Storm Coordination Message #2 – Saturday 10/27/18 Coastal Storm/Nor’easter Potential

Hello to all…
..Strong coastal storm on track to impact Southern New England with Heavy Rainfall and the possibility of urban and poor drainage flooding, Strong to Damaging Winds, Minor to low-end Moderate Coastal Flooding and the possibility of Isolated Severe Thunderstorms on Saturday..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 600 AM-500 PM for Southeast Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Rhode Island and a High Wind Warning is in effect from 900 AM-800 PM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk and Eastern Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will be sufficient for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 1100 AM-600 PM Saturday for Western Norfolk and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Kent and Bristol Counties of Rhode Island and a Wind Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM-8 PM Saturday for Central and Southeast Middlesex and Western Essex Counties for sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with gusts 45-50 MPH. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 1100 AM-600 PM Saturday for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide with up to 1 foot of inundation across the most vulnerable portions of the coast line..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening for Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island including the islands for 2-3″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding in the areas that receive the heaviest rainfall..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 730 AM Saturday Morning lasting through Saturday Night for the coastal storm..
A strong coastal storm remains on track to impact Southern New England. The updated headlines cover the storm potential. Factors that will be defined as the storm unfolds include the following:
1.) There maybe some snow/sleet mix at the start in extreme northwest portions of the NWS Boston/Norton coverage area.
2.) The extent of strong winds in Eastern New England could be subject to some fluctuation. There are even stronger winds just offshore that if those winds could go over land could lead to slightly greater wind impacts. High Wind Warnings have been issued and expanded to cover much of East and South Coastal New England.
3.) There is the possibility of an isolated severe thunderstorm along the coastal storm warm front in Southeast New England. While this is a low probability, given the trends over the past summer into fall on marginal severe weather potential becoming realized, it is noted as a possible threat. The isolated severe thunderstorm potential if it were to materialize would mean isolated pockets of more significant wind damage in any area impacted by the severe thunderstorm and there is even the possibility of an isolated tornado or waterspout.
4.) Localized urban and poor drainage flooding is possible in areas that receive convective rainfall that enhances rain totals. A Flash Flood Watch has now been posted in Southeast New England where this potential is greatest.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 730 AM Saturday Morning lasting through Saturday Night for the coastal storm. This will be the last coordination message on this system as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Facebook Infographics:
NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 10/27/18 Coastal Storm/Nor’Easter

Hello to all…

..Strong coastal storm will impact Southern New England with Heavy Rainfall and the possibility of urban and poor drainage flooding, Strong to Damaging Winds, Minor to low-end Moderate Coastal Flooding and the possibility of Isolated Severe Thunderstorms on Saturday..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands, South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. Wind Advisories may be required for other parts of Eastern New England. These winds will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Saturday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Further details will be posted in future coordination messages..

A strong coastal storm/nor’easter will affect the region Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. The headlines depict current thinking on storm impacts. Key factors on storm impact details include the following:

1.) There maybe some snow/sleet mix at the start in extreme northwest portions of the NWS Boston/Norton coverage area.
2.) The extent of strong winds in Eastern New England could be subject to some fluctuation. There are even stronger winds just offshore that if those winds could go over land could lead to slightly greater wind impacts.
3.) There is the possibility of an isolated severe thunderstorm along the coastal storm warm front in Southeast New England. While this is a low probability, given the trends over the past summer into fall on marginal severe weather potential becoming realized, it is noted as a possible threat. The isolated severe thunderstorm potential if it were to materialize would mean isolated pockets of more significant wind damage in any area impacted by the severe thunderstorm.
4.) Localized urban and poor drainage flooding is possible in areas that receive convective rainfall that enhances rain totals.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Saturday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Further details will be posted in future coordination messages and the next coordination message will be posted by 8 PM EDT this evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Wind Coordination Messsage #1 – Late Friday Evening 10/19/18-Midday Saturday 10/20/18

Hello to all…
..Strong Southwest Winds Ahead of an approaching cold front for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 11 PM Friday Evening through 12 PM Saturday for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with gusts from 45-50 MPH. Areas of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island may see wind gusts to around 40 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong wind potential. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..
NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday 10/15/18 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible in Southeast New England (Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts) late Monday Afternoon into this evening as we see a brief warm up during the Monday Afternoon/early evening hours followed by a strong cold front bringing renewed fall temperatures to the region. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rain and lightning will be the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Southeast New England in a marginal risk of severe weather..
..There could also be some general strong winds ahead of and behind the cold front but these winds should fall short of wind advisory criteria at this time..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this potential for late Monday Afternoon and Monday Night. This will be the only coordination message on this potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2018/day1otlk_20181015_1300.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Flash Flood and Strong Wind Potential Thursday 10/11/18-Friday 10/12/18

Hello to all…

..Tropical Storm Michael will become post tropical and intensify as a post tropical system passing well south and east of Southern New England but his interaction with a cold front and the unusually humid air mass for this time of year will set the stage for heavy rainfall with the potential of flash flooding in localized locations in Southern New England as well as strong wind gusts possibly to 40 to 50 MPH over Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Morning to Thursday Night for Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts for 1 to 2″ of rainfall in a short period of time and localized higher amounts possible. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 3-5″ of rain. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ amounts with localized higher amounts of 4-6″. This rainfall could produce urban and poor drainage flooding and some small river and stream flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Please note that the KA1RCI Repeater system used for SKYWARN is having link trouble and any SKYWARN Activation needed for Rhode Island will fall back to the 146.76-Scituate, RI Repeater..

A cold front will be swinging through the region today into Friday. As the cold front swings through, Tropical Storm Michael will exit off the Mid-Atlantic and intensify as a post tropical system as it tracks southeast of Nantucket. The cold front will entrain moisture from Michael and bring the potential for localized heavy rainfall and flooding to flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas. The headlines cover the flood potential. There is also the potential for wind gusts of 40-50 MPH in two rounds one during Thursday late afternoon and evening and the other in Friday Morning into early afternoon across Southeast Coastal New England.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Please note that the KA1RCI Repeater system used for SKYWARN is having link trouble and any SKYWARN Activation needed for Rhode Island will fall back to the 146.76-Scituate, RI Repeater. As we move into operations mode, a shortened coordination message may be posted to update the situation if time allows and ops at NWS Boston/Norton is initiated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 10/11/18-Friday 10/12/18 Flash Flood/Strong Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Hurricane Michael will become post tropical passing well south and east of Southern New England but his interaction with a cold front and the unusually humid air mass for this time of year will set the stage for heavy rainfall with the potential of flash flooding in localized locations in Southern New England as well as strong wind gusts possibly to 40 to 50 MPH over Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Flash Flood Watch is posed from Thursday Morning to Thursday Night for Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts for 1 to 2″ of rainfall in a short period of time and localized higher amounts possible. A Flash Flood Watch is posted from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 3-5″ of rain. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ amounts with localized higher amounts of 4-6″. This rainfall could produce urban and poor drainage flooding and some small river and stream flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Special Announcement: Hurricane Michael Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans

Hello to all…

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Michael and impacts to the Florida Panhandle, Southern Alabama and Southern Georgia..
..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning as necessary..
..SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators in Southern New England who may have contact with family, friends, other Amateur Radio Operators or SKYWARN spotters in the affected area of Hurricane Michael are encouraged to forward any reports, pictures and videos via the Amateur Radio hurricane nets, via the WX1BOX or voipwxnet Facebook and Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org. Also, any relayed public safety reports, pictures, videos from online feeds, social media or from public safety people in the affected area is also encouraged. Credit will be given to the individual with the reports and pictures and the person within our spotter network that relayed this information..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Michael..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:
http://voipwx.net/2018/10/09/voip-hurricane-net-activation-for-hurricane-michael-wednesday-10-10-18-5-am-edt-through-early-thursday-morning/

ARRL Web Page on Hurricane Response:
http://www.arrl.org/2018-Hurricanes

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Special Announcement: IPAWS National Test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA) and Emergency Alert System (EAS)

Hello to all…
The following is a press release for the National EAS and WEA test that will be held today, 10/3/18 beginning at 218 PM EDT. A web link to the press release and the press release itself appears below:
FEMA Press Release Web Link:
*PRESS RELEASE*

*THE NATIONAL EAS AND WEA TEST WILL BE HELD ON OCTOBER 3, 2018,
BEGINNING AT 2:18 P.M. EDT*

WASHINGTON – The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), in
coordination with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), will conduct
a nationwide test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts
<http://www.fema.gov/frequently-asked-questions-wireless-emergency-alerts/>(WEA)
and Emergency Alert System (EAS)
<https://www.fema.gov/emergency-alert-system> on October 3, 2018. The test
was originally planned for September 20, 2018 but was postponed until
October 3, 2018 due to ongoing response efforts to Hurricane Florence.

The WEA portion of the test commences at 2:18 p.m. EDT, and the EAS portion
follows at 2:20 p.m. EDT. The test will assess the operational readiness of
the infrastructure for distribution of a national message and determine
whether improvements are needed.

The WEA test message will be sent to cell phones that are connected to
wireless providers participating in WEA. This is the fourth EAS nationwide
test and the first national WEA test. Previous EAS national tests were
conducted in November 2011, September 2016,  and September 2017 in
collaboration with the FCC, broadcasters, and emergency management
officials in recognition of FEMA’s National Preparedness Month.

Cell towers will broadcast the WEA test for approximately 30 minutes
beginning at 2:18 p.m. EDT. *During this time, WEA compatible cell phones
that are switched on, within range of an active cell tower, and whose
wireless provider participates in WEA should be capable of receiving the
test message.* Some cell phones will not receive the test message, and cell
phones should only receive the message once. The WEA test message will have
a header that reads “Presidential Alert” and text that says:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action
is needed.”

The WEA system is used to warn the public about dangerous weather, missing
children, and other critical situations through alerts on cell phones. The
national test will use the same special tone and vibration as with all WEA
messages (i.e. Tornado Warning, AMBER Alert). Users cannot opt out of
receiving the WEA test.

The EAS is a national public warning system that provides the President
with the communications capability to address the nation during a national
emergency. The test is made available to EAS participants (i.e., radio and
television broadcasters, cable systems, satellite radio and television
providers, and wireline video providers) and is scheduled to last
approximately one minute. The test message will be similar to regular
monthly EAS test messages with which the public is familiar. The EAS
message will include a reference to the WEA test:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Emergency Alert System. This system was
developed by broadcast and cable operators in voluntary cooperation with
the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the Federal Communications
Commission, and local authorities to keep you informed in the event of an
emergency. If this had been an actual emergency an official message would
have followed the tone alert you heard at the start of this message. A
similar wireless emergency alert test message has been sent to all cell
phones nationwide. Some cell phones will receive the message; others will
not. No action is required.”

##

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – 10/2/18 – Severe Weather/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon and evening across Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut with strong to damaging winds, and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threat and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. The urban and poor drainage flood risk could occur in a few localized areas across Southern New England depending on where any thunderstorms with heavy rainfall develop and whether they train over the same area and this will be monitored as the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed much of New England in a marginal risk for heavy rainfall/flash flood potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton would be possible if the threat for severe weather and heavy rainfall increases. This will be the only message on this potential unless time allows for a shortened coordination message and Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are initiated or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook and Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Excessive Rainfall Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box