Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday PM 10/24/17-Wednesday PM 10/25/17 – Severe Weather/Strong Wind/Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. There is a very low risk for an isolated and brief tornado in the coverage area as a secondary risk..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts for localized flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and flashier small streams and rivers..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from Noon Tuesday to 11 AM Wednesday for sustained winds of 10-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

There have been no significant changes to watches and advisories across the area at this time. There could be a need for expansion of the Flash Flood Watch into other parts of Southern New England in future updates and the severe weather concerns will be monitored.

Confidence continues on wind gusts up to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts in stronger convective showers and thunderstorms as well as the potential for convective heavy rainfall in a relatively short period of time resulting in Flash Flooding. A Wind Advisory remains posted for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area from Noon Tuesday through 11 AM Wednesday Morning along with a Flash Flood Watch for Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut from Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. The headlines have additional info on the potential. SPC has maintained the marginal to slight risk for severe weather across portions of Southern New England in the Tuesday Afternoon to early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. This will likely be the last complete coordination message on this weather situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for that update. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Facebook Infographics and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1518627524898280

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. There is a very low risk for an isolated and brief tornado in the coverage area as a secondary risk..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts for localized flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and flashier small streams and rivers..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from Noon Tuesday to 11 AM Wednesday for sustained winds of 10-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

There have been no significant changes to watches and advisories across the area at this time. There could be a need for expansion of the Flash Flood Watch into other parts of Southern New England in future updates and the severe weather concerns will be monitored.

Confidence continues on wind gusts up to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts in stronger convective showers and thunderstorms as well as the potential for convective heavy rainfall in a relatively short period of time resulting in Flash Flooding. A Wind Advisory remains posted for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area from Noon Tuesday through 11 AM Wednesday Morning along with a Flash Flood Watch for Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut from Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. The headlines have additional info on the potential. SPC has maintained the marginal to slight risk for severe weather across portions of Southern New England in the Tuesday Afternoon to early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. This will likely be the last complete coordination message on this weather situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for that update. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Facebook Infographics and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1518627524898280

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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