Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday 10/15/18 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible in Southeast New England (Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts) late Monday Afternoon into this evening as we see a brief warm up during the Monday Afternoon/early evening hours followed by a strong cold front bringing renewed fall temperatures to the region. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rain and lightning will be the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Southeast New England in a marginal risk of severe weather..
..There could also be some general strong winds ahead of and behind the cold front but these winds should fall short of wind advisory criteria at this time..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this potential for late Monday Afternoon and Monday Night. This will be the only coordination message on this potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2018/day1otlk_20181015_1300.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Flash Flood and Strong Wind Potential Thursday 10/11/18-Friday 10/12/18

Hello to all…

..Tropical Storm Michael will become post tropical and intensify as a post tropical system passing well south and east of Southern New England but his interaction with a cold front and the unusually humid air mass for this time of year will set the stage for heavy rainfall with the potential of flash flooding in localized locations in Southern New England as well as strong wind gusts possibly to 40 to 50 MPH over Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Morning to Thursday Night for Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts for 1 to 2″ of rainfall in a short period of time and localized higher amounts possible. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 3-5″ of rain. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ amounts with localized higher amounts of 4-6″. This rainfall could produce urban and poor drainage flooding and some small river and stream flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Please note that the KA1RCI Repeater system used for SKYWARN is having link trouble and any SKYWARN Activation needed for Rhode Island will fall back to the 146.76-Scituate, RI Repeater..

A cold front will be swinging through the region today into Friday. As the cold front swings through, Tropical Storm Michael will exit off the Mid-Atlantic and intensify as a post tropical system as it tracks southeast of Nantucket. The cold front will entrain moisture from Michael and bring the potential for localized heavy rainfall and flooding to flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas. The headlines cover the flood potential. There is also the potential for wind gusts of 40-50 MPH in two rounds one during Thursday late afternoon and evening and the other in Friday Morning into early afternoon across Southeast Coastal New England.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Please note that the KA1RCI Repeater system used for SKYWARN is having link trouble and any SKYWARN Activation needed for Rhode Island will fall back to the 146.76-Scituate, RI Repeater. As we move into operations mode, a shortened coordination message may be posted to update the situation if time allows and ops at NWS Boston/Norton is initiated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 10/11/18-Friday 10/12/18 Flash Flood/Strong Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Hurricane Michael will become post tropical passing well south and east of Southern New England but his interaction with a cold front and the unusually humid air mass for this time of year will set the stage for heavy rainfall with the potential of flash flooding in localized locations in Southern New England as well as strong wind gusts possibly to 40 to 50 MPH over Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Flash Flood Watch is posed from Thursday Morning to Thursday Night for Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and Northeastern Massachusetts for 1 to 2″ of rainfall in a short period of time and localized higher amounts possible. A Flash Flood Watch is posted from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod for 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 3-5″ of rain. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from Thursday Afternoon to Friday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ amounts with localized higher amounts of 4-6″. This rainfall could produce urban and poor drainage flooding and some small river and stream flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely Thursday into Friday with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. Another coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Special Announcement: Hurricane Michael Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans

Hello to all…

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Michael and impacts to the Florida Panhandle, Southern Alabama and Southern Georgia..
..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning as necessary..
..SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators in Southern New England who may have contact with family, friends, other Amateur Radio Operators or SKYWARN spotters in the affected area of Hurricane Michael are encouraged to forward any reports, pictures and videos via the Amateur Radio hurricane nets, via the WX1BOX or voipwxnet Facebook and Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org. Also, any relayed public safety reports, pictures, videos from online feeds, social media or from public safety people in the affected area is also encouraged. Credit will be given to the individual with the reports and pictures and the person within our spotter network that relayed this information..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Michael..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:
http://voipwx.net/2018/10/09/voip-hurricane-net-activation-for-hurricane-michael-wednesday-10-10-18-5-am-edt-through-early-thursday-morning/

ARRL Web Page on Hurricane Response:
http://www.arrl.org/2018-Hurricanes

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Special Announcement: IPAWS National Test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA) and Emergency Alert System (EAS)

Hello to all…
The following is a press release for the National EAS and WEA test that will be held today, 10/3/18 beginning at 218 PM EDT. A web link to the press release and the press release itself appears below:
FEMA Press Release Web Link:
*PRESS RELEASE*

*THE NATIONAL EAS AND WEA TEST WILL BE HELD ON OCTOBER 3, 2018,
BEGINNING AT 2:18 P.M. EDT*

WASHINGTON – The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), in
coordination with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), will conduct
a nationwide test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts
<http://www.fema.gov/frequently-asked-questions-wireless-emergency-alerts/>(WEA)
and Emergency Alert System (EAS)
<https://www.fema.gov/emergency-alert-system> on October 3, 2018. The test
was originally planned for September 20, 2018 but was postponed until
October 3, 2018 due to ongoing response efforts to Hurricane Florence.

The WEA portion of the test commences at 2:18 p.m. EDT, and the EAS portion
follows at 2:20 p.m. EDT. The test will assess the operational readiness of
the infrastructure for distribution of a national message and determine
whether improvements are needed.

The WEA test message will be sent to cell phones that are connected to
wireless providers participating in WEA. This is the fourth EAS nationwide
test and the first national WEA test. Previous EAS national tests were
conducted in November 2011, September 2016,  and September 2017 in
collaboration with the FCC, broadcasters, and emergency management
officials in recognition of FEMA’s National Preparedness Month.

Cell towers will broadcast the WEA test for approximately 30 minutes
beginning at 2:18 p.m. EDT. *During this time, WEA compatible cell phones
that are switched on, within range of an active cell tower, and whose
wireless provider participates in WEA should be capable of receiving the
test message.* Some cell phones will not receive the test message, and cell
phones should only receive the message once. The WEA test message will have
a header that reads “Presidential Alert” and text that says:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action
is needed.”

The WEA system is used to warn the public about dangerous weather, missing
children, and other critical situations through alerts on cell phones. The
national test will use the same special tone and vibration as with all WEA
messages (i.e. Tornado Warning, AMBER Alert). Users cannot opt out of
receiving the WEA test.

The EAS is a national public warning system that provides the President
with the communications capability to address the nation during a national
emergency. The test is made available to EAS participants (i.e., radio and
television broadcasters, cable systems, satellite radio and television
providers, and wireline video providers) and is scheduled to last
approximately one minute. The test message will be similar to regular
monthly EAS test messages with which the public is familiar. The EAS
message will include a reference to the WEA test:

“THIS IS A TEST of the National Emergency Alert System. This system was
developed by broadcast and cable operators in voluntary cooperation with
the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the Federal Communications
Commission, and local authorities to keep you informed in the event of an
emergency. If this had been an actual emergency an official message would
have followed the tone alert you heard at the start of this message. A
similar wireless emergency alert test message has been sent to all cell
phones nationwide. Some cell phones will receive the message; others will
not. No action is required.”

##

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – 10/2/18 – Severe Weather/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon and evening across Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut with strong to damaging winds, and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threat and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. The urban and poor drainage flood risk could occur in a few localized areas across Southern New England depending on where any thunderstorms with heavy rainfall develop and whether they train over the same area and this will be monitored as the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed much of New England in a marginal risk for heavy rainfall/flash flood potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton would be possible if the threat for severe weather and heavy rainfall increases. This will be the only message on this potential unless time allows for a shortened coordination message and Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are initiated or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook and Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Excessive Rainfall Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box