Storm Coordination Message #3 – Monday 3/23/20-Tuesday Morning 3/24/20 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Winter makes a brief return with the potential for heavy wet snow accumulation in Western and Central Massachusetts particularly in the higher elevations with lighter snow accumulations in other parts of Southern New England before a change to rain as a coastal storm moves through the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Northern Worcester, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties for 2-5″ of snow. The evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions. Areas of Northwest North-Central Connecticut closest to the Mass state border and the Litchfield County Connecticut line could see similar amounts of snow..
..Portions of Northwest and North-Central Connecticut furthest away from the Massachusetts state line and the Litchfield County Connecticut line into parts of interior Massachusetts may see a coating to 2″ of snow with this system with a few slick spots before it changes to rain. Eastern New England particularly south and east of I-495 through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts will see mostly rain from this system..
..SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas most likely starting around or after 5 PM through late evening..

A coastal storm will bring a touch of winter to portions of interior Southern New England for Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking and have been updated based on the current set of weather models. Key factors for this storm remain the following:

1.) A track closer to the coast will bring warmer air into the region and knock down snow accumulations and move the heavier snow into Northern New England. A track further offshore would mean less snow in interior Southern New England and still result in mostly rain in Eastern New England.
2.) How much cold air is locked in as the storm system moves through the region assuming the current track remains in place.
3.) How wet and heavy the snow is particularly in the Winter Storm Warning area and northern most portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area, closest to the Winter Storm Warning area.

SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Watch area and any Winter Weather Advisory areas. This will likely be the last coordination message on this storm unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message # 2- Monday Afternoon 3/23/20-Tuesday Morning 3/24/20 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Winter makes a brief return with the potential for heavy wet snow accumulation in Western and Central Massachusetts particularly in the higher elevations with lighter snow accumulations in other parts of Southern New England before a change to rain as a coastal storm moves through the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 2 PM Monday Afternoon through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Northern Worcester, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Monday Afternoon through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Franklin and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Monday Afternoon through 4 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties for 2-4″ of snow. The evening commute would be most adversely affected with slippery road conditions..
..Portions of Northwest and North-Central Connecticut into parts of interior Massachusetts may see a coating to 2″ of snow with this system with a few slick spots before it changes to rain. Eastern New England particularly south and east of I-495 through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts will see mostly rain from this system..
..SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas..

A coastal storm will bring a touch of winter to portions of interior Southern New England for Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking and have been updated based on the current set of weather models. Key factors for this storm still include:

1.) A track closer to the coast will bring warmer air into the region and knock down snow accumulations and move the heavier snow into Northern New England. A track further offshore would mean less snow in interior Southern New England and still result in mostly rain in Eastern New England.
2.) How much cold air is locked in as the storm system moves through the region assuming the current track remains in place.
3.) How wet and heavy the snow is particularly in the Winter Storm Warning area and northern most portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area, closest to the Winter Storm Warning area.

SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Watch area and any Winter Weather Advisory areas. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 3/23/20-Tuesday Morning 3/24/20 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Winter makes a brief return with the potential for heavy wet snow accumulation in Western and Central Massachusetts particularly in the higher elevations with lighter snow accumulations in other parts of Southern New England before a change to rain as a coastal storm moves through the region..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Morning through late Monday Night for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and this could lead to isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and the evening commute would be most adversely affected by this system. Areas outside of but close to the watch area could have Winter Weather Advisories in future updates.
..Eastern New England particularly south and east of I-495 through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts will see mostly rain from this system..
..SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Watch area and any Winter Weather Advisory areas..

A coastal storm will bring a touch of winter to portions of interior Southern New England for Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) A track closer to the coast will bring warmer air into the region and knock down snow accumulations and move the heavier snow into Northern New England. A track further offshore would mean less snow in interior Southern New England and still result in mostly rain in Eastern New England.
2.) How much cold air is locked in as the storm system moves through the region assuming the current track remains in place.

SKYWARN Self Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely Monday Afternoon and Evening across the Winter Storm Watch area and any Winter Weather Advisory areas. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday 3/20/20 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible across Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut late Friday Afternoon and early evening between 4-8 PM. Strong to Damaging Winds, heavy downpours and the possibility of a rotating storm are the primary threats. Its noted that there may not be much lightning with the activity..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut..
..Monitoring the potential for accumulating snow Monday Night into Tuesday Morning for portions of Southern New England. Details will become clearer on this potential later this weekend..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Friday Afternoon and Evening..

An unseasonably mild day will set the stage for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms along and ahead of a strong cold front that will sweep through the region and bring colder air for this weekend. There are no significant changes to the current thinking. The key factors on the severe weather potential include the following:

1.) This will be a low instability/high shear environment. Given the low instability, it will be a question of whether the high shear is enough to compensate for somewhat limited instability.
2.) Amount of cloud cover/showers during the day and how that affects heating for temperatures to reach the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. This will impact the level of instability even though it will likely still be fairly low but still will be a key factor in the severe weather potential and if the high shear environment can compensate for the lower instability.

We are also monitoring the potential for accumulating snow in portions of Southern New England for Monday Night into Tuesday Morning. Details will become clearer on this potential later this weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last message on the severe weather potential as we move into monitoring and operations modes. Coordination messages on the storm system for Monday Night int Tuesday will commence as needed over the weekend. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Area Forecast Discussion and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday 3/20/20 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut late Friday Afternoon and early evening between 4-8 PM. Strong to Damaging Winds, heavy downpours and the possibility of a rotating storm are the primary threats. Its noted that there may not be much lightning with the activity..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Friday Afternoon and Evening..

An unseasonably mild day will set the stage for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms along and ahead of a strong cold front that will sweep through the region and bring colder air for this weekend. The key factors on the severe weather potential include the following:

1.) This will be a low instability/high shear environment. Given the low instability, it will be a question of whether the high shear is enough to compensate for somewhat limited instability.
2.) Amount of cloud cover/showers during the day and how that affects heating for temperatures to reach the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. This will impact the level of instability even though it will likely still be fairly low but still will be a key factor in the severe weather potential and if the high shear environment can compensate for the lower instability.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Friday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Area Forecast Discussion and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2020/day2otlk_20200319_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Live SKYWARN Training Classes for the Spring of 2020 Cancelled Due to COVID-19 and Contingency Measures for Training in Review

Hello to all…

As posted on our WX1BOX Twitter feed, SKYWARN Training classes for the Spring of 2020 have been cancelled due to COVID-19. We have also posted this information on the wx1box.org web site and it is posted on the NWS web site via the following links:

WX1BOX Training Schedule Link:
http://wx1box.org/skywarn-training-schedule-2020/

NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN Training Schedule link:
https://www.weather.gov/box/skywarn#fragment-2a

We are looking into potentially providing a couple of webinars in the future and the logistics of that are under review. Any new people interested in becoming a SKYWARN spotter are required to take a live class but given these unprecedented events, we are reviewing if an online method can meet the standards we set for becoming a spotter. This may or may not be allowed depending if we can make the training and any quiz after the training meet the standards the forecasters would like to see for new people to become spotters and we can have an easy online method for issuing spotter ID numbers using the tools of technology available. As we get those logistics laid out and sessions planned, we will keep all of you informed.

For SKYWARN spotters who have already been trained at a live class in the past and are looking to get refresher training if they haven’t been retrained in 5 years or more, you can view the Youtube video of the training and take the refresher quiz to be retrained, see the following links for the training and the refresher quiz (both available as links off the wx1box.org and weather.gov/box web sites as well):

NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN Refresher Training Video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRrxih-2d6Q

NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN Refresher Quiz:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfBDZx-__KPU5d7GcYPEH9ChAu_hClwcabWLQYs7JlncwzDzw/viewform

At this time, Amateur Radio Operations at WX1BOX, the Amateur Radio station at the NWS Boston/Norton office, will be utilized as needed for severe weather operations that reach a certain scale per the normal process assuming we have healthy operators available to operate at the station. It is viewed as a mission critical operation. As always, we will utilize remote/self-activation protocols where needed for smaller weather events. We may also consider some sort of regional Amateur Radio SKYWARN Information Net during this time to keep folks readiness for weather events high as we navigate through the COVID-19 pandemic and we will keep folks posted on where that will be done.

We will keep everyone informed as we all navigate the COVID-19 pandemic. Weather, including severe weather, will continue to happen as we move through this pandemic. We hope for everyone’s continued high contribution and support for weather spotting during severe weather in these difficult times and we hope as always, that people stay safe and stay healthy. Many thanks to all for your continued support of the NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN program!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Friday Night 3/6/20-Saturday Morning 3/7/20 High Wind/Light Snow Ocean Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Powerful Ocean Storm has trended a bit further west and bringing the potential for even stronger damaging winds for Cape Cod and the Islands and strong wind gusts further up the Eastern Massachusetts coastline and also bringing an increase in snow accumulations for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Friday Evening through Noon Saturday for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated to scattered higher wind gusts. These winds coupled with any wet snow accumulation particularly around or over 3″ will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 9 PM Friday Evening through Noon Saturday for Eastern Essex, Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Block Island RI for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. Other parts of Eastern and South Coastal Massachusetts will see wind gusts in the 40-45 MPH range. These winds will cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM Friday Evening until 11 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-4″ of snow with isolated higher amounts up to 6″ on the Outer Cape and Nantucket depending on the track of the ocean storm. Wind gusts 60 MPH or higher may cause a period of whiteout conditions if it snows heavy enough with the strong winds over the area..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 6 AM-11 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding on the most vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide Saturday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts overnight through midday Saturday. In particular, we will monitor the Cape and Islands Weather Net Saturday Morning at 6 AM and monitor Cape Cod and East Coastal Massachusetts repeaters for wind damage reports, coastal flooding reports and on Cape Cod and the Islands, snow accumulation reports..

Additional weather headlines were required for the powerful ocean storm due to its large and intense envelope and a slightly further west track of the storm center. The headlines above represent the current thinking. Key factors remain as follows:

1.) If the western wobble continues, it would put more areas Southeast New England at a greater risk for stronger and more damaging winds and higher accumulating snow. This will bear close watching through the day today.
2.) If the western trend in the guidance stops and stays roughly on the current track, the current scenario in the weather headlines will be the outcomes for this storm.
3.) A trend further east would mean less wind and little to no snow in the Cape Cod and Islands region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor storm impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts overnight through midday Saturday. In particular, we will monitor the Cape and Islands Weather Net Saturday Morning at 6 AM and monitor Cape Cod and East Coastal Massachusetts repeaters for wind damage reports, coastal flooding reports and on Cape Cod and the Islands, snow accumulation reports. Another coordination message may be posted if time allows by 1000 PM tonight particularly if there is any change to the current warning and advisory headlines otherwise, this will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday Night 3/6/20-Saturday Morning 3/7/20 High Wind/Light Snow Ocean Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Offshore Ocean Storm to bring strong to damaging winds to Southeast New England and the potential for light snowfall accumulations particularly over Cape Cod and the Islands Friday Night into Saturday Morning. Westward wobble in the guidance being monitored for further trends west and greater impact to the region..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH possible. These winds would cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 9 PM Friday Evening through 10 AM Saturday Morning for Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..At this time, snow accumulations are generally expected to be around 1″ over Cape Cod and 1-2″ over the Islands with a coating or trace of snow elsewhere in Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island but trends will be monitored for higher accumulations if the westward wobble in the guidance becomes a trend to monitor..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the ocean storm strong to damaging wind and snow potential for Southeast New England Friday Night into Saturday Morning..

An offshore ocean storm will affect Southeast New England Friday Night into Saturday Morning with strong to damaging winds and some light snow. The headlines depict current thinking. There are some key factors to consider concerning the recent westward wobble in the model guidance over the last couple of model runs:

1.) If the western wobble continues, it would put Southeast New England at a greater risk for stronger and more damaging winds and higher accumulating snow. In particular, the Canadian model guidance is hinting at a heavier scenario and has not wavered from its solutions over the last several runs. This will bear watching.
2.) If the western trend in the guidance stops and stays roughly the same track, the current scenario in the weather headlines will be the outcomes for this storm.
3.) A trend further east would mean less wind and little to no snow in the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the ocean storm strong to damaging wind and snow potential for Southeast New England Friday Night into Saturday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlok, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Wind Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 3/4/20 Strong to Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Departing storm system will bring strong to damaging winds to portions of Southern New England Wednesday..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM-6 PM Wednesday for Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Worcester and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts between 40-50 MPH. Areas outside of the wind advisory could see wind gusts between 40-45 MPH with the highest gusts near the coast and at the higher elevations. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong wind potential for Wednesday. This will be the only coordination message on this event unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box