Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday September 6th, 2014 Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England Saturday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..Threat timeframe is anytime after Noon in western areas and after 400 PM in eastern areas of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely anytime after Noon Saturday..

Hot and humid conditions that have moved into the area on Friday will remain over the region on Saturday. A strong cold front will then move across New England during the timeframe of peak heating Saturday. We currently expect sufficient sunshine for heating and destabilization over the region. Wind shear profiles are somewhat marginal with the stronger winds behind the front but presuming sufficient heating and destabilization, the humid air mass will promote water loading of thunderstorms should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the primary threats. The timing of severe weather is any time after noon in western areas and after 400 PM in eastern areas of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Saturday Afternoon and Evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after noon Saturday. Another coordination message will be issued by 10 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic on this potential severe weather event:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic:
http://www.wx1box.org/local/2014.09.05_PM1.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England Saturday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..Threat timeframe is anytime after Noon in western areas and after 400 PM in eastern areas of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely anytime after Noon Saturday..

Hot and humid conditions that have moved into the area on Friday will remain over the region on Saturday. A strong cold front will then move across New England during the timeframe of peak heating Saturday. We currently expect sufficient sunshine for heating and destabilization over the region. Wind shear profiles are somewhat marginal with the stronger winds behind the front but presuming sufficient heating and destabilization, the humid air mass will promote water loading of thunderstorms should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the primary threats. The timing of severe weather is any time after noon in western areas and after 400 PM in eastern areas of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Saturday Afternoon and Evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime after noon Saturday. Another coordination message will be issued by 10 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic on this potential severe weather event:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic:
http://www.wx1box.org/local/2014.09.05_PM1.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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