Hello to all..
..Hurricane Irene is expected to intensify into a Category 3 hurricane and lash the Turks and Caicos Islands and Bahamas over the next couple days. Its current expected track will then be to impact the Carolina Coast tracking to a position over the Outer Banks of North Carolina with potential impact to New England in the Sunday to Monday timeframe..
..Multiple Models are in agreement on a potential impact to Southern New England in the Sunday to Monday timeframe but we are still 5 or more days out and things could change. All of Southern New England is in the ‘cone of uncertainity track error’ for the extended period. The extent on specifics of impact are too early to state at this time but Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are potential threats..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net are both active monitoring conditions in the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands. They will likely be active Wednesday and Thursday..
..Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Hurricane Irene. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks begin the monitoring process..
Hurricane Irene has been lashing the Turks and Caicos Islands with tropical storm to hurricane force conditions throughout much of the day and this will spread into much of the Bahamas over the next couple days. The current NHC track brings the system through the Bahamas and then up to the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Outward to 5 days, Irene is expected to move towards our region of New England. Models are in very good agreement, however, we are still about 5 or more days out and much could change. There are track errors of up to 250 miles over this period that could still occur. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ is now reaching all of Southern New England with the latest forecast package. It is difficult to get into any specific impacts but Heavy Rains, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding to South Coastal New England are all potential threats.
The VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net have been active over the past couple days for Irene’s impact on Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Bahamas. See their respective net links for details:
VoIP Hurricane Net:
Hurricane Watch Net:
High Surf conditions will begin to affect the New England coast in a few days. Swells and Rip Currents can be very dangerous to both the experienced and inexperienced swimmer. High Surf Advisory Statements will likely be issued later this week and also the surf zone forecasts will provide more information. See links below:
NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Information (Not Issued Yet):
NWS Taunton Surf Zone Forecast Information:
Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track and intensity of Hurricane Irene. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:
Once again, Hurricane Irene should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory information on Hurricane Irene are listed below:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:
Hurricane Irene Public Advisory Information:
Hurricane Irene Technical Discussion Information:
Hurricane Irene Forecast/Advisory Information:
Hurricane Irene Wind Speed Probabilities:
The next coordination message will likely be posted some time Wednesday Evening pending further computer model data on the track of Irene and significant updates to Irene’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: email@example.com