Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Evening 3/25/13-Tuesday Morning 3/26/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..A coastal storm will largely miss Southern New England grazing the South Coast of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands with 1-2″ of snow with isolated 3″ amounts. Strong Winds will reach Wind Advisory criteria on Nantucket Island and may be near that criteria in other parts of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Minor splashover may occur on north and east facing coastal areas of the Eastern Massachusetts coastline..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for Nantucket Island from 4 PM this afternoon to 8 AM Tuesday Morning. It is possible the Wind Advisory could be expanded to other parts of Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm event Monday Night into Tuesday. This is the only coordination message for this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. It is noted that one fairly reliable model brings storm impacts closer to the southern parts of Southern New England but it is currently being discounted at this time as multiple other reliable models has a near miss for the region. This will, however, continue to be monitored. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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Special Announcement: National Hurricane Conference Amateur Radio Workshop and Livestreaming

Hello to all..

The National Hurricane Conference is coming up starting from Monday March 25th through Thursday March 28th. Amateur Radio will be represented at three sessions during the conference on Monday March 25th, 2013.

All Amateur Radio workshops on Monday March 25th, 2013 will be livestreamed. The livestream links that are available are as follows:

http://www.nsradio.org/stream.htm
http://www.voipwx.net/files/stream.htm
http://www.nsradio.org/video/features/voipwxnet/NHC13/

The timeframes are as follows (listed in EDT and CDT):

1130 AM-100 PM EDT (1030 AM-Noon CDT): Opening Remarks, Local Presenter on Hurricane Isaac, Hurricane Sandy: A New England Perspective, Hurricane Sandy: A Mid-Atlantic Perspective

230-400 PM EDT (130 PM-300 PM CDT): WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, Group Presentation, Weather Initiatives by WX4NHC, WX4NHC Group Response to the Haiti Earthquake Crisis and the Importance of Amateur Radio/Spotter Surface Reports (This last presentation being done by Dr. Rick Knabb, Director of the National Hurricane Center)

430-600 PM EDT (330 PM-500 PM CDT): Brief Overview of the Hurricane Watch Net, Brief Overview of the VoIP Hurricane Net, ARRL Update, and Rap Session — Amateur Radio: The Emergency Manager’s Hidden Resource

The complete list and information on the presenters including presenters from the NWS Taunton Amateur Radio Program are listed via the links below:

http://southeastern.arrl.org/2013NationalHurricaneConferenceActivities.pdf
http://forums.qrz.com/showthread.php?384573-Amateur-Radio-at-the-National-Hurricane-Conference-in-New-Orleans
http://www.arrl.org/ares-el?issue=2013-02-20

We encourage folks to watch the livestream as presenters go through the role of the Amatuer Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, WX4NHC, the WX4NHC group’s role in the Haiti mission, an in-depth review of Amateur Radio’s role in the response to Hurricane Sandy and Hurricane Isaac and other topics as listed. The livestream will be archived on the web for those that cannot watch the livestream as it happens so they can be watched at a later time. Thanks to all for their support!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Nite 3/21/13-Friday Morning 3/22/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Another smaller snowstorm event, this time for portions of Southeast New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect until 4 AM Friday for Plymouth, Southern Bristol, Barnstable and Dukes Counties for 2-4″ of snow. Isolated higher amounts over 4″ are possible somewhere in the advisory area..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see 2″ or less of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this winter storm event. This will be the only coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – WInter Storm Event late Monday Evening 3/18/13-Tuesday 3/19/13

Hello to all..

..Another Winter Storm on track to impact portions of Southern New England, particularly interior locations Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The Tuesday Morning commute is still likely to be significantly impacted..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening through Tuesday Night to Midnight Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire for snowfall totals now expected to be in the 12-16 inch range area wide with the possibility of slightly lesser amounts in the valleys and slightly higher amounts in the higher terrain..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 10-14 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire and Southern Worcester counties of Massachusetts for 8-12 inches of snow and a trace to one-tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Eastern Hampden, Southeast Middlesex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of snow and a trace to one-tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for the Metro Boston area for 4-7 inches of snow and a trace to one-tenth inch of ice and a Winter Storm Warning is also in effect for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts through 8 PM EDT for 6-10 inches of snow along with a trace to one-tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Norfolk, Western and Eastern Plymouth and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts and Bristol and Newport Counties Rhode Island for 2-4 inches of snow along with a trace of ice before a changeover to rain heavy at times..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Warning/Advisory areas will likely get 2 inches or less of snow before a changeover to rain with around 1″ of rain likely..
..Strong winds are possible along South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands possibly extending into East Coastal Massachusetts but should remain below advisory levels with wind gusts up to 40 MPH possible. Astronomical tides will be low and with less wind, coastal flooding is not anticipated..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 5 AM Tuesday Morning lasting through early evening..

Models remain in agreement on another winter storm impacting the region Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The headlines reflect the current thinking and confidence remains fairly high for the scenario. Snow has started in portions of Western New England and will continue to spread from southwest to northeast and become heavy at times overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute with the Tuesday Morning commute being significantly impacted. Snow will mix with sleet, freezing rain and rain, in the Winter Weather Advisory area and the southern end of the Winter Storm Warning areas but across areas north of the Mass. Pike and west of I-495, precipitation is expected to be all snow or snow and sleet/freezing rain. The key areas of uncertainty remain over the Metro Boston area concerning snowfall amounts and the timing of the mixture/changeover in precipitation over southern portions of the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory areas as that will impact snowfall amounts. The scenario has trended a bit colder resulting in Winter Weather Advisories expanded all the way to Cape Cod and the Southeast Massachusetts and Southeast Rhode Island coastline with Winter Storm Warnings extended to the North Shore and Metro Boston area and slightly higher snowfall amounts for northern parts of the Winter Storm Warning areas.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 5 AM Tuesday Morning lasting through early evening. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday Evening 3/18/13-Tuesday Evening 3/19/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Another Winter Storm will impact portions of Southern New England, particularly interior locations Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The Tuesday Morning commute is likely to be significantly impacted..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through Tuesday Night for Southern New Hampshire for 6-12 inches of snow in valley locations and 12-18 inches of snow in higher terrain locations..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 10-14 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire and Southern Worcester counties of Massachusetts for 6-10 inches of snow and a trace to one-tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Eastern Hampden, Southeast Middlesex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of snow and a trace to one-tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Suffolk County/Metro Boston area for 4-6 inches of snow and a trace of ice/sleet..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 11 AM Tuesday Morning for Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Norfolk, Western and Eastern Plymouth and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Warning/Advisory areas will likely get 2 inches or less of snow before a changeover to rain with 1-2″ of rain likely..
..Strong winds along South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands possibly extending into East Coastal Massachusetts remain possible and is still being monitored. Astronomical tides will be low so just minor coastal flooding/splashover particularly in areas exposed by prior storms..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain likely Tuesday Morning through early evening..

Models are in agreement on another winter storm impacting the region Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The headlines reflect the current thinking and confidence is building on the scenrio. Snow is expected to start after 9 PM this evening from southwest to northeast and become heavy at times overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute with the Tuesday Morning commute being significantly impacted. Snow will mix with sleet, freezing rain and rain, in the Winter Weather Advisory area and the southern end of the Winter Storm Warning area but across areas north of the Mass. Pike and west of I-495, precipitation is expected to be all snow or snow and sleet/freezing rain. The key areas of uncertainty will be over the Metro Boston area concerning snowfall amounts and the timing of the mixture/changeover in precipitation over southern portions of the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory areas as that will impact snowfall amounts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Tuesday Morning lasting through early Tuesday evening. Another coordination message will be sent by 1030 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Evening 3/18/13-Tuesday Evening 3/19/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Winter is not yet finished with Southern New England. Another Winter Storm will affect portions of Southern New England, particularly interior locations Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The Tuesday Morning commute is likely to be significantly impacted..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for the potential of 10-14 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Western Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Southern Worcester, Hampden and Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for the potential of 5-9 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Suffolk and Western Norfolk counties of Massachusetts for the potential of 4-7 inches of snow and a trace of ice..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area will likely get 1-3 inches of snow before a changeover to rain.
..Strong winds along South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands possibly extending into East Coastal Massachusetts may prompt Wind Advisories in this area for Tuesday. Astronomical tides will be low so just minor coastal flooding/splashover particularly in areas exposed by prior storms..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Tuesday Morning through early evening..

Models are in agreement on another winter storm impacting the region Monday Night into Tuesday Night. The headlines reflect the current thinking. Key questions for this storm system will be as follows:

1.) Axis of heaviest preciptiation and what areas are affected by the heaviest preciptiation which could affect snowfall amounts.
2.) Rain/snow line progression and how far north it gets and the affect on snowfall amounts.
3.) Extent of potential wind advisory conditions at the coast.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Tuesday Morning lasting through early Tuesday evening. Another coordination message will be sent by 830 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Flood Watch – 2 PM Tuesday Afternoon 3/12/13 Through Wednesday Morning 3/13/13

Hello to all..

..A storm system today may cause minor flooding of small streams and urban areas later Tuesday Afternoon and tonight into Wednesday Morning..
..A Flood Watch is in effect from 2 PM Tuesday through Wednesday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Western Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for around 1 inch of rainfall and snow melt potentially causing minor river and stream flooding and minor flooding of urban areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system today. Ops at NWS Taunton don’t appear necessary at this time but will be monitored during the storm. This will be the only coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #3 – late Wednesday Night 3/6/13-Friday Morning 3/8/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm still expected to impact portions of Southern New England over a long period starting late tonight lasting through Friday Morning. High confidence in Strong to Damaging Winds, and several tidal cycles of coastal flooding as some of the primary threats. Heavy Wet Snow and accumulations of the wet snow and impact on trees and wires along with the strong to damaging winds still has high uncertainty and could change in future forecasts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Thursday to 1 PM Friday for Worcester and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 4-8 inches of snow and the potential for wet snow and strong winds to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire from 10 AM Thursday to 1 PM Friday for 4-6 inches of wet snow. The wet snow and strong winds may reault in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Southeast Providence, Kent, and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from 7 AM Thursday to 1 PM Friday for 3-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. The wet snow and strong winds may reault in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Warnings areas are currently expected to receive a coating to 2 inches of snow..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect through 7 AM Friday for Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island Rhode Island for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. The high winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect through 7 AM Friday Morning for Windham County Connecticut, all of mainland Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The high winds will likely cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. If enough wet snow accumulation occurs, this could increase the amount of tree and wire damage to scattered pockets..
..A Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect from 5 AM Thursday Morning to 10 AM Friday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for several successive high tide cycles of moderate to pockets of major coastal flooding across the coastal flood warning area..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 3 AM Thursday to 6 AM Friday for several high tide cycles of beach erosion and possibly minor coastal flooding for Block Island RI..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 AM Thursday Morning to cover the Thursday early morning high tide cycle and will last through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event..
..Wet snow/wind damage and coastal flood/coastal flood damage pictures and videos during this storm event can be sent as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org for sharing with emergency management and the media. Credit will be given to the spotter taking the pictures and video unless otherwise indicated..

The headlines of this coordination message have been updated and detail the threats on an upcoming large and major coastal storm expected to affect Southern New England starting late Wednesday Night and lasting through early Friday Morning. There remains higher uncertainty than normal at this time range concerning the snowfall amounts across Southern New England. The track of the storm appears more certain but factors on snowfall make it difficult to forecast snowfall ranges. The headlines above represent a slight reduction in snowfall amounts but that remains a low confidence forecast. While there is low confidence in the snowfall forecast, there continues to be very high confidence on the potential coastal flood threat for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the islands over multiple high tide cycles. The wind threat has also become a high confidence forecast with Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings posted as stated in the above headlines. Currently, the main uncertainties at present remain as follows:

1.) Position of the rain/snow line and amount of mixed preciptiation at the coastline. This could affect snowfall amounts and the extent of any tree and power line damage and power outages and where they occur. A closer storm track will push the heavier wet snow away from the coast with more of a wet snow/rain mix or more of a plain rain falling at the coast while a storm track further away from the coast puts coastal areas at more risk for heavier wet snow.

2.) Ability of snowfall to accumulate if heaviest precipitation occurs during the day Thursday. Higher sun angle and marginal temperatures may affect and lower accumulations or allow for heavier accumulations on trees, power lines, grassy areas but less on paved surfaces. Spotter reports will be critical during the storm event to determine the extent of snow accumulation.

Wet snow/wind damage and coastal flood/coastal flood damage pictures and videos during this storm event can be sent as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org for sharing with emergency management and the media. Credit will be given to the spotter taking the pictures and video unless otherwise indicated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 AM Thursday Morning to cover the Thursday early morning high tide cycle and will last through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event.

This will likely be the last coordination message for this event. If time allows and it is required, an updated situation report on the storm will be posted. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Warning Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and snowfall map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #2 – late Wednesday Night 3/6/13-Friday Morning 3/8/13 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm still expected to impact portions of Southern New England over a long period starting late Wednesday Night lasting through Friday Morning. Heavy Wet Snow, Strong to Damaging Winds, and several tidal cycles of coastal flooding remain the primary threats..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from late Wednesday Night through Friday Morning for Northeast Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Suffolk and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of heavy wet snow with isolated higher amounts, wind gusts to 50-55 MPH with higher gusts possible at the coast and the potential for scattered tree and wire damage and power outages due to the combination of strong winds and heavy wet snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday Morning to Friday Morning for Hillsborough County NH, Essex, Middlesex and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8 inches of heavy wet snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH which may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages due to the combination of strong winds and heavy wet snow..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Marthas Vineyard (Dukes County), Nantucket and Block Island from 9 PN Wednesday Night through 7 AM Friday Morning. It is noted that Wind advisory criteria winds will be possible in portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island but that is covered under the Winter Storm Watch..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 5 AM Thursday Morning to 10 AM Friday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for several successive high tide cycles of moderate to pockets of major coastal flooding across the coastal flood warning area..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 3 AM Thursday to 6 AM Friday for several high tide cycles of beach erosion and possibly minor coastal flooding..
..There are still some higher than normal uncertainties at this time with the rain/snow line, amount of snowfall in the Winter Storm Watch areas and extent of heavy snowfall in northwest portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area including northwest portions of the Winter Storm Watch area. The wind and coastal flood forecasts are a high confidence forecast at the present time..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be puhsed back to starting at 6 AM Thursday Morning to cover the Thursday early morning high tide cycle and lasting through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event..
..Wet snow/wind damage and coastal flood/coastal flood damage pictures and videos during this storm event can be sent as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org for sharing with emergency management and the media. Credit will be given to the spotter taking the pictures and video unless otherwise indicated..

The headlines of this coordination message have been updated and detail the threats on an upcoming large and major coastal storm expected to affect Southern New England starting late Wednesday Night and lasting through early Friday Morning. There is somewhat higher uncertainty than normal at this time range. Overnight, model runs have been slightly further offshore with this major storm system which will affect precipitation amounts particularly in western and northwest locations of Southern New England. It appears Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island will bear the greatest impacts from this storm with Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island likely having the highest storm impacts in terms of precipitation. There is very high confidence now on the potential coastal flood threat for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the islands over multiple high tide cycles. The wind threat has also become a high confidence forecast with East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island having the strongest winds though Wind Advisory criteria winds will likely occur in other parts of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts. Also, some slightly stronger winds greater than 55 MPH wind gusts could occur in parts of Southeast New England. Currently, the main uncertainties at present are as follows:

1.) Position of the rain/snow line and amount of mixed preciptiation at the coastline. This could affect snowfall amounts and the extent of any tree and power line damage and power outages and where they occur. A closer storm track will push the heavier wet snow away from the coast with more of a wet snow/rain mix or more of a plain rain falling at the coast while a storm track further away from the coast puts coastal areas at more risk for heavier wet snow.

2.) Ability of snowfall to accumulate if heaviest precipitation occurs during the day Thursday. Higher sun angle and marginal temperatures may affect and lower accumulations or allow for heavier accumulations on trees, power lines, grassy areas but less on paved surfaces. Spotter reports will be critical during the storm event to determine the extent of snow accumulation.

Wet snow/wind damage and coastal flood/coastal flood damage pictures and videos during this storm event can be sent as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org for sharing with emergency management and the media. Credit will be given to the spotter taking the pictures and video unless otherwise indicated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be puhsed back to starting at 6 AM Thursday Morning to cover the Thursday early morning high tide cycle and lasting through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event.

The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Warning Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and snowfall map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Wednesday Night 3/6/13-Friday Morning 3/8/13 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm will impact portions of Southern New England over a long period starting late Wednesday Night lasting through Friday Morning. Heavy Wet Snow, Strong to Damaging Winds, and several tidal cycles of coastal flooding are the primary threats..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Wednesday Night through Friday Morning for Northeast Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Suffolk and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10 inches of heavy wet snow, wind gusts to 50-55 MPH with higher gusts possible at the coast and the potential for scattered tree and wire damage and power outages due to the combination of strong winds and heavy wet snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Thursday Morning to Friday Morning for Hillsborough County NH, Essex, Middlesex and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10 inches of heavy wet snow and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH which may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages due to the combination of strong winds and heavy wet snow..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect from Thursday Morning to Friday Morning for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for several successive high tide cycles of moderate to possibly even pockets of major coastal flooding across the coastal flood watch area..
..There are still some higher than normal uncertainties at this time with the rain/snow line, extent of even higher winds greater than 55 MPH (offshore versus over land areas), amount of snowfall in the Winter Storm Watch areas and extent of heavy snowfall in northwest portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area including northwest portions of the Winter Storm Watch area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are expected starting 8 AM Thursday Morning and lasting through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event..

The headlines of this coordination message detail the threats on an upcoming large and major coastal storm expected to affect Southern New England starting late Wednesday Night and lasting through early Friday Morning. There is somewhat higher uncertainty than normal at this time range though model solutions are getting into better agreement on storm impacts on Southern New England in the last several runs and hopefully the trend toward consensus will continue leading to higher confidence. The uncertainties at present are as follows:

1.) Position of the rain/snow line and amount of mixed preciptiation at the coastline. This could affect snowfall amounts and the extent of any tree and power line damage and power outages and where they occur. A closer storm track will push the heavier wet snow away from the coast with more of a wet snow/rain mix or more of a plain rain falling at the coast while a storm track further away from the coast puts coastal areas at more risk for heavier wet snow.

2.) Extent of strongest winds. Currently, winds are expected to be as high as 50-55 MPH at the coastline with 40-50 MPH gusts inland. A slightly closer storm track could bring stronger winds further inland and stronger wind speeds at the coast while a storm track further away may keep the strongest winds at the coast.

3.) Extent of coastal flooding impact will be greater with a closer storm track but at minimum several tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding are likely with potentially greater impacts with a closer storm track. With the current storm track widespread moderate to pockets of major coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands appears to be the likely scenario.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are expected starting 8 AM Thursday Morning and lasting through at least late Thursday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely be needed for the Friday Morning high tide cycle as well. Overnight operations Thursday Night may or may not be needed and will be evaluated as we get closer to this storm event. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and snowfall map:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org

Read more