Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 1/20/22 Light Snowfall Potential

Hello to all…

..After the strong wind gusts this afternoon, rain will change to snow with a light accumulating snowfall of a dusting to 3 inches across Connecticut, Rhode Island, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts Thursday Morning to early afternoon creating some slippery travel during the Thursday Morning commute. Colder temperatures will move in later Thursday into the weekend..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports/totals Thursday Morning through early afternoon on various repeaters. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Special Weather Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Special Weather Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=SPS&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 1/19/22 Strong Winds & Thursday 1/20/22 Light Snow Potential

Hello to all…

..Strong wind gusts expected for a portion of Southeast New England Wednesday Afternoon into early evening with a period of light snow of at least a coating to 2″ expected on Thursday particularly along and south of the Mass Pike with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 12-6 PM Wednesday for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Coastal areas outside of the advisory area could see wind gusts of around 40 MPH and inland areas gusts of 30-40 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds for Wednesday and the light snow potential for Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Wednesday Morning on the strong winds for Wednesday and light snows for Thursday. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #8 – Late Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22 Storm Hazards

Hello to all…

..Active weather pattern continues focusing on the major storm system for Sunday Night into Monday storm which features heavy snow and/or icing changing to rain before ending in northern and western portions of the area, heavy rain and strong to damaging winds in eastern areas and coastal Southern New England and coastal flood concerns along the east and south facing coastal areas of Southern New England.
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts from 12 AM tonight to 12 PM Monday for 6-12″ of snow with snowfall rates of 2″ per hour and wind gusts to 40 MPH. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 12 AM tonight to 12 PM Monday Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from Midnight tonight to 7 AM Monday for Eastern Franklin County Massachusetts for 3-5″ of wet snow and is also in effect for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, and Central Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-4″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Rhode Island from 1 AM to 10 AM and from 1 AM to 12 PM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65-70 MPH. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Western Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and North-Central Rhode Island from 4-10 AM Monday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect from 9 AM to 1 PM Monday for the Monday Morning high tide cycle for East Coastal Massachusetts for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Monday Morning high tide cycle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 9 AM to 1 PM for Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Monday Morning high tide cycle and a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 6 AM-9 AM for south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday Morning through early afternoon for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Amateur Radio Net info is listed below and note a few of the updates and changes listed below..

*No major changes to the forecast. Please note that due a technical issue on the NWS web site – the snowfall maps on the site are not updated. Snowfall amounts in this message are the latest updated info*
*Updated Net information follows in the net section of the message. Remainder is unchanged.*

For the Sunday Night into Monday Evening storm system, the track that is favored is across Eastern Pennsylvania and East-Central New York. This means a front-end thump of snow and ice across Northern and Western Massachusetts with areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts seeing snow and mixed precipitation changing over to rain. The coastal plain will see snow quickly changing to a period of heavy rain with this system. In addition, there will be strong to damaging winds across Coastal Southern New England potentially in interior Southern New England with the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across East and possibly South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The headlines depict the current thinking and key factors will include:

1.) The exact track of the storm system as a further west track will mean less snow and more rain even in northern and northwest part of our coverage area. A track further east would mean more snow and ice for interior Southern New England. Coastal areas will likely see a quick changeover to rain unless their is a significant change in the track further east. The track is slightly further east such that heavier snow is expected across the Berkshires and eastern slopes of the Berkshires and Northern Worcester County with advisory level snowfall elsewhere in Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts in the lower elevations.
2.) The extent of the strong to damaging winds across the region. There will be very strong winds aloft and the key to the extent of wind damage will be how well it gets to the surface and whether it penetrates inland versus being confined to coastal areas. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are now in effect as the headlines depict for Rhode Island and much of Eastern Massachusetts. The strongest winds will be in the coastal areas and also in any convective showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two that could be embedded in the heavy rain area which will help transport the stronger winds down to the surface. In interior locations, particularly those areas that receive snow and ice, the wind will also bear watching as if those winds are able to make the surface with wet snow and/or ice on trees and power lines, it could allow for pockets of damage due to that combination of winds, snow and ice.
3.) A Coastal Flood Warning is now posted for East Coastal Massachusetts and a Coastal Flood Advisory is now posted for Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding with the greatest risk for moderate coastal flooding in the Coastal Flood Warning area. This will be monitored closely during the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday Morning through early afternoon for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. We have listed the latest net information below and this is the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Here is SKYWARN Net info for this storm event and note some changes to this info:

Western Massachusetts ARES will activate an ARES-SKYWARN Net on HF starting at 630 AM ET Monday on 3944 KHz for those that have HF capability and will be called hourly through at least 1130 AM or 1230 PM. All areas welcome to give SKYWARN reports and not just Western Massachusetts.
Western Mass SKYWARN Net on the 146.940 PL: 127.3 Hz repeater starting at 700 AM ET Monday with subsequent nets announced on the net frequency
SKYWARN Net on the 146.970-Paxton Repeater PL: 114.8 Hz – Net schedule 700 AM ET Monday with subsequent nets announced on the net frequency
SKYWARN Net on the 146.790-Vernon CT Repeater PL: 82.5 Hz – Net Schedule 700 AM ET Monday with subsequent nets announced on the net frequency
The Cape and Islands Weather Net on 147.375-Falmouth Repeater Repeater will be monitored at 600 AM with subsequent nets on the 146.955-Barnstable Repeater to track coastal flooding and strong to damaging winds later in the morning.

Local area repeaters that will be monitored for strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding as needed and may have formal nets if conditions warrant on a short fused basis:
NB1RI – Repeater System
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater
145.470-Danvers Repeater
146.640-Waltham Repeater
145.230-Boston Repeater
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater
146.895-Walpole Repeater
146.685-Plymouth Repeater

Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=CFW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #7 – Late Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22 Storm Hazards

Hello to all…

..Active weather pattern continues focusing on the major storm system for Sunday Night into Monday storm which features heavy snow and/or icing changing to rain before ending in northern and western portions of the area, heavy rain and strong to damaging winds in eastern areas and coastal Southern New England and coastal flood concerns along the east and south facing coastal areas of Southern New England.
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts from 12 AM tonight to 12 PM Monday for 6-12″ of snow with snowfall rates of 2″ per hour and wind gusts to 40 MPH. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 12 AM tonight to 12 PM Monday Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Midnight tonight to 7 AM Monday for Eastern Franklin County Massachusetts for 3-5″ of wet snow and is also in effect for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, and Central Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-4″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Rhode Island from 1 AM to 10 AM and from 1 AM to 12 PM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65-70 MPH. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Western Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and North-Central Rhode Island from 4-10 AM Monday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 9 AM to 1 PM Monday for the Monday Morning high tide cycle for East Coastal Massachusetts for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Monday Morning high tide cycle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 9 AM to 1 PM for Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to isolated pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Monday Morning high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday Morning through early afternoon for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Some initial Amateur Radio Net info is listed below and we will update the net information in a final coordination message issued by 1000 PM tonight..

For the Sunday Night into Monday Evening storm system, the track that is favored is across Eastern Pennsylvania and East-Central New York. This means a front-end thump of snow and ice across Northern and Western Massachusetts with areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts seeing snow and mixed precipitation changing over to rain. The coastal plain will see snow quickly changing to a period of heavy rain with this system. In addition, there will be strong to damaging winds across Coastal Southern New England potentially in interior Southern New England with the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across East and possibly South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The headlines depict the current thinking and key factors will include:

1.) The exact track of the storm system as a further west track will mean less snow and more rain even in northern and northwest part of our coverage area. A track further east would mean more snow and ice for interior Southern New England. Coastal areas will likely see a quick changeover to rain unless their is a significant change in the track further east. The track is slightly further east such that heavier snow is expected across the Berkshires and eastern slopes of the Berkshires and Northern Worcester County with advisory level snowfall elsewhere in Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts in the lower elevations.
2.) The extent of the strong to damaging winds across the region. There will be very strong winds aloft and the key to the extent of wind damage will be how well it gets to the surface and whether it penetrates inland versus being confined to coastal areas. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are now in effect as the headlines depict for Rhode Island and much of Eastern Massachusetts. The strongest winds will be in the coastal areas and also in any convective showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two that could be embedded in the heavy rain area which will help transport the stronger winds down to the surface. In interior locations, particularly those areas that receive snow and ice, the wind will also bear watching as if those winds are able to make the surface with wet snow and/or ice on trees and power lines, it could allow for pockets of damage due to that combination of winds, snow and ice.
3.) A Coastal Flood Warning is now posted for East Coastal Massachusetts and a Coastal Flood Advisory is now posted for Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding with the greatest risk for moderate coastal flooding in the Coastal Flood Warning area. This will be monitored closely during the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday Morning through early afternoon for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Some initial Amateur Radio Net info is listed below and we will update the net information in a final coordination message issued by 1000 PM tonight. Here is some initial info on SKYWARN Net info for this storm event:

Western Massachusetts ARES will activate an ARES-SKYWARN Net on HF starting at 630 AM ET Monday on 3944 KHz for those that have HF capability and will be called hourly through at least 1130 AM or 1230 PM.
Western Mass SKYWARN Net on the 146.940 PL: 127.3 Hz repeater starting at 630 AM ET Monday with subsequent nets announced on the net frequency
SKYWARN Net on the 146.970-Paxton Repeater PL: 114.8 Hz – Net schedule TBD
SKYWARN Net on the 146.790-Vernon CT Repeater PL: 82.5 Hz – Net Schedule TBD
The Cape and Islands Weather Net on 147.375-Falmouth Repeater Repeater will be monitored at 600 AM with subsequent nets on the 146.955-Barnstable Repeater to track coastal flooding and strong to damaging winds later in the morning.

Local area repeaters that will be monitored for strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding as needed and may have formal nets if conditions warrant on a short fused basis:
NB1RI – Repeater System
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater
145.470-Danvers Repeater
146.640-Waltham Repeater
145.230-Boston Repeater
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater
146.895-Walpole Repeater
146.685-Plymouth Repeater

Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=CFW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #6 – Late Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22 Storm Hazards

Hello to all…

..Active weather pattern continues focusing on the major storm system for Sunday Night into Monday storm which features heavy snow and/or icing changing to rain before ending in northern and western portions of the area, heavy rain and strong to damaging winds in eastern areas and coastal Southern New England and coastal flood concerns along the east and south facing coastal areas of Southern New England.
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts late Sunday Night through Monday Evening for 5-9″ of snow, ice accumulations of around 0.10″ and wind gusts to 40 MPH..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from late Sunday Night to Monday Morning for East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and South Coastal Rhode Island including Block Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Morning to Monday Afternoon for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of the Monday Morning high tide cycle with the greatest threat of moderate coastal flooding in the North Shore of Massachusetts particularly in the vicinity of Plum Island..
..Additional watches, warnings and advisories for snow and mixed precipitation, strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding will likely be issued in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Additional info on Amateur Radio Net operations will be posted by the Sunday Evening coordination message or sooner if the plan is fully defined at that time..

For the Sunday Night into Monday Evening storm system, the track that is favored is across Eastern Pennsylvania and East-Central New York. This means a front-end thump of snow and ice across Northern and Western Massachusetts with areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts seeing snow and mixed precipitation changing over to rain. The coastal plain will see snow quickly changing to a period of heavy rain with this system. In addition, there will be strong to damaging winds across Coastal Southern New England potentially in interior Southern New England with the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across East and possibly South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The headlines depict the current thinking and key factors will include:

1.) The exact track of the storm system as a further west track will mean less snow and more rain even in northern and northwest part of our coverage area. A track further east would mean more snow and ice for interior Southern New England. Coastal areas will likely see a quick changeover to rain unless their is a significant change in the track further east. It is noted that one suite of reliable model guidance shifted a bit eastward but most other models kept the same tracks as this morning. Trends will bear watching regarding the eventual track of the storm system.
2.) The extent of the strong to damaging winds across the region. There will be very strong winds aloft and the key to the extent of wind damage will be how well it gets to the surface and whether it penetrates inland versus being confined to coastal areas. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for the areas that have the highest confidence for damaging winds and further watches, warnings and advisories will likely be needed in future updates. In interior locations, particularly those areas that receive snow and ice, the wind will also bear watching as if those winds are able to make the surface with wet snow and/or ice on trees and power lines, it could allow for pockets of damage due to that combination of winds, snow and ice.
3.) A Coastal Flood Watch is now posted for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for widespread minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding with the greatest risk for moderate coastal flooding in the North Shore of Massachusetts particularly around Plum Island. These trends will be monitored as we get closer to the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is late Sunday Night and especially Monday for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Additional info on Amateur Radio Net operations will be posted in future updates. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps, High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=CFW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #5 – Post Wind Summary Friday 1/14/22 & Storm Hazards Late Sunday Night 1/16/22 Through Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active weather pattern continues as we shift focus to the Sunday Night into Monday storm which features heavy snow and/or icing changing to rain before ending in northern and western portions of the area, heavy rain and strong to damaging winds in eastern areas and coastal Southern New England and coastal flood concerns along the east and south facing coastal areas of Southern New England. Bitter cold conditions linger through tonight across Southern New England and winds diminish after strong to damaging winds hugged coastal areas Friday keeping a more widespread damaging wind event from occurring..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts late Sunday Night through Monday Evening for 6-11″ of snow, ice accumulations of up to 0.10″ and wind gusts to 40 MPH. A Winter Storm Watch is also in effect late Sunday Night through Monday for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5″ of snow, ice accumulations around 0.10″ and wind gusts to 40 MPH. The combination of snow and ice and wind could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional watches, warnings and advisories for snow and mixed precipitation, strong to damaging winds and coastal flooding will likely be issued in future updates..
..A Wind Chill Warning remains in effect through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for dangerously cold wind chills to 30 below zero. A Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of western, central and interior Eastern and coastal Northeast Massachusetts for wind chill indices for 15 to 24 below zero. Areas outside of these wind chill advisories/warnings could see wind chills to 10 to 15 below zero..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely late Sunday Night and especially Monday for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Additional info on Amateur Radio Net operations will be posted in future updates..

We continue to be in an active weather period as we now shift attention to the late Sunday Night into Monday storm event. Over Friday into early Saturday Morning, wind gusts between 40 and 70 MPH occurred across Cape Cod and the Islands with wind gusts between 40-55 MPH with isolated higher gusts over East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The highest wind gusts were along the immediate coast and that along with lack of leaves or wet snow precluded a more damaging wind event. The following is the NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report and Amateur Radio log of reports received yesterday on these strong winds:

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
http://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/LSR_1_14_12.pdf

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log of Reports:
http://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/reports_1_14_22.pdf

For the Sunday Night into Monday Evening storm system, the track that is favored is across Eastern Pennsylvania and East-Central New York. This means a front-end thump of snow and ice across Northern and Western Massachusetts with areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts seeing snow and mixed precipitation changing over to rain. The coastal plain will see snow quickly changing to a period of heavy rain with this system. In addition, there will be strong to damaging winds across Coastal Southern New England potentially in interior Southern New England with the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across East and possibly South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The headlines depict the current thinking and key factors will include:

1.) The exact track of the storm system as a further west track will mean less snow and more rain even in northern and northwest part of our coverage area. A track further east would mean more snow and ice for interior Southern New England. Coastal areas will likely see a quick changeover to rain unless their is a significant change in the track further east.
2.) The extent of the strong to damaging winds across the region. There will be very strong winds aloft and the key to the extent of wind damage will be how well it gets to the surface and whether it penetrates inland versus being confined to coastal areas. In interior locations, particularly those areas that receive snow and ice, the wind will also bear watching as if those winds are able to make the surface with wet snow and/or ice on trees and power lines, it could allow for pockets of damage due to that combination of winds, snow and ice.
3.) Extent of coastal flooding contingent on the winds and whether the strongest winds will occur near or during the Monday Morning high tide cycle with an east or southeasterly wind component. This will be better defined in future forecasts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is late Sunday Night and especially Monday for multiple storm hazards from this storm system with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets likely. Additional info on Amateur Radio Net operations will be posted in future updates. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps, and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #4 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England with damaging winds and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect from 11 AM Friday Morning to 5 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 40-50 MPH with gusts up to 70 MPH likely with isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Power outages couple with bitter cold conditions are a significant concern in this area if the outages become widespread and this is possible..
..A Wind Advisory is remains in effect from 11 AM Friday Morning to 5 AM Saturday Morning for Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible except Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..The Winter Weather Advisory for Cape Cod and the Islands has been cancelled as the precipitation is expected to move out before allowing for a flash freeze or heavier snowfall to occur. Snowfall of a Coating to 1″ is expected in Southeast New England with the 1″ amounts over parts of Cape Cod and the Islands with a flash freeze less likely..
..A Wind Chill Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Friday Evening through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for dangerously cold wind chills to 30 below zero. A Wind Chill Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Friday Evening through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of western, central and interior Eastern and coastal Northeast Massachusetts for wind chill indices for 15 to 24 below zero. Areas outside of these wind chill advisories/warnings could see wind chills to 10 to 15 below zero..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. At this time, interior portions of Southern New England are favored for heavy snowfall, particularly Western and Northern Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets on the 146.955-Barnstable Repeater will occur for wind damage reports and a couple other area repeaters in Southeast New England will be monitored more loosely. The Cape and Islands Weather Net at 600 AM Saturday Morning will also be monitored for wind gust and wind damage reports on the 147.375 Repeater. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Sunday Night into Monday storm system as well..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats remain the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. The headlines depict the current thinking on the winds and wind chills with the potential for numerous pockets of wind damage likely in the High Wind Warning areas of Cape Cod and the Islands and isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island where Wind Advisories are posted. Power outages with bitter cold conditions is a cause for concern in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands as we get into later Friday through early Saturday Morning. Bitter cold wind chills are also expected in the region.

There will also be some snow with this Friday Afternoon to Saturday Morning system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England. Winter Weather Advisories for Cape Cod and the Islands were cancelled as the precipitation field will move out before the colder air can cause more appreciable A flash freeze is also possible to likely as the storm system initially brings a period of rain before a changeover to snow with the potential for rapidly falling temperatures. This will be monitored in future model updates.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. At this time, interior portions of Southern New England are favored for heavy snowfall, particularly Western and Northern Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets on the 146.955-Barnstable Repeater will occur for wind damage reports and a couple other area repeaters in Southeast New England will be monitored more loosely. The Cape and Islands Weather Net at 600 AM Saturday Morning will also be monitored for wind gust and wind damage reports on the 147.375 Repeater. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Sunday Night into Monday storm system as well. This will be the last update on the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update as we shift into operations mode for this storm. The next update for the Sunday Night into Monday storm will be posted by 11 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement, Wind Gust Map, Winter Weather Advisory/Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
http://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/1_14_22_Wind_Map_update.png

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 11 AM Friday Morning to 5 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 40-50 MPH with gusts up to 70 MPH likely with isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Friday Morning to 5 AM Saturday Morning for Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH except Eastern Plymouth County of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 PM Friday Afternoon to 7 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for 1-3″ of snow along with flash freeze conditions and blowing snow causing hazardous travel. Trends will be monitored for higher snowfall amounts if a track closer to this area or a larger envelope of heavier precipitation backs into this region.
..Snowfall of a Coating to 2″ is expected in the remainder of Southeast New England but trends will be monitored for a slightly closer to the coast track that could bring a higher snowfall particularly in Eastern and Southern Plymouth County for Friday into Saturday. A flash freeze from rapidly falling temperatures is possible as rain changes to snow and strong winds bring colder air to the surface for southeast New England..
..A Wind Chill Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Friday Evening through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for dangerously cold wind chills to 30 below zero. A Wind Chill Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Friday Evening through 12 PM Saturday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the remainder of western, central and interior Eastern and coastal Northeast Massachusetts for wind chill indices for 15 to 24 below zero. Areas outside of these wind chill advisories/warnings could see wind chills to 10 to 15 below zero..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. At this time, interior portions of Southern New England are favored for heavy snowfall, particularly Western and Northern Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats remain the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. The headlines depict the current thinking on the winds and wind chills with the potential for numerous pockets of wind damage likely in the High Wind Warning areas of Cape Cod and the Islands and isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island where Wind Advisories are posted. Power outages with bitter cold conditions is a cause for concern in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands as we get into later Friday through early Saturday Morning. Bitter cold wind chills are also expected in the region.

There will also be some snow with this Friday Afternoon to Saturday Morning system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England but the potential will be monitored for a possibility for a period of accumulating snow for the Cape and Islands and possibly Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts depending on the track of an intense offshore ocean storm system. A closer track might allow for higher accumulating snow as some weather models indicate but a further offshore track would result in lighter snow or no snow in the region. Winter Weather Advisories are posted Friday Afternoon through Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands for 1-3 inches of snow and with the very high winds, blowing and drifting snow with poor visibility are possible. A flash freeze is also possible to likely as the storm system initially brings a period of rain before a changeover to snow with the potential for rapidly falling temperatures. This will be monitored in future model updates.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. At this time, interior portions of Southern New England are favored for heavy snowfall, particularly Western and Northern Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement, Wind Gust Map, Winter Weather Advisory/Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
http://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/NWS_Norton_Wind_Gust_Map_1_14_22_1_15_22.png

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory/Wind Chill Warning/Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Friday Morning to late Friday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible with isolated higher gusts possible. Wind Advisories maybe needed for other parts of Southeast New England for this same time period. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Snowfall of a Coating to 2″ is expected in Southeast New England from the Friday storm system but trends will be monitored for a slightly closer to the coast track that could bring a higher snowfall particularly to Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for Friday into Saturday. A flash freeze from rapidly falling temperatures is possible as rain changes to snow and strong winds bring colder air to the surface..
..A Wind Chill Watch is now in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for dangerously cold wind chills to 30 below zero. Dangerously cold wind chills will affect other portions of Southern New England as well to a bit less of a degree than the Wind Chill Watch area..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats remain the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. There will also be some snow with this system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England but the potential will be monitored for a possibility for a period of accumulating snow for the Cape and Islands and possibly Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts depending on the track of an intense offshore ocean storm system. A closer track might allow for the accumulating snow as some weather models indicate but a further offshore track would result in lighter snow or no snow in the region.  A flash freeze is also possible to likely as the storm system initially brings a period of rain before a changeover to snow with the potential for rapidly falling temperatures. This will be monitored in future model updates. In addition, this storm system will bring dangerously cold wind chills across much of Southern New England with the most dangerous wind chills in Northwest Massachusetts where a Wind Chill Watch is in effect.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch statement, Snowfall Maps, Wind Chill Watch Statement and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Chill Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=WSW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Storm Hazards Friday 1/14/22-Saturday AM 1/15/22 & Sunday Night 1/16/22-Monday 1/17/22

Hello to all…

..Active Weather Pattern starting Friday into Saturday Morning with an offshore ocean storm affecting Southeast New England and a second more widespread significant storm for Sunday Night into Monday..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning to late Friday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. Wind Advisories maybe needed for other parts of Southeast New England for this same time period. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Snowfall of a Coating to 2″ is expected in Southeast New England from the Friday storm system but trends will be monitored for a slightly closer to the coast track that could bring a higher snowfall particularly to Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands for Friday into Saturday..
..Dangerously cold wind chills could also occur with the departing storm system for Friday Night into Saturday in portions of Southern New England..
..A significant storm system is likely Sunday Night to Monday but track and details are uncertain and will have major impacts on what areas could see heavier snowfall and strong to damaging winds versus heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. This will be better defined in future updates likely post the Friday into Saturday Morning storm event..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems..

We are entering an active weather period that will likely require SKYWARN support for storm reports with two different storm systems. The focus of this message is on the Friday into Saturday Morning system though we will briefly touch on the storm system Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Friday into Saturday Morning system, the main threats are the strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and the dangerously cold wind chills that will affect the region as the departing storm drives in a period of bitter cold air to the region. There will also be some snow with this system. At this time the snow amounts look light and focused on Southeast New England but the potential will be monitored for a possibility for a period of accumulating snow for the Cape and Islands and possibly Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts depending on the track of an intense offshore ocean storm system. A closer track might allow for the accumulating snow as some weather models indicate but a further offshore track would result in lighter snow or no snow in the region. This will be monitored in future model updates.

For the second storm system, it is definitely modeled as an intense storm by all weather models. The details of the impacts will be defined by the track which is quite variable anywhere from a track as far west as Central New York to as far east as Eastern New England. The track differences will determine impacts of heavy snow and/or mixed precipitation along and to the west of the track versus snow to rain along and to the east of the track with strong to damaging winds a concern across the area of this storm system. Future model runs will bring clarity to the hazards in the region and further details will be posted once we get past the Friday into Saturday Morning storm system.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for Friday into Saturday Morning and Sunday Night into Monday for these two significant storm systems. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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