Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – 10/2/18 – Severe Weather/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon and evening across Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut with strong to damaging winds, and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threat and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this area in a marginal risk for severe weather. The urban and poor drainage flood risk could occur in a few localized areas across Southern New England depending on where any thunderstorms with heavy rainfall develop and whether they train over the same area and this will be monitored as the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed much of New England in a marginal risk for heavy rainfall/flash flood potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton would be possible if the threat for severe weather and heavy rainfall increases. This will be the only message on this potential unless time allows for a shortened coordination message and Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are initiated or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook and Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Excessive Rainfall Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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