Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Southern New Hampshire, and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. Advisory level snowfall is possible across portions of Eastern New England away from coastal locations..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the late afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency..
..Across Southeast New England strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH and heavy rainfall with rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with locally higher amounts possible. The models are consolidating on a track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark which will allow for colder air to seep further south and east and has resulted in an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch into Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and the watch now also includes Southern New Hampshire. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the immediate coast. Strong winds remain likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England with heavy rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. Wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range are possible in the coastal plain.

The coastal storm is still about 1.5-2 days away and there is still a level of track differences between the different models but the track difference is closing. The last model runs have consolidated on a bit colder solution and one that would allow for significant snow occurring a bit further east into parts of interior Northeast Mass, Northwest Rhode Island and also further north into Southern New Hampshire. Further changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Future model runs will continue to better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday. The next coordination message will be issued by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Southern New Hampshire, and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. Advisory level snowfall is possible across portions of Eastern New England away from coastal locations..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the late afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency..
..Across Southeast New England strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH and heavy rainfall with rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with locally higher amounts possible. The models are consolidating on a track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark which will allow for colder air to seep further south and east and has resulted in an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch into Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and the watch now also includes Southern New Hampshire. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the immediate coast. Strong winds remain likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England with heavy rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. Wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range are possible in the coastal plain.

The coastal storm is still about 1.5-2 days away and there is still a level of track differences between the different models but the track difference is closing. The last model runs have consolidated on a bit colder solution and one that would allow for significant snow occurring a bit further east into parts of interior Northeast Mass, Northwest Rhode Island and also further north into Southern New Hampshire. Further changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Future model runs will continue to better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday. The next coordination message will be issued by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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