Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday 10/29/17-Monday 10/30/17 Coastal Storm Impacts

Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England with heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams with the potential for strong to damaging winds and scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 6 PM Sunday to 6 AM Monday for Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence, Bristol, Eastern Kent, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with wind gusts of 60-70 MPH. A High Wind Watch remains in effect for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts of 50-60 MPH. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and could also be enhanced by any strong to severe thunderstorms that organize with this system..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Total rainfall of 2-4″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. Rainfall closer to the 2″ range is expected in eastern areas with the heavier rainfall of up to 4″ with isolated higher amounts more likely over portions of the Connecticut River Valley and the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. This amount of rainfall and any higher amounts in thunderstorms could cause flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 400 PM EDT Sunday Afternoon and will last into early Monday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon and during the day on Monday through the afternoon hours..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon. The headlines of this coordination message detail the latest information. Key items that will bear watching as we get closer to this storm system’s impacts include the following:

1.) Exact track of the coastal system. Some models are indicating a track up the Hudson River Valley or Western New England while other models are closer to Eastern New England. This will affect where the heaviest rainfall occurs and how widespread the damaging wind threat is in the region.
2.) How quickly the storm system intensifies as it tracks into and north of the region. This will also affect the rainfall/flooding and damaging wind impacts though it appears more likely that this intensification will occur near and south of Southern New England.
3.) Influence of Tropical Storm Phillipe and how much moisture and energy from this system interacts with the coastal storm and its explosive development.

High Wind Watches have been converted to High Wind Warnings across much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island with High Wind Watches for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage area. Further changes in watches and warnings as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 400 PM EDT Sunday Afternoon and will last into early Monday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon and during the day on Monday through the afternoon hours. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch and Flash Flood Watch Statements, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the WX1BOX Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522860727808293
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522755274485505

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England with heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams with the potential for strong to damaging winds and scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 6 PM Sunday to 6 AM Monday for Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence, Bristol, Eastern Kent, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with wind gusts of 60-70 MPH. A High Wind Watch remains in effect for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts of 50-60 MPH. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and could also be enhanced by any strong to severe thunderstorms that organize with this system..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Total rainfall of 2-4″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. Rainfall closer to the 2″ range is expected in eastern areas with the heavier rainfall of up to 4″ with isolated higher amounts more likely over portions of the Connecticut River Valley and the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. This amount of rainfall and any higher amounts in thunderstorms could cause flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 400 PM EDT Sunday Afternoon and will last into early Monday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon and during the day on Monday through the afternoon hours..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon. The headlines of this coordination message detail the latest information. Key items that will bear watching as we get closer to this storm system’s impacts include the following:

1.) Exact track of the coastal system. Some models are indicating a track up the Hudson River Valley or Western New England while other models are closer to Eastern New England. This will affect where the heaviest rainfall occurs and how widespread the damaging wind threat is in the region.
2.) How quickly the storm system intensifies as it tracks into and north of the region. This will also affect the rainfall/flooding and damaging wind impacts though it appears more likely that this intensification will occur near and south of Southern New England.
3.) Influence of Tropical Storm Phillipe and how much moisture and energy from this system interacts with the coastal storm and its explosive development.

High Wind Watches have been converted to High Wind Warnings across much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island with High Wind Watches for the rest of the NWS Taunton Coverage area. Further changes in watches and warnings as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 400 PM EDT Sunday Afternoon and will last into early Monday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon and during the day on Monday through the afternoon hours. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch and Flash Flood Watch Statements, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the WX1BOX Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522860727808293
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522755274485505

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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