into Sunday Afternoon timeframe. Therefore confidence on storm impacts to the region is lower than normal. The following represents the most likely scenario based on current data. This scenario may change based on future model runs.

There will be some snow late tonight into Saturday Morning. This snowfall will be most likely in interior locations. Snowfall will likely be a Dusting to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts. There will then be a lull in snowfall activity later Saturday Morning into the afternoon.

As we move into Saturday Night, a ocean storm will organize and potentially bring a period of heavier snow to Cape Cod and the Islands with a light to moderate snowfall over other portions of Eastern New England. Winds will also increase with the potential for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Evening to Sunday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for 4 to 8 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts depending on the track of the storm system. Strong winds will also be possible during the Winter Storm Watch timeframe and may result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Winter Weather Advisories maybe required for portions of Eastern New England for Saturday Night into Sunday Morning particularly southeast portions where a 2 to 6 inch snowfall is possible. Wind Advisories may also be required for portions of Southern New England Saturday Evening into Monday.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely this weekend for snowfall amounts and any wind damage reports this weekend. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if a storm scenario closer to the coast evolves. Another coordination message will be sent by 11 AM Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and snowfall map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..A Winter Storm Possible for portions of Southern New England this weekend. Uncertianty higher than normal due to large model spread..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Evening to Sunday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for 4 to 8 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts depending on the track of the storm system. Strong winds will also be possible during the Winter Storm Watch timeframe and may result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage..
..Winter Weather Advisories maybe required for portions of Eastern New England for Saturday Night into Sunday Morning particularly southeast portions. Wind Advisories may also be required for portions of Southern New England Saturday Evening into Monday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely this weekend for snowfall amounts and any wind damage reports. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if a storm scenario closer to the coast evolves..

Models have a wider than normal spread at this time range regarding the potential for a Winter Storm for the Saturday Evening into Sunday Afternoon timeframe. Therefore confidence on storm impacts to the region is lower than normal. The following represents the most likely scenario based on current data. This scenario may change based on future model runs.

There will be some snow late tonight into Saturday Morning. This snowfall will be most likely in interior locations. Snowfall will likely be a Dusting to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts. There will then be a lull in snowfall activity later Saturday Morning into the afternoon.

As we move into Saturday Night, a ocean storm will organize and potentially bring a period of heavier snow to Cape Cod and the Islands with a light to moderate snowfall over other portions of Eastern New England. Winds will also increase with the potential for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Evening to Sunday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for 4 to 8 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts depending on the track of the storm system. Strong winds will also be possible during the Winter Storm Watch timeframe and may result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Winter Weather Advisories maybe required for portions of Eastern New England for Saturday Night into Sunday Morning particularly southeast portions where a 2 to 6 inch snowfall is possible. Wind Advisories may also be required for portions of Southern New England Saturday Evening into Monday.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely this weekend for snowfall amounts and any wind damage reports this weekend. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if a storm scenario closer to the coast evolves. Another coordination message will be sent by 11 AM Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and snowfall map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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