Storm Coordination Message #3 – Thursday 2/13/14-Friday Morning 2/14/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm/Nor’easter system will take aim on Southern New England Thursday Morning through Friday Morning with the potential for Heavy Snowfall for Western and Central New England, a Wintry Mix for portions of Eastern New England and Heavy Rainfall in Southeast New England. Strong to Damaging Winds likely particularly along the coast..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM Friday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow across Northern Connecticut through South-Central and Interior Northeast Massachusetts where sleet and freezing rain will mix in with ice accumulations of a tenth to quarter inch possible and 12-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 18″ across Southern New Hampshire, and Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts where precipitation is expected to remain mostly or all snow. Winds may gust to 35-40 MPH in this area. In portions of the Winter Storm Warning, the winds and the consistency of the snow and any ice accumulation could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Thursday Morning through 7 AM Friday Morning for Northwest Providence, Western Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Western Essex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 4-10″ of snow before a changeover to sleet, freezing rain and then plain rain. The rain may change back to snow before ending during Friday Morning. Winds may gust to 35-40 MPH in this area. In portions of the Winter Storm Warning, the winds and the consistency of the snow and any ice accumulation could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM Thursday Morning to 7 AM Friday Morning for Southeast Providence,Eastern Kent, Bristol and Newport Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow before a changeover to sleet freezing rain and then plain rain. The rain may change back to snow before ending during Friday Morning..
..Cape Cod and the Islands is currently expected to receive mostly rain from this system at the present time after and inch or two of wet snow..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 11 AM-7 PM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 15-35 MPH with gusts to 45-55 MPH. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 2 PM-Midnight for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds coupled with any wet snow and ice accumulation may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage causing isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 8 AM Thursday lasting through late evening and possibly activating again Friday Morning depending on the extent of the storm system through Thursday Night and Friday Morning..
..Any damage or significant snow pictures can be posted as a reply to this email, can be posted to the pics@nsradio.org email address or posted to our Facebook and Twitter page feeds with credit given to the spotter for the photos unless otherwise indicated..

A storm system in the south-central and Southeast United States is on track and will continue to organize and make its way northeast and track towards Southern New England. The storm will likely bring significant snow accumulations to much of Southern New England with the potential for heavy rainfall in Southeast parts of the region and the threat of strong to damaging winds particularly at the coast. The storm track has wobbled slightly west then slightly east causing slight adjustments to the rain/snow line and pushing it a bit further east and those adjustments have been made in the current forecast. Model trends have kept with a stronger storm system and this could have an impact on the strength of the winds and models have kept with heavier precipitation as well so this will need to be monitored closely. Also, the storm is still expected to have a bit of duration to it with two maximas of heavy precipitation, one during mid-late Thursday Morning through mid-afternoon and then again later Thursday Evening into Friday Morning as the storm intensifies. The winds will also increase as we get into late Thursday Morning through late Thursday Evening.

The headlines of the coordination message detail the current thinking with updates based on the last model runs. Winter Storm Watches for portions of Western Rhode Island, Western Norfolk and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts are converted to Winter Storm Warnings. Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for the rest of Rhode Island as well as East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts west of the Cape Cod Canal for 3-6″ of snow before a changeover to sleet, freezing rain and then plain rain which could be heavy at times. The rain could change back to snow before ending as the storm departs the region. Over Cape Cod and the Islands, a quick 1-2″ of snow will occur before a changeover to plain rain, heavy at times. In areas of heavy rainfall, urban and poor drainage flooding may be possible.

The snow continues to have the potential to be heavy and wet and there will be areas where the precipitation will mix with sleet and freezing rain causing ice accumulations and there will be some strong winds in the interior as well gusting to 35-40 MPH. This may lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. It is always difficult to determine if a more significant damage impact can occur as this will ultimately depend on the consistency of the wet snow and any ice accumulation and the extent of the winds on the trees and wires and will bear close watching.

A Wind Advisory is in effect from 11 AM-7 PM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 15-35 MPH with gusts to 45-55 MPH. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 2 PM-Midnight for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds along with any wet snow and ice accumulation may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. There is also the possibility for even stronger winds at the coast which will be monitored closely throughout the storm event.

There is also the possibility of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Evening high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts. At this time, the coastal flood threat still does not look as extensive as the early January 2014 blizzard.

The rain/snow line for this storm remains one of the most difficult parts of the forecast. It will likely be subject to the most revision for this storm event. Secondarily, the wind damage threat at the coast and the potential wind/wet snow damage threat inland will be aspects that will need to be monitored and revised depending on the track, speed and intensity of the storm. Current trends remain for a stronger storm that tracks to near Cape Cod or Nantucket.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 800 AM Thursday Morning lasting into early Friday Morning. Any damage or significant snow pictures can be posted as a reply to this email, can be posted to the pics@nsradio.org email address or posted to our Facebook and Twitter page feeds with credit given to the spotter for the photos unless otherwise indicated. This will most likely be the last coordination message on this storm event as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map for the storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 2/13/14-Friday Morning 2/14/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Coastal Storm/Nor’easter system will take aim on Southern New England Thursday Morning through Friday Morning with the potential for Heavy Snowfall for Western and Central New England, a Wintry Mix for portions of Eastern New England and Heavy Rainfall in Southeast New England. Strong to Damaging Winds also possible particularly along the coast..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM Friday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester and Middlesex, Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow across Northern Connecticut through South-Central and Interior Northeast Massachusetts where sleet and freezing rain will mix in with ice accumulations of a tenth to quarter inch possible and 10-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 18″ across Southern New Hampshire, and Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts where precipitation is expected to remain mostly or all snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday Morning through Friday Morning for Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Western Essex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 4-6″ of snow before a changeover to rain. The Winter Storm Watch for Northern Bristol County Massachusetts has been canceled as the rain/snow line track has been shifted a bit further west..
..Advisory level snowfall is possible in areas not covered by the Winter Storm Watch west of the Cape Cod Canal. Cape Cod and the Islands is currently expected to receive mostly rain from this system at the present time but strong to damaging winds are possible..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday through early Friday Morning..

A storm system in the south-central and Southeast United States is on track and will continue to organize and make its way northeast and track towards Southern New England. The storm will likely bring significant snow accumulations to much of Southern New England with the potential for heavy rainfall in Southeast parts of the region and the threat of strong to damaging winds particularly at the coast. The trend has been for a storm track a bit closer to the coast which means the rain/snow line has been pushed a bit more inland but much of interior Southern New England is still expected to see significant snow and ice accumulations. In addition, some model trends have been stronger with the storm system and this could have an impact on the strength of the winds and models have trended heavier with precipitation as well so this will need to be monitored closely. Also, the storm will have a bit of duration to it with two maximas of heavy precipitation, one during mid-late Thursday Morning through mid-afternoon and then again later Thursday Evening into Friday Morning as the storm intensifies. The winds will also increase as we get into Thursday Evening into Friday Morning as well.

The headlines of the coordination message detail the update where Winter Storm Watches have been upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings for Southern New Hampshire, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. In this area, a widespread 6-14″ of snow with the potential for a tenth to quarter inch of ice in Northern Connecticut through South-Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts are likely and 10-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 18″ across Southern New Hampshire, and Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts where precipitation will be mostly or all snow.

A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Thursday Morning through Friday Morning for Western Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island It now appears that this area will receive 4-6″ of snow before a change over to sleet, freezing rain and then plain rain. The Winter Storm Watch for Northern Bristol County Massachusetts has been canceled as it appears the rain/snow line will push through this area leaving advisory level snow in that area before a changeover to rain. There is the possibility of rain changing back to snow as the storm departs overnight Thursday into Friday Morning.

The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and there will be areas where the precipitation will mix with sleet and freezing rain causing ice accumulations and there will be some strong winds in the interior as well. This may lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The extent of any damage potential will be better defined in future forecasts.

In areas west of the Cape Cod Canal through East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts not covered by the Winter Storm Watch, advisory level snowfall is possible before a changeover to rain. Across Cape Cod and the Islands, most of this storm event will be heavy rainfall. In areas of heavy rainfall, urban and poor drainage flooding may be possible.

Along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, strong to damaging winds will be possible. The extent of the wind threat will be better defined in future forecasts. There is also the possibility of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Evening high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts. At this time, the coastal flood threat does not look as extensive as the early January 2014 blizzard.

The rain/snow line for this storm remains one of the most difficult parts of the forecast. It will likely be subject to the most revision for this storm event. Secondarily, the wind damage threat at the coast and the potential wind/wet snow damage threat inland will be aspects that will need to be monitored and revised depending on the track, speed and intensity of the storm. Current trends are for a stronger storm that tracks to near Cape Cod or Nantucket.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday Morning into early Friday Morning. The next coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map for the storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 2/13/14-Friday Morning 2/14/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm/Nor’easter system will take aim on Southern New England very late Wednesday Night through Friday Morning with the potential for Heavy Snowfall for Western and Central New England, a Wintry Mix for portions of Eastern New England and Heavy Rainfall in Southeast New England. Strong to Damaging Winds also possible particularly along the coast..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, Western Norfolk and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow with isolated amounts to 14″ west of Interstate 495..
..Advisory level snowfall is possible in areas not covered by the Winter Storm Watch west of the Cape Cod Canal. Cape Cod and the Islands is currently expected to receive mostly rain from theis system at the present time but strong to damaging winds are possible..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday through early Friday Morning..

A storm system in the south-central and Southeast United States will continue to organize and make its way northeast and track towards Southern New England. The storm will likely bring significant snow accumulations to much of Southern New England with the potential for heavy rainfall in Southeast parts of the region and the threat of strong to damaging winds particularly at the coast.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Western Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and into Northern Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire. Total snowfall of 6-12″ in the Winter Storm Watch area with the potential for isolated snowfall amounts of 14″ west of Interstate 495 in Massachusetts and across portions of Northwest Connecticut. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and there will be some strong winds in the interior as well. This may lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The extent of any damage potential will be better defined in future forecasts.

In areas west of the Cape Cod Canal through East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts not covered by the Winter Storm Watch, advisory level snowfall is possible before a changeover to rain. Across Cape Cod and the Islands, most of this storm event will be heavy rainfall. In areas of heavy rainfall, urban and poor drainage flooding may be possible.

Along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, strong to damaging winds will be possible. The extent of the wind threat will be better defined in future forecasts. There is also the possibility of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Evening high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts. At this time, the coastal flood threat does not look as extensive as the early January 2014 blizzard.

The rain/snow line for this storm will be one of the most difficult parts of the forecast. It will likely be subject to the most revision for this storm event. Secondarily, the wind damage threat at the coast and the potential wind/wet snow damage threat inland will be aspects that will need to be monitored and revised depending on the track, speed and intensity of the storm.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday Morning into early Friday Morning. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map for the storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Late Tuesday Night 2/4/14-Wednesday PM 2/5/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Winter Storm On Track to Impact Region late Tuesday Night through early Wednesday Evening. Timing Details and precipitation changeover and possible dry slot in southern areas also better defined..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties north and west through the Berkshire for 6-12 Inches of Snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ along the MA/CT/RI border area and points north. A trace of ice is possible in southern parts of the warning area where some sleet and freezing rain may occur..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches and ice accumulations of a trace to one-tenth of an inch with isolated higher amounts possible if precipitation remains in frozen form throughout the storm..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from Midnight Tonight Through 6 PM Wednesday for Dukes County (Martha’s Vineyard) and Block Island Rhode Island is also now under the advisory. Total snowfall in this area will be 2-4″ of snow and a trace of ice with worst conditions during the Morning Commute. A changeover to rain is expected by midday. On Nantucket Island, 1-2″ of snow is expected before a changeover to rain..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening..

Weather models have trended slightly warmer for southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area which has led to a slight reduction in snowfall amounts for these areas and up to the Mass. Pike but these slight reductions are really in the margin of error of the models and we are still looking for widespread snowfall of 6-12″ with the possibility of a trace of ice along and south of the Mass. Pike. Interior areas in the north and west may still see isolated snowfall amounts of 12-14″. For the immediate south coast of Massachusetts including Cape Cod and South Coastal Rhode Island snowfall of 4-6 Inches with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches are likely with a trace to a tenth inch of ice before a possible changeover to rain. Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for these areas. For Martha’s Vineyard, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for slightly reduced snowfall of 2-4″ and a trace of ice and Block Island RI has been added into this advisory for the same snow and ice amounts. Nantucket Island is expected to receive a quick 1-2 inches of snow and possibly sleet before a changeover to rain as in prior forecasts. Also, it is noted that after an initial burst of heavy snow in southern areas in the morning to midday, as temperatures warm, precipitation will turn light as this area dry slots and there will be a drizzle or freezing drizzle/light rain or light freezing rain that will change back to light snow before ending. Northern areas should remain snow and heavy at times through early evening.

As stated in prior coordination messages, there has been much discussion regarding an even more powerful storm for the second half of this weekend into Monday of next week. There is certainly potential for a significant storm during this time period but it is too early to get into details and there is a reasonably strong storm system for Wednesday that needs to be focused on first before looking into details on the weekend storm system. This will bear watching though as we get towards the end of this week and past the Wednesday storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we move into Amateur Radio Storm Operations mode. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the late Tuesday Night into Wednesday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Wednesday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Late Tuesday Night 2/4/14-Wednesday PM 2/5/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Moderate Snowstorm impacted portions of Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island on Monday. Stronger and more widespread storm is on track for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon. Storm for the second half of this weekend could be significant but too early to tell details with that system..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties north and west through the Berkshire for 8-14 Inches of Snow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-8″ of snow and ice accumulations of up to one-tenth of an inch with isolated higher amounts possible if precipitation remains in frozen form throughout the storm..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from Midnight Tonight Through 6 PM Wednesday for Dukes County (Martha’s Vineyard) for 3-6″ of snow and a trace of ice with worst conditions during the Morning Commute. A changeover to rain is expected by midday. On Nantucket Island, 1-2″ of snow is expected before a changeover to rain..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely anytime after 400 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening..

A moderate snowstorm impacted portions of Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island with 3-6″ of snow with lighter amounts of 1-3″ across interior northern portions of the area. Below is a link to Spotter Reports from this Monday storm:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

A larger and more widespread winter storm is on track for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon. The headlines give the latest information with the entire Winter Storm Watch area converted to Winter Storm Warnings and a Winter Weather Advisory now in effect for Martha’s Vineyard. A widespread 8-14″ of snow is expected over the Winter Storm Warning area from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties and Providence and Kent County Rhode Island north and west with 4-8″ of snow and up to a trace of ice over South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod. The question at this time remains how much warm air is able to move inland over parts of Southern New England. The storm track is favorable for snow but the source region of cold air will not be as cold as prior storms which may allow for more mixed precipitation and even a changeover to rain across southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. This has been refined a bit with this forecast and will be refined further in future forecasts. A Wintry Mix is expected around late morning midday across the South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island and Cape Cod region with sleet and freezing rain and possibly even a changeover to rain before it changes back to snow. Martha’s Vineyard will have a wintry mix and changeover to rain. This will mean lower snow amounts but could mean ice accumulations before any changeover to rain. This will continue to be monitored.

There has been much discussion regarding an even more powerful storm for the second half of this weekend into Monday of next week. There is certainly potential for a significant storm during this time period but it is too early to get into details and there is a reasonably strong storm system for Wednesday that needs to be focused on first before looking into details on the weekend storm system. This will bear watching though as we get towards the end of this week and past the Wednesday storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 400 AM Wednesday Morning lasting through Wednesday Evening. The next coordination message will be issued by 9 PM this evening. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the late Tuesday Night into Wednesday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Wednesday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Tuesday Night 2/4/14-Wednesday PM 2/5/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Moderate Snowstorm impacts portions of Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island on Monday. Stronger and more widespread storm expected late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon. Storm for the second half of this weekend could be significant but too early to tell details with that system..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area and now extends into Cape Cod but excludes all the Islands for 6″ or more of snow and a trace of ice accumulations..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely anytime after 400 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening..

A moderate snowstorm impacted portions of Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island with 3-6″ of snow with lighter amounts of 1-3″ across interior northern portions of the area. Below is a link to Spotter Reports from this Monday storm:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

A larger and more widespread winter storm is expected for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area and now extends into Cape Cod but excludes all the Islands. Across South Coastal Massachusetts and South-Central Coastal Rhode Island including Cape Cod, there is the potential for 4-6″ of snow with a trace of ice. In the remainder of the NWS Taunton coverage area north of South-Coastal Massachusetts and South-Central Coastal Rhode Island, the potential exists for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts along with a trace of ice accumulations. Across the islands, 1-3″ of snow is currently expected. At this time, the question will be how much warm air is able to move inland over parts of Southern New England. The storm track is favorable for snow but the source region of cold air will not be as cold as prior storms which may allow for more mixed precipitation and even a changeover to rain across southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. This will be refined in future forecasts. The current trend is for colder air to be able to hold on over the southern areas to keep most of the precipitation snow/sleet/freezing rain with all snow north of the Southeast Coastal region. This will continue to be monitored.

There has been much discussion regarding an even more powerful storm for the second half of this weekend into Monday of next week. There is certainly potential for a significant storm during this time period but it is too early to get into details and there is a reasonably strong storm system for Wednesday that needs to be focused on first before looking into details on the weekend storm system. This will bear watching though as we get towards the end of this week and past the Wednesday storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after 400 AM Wednesday Morning lasting through Wednesday Evening. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the late Tuesday Night into Wednesday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
 
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
 
NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Wednesday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php
 
Respectfully Submitted,
 
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 2/3/14 and Late Tuesday Night 2/4/14-Wednesday PM 2/5/14 Storm Events

Hello to all..

..Active Winter Weather Pattern for Early This Week Featuring a Storm System for Southern parts of the area Monday Morning through Monday Evening and a second system that will affect much of Southern New England late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM today for Northeast Connecticut, Southern Bristol and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Rhode Island except for Block Island for 2-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. Cape Cod is currently expected to receive 1-2″ of snow but will need to be monitored closely for higher snow amounts especially closest to the Cape Cod Canal. The remainder of the coverage area is expected to receive a dusting to 2″ of snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands for the potential of several inches of snow as well as potential sleet and freezing rain accumulations in southern parts of the Winter Storm Watch area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor today’s storm across the region. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday for that Winter Storm Event..

An active winter weather pattern is setting up for this week with a storm system for southern parts of the region today and another stronger winter storm system that will affect much of the NWS Taunton coverage area late Tuesday Night into Wednesday.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Northeast Connecticut, Rhode Island except for Block Island and Southern Bristol and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from 7 AM-7 PM today for 2-4″ of snow. Isolated higher amounts of snow are possible in the advisory area. While much of the Winter Weather Advisory area is currently above freezing, temperatures will actually fall through the day and any precipitation that starts as rain will changeover to snow. The heavier precipitation area which was expected to stay offshore has trended further north allowing for higher snow accumulations in this area. Over Cape Cod, this changeover may take longer so currently no advisory is in place for this area with snowfall of 1-2″ expected. This will bear watching because if the changeover takes place more quickly, it could result in heavier snowfall over parts of Cape Cod. Outside of the Winter Weather Advisory areas, a Dusting to 2″ of snowfall is expected with the highest amounts closest to the Winter Weather Advisory area.

A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for late Tuesday Night through Wednesday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. The potential exists for several inches of snow as well as potential sleet and freezing rain accumulations. Currently, most of the mixed precipitation is expected in the southern half of the Winter Storm Watch area. It is a bit early to get into specific snow an ice accumulation amounts but significant snow and/or sleet/freezing rain amounts are possible. Future coordination messages will further detail this storm threat.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the Monday storm with no further updates planned unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Tuesday Night into Wednesday for the second and more significant winter storm and the next coordination message for that system will be posted by 1100 PM this evening. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Monday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Monday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: VoIP Hurricane Prep Net Special Presentation Audio Recording on Winter Storms Affecting the Eastern US region in January 2014 Now Available

Hello to all…

The recording of the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net special presentation regarding Winter Storms that have affected the Eastern United States region in January 2014 is now available to all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters. A link to the recording in MP3 format and the presentation in PDF format can be seen below:

http://www.voipwx.net/files/VoIP_Hurricane_Net_Presentation_for_February_2014.pdf
http://www.voipwx.net/files/February_2014_Winter_Storms_Eastern_US_Presentation.mp3

Again, for best results, you likely will want to download the PDF presentation (Approximately 2.5-MB in size) and the Audio Recording of the net (approximately 8.5 Meg in size). The presentation lasts approximately 50 minutes.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: VoIP Hurricane Prep Net February 2014 Training Presentation – Winter Storm Impacts to the Eastern United States in January 2014

Hello to all…

For interested Amateur Radio Operators who have access to Echolink and/or IRLP, the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net on the *WX_TALK* Echolink conference node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system will have a special presentation regarding Winter Storms that have affected the Eastern United States region in January 2014. The net will take place at 8 PM EST this Saturday Evening February 1st, 2014. The Power Point presentation is available in PDF format and understanding the very late notice of this announcement, the net will be recorded and uploaded to the voipwx.net web site after the net and presentation is completed and that will allow for the presentation to those that cannot participate in the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net live and will allow the presentation to be made available to non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters as well.

A link to the presentation can be seen below:
http://www.voipwx.net/files/VoIP_Hurricane_Net_Presentation_for_February_2014.pdf

We encourage folks to listen to the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net live this evening or download the presentation as well as the recording when made available. A second announcement will be done when the net recording is available.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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