Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 10/29/17-Monday 10/30/17 Coastal Storm Impacts

Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England with heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams with the potential for strong to damaging winds and scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages Sunday Morning into Monday Afternoon..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening through Monday Afternoon for South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands for Southeast Winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65-70 MPH on Sunday Night and West Winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH on Monday. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening to late Sunday Night for Southeast winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Total rainfall of 2-4″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. Rainfall closer to the 2″ range is expected in eastern areas with the heavier rainfall of up to 4″ with isolated higher amounts more likely over portions of the Connecticut River Valley and the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. This amount of rainfall and any higher amounts in thunderstorms could cause flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon. The headlines of this coordination message detail the latest information. Key items that will bear watching as we get closer to this storm system’s impacts include the following:

1.) Exact track of the coastal system. Some models are indicating a track up the Hudson River Valley or Western New England while other models are closer to Eastern New England. This will affect where the heaviest rainfall occurs and how widespread the damaging wind threat is in the region.
2.) How quickly the storm system intensifies as it tracks into and north of the region. This will also affect the rainfall/flooding and damaging wind impacts.
3.) Influence of Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 and how much moisture and energy from this system interacts with the coastal storm and its explosive development.

As we get closer to the event, the configuration of watches will be changed based on the above 3 factors.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch and Flash Flood Watch Statements, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experiemental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the WX1BOX Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522247687869597

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England with heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams with the potential for strong to damaging winds and scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages Sunday Morning into Monday Afternoon..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening through Monday Afternoon for South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands for Southeast Winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65-70 MPH on Sunday Night and West Winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH on Monday. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening to late Sunday Night for Southeast winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Total rainfall of 2-4″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. Rainfall closer to the 2″ range is expected in eastern areas with the heavier rainfall of up to 4″ with isolated higher amounts more likely over portions of the Connecticut River Valley and the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. This amount of rainfall and any higher amounts in thunderstorms could cause flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon. The headlines of this coordination message detail the latest information. Key items that will bear watching as we get closer to this storm system’s impacts include the following:

1.) Exact track of the coastal system. Some models are indicating a track up the Hudson River Valley or Western New England while other models are closer to Eastern New England. This will affect where the heaviest rainfall occurs and how widespread the damaging wind threat is in the region.
2.) How quickly the storm system intensifies as it tracks into and north of the region. This will also affect the rainfall/flooding and damaging wind impacts.
3.) Influence of Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 and how much moisture and energy from this system interacts with the coastal storm and its explosive development.

As we get closer to the event, the configuration of watches will be changed based on the above 3 factors.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch and Flash Flood Watch Statements, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experiemental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the WX1BOX Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522247687869597

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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