Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 7/30/15 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats anytime after 2 PM Thursday..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for Western, Central and parts of interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon and Evening and this extends through much of Northern New England as well..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 2 PM EDT lasting through early evening to monitor this potential..

After several days of pockets of severe weather and flooding across parts of Southern New England, Wednesday was dry across the region though hot and humid. At 710 AM Thursday, Doppler Radar showed a line of convective showers over West-Central New York State associated with a cold front that will be making its way through the region during the afternoon and evening hours with the hot and humid out ahead of the front. Satellite imagery shows some cloud cover ahead of this line but also some breaks in those clouds as well which should allow for destabilization. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across much of Southern New England with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats anytime after 2 PM Thursday. The extent of any severe threat remains contingent on whether the wind shear lags the cold front or is along and head of the cold front and any significant cloud cover that will inhibit instability. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather over Western, Central and parts of interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon and Evening and this extends through much of Northern New England as well.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 2 PM EDT lasting through early evening to monitor this potential. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats anytime after 2 PM Thursday..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for Western, Central and parts of interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon and Evening and this extends through much of Northern New England as well..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 2 PM EDT lasting through early evening to monitor this potential..

After several days of pockets of severe weather and flooding across parts of Southern New England, Wednesday was dry across the region though hot and humid. At 710 AM Thursday, Doppler Radar showed a line of convective showers over West-Central New York State associated with a cold front that will be making its way through the region during the afternoon and evening hours with the hot and humid out ahead of the front. Satellite imagery shows some cloud cover ahead of this line but also some breaks in those clouds as well which should allow for destabilization. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across much of Southern New England with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats anytime after 2 PM Thursday. The extent of any severe threat remains contingent on whether the wind shear lags the cold front or is along and head of the cold front and any significant cloud cover that will inhibit instability. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather over Western, Central and parts of interior Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon and Evening and this extends through much of Northern New England as well.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 2 PM EDT lasting through early evening to monitor this potential. This will be the last coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: (508) 346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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