Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday Night 1/25/20 Through Early Sunday AM 1/26/20 – Heavy Rain/Strong Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Quick hitting storm system to bring a period of heavy rainfall of around 1 to possibly 1.5″ of rain in a short period of time which could lead to nuisance urban and poor drainage flooding with the possibility of convective showers and thunderstorms bringing brief strong winds down to the surface in Southeast New England. Wind Gusts in coastal areas could be around 40 MPH for a brief period tonight, especially in the area of convective showers or thunderstorms..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system for rainfall reports and any stronger wind gusts particularly in convective showers and thunderstorms. This will be the only coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion detailing the possibility of convective showers/thunderstorms with brief strong wind gusts..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday Afternoon 1/18/19-Sunday Morning 1/19/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate and Quick Hitting Snowstorm on track to affect Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 2 PM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday for Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 2 PM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow and a light glaze of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties in Rhode Island for 2-4″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 1 AM Sunday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 2-4″ of snow. Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket will likely see a Coating to 1″ of snow before a changeover to rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur Saturday Evening likely starting around 6 PM. Amateur Radio Operators who check into the Western Massachusetts ARES and Emergency Nets on Sunday Morning are asked to provide final snowfall measurements if not provided and totals aren’t final in any Amateur Radio SKYWARN Call-Up Nets completed by late Saturday Evening..

A moderate, quick hitting snowstorm will affect the region late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking. The biggest change is the addition of a Winter Weather Advisory for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode island including Cape Cod. Key factors remain as follows:

1.) Precipitation will start from west to east with slightly later timing between 5 to 7 PM and taper off between 10 PM to 1 AM from west to east.
2.) If heavier snowfall rates of 1″ per hour last longer than expected in the warning areas, slightly higher snowfall amounts would occur. Conversely, if these snowfall rates don’t last as long as currently predicted, slightly lesser snowfall amounts could occur.
3.) In advisory areas, if 1″ per hour snowfall rates last longer than expected and/or any changeover in precipitation doesn’t occur during heaviest precipitation, slightly higher snowfall amounts could occur. If those snowfall rates don’t last as long expected or a changeover in precipitation occurs a bit earlier than expected, slightly less snowfall amounts would occur. Due to the initial cold air, the Winter Weather Advisory was expanded to South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur Saturday Evening. Amateur Radio Operators who check into the Western Massachusetts ARES and Emergency Nets on Sunday Morning are asked to provide final snowfall measurements if not provided and totals aren’t final in any Amateur Radio SKYWARN Call-Up Nets completed by late Saturday Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winer Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Saturday Afternoon 1/18/19-Sunday Morning 1/19/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate and Quick Hitting Snowstorm to affect Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 2 PM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday for Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 2 PM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties in Rhode Island for 2-4″ of snow..
..Areas of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod will receive 1-3″ of snow with the Islands receiving around 1″ of snow before a changeover to sleet and rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur Saturday Evening. Amateur Radio Operators who check into the Western Massachusetts ARES and Emergency Nets on Sunday Morning are asked to provide final snowfall measurements if not provided and totals aren’t final in any Amateur Radio SKYWARN Call-Up Nets completed by late Saturday Evening..

A moderate, quick hitting snowstorm will affect the region late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Precipitation will start from west to east between 3 to 6 PM and taper off between 10 PM to 1 AM from west to east.
2.) If heavier snowfall rates of 1″ per hour last longer than expected in the warning areas, slightly higher snowfall amounts would occur. Conversely, if these snowfall rates don’t last as long as currently predicted, slightly lesser snowfall amounts could occur.
3.) In advisory areas, if 1″ per hour snowfall rates last longer than expected and/or any changeover in precipitation doesn’t occur during heaviest precipitation, slightly higher snowfall amounts could occur. If those snowfall rates don’t last as long expected or a changeover in precipitation occurs a bit earlier than expected, slightly less snowfall amounts would occur.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur Saturday Evening. Amateur Radio Operators who check into the Western Massachusetts ARES and Emergency Nets on Sunday Morning are asked to provide final snowfall measurements if not provided and totals aren’t final in any Amateur Radio SKYWARN Call-Up Nets completed by late Saturday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday Afternoon 1/18/19-Sunday Morning 1/19/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Storm system to bring accumulating snow to much of Southern New England particularly north and west of the Boston to Providence corridor..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. Winter Weather Advisories may be required for portions of Southeast New England along and south and east of the Boston to Providence corridor for 1-4″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up nets for snowfall will be utilized during this storm event. A more complete coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 1/16/20 through Friday AM 1/17/20 – Strong to Damaging Wind and Light Snow Potential

Hello to all…

..A storm system will bring the potential for light snow accumulations in Western and North-Central Massachusetts of a Coating to 2″ of snow but of greater note is the potential for strong to damaging winds during much of the day Thursday into early Friday Morning..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM Thursday to 1 AM Friday for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands where the Wind Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Friday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds could produce isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for measured wind gusts and wind damage late Thursday Morning through Friday Morning and any snowfall total reports. This will be the only coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 1/12/20 Strong to Damaging Winds/Convective Shower and Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..Strong to Damaging Winds possible with a second pulse of strong winds just before daybreak lasting through mid-afternoon across much of Southern New England..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage area through 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages. There is the chance for stronger winds greater than 55 MPH in or near any convective showers and thunderstorms that could potentially bring even stronger winds down to the surface..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind potential and thunderstorm potential for the area overnight through Sunday Mid-Afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on this situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Night 1/7/20-Wednesday 1/8/20 Snow and Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal low will move quickly off the coast of Southern New England near the 40 North/70 West Benchmark and then track into the Canadian Maritimes. It will intensify but east of Southern New England only resulting in a light accumulating plowable snowfall for portions of Southeast Coastal New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Tuesday Evening through 5 AM Wednesday Morning for South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-4″ of snow. Areas fro Boston to Providence to Westerly and to the Advisory area could see a coating to 2″ of snow..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 3 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 1 AM Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Cape Cod and the Islands, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Areas outside of the Wind Advisory could see wind gusts of around 40 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports out of the Winter Weather Advisory area early Wednesday Morning and any measured wind gust and wind damage reports per SKYWARN reporting criteria in the Wind Advisory areas Wednesday mid-afternoon into Thursday Morning..

A coastal low will track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark and then make its way near or over the Canadian Maritimes later Wednesday. The system will come close enough to bring a period of accumulating snow overnight to Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and lighter snowfall in the Boston to Providence to Westerly RI corridor to the advisory area. Strong winds will occur as the system intensifies well east of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm event include:

1.) If the storm track is a bit closer, higher snow amounts of greater than 4″ could occur in the Winter Weather Advisory area with higher amounts in the Boston to Providence to Westerly area. If the storm track is slightly further offshore, lesser snow amounts would occur including in the advisory area.
2.) Strong winds will be expected in the wind advisory area later Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning and areas outside of the advisory area could see wind gusts to around 40 MPH.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports out of the Winter Weather Advisory area early Wednesday Morning and any measured wind gust and wind damage reports per SKYWARN reporting criteria in the Wind Advisory areas Wednesday mid-afternoon into Thursday Morning. This will likely be the only coordination message for this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..An Ice Storm Warning is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accretion amounts of 0.50-0.75″ of ice with isolated higher amounts up to 1″ of ice. This area could see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages particularly in the higher elevations..
..An Ice Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accumulations of around 0.50″ of ice with higher amounts of .75″ of ice. This area could now see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages presuming around a half-inch of ice or more from freezing rain occurs in this area particularly in the higher elevations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for up to 1″ of snow and sleet and ice accumulations of 0.10-0.40″ of ice. This area could see isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if 0.40″ of ice or more is realized from freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for total snow and sleet accumulations of 1″ and a light glaze of ice causing hazardous travel. Winds may gust to 35 MPH in these areas..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates. At this time, wind gusts of 40-45 MPH are expected here and possibly extending into the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 530 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday..
..ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. Eastern and Western Massachusetts ARES are on alert/standby for any needs if the significant icing conditions are realized..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now includes Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Ice Storm Warning area could cause significant power outages. This is the area that is expected to get the most significant icing and the most prolonged period of freezing rain particularly in the higher elevations.
2.) The Winter Storm Warning area of Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts has been replaced with an Ice Storm Warning and that means higher confidence that freezing rain will reach Ice Storm thresholds. There will also be a period of sleet but at this time it is looking like more freezing rain than sleet increasing the risk for significant icing damage. As mentioned previously, if more sleet occurs, the threat for tree and wire damage and power outages will be less but if more freezing rain occurs, the icing damage will be as stated. This will be monitored very closely. Higher elevations face the highest risk of significant icing damage.
3.) In the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the Ice Storm Warning areas, amounts of ice at this time are expected to be below warning thresholds which should keep tree and wire damage and power outages more isolated to scattered and would need to reach the high end of the ice total range to cause damage. That said, if more ice and freezing rain occurs in this area, that will result in a greater risk for tree and wire damage and power outages and will need to be monitored closely.
4.) The southern end of the advisory area will experience light icing causing hazardous travel but should eventually turn to plain rain in most of this area and could then see a wintry mix later at night into early Tuesday.
5.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front though the heaviest precipitation will be done Tuesday Morning. These hazards have been incorporated into the current advisories and warnings.
6.) Wind gusts are currently expected to be just below Wind Advisory levels on the Cape and Islands but any slight increase could result in Wind Advisories being posted. Winds in this area and possibly in South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island may gust to 40-45 MPH.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 530 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. The Eastern Massachusetts HF net will go into standby mode at 6 a.m. Monday due to the storm. Eastern and Western Massachusetts ARES are on alert/standby for any needs if the significant icing conditions are realized. One note for operators with wire antennas on 80M, it is possible that they may be taken out by ice accretion. For safety’s sake, do not attempt to repair them until after the storm. Western Massachusetts ARES has also been placed on alert to monitor the ice storm/significant wintry mix conditions as well.

Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

This will likely be the last complete coordination message as we move into activation/operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..An Ice Storm Warning is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accretion amounts of 0.40-0.75″ of ice with isolated higher amounts up to 1″ of ice. This area could see numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and numerous power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow/sleet accumulation and ice accumulations of up to 0.50″ of ice. This area could see scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages presuming around a half-inch of ice from freezing rain occurs in this area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for up to 1″ of snow and sleet and ice accumulations of 0.10-0.40″ of ice. This area could see isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if 0.40″ of ice or more is realized from freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent and Southeast Providence Counties of Rhode Island for total snow and sleet accumulations of 1″ and a light glaze of ice causing hazardous travel. Winds may gust to 35 MPH in these areas..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates. At this time, wind gusts of 40-45 MPH are expected here and possibly extending into the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday..
..ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now includes Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Ice Storm Warning area could cause significant power outages. This is the area that is expected to get the most significant icing and the most prolonged period of freezing rain.
2.) In the Winter Storm Warning area of Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, there will be significant amounts of freezing rain and that alone may reach warning threshold. There will also be a period of significant sleet. If more sleet occurs, the threat for power outages will be less but if more freezing rain occurs, this area could see significant icing similar to the Ice Storm Warning area. This will be monitored very closely.
3.) In the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warning areas, amounts of ice at this time are expected to be below warning thresholds which should keep tree and wire damage and power outages more isolated to scattered and would need to reach the high end of the ice total range to cause damage. That said, if more ice and freezing rain occurs in this area, that will result in a greater risk for tree and wire damage and power outages and will need to be monitored closely.
4.) The southern end of the advisory area will experience light icing causing hazardous travel but should eventually turn to plain rain in most of this area and could then see a wintry mix later at night into early Tuesday.
5.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front. Where this low tracks will determine if freezing rain and icing continues, whether it changes back to snow and perhaps brings wintry precipitation to areas of Eastern Massachusetts that will see mostly rain or whether it allows for rain across much of Southern New England. As we get closer to this part of the prolonged event, more details will become known and we can better assess precipitation amounts and types of precipitation.
6.) Wind gusts are currently expected to be just below Wind Advisory levels on the Cape and Islands but any slight increase could result in Wind Advisories being posted. Winds in this area and possibly in South Coastal Massachusetts/Rhode Island may gust to 40-45 MPH.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday. ARES/RACES groups particularly in the Ice Storm and Winter Storm Warnings areas as well as the Winter Weather Advisories closest to the warning areas should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. HF Nets will also be on standby for this storm event. The Eastern Massachusetts HF net will go into standby mode at 6 a.m. Monday due to the storm. One note for operators with wire antennas on 80M, it is possible that they may be taken out by ice accretion. For safety’s sake, do not attempt to repair them until after the storm. Western Massachusetts ARES has also been placed on alert to monitor the ice storm/significant wintry mix conditions as well.

Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

Another coordination message will be posted by 10 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Ice Storm/Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 12/29/19 Through Tuesday Afternoon 12/31/19 Wintry Mix/Ice Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday Afternoon with the potential for a wintry mix, significant icing and an ice storm in Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and potentially even into Northwest Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Sunday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a half-inch of radial ice accumulation with isolated higher amounts possible and a coating to 2 inches of snow/sleet. If icing amounts of a half-inch or more are realized, the potential exists for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages and this will bear close monitoring..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Evening through Tuesday Afternoon for Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Northern and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for icing of up to 1/2″ and a coating to 2 inches of snow. If icing amounts of a half-inch or more are realized, the potential exists for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages and this will bear close monitoring..
..Wind Advisories maybe needed for Cape Cod and the Islands for Monday for wind gusts up to 50 MPH. This will be monitored in future updates.
..SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday..
..ARES/RACES groups in the Winter Storm Watch area should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership..
..Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated..

A long duration storm system will affect the region Sunday Night into Tuesday. The storm system will likely bring a wintry mix and the potential for significant icing in portions of interior Southern New England and now could potentially include Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts. Across the remainder of Rhode Island and the rest of Eastern Massachusetts, a wintry mix at the start should turn to mostly rain across this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of freezing rain and ice accretion that is realized in the Winter Storm Watch area. Weather models appear to be coalescing around a prolonged period of freezing rain and icing. Some models even have icing amounts of greater than a half-inch to as much a 0.75″ of ice. If that were to occur, scattered to numerous pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages would occur. This trend will be monitored closely to see if higher resolution short range models have the same solution.
2.) As alluded to in item 1, several reliable models indicate a prolonged period of freezing rain and icing leading to ice storm and significant icing potential but there are a few models that indicate more sleet versus freezing rain. If that were to occur that would increase snow/sleet amounts versus freezing rain/icing and lessen storm damage potential but currently the expected freezing rain/icing potential appears to be the bulk of the precipitation.
3.) The southerly extent of the significant icing is an area of uncertainty that will be monitored. Current thinking is that this could extend into Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts and resulted in the expansion of the Winter Storm Watch to this area. This will be monitored in future updates.
4.) Precipitation is expected to extend into Tuesday Afternoon as a coastal low develops along the cold front. Where this low tracks will determine if freezing rain and icing continues, whether it changes back to snow and perhaps brings wintry precipitation to areas of Eastern Massachusetts that will see mostly rain or whether it allows for rain across much of Southern New England. As we get closer to this part of the prolonged event, more details will become known and we can better assess precipitation amounts and types of precipitation.

SKYWARN Activation is likely for this storm event. Precipitation onset is expected Sunday Evening and will likely be handled via self-activation until around 5-6 AM Monday where Ops at NWS Boston/Norton may start lasting through late Monday Evening and then decisions will be made on any activation into Tuesday. Additional details on activation planning will follow in future messages during the day Sunday. ARES/RACES groups in the Winter Storm Watch area should closely monitor the progress of this potential ice storm and heed advice from local leadership. Storm pictures and videos for this potential ice storm can be sent as a reply to this email, via our Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the videos/pictures unless otherwise indicated.

Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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