Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 3/21/18-Thursday Morning 3/22/18 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, will take aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire and Eastern Hampden Counties eastward through the rest of Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for total snowfall of 5-8″ with isolated higher amounts or bands of higher amounts of snow of up to 12″. Winds gusts of 25-35 MPH are expected in the interior western parts of the Winter Storm Watch area with wind gusts between 40-55 MPH in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. These winds with wet snow may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. The trend with these storm systems this month has been to have the storm systems look further offshore in the 3-5 day period only to come closer to coast in the under 3-day period and that seems to be the case for this system as well. The headlines provide the current thinking. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance closer to the coast means higher snow amounts and this could increase more depending on the track provided it stays along or just east of the benchmark. This could also mean higher wind speeds depending on storm system intensity.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well.
3.) The strong winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and will depend on storm track and intensity.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


Hello to all…

..Unfortunately, yet another nor’easter, the 4th nor’easter this month, will take aim on Southern New England Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning with potential significant impacts from heavy snowfall and potentially a wet snowfall, strong to damaging winds and a greater risk for one to two tide cycles of minor to moderate coastal flooding due to higher astronomical tides..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire and Eastern Hampden Counties eastward through the rest of Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for total snowfall of 5-8″ with isolated higher amounts or bands of higher amounts of snow of up to 12″. Winds gusts of 25-35 MPH are expected in the interior western parts of the Winter Storm Watch area with wind gusts between 40-55 MPH in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. These winds with wet snow may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the late Wednesday Night high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of this high tide cycle and the Thursday Afternoon tide cycle may also be impacted as well..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed..

Unfortunately, another nor’easter is taking aim on Southern New England. The trend with these storm systems this month has been to have the storm systems look further offshore in the 3-5 day period only to come closer to coast in the under 3-day period and that seems to be the case for this system as well. The headlines provide the current thinking. Key items for this storm system:

1.) Track guidance closer to the coast means higher snow amounts and this could increase more depending on the track provided it stays along or just east of the benchmark. This could also mean higher wind speeds depending on storm system intensity.
2.) The astronomical high tides are higher so that means a bit higher risk for at least minor to moderate coastal flooding on the Wednesday Night high tide cycle and possibly affecting the Thursday afternoon high tide cycle as well.
3.) The strong winds and potentially heavy wet snow could cause another round of isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages and will depend on storm track and intensity.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Wednesday into Thursday for this system. With the NWS office move, Ops will most likely be done from Amateur Radio home stations for this storm event. This will be updated as needed. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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