Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/31/17-Wednesday Morning 2/1/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A light to moderate snowfall expected Tuesday Afternoon into the early Wednesday Morning timeframe and will cause slippery travel during the Tuesday Evening commute. A short period of snowfall at a rate of 1″ to possibly 2″ per hour is possible this evening..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts through the east slopes of the Berkshires for a widespread 2-4″ of snowfall with higher amounts of 4-6″ possible to likely in portions of Northeast Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties through the Boston area, North Shore, Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for South Coastal Rhode Island, South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod for 2-4″ of snow..
..Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands are expected to receive a Coating to 2″ of snow with lighter precipitation and a possible mix or changeover to light rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports through this storm event. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/31/17-Wednesday Morning 2/1/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A light to moderate snowfall expected Tuesday Afternoon into the early Wednesday Morning timeframe and will cause slippery travel during the Tuesday Evening commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts through the east slopes of the Berkshires for a widespread 2-4″ of snowfall with higher amounts of 4-6″ possible to likely in portions of Northeast Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties through the Boston area, North Shore, Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts..
..Southern areas outside of the advisory area from South Coastal Massachusetts through South Coastal Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands are expected to receive 1-3″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports through this storm event. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #5 – Monday Evening 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday Night into Tuesday Morning with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Monday Evening and minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts. Height of the coastal storm will be during the overnight hours Monday Night into early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect until 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated wind gusts in the 60-70 MPH range particularly on Cape Cod and the islands. These winds could result in isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for all of Central and Eastern Massachusetts including Hampden County Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50-55 MPH with the higher wind gusts along coastal areas. These winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Worcester, Western Hampden, Northern and Central Middlesex, Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts, Hartford and Tolland Counties Connecticut for 3-6″ of snow in the higher terrain and the east slopes of the Berkshires and 1-4″ of snow along the Massachusetts and New Hampshire border and in Northwest and North-Central Connecticut and 0.10″-0.25″ of ice across the advisory area. This remains the most problematic area of the forecast as just a one degree temperature difference could make the difference between either heavier snowfall or more ice accretion or even just having a heavy rainfall..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1000 PM Monday Evening for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Eastern Plymouth Counties for the Monday Evening high tide and the Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1100 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and the Islands for the Monday Evening high tide cycle for splashover and minor coastal flooding of shore roads..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect from 5 AM-11 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Eastern Plymouth Counties and from 6 AM-Noon Tuesday for Cape Cod and the Islands for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for minor to moderate coastal flooding of shore roads where the tide cycle is higher and could result in a more significant coastal flood episode in this area with additional road closures..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 3 AM-7 AM Tuesday Morning for Washington and Newport Counties in Rhode Island and from 6 AM-Noon Tuesday for Dukes County (Marthas Vineyard) for isolated to scattered pockets of minor coastal flooding..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with structured remote operations at minimum to ops at NWS Taunton will be utilized for the duration of this storm event..

This is the fifth and final message in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line remains very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages and tree and power line damage. Isolated pockets of wind damage are already occurring in the region.
2.) The snow and ice portion of this forecast remains lowest confidence and could be the area that has a very wide variance in outcomes. The headlines reflect the latest thinking but just a one or two degree temperature change could make the difference between heavy wet snow accumulations, significant ice and/or sleet accumulations or heavy rainfall. Also, higher terrain and elevation may also cause variability in snow, ice, and rain amounts. Some snow accumulations of 1-2″ have been recorded in parts of the advisory area already.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds will compensate for possible minor coastal flooding for the Monday Evening high tide with a more significant coastal flood episode likely for the Tuesday Morning high tide given the later time period for strong to damaging winds with the higher astronomical tide for that tide cycle. The main impact will be splashover and pockets of minor to moderate shore road flooding across East Coastal Massachusetts and to a lesser extent in parts of South Coastal RI.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with structured remote operations at minimum to ops at NWS Taunton will be utilized for the duration of this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts. Timing is about 6 hours later bringing the strongest part of the storm Monday Evening into the overnight hours into early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday with strongest winds early Monday Evening into Tuesday Morning. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts 50-60 MPH. The strongest winds occurring during Monday Evening into Tuesday Morning and these winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England and could extend to much of the NWS Taunton coverage area. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Monday Afternoon through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut for 1-2″ of snow and 0.25″-0.50″ of ice. Concern has increased since the last update on icing and possible ice storm like conditions but this remains highly uncertain given questions on what the predominant precip type will be. There may also be a period of light wintry mix overnight Sunday Evening in this area and a Special Weather Statement has been issued but the main wintry precipitation is expected late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region. Given the later timing, the higher tide conditions may not happen until Tuesday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 5-6 PM Monday Evening and could last into at least a portion of the overnight hours. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region and whether Ops continue through the entire overnight hours..

This is the fourth in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line remains very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. High Wind Watches remain in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon into Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts and possibly into much of the rest of Southern New England. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages with the strongest winds late Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. Currently, a Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Monday Afternoon through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut for 1-2″ of snow and 0.25″-0.50″ of ice. There has been some more concern in current models where the icing may reach the 0.50″ of radial ice criteria for an ice storm and this will bear close watching.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding. Currently, timing is 6 hours later and is actually timed between the high tide cycles but it may mean that minor coastal flooding could occur more on the Tuesday Morning high tide versus the Monday Evening high tide and will continued to be monitored.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 5-6 PM Monday Evening and could last into at least a portion of the overnight hours. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region and whether Ops continue through the entire overnight hours. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Updated headlines for the High Wind Watch for Plymouth and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts and item 1 regarding the wind headline changes. Remainder of the coordination message is unchanged..
..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts 50-60 MPH and these winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..Some accumulating snow and/or ice is possible to likely particularly along the New Hampshire border in Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties extending down into the east slopes of the Berkshires in Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This is the third in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. High Wind Watches have now been posted over Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon into Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out and will depend on how cold the lower levels of the atmosphere becomes as the intense coastal storm tracks to our region.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Sunday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..Some accumulating snow and/or ice is likely particularly along the New Hampshire border in Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties extending down into the east slopes of the Berkshires in Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This is the second in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts and other coastal areas could see winds at the high end of the wind advisory criteria to the low end of the High Wind Warning criteria. A High Wind Warning is in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out and will depend on how cold the lower levels of the atmosphere becomes as the intense coastal storm tracks to our region.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by Noon Sunday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. This High Wind Watch could be expanded to other portions of Southern New England coast line with wind advisories also possible for other parts of Eastern New England. These winds could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Heavy Rainfall of 1-3″ highest in Eastern New England could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region. If rainfall amounts were to be in the 3-4″ range, this could result in some flooding of small rivers and streams in areas that receive this rainfall..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..

This will be the first in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out.
3.) Heavy rainfall of 1-3″ is likely, highest in Eastern New England. If higher rainfall amounts of 3-4″ occur, this could lead to a bit more flooding including on small rivers and streams.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/17/17-Wednesday 1/18/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to portions of Western and Central New England and Northern Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border mid-afternoon Tuesday through Wednesday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 10 AM Tuesday Morning to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and up to one tenth of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts near the New Hampshire border and a trace to up to one-tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut for up to 1″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning and for Central Middlesex County Massachusetts and western Essex County for 1-3″ of snow and a trace of ice. Isolated higher snow and/or ice amounts are possible near the New Hampshire border..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see a brief period of wintry mix before it changes over and remains plain rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible for the first part of the storm depending on how the winter weather unfolds in the advisory area..

A storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the region. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current scenario but its noted that the key item for this storm will be what the predominant precip type within the wintry mix will be. A small change in temperature profiles could change whether the predominant precipitation is a wet snow, sleet or freezing rain within the advisory area. Outside the advisory area, precipitation is expected to be rain with a brief period of wintry mix at the start possible before changing over to rain. Spotter reports on precipitation type change over and snow/sleet/ice accumulations will be very helpful for this storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. This will likely be the last complete coordination message for this event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/17/17-Wednesday 1/18/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring a wintry mix of precipitation to portions of Western and Central New England and Northern Massachusetts near the New Hampshire state border mid-afternoon Tuesday through Wednesday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Noon Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and up to one tenth of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow with the highest amounts near the New Hampshire border and up to one-tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of icing..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Western Essex County Massachusetts from 4 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning and for Central Middlesex County Massachusetts from 1 PM Tuesday afternoon to 7 AM Wednesday Morning for 2-4″ of snow with amounts up to 5″ possible near the New Hampshire border and a light coating of ice..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory are expected to see a brief period of wintry mix before it changes over and remains plain rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning..

A storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to the region. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current scenario but its noted that the key item for this storm will be what the predominant precip type within the wintry mix will be. A small change in temperature profiles could change whether the predominant precipitation is a wet snow, sleet or freezing rain within the advisory area. Outside the advisory area, precipitation is expected to be rain with a brief period of wintry mix at the start possible before changing over to rain. Another coordination message issued tomorrow morning will update any change to the current headlines regarding snowfall and ice amounts and what the predominant form of precipitation will be in the advisory area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #5 – Saturday AM 1/7/17-Sunday AM 1/8/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Major Winter Storm and Blizzard to slam much of Eastern New England with a plowable to significant snowfall now expected in most western parts of Southern New England as the storm track shifts closer to the 40 North/70 West Benchmark. Travel is not recommended this Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for 15-20″ of snow with isolated higher amounts, blizzard conditions, and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts of 40-50 MPH likely. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The consistency and weight of the snow is expected to be light so the winds and snow are only currently expected to cause minor tree and wire damage though this will be monitored..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 3 AM Sunday for Southern Bristol and Western and Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 11 PM Saturday Evening for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut and Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex, Eastern Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut from 9 AM Saturday Morning to 9 PM Saturday Evening for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather advisory is now in effect for Franklin, Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts from 9 AM Saturday Morning through 7 PM Saturday Evening for 2-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight or 1-2 AM Sunday Morning for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm/blizzard expected for much of Southern New England, particularly Eastern New England and even into Central New England. Blizzard Warnings are now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County as well as Cape Cod and the Islands due to stronger winds with the closer storm track creating the potential for blizzard conditions defined as 3 consecutive hours of predominant weather conditions with visibility less than a quarter mile and frequent gusts 35 mph or higher and snowfall amounts were nudged upward slightly there and in the prior Winter Storm Warning areas. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories have also been expanded westward. Models have trended the system closer to the 40 North/70 West benchmark which has resulted in these upgrades and heavier snowfall tracking further west into Central New England with a plowable snowfall in Western New England. The western extent of the snow remains the lower confidence portion of the forecast as small shifts in storm track could affect the western extent of the snowfall but the trend has continued to be slightly closer to the coast prompting these changes. There is higher confidence in Warning criteria snowfall in Eastern New England and the potential for blizzard conditions and very high snowfall amounts in Southeast Coastal and interior Southeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. This will be the last message on this winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard Warning/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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