Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 2/11/17 Light Snow Event & Sunday 2/12/17-Monday Evening 2/13/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..After the February 9th 2017 Blizzard, the weather pattern will remain quite active with the potential for several winter storm systems over the next week. Plan ahead for an active period of winter weather..
..Light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning will bring a widespread 1-3″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. Larger and potentially significant winter storm is possible Sunday into Monday with the potential for the most threatening impacts Sunday Night into Monday with potential for significant impacts to the Monday Morning commute possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with amounts of up to 1 foot possible. This watch could be expanded into other areas or their could be additional watches, warnings and advisories issued for winter weather, the potential for strong to damaging winds and the potential for coastal flooding depending on the track, speed and intensity of a coastal storm for our region. This significant coastal storm will also have major impacts to the marine community later Sunday Night and Monday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe..

A light snowstorm is expected overnight tonight into Saturday Morning. It will bring a widespread snowfall of 1-3″ with a few isolated higher amounts possible in a few locations. This storm will end by midday Saturday.

A more significant winter storm is likely to unfold Sunday into Monday Evening. The headlines of this coordination message reflect the current thinking and the potential for additional watches, warnings and advisories for snowfall outside of the current watch area and the potential of strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding depending on storm track and how close to the region the storm intensifies. The Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the area most likely to receive 6″ or more of snowfall but this could change based on storm track and how closely it intensifies to Southern New England. At this time, we know a coastal storm will definitely develop and intensify significantly but the question will be how close is the storm to Southern New England and how close will it be when it starts its rapid intensification and does it slow down and possibly even retrograde or expand its envelope over portions of Southern New England. Some reliable model guidance brings the storm and its intensification process quite close to Southern New England while other models are more offshore. Where intensification occurs and the storm track will determine snowfall amounts over the region, the changeover of rain to snow over Southeast New England and how significant any snowfall will be as conditions will warm above freezing out ahead of the main coastal storm formation process as well as the intensity of the winds and the wind direction and any coastal flood potential. Regardless of impacts over land, this storm will be a dangerous storm for marine interests.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by Noon Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Marine Weather Statement and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Marine Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..After the February 9th 2017 Blizzard, the weather pattern will remain quite active with the potential for several winter storm systems over the next week. Plan ahead for an active period of winter weather..
..Light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning will bring a widespread 1-3″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. Larger and potentially significant winter storm is possible Sunday into Monday with the potential for the most threatening impacts Sunday Night into Monday with potential for significant impacts to the Monday Morning commute possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with amounts of up to 1 foot possible. This watch could be expanded into other areas or their could be additional watches, warnings and advisories issued for winter weather, the potential for strong to damaging winds and the potential for coastal flooding depending on the track, speed and intensity of a coastal storm for our region. This significant coastal storm will also have major impacts to the marine community later Sunday Night and Monday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe..

A light snowstorm is expected overnight tonight into Saturday Morning. It will bring a widespread snowfall of 1-3″ with a few isolated higher amounts possible in a few locations. This storm will end by midday Saturday.

A more significant winter storm is likely to unfold Sunday into Monday Evening. The headlines of this coordination message reflect the current thinking and the potential for additional watches, warnings and advisories for snowfall outside of the current watch area and the potential of strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding depending on storm track and how close to the region the storm intensifies. The Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the area most likely to receive 6″ or more of snowfall but this could change based on storm track and how closely it intensifies to Southern New England. At this time, we know a coastal storm will definitely develop and intensify significantly but the question will be how close is the storm to Southern New England and how close will it be when it starts its rapid intensification and does it slow down and possibly even retrograde or expand its envelope over portions of Southern New England. Some reliable model guidance brings the storm and its intensification process quite close to Southern New England while other models are more offshore. Where intensification occurs and the storm track will determine snowfall amounts over the region, the changeover of rain to snow over Southeast New England and how significant any snowfall will be as conditions will warm above freezing out ahead of the main coastal storm formation process as well as the intensity of the winds and the wind direction and any coastal flood potential. Regardless of impacts over land, this storm will be a dangerous storm for marine interests.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm overnight into Saturday Morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by Noon Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Marine Weather Statement and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Marine Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fzus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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