Storm Coordination Message #2 Sunday 2/12/17-Monday Evening 2/13/17 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..After a light snowfall overnight Friday into this Saturday Morning, a more powerful winter storm expected in a continuing very active winter weather pattern through the end of next week. Winter Storm Watches expanded and a High Wind Watch issued..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with amounts of up to 1 foot possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Northern Bristol, North-Central Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH and higher gusts to 65 MPH on the North Shore and Cape Cod. The combination of the snow potentially being heavy and wet with the strong to damaging winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages as well as whiteout conditions from blowing and drifting of snow..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex County, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island from Monday Morning to late Monday Night for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. Again, these winds can cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional watches, warnings and advisories are likely to be issued for other parts of the coverage area for snowfall and coastal flooding..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm this morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe..

A light snowstorm occurred overnight into this morning and has brought a widespread 1-3″ of snowfall with some areas receiving 3-4″ of snow. SKYWARN Self-Activation is monitoring for snowfall reports from this snow event.

A more significant winter storm is likely to unfold Sunday into Monday Evening. The headlines of this coordination message reflect the current thinking. The Winter Storm Watch has been expanded to cover East Coastal and interior Eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod, North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut. A High Wind Watch has also been posted for the North Shore and Cape Cod from Monday Morning to Monday Evening. Additional watches, warnings and advisories for snowfall and coastal flooding could be seen in future updates. We are still looking for better consensus of the models as we have some very reliable guidance forecasting the track and rapid intensification of the storm closer to the Southern New England coast while other reliable consensus models are further offshore when the storm rapidly intensifies. Current trends suggest that the storm track and intensification will be closer to the coast but these trends will bear further watching. It is again noted that over the course of Sunday into early Monday, there will be more of a wintry mix and even rain during the onset of the storm before the storm intensifies and then cools the atmosphere with a changeover to snow occurring. The onset of precipitation as rain or a wintry mix at the start before changing over to snow is particularly true along along and south of the Mass Pike and in coastal areas but possibly in other interior locations as well. The timing of the changeover and what form precipitation is in at the onset will also affect snowfall amounts in the region. Regardless of impacts over land, this storm will be a dangerous storm for marine interests.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm this morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..After a light snowfall overnight Friday into this Saturday Morning, a more powerful winter storm expected in a continuing very active winter weather pattern through the end of next week. Winter Storm Watches expanded and a High Wind Watch issued..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with amounts of up to 1 foot possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Morning through Monday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Northern Bristol, North-Central Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH and higher gusts to 65 MPH on the North Shore and Cape Cod. The combination of the snow potentially being heavy and wet with the strong to damaging winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages as well as whiteout conditions from blowing and drifting of snow..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex County, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island from Monday Morning to late Monday Night for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. Again, these winds can cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional watches, warnings and advisories are likely to be issued for other parts of the coverage area for snowfall and coastal flooding..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm this morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe..

A light snowstorm occurred overnight into this morning and has brought a widespread 1-3″ of snowfall with some areas receiving 3-4″ of snow. SKYWARN Self-Activation is monitoring for snowfall reports from this snow event.

A more significant winter storm is likely to unfold Sunday into Monday Evening. The headlines of this coordination message reflect the current thinking. The Winter Storm Watch has been expanded to cover East Coastal and interior Eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod, North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut. A High Wind Watch has also been posted for the North Shore and Cape Cod from Monday Morning to Monday Evening. Additional watches, warnings and advisories for snowfall and coastal flooding could be seen in future updates. We are still looking for better consensus of the models as we have some very reliable guidance forecasting the track and rapid intensification of the storm closer to the Southern New England coast while other reliable consensus models are further offshore when the storm rapidly intensifies. Current trends suggest that the storm track and intensification will be closer to the coast but these trends will bear further watching. It is again noted that over the course of Sunday into early Monday, there will be more of a wintry mix and even rain during the onset of the storm before the storm intensifies and then cools the atmosphere with a changeover to snow occurring. The onset of precipitation as rain or a wintry mix at the start before changing over to snow is particularly true along along and south of the Mass Pike and in coastal areas but possibly in other interior locations as well. The timing of the changeover and what form precipitation is in at the onset will also affect snowfall amounts in the region. Regardless of impacts over land, this storm will be a dangerous storm for marine interests.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall totals for the light snowstorm this morning. SKYWARN Activation is likely for the Sunday to Monday timeframe with Ops at NWS Taunton likely for a portion of the timeframe and self-activation utilized for a portion of the timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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