Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday August 31st, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today, particularly over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts, and Northern Connecticut but areas further east could be affected. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats. Timing of the severe weather threat is from 2-8 PM today..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut in a Slight Risk for severe weather today with 5% severe weather probabilities covering much of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely this afternoon through evening..

Conditions on Sunday will become warmer and more humid then the past couple of days. Instability values will increase and there will be strengthening winds aloft in the atmosphere. These factors coupled with a disturbance in the atmosphere will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut but eastern areas should monitor.  The timeframe of the threat is from 2-8 PM. SPC has placed parts of Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut in a Slight Risk for severe weather today with 5% severe weather probabilities covering much of Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely this afternoon through evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on this threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued as time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather and High Surf Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 8/27/14 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Possibly Severe Thunderstorms possible today across interior Southern New England. Strong to possibly damaging winds, hail, and urban and poor drainage flooding. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of interior Southern New England in a 5% severe weather probability category today..
..Swells from far offshore Hurricane Cristobal will cause high surf and rip currents. A High Surf Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM this evening through 8 PM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands. Rip currents, high surf and swell issues may continue into Friday. Swimmers should use extreme caution at south coast area beaches..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor severe weather potential. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible but current plan will be to handle via SKYWARN Self-Activation..

Summer-like weather with temperatures near 90 degrees will occur again today across much of Southern New England away from the coast. A cold front will be approaching the region from the west as we get into this afternoon and evening. Wind shear profiles increase after the peak of daytime heating and available instability but the environment may allow for Isolated to Scattered Strong Thunderstorms with the possibility of a severe thunderstorm or two across interior Southern New England. The timeframe for any strong to possibly severe thunderstorm activity is 2-9 PM today. SPC has placed portions of interior Southern New England in a 5% severe weather probability category for today.

Hurricane Cristobal will track well south and east of Southern New England. Swells, high surf and rip currents from Cristobal will affect South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. A High Surf Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM this evening through 8 PM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands. Rip currents, high surf and swell issues may continue into Friday. Swimmers should use extreme caution at south coast area beaches.

SKYWARN self-activation will monitor the severe weather potential for today. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible but currently the threat will be handled by SKYWARN Self-Activation. This will be the only coordination message on today’s severe weather potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs, time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook, and NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: 2014 Southern New England Weather Conference Saturday October 25th, 2014 – Early Registration Now Open!

Hello to all..

The Southern New England Weather Conference will take place Saturday October 25th, 2014. Early Bird Registration is now open for this year’s conference. The conference will again be held at Meditech, at the base of Great Blue Hill in Canton, Massachusetts. Some topics that will be covered this year include:

-Two frigid snowstorms that impacted Southern New England during the winter of 2013-14
-The 60th anniversary of the Hurricanes Carol and Edna
-The History and Mystery of the Old Farmer’s Almanac

The tentative agenda for the Southern New England Weather Conference can be seen via the following link:
http://www.sneweatherconf.org/2014Agenda.shtml

Registration Fees:
Please note that registration will be stopped after 230 registrants!

Early Bird Registration (Today – Sept 12):  $89
Student/Teacher Early and Regular Registration (Aug 1 – Oct 21): $89
Regular Registration (Sept 13 – Oct 21): $99
Late Registration (Oct 22 – Oct 25 – at the conference site): $109 (on-line registration will not be available after Oct 22.)
Student/Teacher Late Registration (Oct 25): $99 (same rules as above)

To register by phone, contact the Blue Hill Observatory at 617-696-0562. Complete registration information can be seen via the following link:
http://www.sneweatherconf.org/confregform.cfm

We hope to see many of you at the 2014 Southern New England Weather Conference!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Farewell to N1FY-Carl Aveni Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for NWS Taunton Massachusetts

Hello to all..

We wanted to announce today that N1FY-Carl Aveni, Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for NWS Taunton Massachusetts, has left the area. His wife is now retired and they are now embarking on a journey to travel Europe for a year and have further travel plans beyond their Europe travel plans through 2015. I’d like to take a few moments to highlight Carl’s accomplishments to the SKYWARN program and to myself personally over his 18 years of voluntary service to SKYWARN.

N1FY-Carl Aveni’s efforts over these 18 years has been extraordinary. The NWS Taunton SKYWARN program would not be where it is today without Carl’s efforts. He is a tremendous person that has helped me not only in my ‘professional volunteer career’ but personally as well. I have been truly blessed to have met all the people I’ve met through volunteerism in the Amateur Radio Emergency Services (ARES) and SKYWARN and Carl is one of the biggest blessings I could have ever had over all these years. Carl has been able to support me as my professional work commitments have increased volunteering to go to NWS when needed at just about all times day and night. Frankly, Carl has probably logged as much if not more time at the National Weather Service Taunton since his retirement in 2008 than I have. He also assisted at countless SKYWARN Training sessions both teaching and setting up sessions as well as many SKYWARN presentations at Amateur Radio Club meetings and other group meetings. There are also countless other contributions Carl has made to Amateur Radio and ARES including support of an Amateur Radio hospital network in Eastern Massachusetts, work with his local town EOC in Bridgewater and the FEMA-graded Nuclear Power Plant exercises and so much more. We will all miss what Carl has done for all of us and his countless contributions in the names of volunteerism, public and community service. That said, Carl has done his duty and its time to wish him and his wife well on their journey through retirement together through Europe and wherever else their travels take them and I’m sure we will keep in touch with him.

We have known that Carl will be leaving us as early as the beginning of this year. To that end, we are recruiting additional Amateur Radio Operators to serve at NWS Taunton and to help us remotely from their Amateur Radio stations as well. Some of you may have already heard new and different voices at WX1BOX, the Amateur Radio Station at NWS Taunton over the past 6 weeks or so. Carl is a true giant of volunteers for our program. We will likely be recruiting additional people within our ranks to provide support for our program. If you are interested, please feel free to contact me.

The National Weather Service Taunton staff put together a farewell send off gathering for N1FY-Carl Aveni on Wednesday August 13th at NWS Taunton. Ironically, SKYWARN was active that day and providing support for a flash flood event across portions of Southern New England. Representatives from the media (Barry Burbank, WBZ-TV Channel 4), the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency (Doug Forbes), members of the WX1BOX Amateur Radio Team (W1VFB-Greg Glynn, KB1MTW-Paul Moss, W1MPN-Mike Neilsen, Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator, KB1KQW-Jim Palmer, Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator and KD1CY-Rob Macedo) and much of the NWS Taunton and Northeast River Forecast Center staff were present for the send off. Pictures of the send off have been posted to our WX1BOX Facebook Page via the following link:

https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.833417530025600.1073741847.216287391738620&type=3

The WX1BOX Amateur Radio team wishes to thank the entire NWS Taunton and Northeast River Forecast Center staff for their support and generosity in having this send off for Carl and their ongoing support of SKYWARN and Amateur Radio over these many years. Once again, on behalf of NWS Taunton forecasters and the SKYWARN and Amateur Radio community, we wish Carl and his wife, farewell, safe and fun travels and all the best as they begin their retirement journey together. For those who wish to thank and contact Carl directly, you can email him at caave@peoplepc.com

Thanks to all for their support of the NWS Taunton SKYWARN Program!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather/Flash Flood Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday August 13th Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall with the potential of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms very late Tuesday Night and Wednesday across much of Southern New England. Urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding of these areas and possibly small streams is the main threat but there is a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and possibly even an isolated brief tornado as well in any severe thunderstorm. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has pushed the ‘see text’ 5% severe weather probability category for Wednesday further north covering again covering Eastern and Central Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Eastern Connecticut based on latest model trends..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Evening for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM-4 PM Wednesday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon High Tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 7-730 AM Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening..

An unusually strong summer storm system will affect much of Southern New England Wednesday. The main impact will be from heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding across portions of Southern New England with some potential for small stream flooding as well. A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Evening for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. Rainfall amounts of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts of up to 4-5″ possible in the region. Further Southeast outside of the Flash Flood Watch area, a more general 1-2″ of rainfall is likely.

There is a secondary threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with the potential for strong to damaging winds and possibly even a brief isolated tornado. Wind shear profiles and turning in the atmosphere will be quite favorable for this to occur, however, the heavy rainfall, expected cloud cover in the warm sector and the marine influence could mitigate this threat. Given that August features warmer sea surface temperatures and the fact that jet dynamics will be favorable, the key to any severe weather potential during Wednesday will be any instability or destabilization that can occur during the day either through any breaks in the cloudiness or from the very high moisture laden air that will be over the region and any embedded thunderstorms that can tap into the dynamics as well as the position of the warm front and the associated warm sector. Latest model runs have pushed the warm front in such a way where much of Eastern and Central Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Eastern Connecticut have the 5% severe weather probabilities. Just a change of 50 miles in the position of the warm front will be a factor in any severe weather threat. We emphasize again that the main threat of this storm system is flash flooding but similar but perhaps not quite as favorable as 2 weeks ago, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of strong to damaging winds and perhaps a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has pushed the ‘see text’ 5% severe weather probability category for Wednesday further north covering again covering Eastern and Central Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Eastern Connecticut based on latest model trends.

A third threat is for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon high tide. The ‘supermoon’ high tide cycle coupled with southeast onshore winds may allow for more vulnerable south coastal locations to experience minor coastal flooding. This could also exacerbate heavy rainfall flooding issues in areas that can also be affected by tidal influences. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM-4 PM Wednesday for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon High Tide.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 7-730 AM Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on the severe weather/flash flood threat for Wednesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather/Flash Flood Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday August 13th Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall with the potential of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms very late Tuesday Night and Wednesday across much of Southern New England. Urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding of these areas and possibly small streams is the main threat but there is a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and possibly even an isolated brief tornado as well in any severe thunderstorm. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has pushed the ‘see text’ 5% severe weather probability category for Wednesday further south covering South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Evening for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts. A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire, Norfolk, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for late tonight through Wednesday Evening..
..Minor Coastal Flooding is possible at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon High Tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely from Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening..

An unusually strong summer storm system will affect much of Southern New England Wednesday. The main impact will be from heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding across portions of Southern New England with some potential for small stream flooding as well. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Evening for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts. A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for Hillsborough County New Hampshire, Norfolk, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for late tonight through Wednesday Evening. Rainfall amounts of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts of up to 4-5″ possible in the region. Further Southeast outside of the Flash Flood Watch area, a more general 1-2″ of rainfall is likely.

There is a secondary threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with the potential for strong to damaging winds and possibly even a brief isolated tornado. Wind shear profiles and turning in the atmosphere will be quite favorable for this to occur, however, the heavy rainfall, expected cloud cover in the warm sector and the marine influence could mitigate this threat. Given that August features warmer sea surface temperatures and the fact that jet dynamics will be favorable, the key to any severe weather potential during Wednesday will be any instability or destabilization that can occur during the day either through any breaks in the cloudiness or from the very high moisture laden air that will be over the region and any embedded thunderstorms that can tap into the dynamics as well as the position of the warm front and the associated warm sector. Latest model runs are keeping the warm front further south with it draped just north of the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island and this may keep the severe weather threat out over the water or confined to southeast coastal New England. The main threat of this storm system is flash flooding but similar to 2 weeks ago, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of strong to damaging winds and perhaps a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) based on latest model trends have confined the 5% ‘see text’ category of severe weather to the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island. This will be monitored closely throughout the day.

A third threat is for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon high tide. The ‘supermoon’ high tide cycle coupled with southeast onshore winds may allow for more vulnerable south coastal locations to experience minor coastal flooding. This could also exacerbate heavy rainfall flooding issues in areas that can also be affected by tidal influences.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening. The next coordination message will be posted by 930 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather/Flash Flood Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday August 13th, 2014 Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall with the potential of Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms very late Tuesday Night and Wednesday across much of Southern New England. Urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding of these areas and possibly small streams is the main threat but there is a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and possibly even an isolated brief tornado as well in any severe thunderstorm. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a ‘see text’ 5% severe weather probability category for Wednesday..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Afternoon for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts. This Flash Flood Watch could be expanded further east in later forecasts..
..Minor Coastal Flooding is possible at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon High Tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely from Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening..

An unusually strong summer storm system will affect much of Southern New England Wednesday. The main impact will be from heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding across portions of Southern New England with some potential for small stream flooding as well. A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from late Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Afternoon for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts. This Flash Flood Watch could be expanded further east in later forecasts. Rainfall amounts of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts of up to 4-5″ possible in the region.

There is a secondary threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with the potential for strong to damaging winds and possibly even a brief isolated tornado. Wind shear profiles and turning in the atmosphere will be quite favorable for this to occur, however, the heavy rainfall, expected cloud cover in the warm sector and the marine influence could mitigate this threat. Given that August features warmer sea surface temperatures and the fact that jet dynamics will be favorable, the key to any severe weather potential during Wednesday will be any instability or destabilization that can occur during the day either through any breaks in the cloudiness or from the very high moisture laden air that will be over the region and any embedded thunderstorms that can tap into the dynamics. The main threat of this storm system is flash flooding but similar to 2 weeks ago, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of strong to damaging winds and perhaps a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a ‘see text’ 5% severe weather probability category for Wednesday.

A third threat is for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide mid-morning Wednesday in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and then extending into portions of East Coastal Massachusetts during the Wednesday Afternoon high tide. The ‘supermoon’ high tide cycle coupled with southeast onshore winds may allow for more vulnerable south coastal locations to experience minor coastal flooding. This could also exacerbate heavy rainfall flooding issues in areas that can also be affected by tidal influences.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday August 10th 2014 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..An Isolated Strong or Severe Thunderstorm cannot be ruled out over Southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack River Valley area of Massachusetts into Essex County Massachusetts late this Sunday Afternoon and early Evening. The Primary risk for any Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms should remain further north in the NWS Gray Maine Coverage Area today but it is possible that some of this activity could reach the northeast parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Strong winds, hail and heavy downpours would be the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the threat for later Sunday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message on today’s isolated strong to possibly severe thunderstorm threat unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook covering today’s potential..

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday August 7th 2014 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Scattered Strong Thunderstorms with Isolated severe thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England today. Strong Winds and small hail likely with isolated damaging winds and large hail possible as well. Urban and Poor drainage flooding to flash flooding is also a threat..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM today and last through early evening..

While conditions won’t be quite as warm and humid as Wednesday, there will be heating through the day and there will be a pool of very cold temperatures aloft. This temperature difference will create sufficient instability coupled with sufficient wind shear profiles for scattered strong thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms today. Strong winds and small hail are likely with hail in thunderstorms quite likely because of very low freezing level in the atmosphere due to the cold temperatures aloft. Isolated damaging winds and large hail are possible along with urban and poor drainage flooding also possible in areas that receive the thunderstorms. Much of Southern New England could see the scattered strong to isolated severe thunderstorm threat but Eastern New England is expected to be a bit more favorable. The threat will begin around midday lasting through early evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM today and last through early evening. This will be the only coordination message on today’s severe weather threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday August 6th 2014 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely late Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening across much of Southern New England with the greatest risk in Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Strong to Damaging Winds, Hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting late Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening..

An impulse in the atmosphere will move into the region today with sufficient heating to cause destabilization in the atmosphere with favorable wind shear profiles for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threats. While there could be thunderstorms across different portions of Southern New England, the greatest risk area for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms is over Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts where this impulse interacts with seabreeze boundaries. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the primary threats.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting late Wednesday Morning through Wednesday Evening. This will be the last complete coordination message on the Wednesday severe weather threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued as time allows and the exact timeframe of Ops at NWS Taunton is determined. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
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