Storm Coordination Message #5 – Snow Squall, Strong to Damaging Wind and Wind Chill Potential – Wednesday PM 1/30/19-Thursday PM 1/31/19

Hello to all…

..After a moderate snowfall over portions of Northern Connecticut, Western and Northern Massachusetts, snow squalls, strong to damaging winds and bitterly cold conditions will affect the region Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night with bitter cold conditions lasting through Thursday and into the end of the week..
..A Special Weather Statement for snow squalls has been posted with the timeframe of snow squall potential between 3-7 PM near and around the evening commute. These snow squalls could result in a quick coating to 2″ of snow with icy road conditions and the possibility of isolated higher amounts to 2-3″. These snow squalls will also have the potential to bring stronger winds down to the surface and may even have thunder and lightning..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 4-10 PM Wednesday Afternoon and Evening for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH for Cape Cod and the Islands. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the rest of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area from 2-9 PM Wednesday Afternoon and Evening for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and the possibility of gusts to 55 MPH in parts of East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. These winds may cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Wind Chill Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Wednesday Evening through 9 AM Thursday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for dangerous wind chills between 25 and 30 below zero..
..A Wind Chill Advisory is now in effect from 11 PM Wednesday Evening through 9 AM Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and the rest of Western, Central and Eastern Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts north and west for dangerous wind chills between 15 and 25 below zero..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor today’s conditions with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton possible. This will be the last coordination message posted on this storm event. A shortened coordination message will be posted if time allows and Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are initiated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Chill Warning/Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind advisory statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and snow and ice maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Chill Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Special Weather Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Tuesday Evening 1/29/19-Wednesday Morning 1/30/19 Winter Storm Potential/Wednesday PM-Evening Snow Squall/Strong to Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate snowstorm expected for portions of Northern and Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. Following the general snowfall in these areas, snow squalls, strong to damaging winds and bitter cold conditions will follow. The snow squalls could be particularly impactful in localized areas anywhere in Southern New England and will help enhance the strong to damaging winds with the potential for thunder and lightning in those snow squalls. The timeframe of the snow squall potential is from 2-8 PM Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and has been expanded into Central Middlesex County Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow with the highest amounts in northern parts of the advisory area and in the hilly terrain..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Afternoon through Wednesday Evening for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories may be posted for other parts of the region in future updates for Wednesday. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the moderate snowstorm tonight into Wednesday Morning and will also monitor the strong to damaging winds and snow squalls Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible Wednesday Afternoon/Evening for snow squalls and strong winds. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday PM 1/29/19-Wednesday AM 1/30/19 Moderate Winter Storm Potential & Wednesday PM/Evening 1/30/19 Snow Squall and Strong to Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..Moderate snowstorm expected for portions of Northern and Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. Following the general snowfall in these areas, snow squalls, strong to damaging winds and bitter cold conditions will follow..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 3 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Eastern Franklin and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 5 AM Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-6″ of snow with the highest amounts in northern parts of the advisory area and in the hilly terrain..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Afternoon through Wednesday Evening for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories may be posted for other parts of the region in future updates for Wednesday. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the moderate snowstorm tonight into Wednesday Morning and will also monitor the strong to damaging winds and snow squalls Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible Wednesday Afternoon/Evening for snow squalls and strong winds. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and snow and ice maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, and Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday PM 1/29/19-Wednesday AM 1/30/19 Winter Storm Potential & Wed PM/Evening 1/30/19 Snow Squall/Strong Wind/Bitter Cold Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm is possible across Western and Northern Massachusetts Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Bitterly cold air and strong winds with the possibility of Isolated to Scattered Snow Showers and now Squalls will occur post storm as we move into Wednesday Afternoon and Evening and could have greater impact if timed during the evening commute..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 3-8″ of snow. For the Watch area, it was still a bit too early to determine whether to go with an advisory or a warning so the watch remains in effect. Areas just to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area could see advisory level snow with snow changing to rain and then back to snow before ending..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports and precip type changeover reports through this time period. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Afternoon 1/29/19-Wednesday Morning 1/30/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm is possible across Western and Northern Massachusetts Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning. Bitterly cold air and strong winds with the possibility of Isolated to Scattered Snow Showers and possibly Snow Squalls will occur post storm as we move into Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow. Areas just to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area could see advisory level snow with snow changing to rain and then back to snow before ending..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports and precip type changeover reports through this time period. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Maps..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 1/24/18 – Heavy Rain and Strong to Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…
..Strong Storm system will bring unusually warm conditions, heavy rainfall and the threat of strong to damaging winds to the region..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Thursday Morning through late Thursday Night for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area except for the Islands for 1-2″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts that could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding with the potential for some small river and stream flooding particularly in areas where the heavy rainfall would be combined with snow melt..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 9 AM to 7 PM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts including Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands, and South Coastal Rhode Island including Bristol County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts between 50-60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 9 AM to 5 PM Thursday for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 45-55 MPH. These winds will have the potential to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor these threats for Thursday. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible..

A strong but warm storm system will affect the region on Thursday with heavy rainfall and strong to damaging winds. The headlines depict the latest thinking. Key factors for this storm system include:

1.) How much of the extremely strong winds aloft mix to the surface. If temperatures get to around 60 degrees or a fine line of convection forms, it increases the damaging wind threat in the region.

2.) Amount of rainfall over areas recently soaked by the Sunday storm in Southeast New England as well as other parts of Southern New England that have a snow pack from this past Sunday’s winter storm as this will determine the extent of the flooding concerns.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor these threats for Thursday. Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are possible. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and the Storm briefing package:

NWS Boston/Norton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Storm Briefing Package:
https://www.weather.gov/media/box/2019.01.23_PM_NWS_Boston_Heavy_Rain.pdf

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #6 – Major Winter Storm Potential Saturday Evening 1/19/19-Sunday Evening 1/20/19

Hello to all…

..Major winter storm expected and on track for much of Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon into Sunday Night. Model trends have shifted to a heavy snow and ice scenario for interior Southern New England with more rain expected along coastal areas and Southeast New England. Warnings and advisories have been updated with the pertinent info..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through 7 PM Sunday Evening for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Middlesex, Essex and Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts from the route 2 corridor north and west, icing of up to 0.30″ of an inch with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts of 35-40 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 PM Sunday Evening for Hartford County Connecticut, Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with the highest snow amounts north of Hartford County Connecticut and one-tenth to four-tenths of an inch of ice and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH…
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Norfolk and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow and a glaze to two-tenths of an inch of ice with the highest snow and ice amounts in the northern and western parts of advisory area. A change to rain in southern parts of this advisory area is expected before a change back to snow and ice and a flash freeze before ending..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 PM Sunday Evening for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for 1-3″ of snow and up to one-tenth inch of ice before a changeover to heavy rain before a change back to snow and ice and a flash freeze before ending. Wind Gusts of 40-45 MPH are possible in this area..
..A Coastal Flood Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for minor flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide Sunday Morning. The Coastal Flood Warning for this area was downgraded to a Coastal Flood Advisory..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for for Cape Cod and the Islands for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 5 AM-10 AM for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect for Sunday Morning through Sunday Afternoon for Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and all of Rhode Island except for Northwest Providence County RI for 1-3″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts possible after any snowfall. This could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly some small river and stream flooding..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 3 PM Sunday for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 5 AM Sunday Morning with SKYWARN Self-Activation monitoring up until Amateur Radio Ops start time. Pictures and video of storm snowfall and ice, damage and flood photos can be sent to the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds as a reply to this email or via pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter or Amateur Radio Operator for the picture or video..

The long quiet period of winter weather with only some strong wind, heavy rainfall events and a few very light snow and ice events is on track to come to an end. The headlines discuss the current potential and a third cut at snow, ice and rain totals. The trend has been warmer with less snow accumulation but more icing in the interior and heavy rainfall now expected in Southeast New England. The key factors remain as follows with some more updates:

1.) The storm track will determine the area of all snow and where it will be a very heavy snow accumulation, where precipitation mixes with sleet and/or freezing rain with potential sleet and/or ice accumulations and where a changeover to rain occurs. Locations that changeover to rain or sleet and freezing rain will see a changeover to snow before ending with a potential for a flash freeze condition where all wet surfaces will become iced over. The trend continues to be for more sleet and freezing rain particularly as far north and west as the Worcester, Springfield, Northampton, Mass area. While this may lower snowfall amounts, the icing will have the potential to cause worse conditions including potential for pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Further snow and ice total adjustments could be made and precise spotter data will help in any future forecast refinements.
2.) Wind Advisories are now posted for Cape Cod and the Islands and some wind gusts in the 35-40 MPH range may occur in the Winter Storm Warning/Winder Weather Advisory area.
3.) The snow could be heavy and wet along with the potential for sleet and freezing rain. The weight of the snow and ice coupled with the winds to some extent may cause the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. This aspect will be monitored closely as ice amounts have been increased in most areas which could actually lead to greater impact and will be monitored closely.
4.) Coastal flooding is currently expected to be minor with the Coastal Flood Warning downgraded to a Coastal Flood Advisory from the Boston area northward to the Massachusetts-New Hampshire border and Coastal Flood Advisories continue for the rest of East and South Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket. While winds are not expected to be as strong as some past nor’easter/coastal storm systems, there is a very high astronomical tide cycle for this weekend which will increase the coastal flood potential.
5.) Rainfall of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts are expected in much of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts with a flood watch now in effect for this region for the potential of urban, poor drainage, small river and stream flooding.
6.) Spotter reports on snow, ice, amounts, wind measurements of criteria and any damage reports will be critical as well as precipitation type reports when the changeover takes hold. As stated, this will factor into forecast adjustments if needed during the storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton will commence by 5 AM Sunday Morning with SKYWARN Self-Activation monitoring up until Amateur Radio Ops start time. Pictures and video of storm snowfall and ice, damage and flood photos can be sent to the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds as a reply to this email or via pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter or Amateur Radio Operator for the picture or video. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow and Ice Maps and briefing package:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Briefing Package:
https://www.weather.gov/media/box/2019.01.19_PM_NWS_Boston_jan19_20_winterstorm.pdf

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #5 – Major Winter Storm Potential Saturday Evening 1/19/19-Sunday Evening 1/20/19

Hello to all…

..Major winter storm expected and on track for much of Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon into Sunday Night. Model trends are shifting with the potential for more icing and less snow but further changes to the forecast will await all model guidance and those changes if needed will be made in the afternoon update..
..There will remain a period of heavy snow and significant icing both possible with snow and ice changing to heavy rain and strong winds along coastal areas and the heavy rain potentially now extending into parts of the Boston to Providence corridor then changing back to snow with a flash freeze before ending. The potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide as we get into the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East and South Coastal Massachusetts..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Middlesex, Essex and Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 7-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts from the route 2 corridor north and west and wind gusts of 35-40 MPH. It is noted that the next update could bring less snowfall but more ice for parts of this warning area..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and one-tenth to four-tenths of an inch of ice and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH. It is noted that the next update could bring less snowfall but more ice for parts of this warning area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Norfolk and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow and one-tenth to four-tenths of an inch of ice. It is noted that the next update could bring less snow but more ice for parts of this advisory area with a change to rain in southern parts of this advisory area before a change back to snow and ice and a flash freeze before ending..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for 1-3″ of snow and up to one-tenth inch of ice before a changeover to heavy rain before a change back to snow and ice and a flash freeze before ending. Wind Gusts of 40-45 MPH are possible in this area..
..A Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for flooding of vulnerable shore roads and possibly isolated pockets of minor property damage at the time of high tide Sunday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM-Noon for for Cape Cod and the Islands for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 5 AM-10 AM for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..Urban and poor drainage flooding could become a concern along Southeast Coastal Massachusetts, Rhode Island extending to the interior of Southern Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and including Cape Cod and the Islands. The Cape and Islands could also see wind gusts to around 50 MPH during the storm..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated in the next coordination message..

The long quiet period of winter weather with only some strong wind, heavy rainfall events and a few very light snow and ice events is on track to come to an end. The headlines discuss the current potential and a second cut at snow and ice totals. Some key factors still remain for the upcoming storm and the model trends are shifting to a warmer and icier solution for much of interior Southern New England based on a partial model guidance update. Further updates could occur as we move into later this afternoon. The key factors remain as follows with some updates:

1.) The storm track will determine the area of all snow and where it will be a very heavy snow accumulation, where precipitation mixes with sleet and/or freezing rain with potential sleet and/or ice accumulations and where a changeover to rain occurs. Locations that changeover to rain or sleet and freezing rain will see a changeover to snow before ending with a potential for a flash freeze condition where all wet surfaces will become iced over. At this time the trend continues to be for more sleet and freezing rain particularly along and south of the Mass Pike and potentially from I-495 west but it is now possible it could extend as far north as the Worcester, Springfield, Northamton, Mass area. While this may lower snowfall amounts, the icing will have the potential to cause worse conditions including potential for pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Further snow and ice total adjustments will be made before the storm and possibly during the storm as required.
2.) Strong winds will be possible to likely in coastal areas but currently expected to be wind gusts up to 50 MPH. Inland areas could see wind gusts to 40 MPH. Some of this could change based on the intensity of the storm system and the track. That could affect both wind speed intensity and duration of strong winds. There will also be strong winds as the storm departs Sunday Night into Monday Morning.
3.) The snow could be heavy and wet along with the potential for sleet and freezing rain. The weight of the snow and ice coupled with the winds to some extent may cause the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. This aspect will be monitored closely and as mentioned previously, if snow amounts are lowered, ice amounts increase in most areas which could actually lead to greater impact and will be monitored closely.
4.) Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible on the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East Coastal Massachusetts where a Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories are now in effect. While winds are not expected to be as strong as some past nor’easter/coastal storm systems, there is a very high astronomical tide cycle for this weekend which will increase the coastal flood potential.
5.) Spotter reports on snow, ice, amounts, wind measurements of criteria and any damage reports will be critical as well as precipitation type reports when the changeover takes hold. This will factor into forecast adjustments if needed during the storm event.
6.) How these key factors line up and turn into specific outcomes will be better defined after the afternoon model guidance.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated as we get closer to the storm event. The next coordination message will be posted by 900 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #4 – Saturday Evening 1/19/19-Sunday Evening 1/20/19 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..Major winter storm expected and on track for much of Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon into Sunday Night with heavy snow and significant icing both possible with snow and ice changing to heavy rain and strong winds along coastal areas then changing back to snow with a flash freeze before ending and the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide as we get into the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East Coastal Massachusetts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 4 PM Saturday Afternoon to 7 PM Sunday Evening for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Middlesex, Essex and Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 8-18″ of snow with the highest amounts from the route 2 corridor north and west..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Night for the rest of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-9″ or more of snow and sleet with ice accumulations of a trace to 0.20″ of an inch with amounts up to 0.50″ of ice in a band within the Winter Storm Warning area..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for flooding of vulnerable shore roads and possibly isolated pockets of minor property damage at the time of high tide Sunday Morning..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon for for Cape Cod and the Islands for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM-10 AM for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for flooding of vulnerable shore roads at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated as we get closer to the storm event..

The long quiet period of winter weather with only some strong wind, heavy rainfall events and a few very light snow and ice events is on track to come to an end. The headlines discuss the current potential and first cut at snow and ice totals. Some key factors still remain for the upcoming storm include the following and have not changed much since the last update:

1.) The storm track will determine the area of all snow and where it will be a very heavy snow accumulation, where precipitation mixes with sleet and/or freezing rain with potential sleet and/or ice accumulations and where a changeover to rain occurs. Locations that changeover to rain or sleet and freezing rain will see a changeover to snow before ending with a potential for a flash freeze condition where all wet surfaces will become iced over. At this time the trend has been for more sleet and freezing rain particularly along and south of the Mass Pike and potentially from I-495 west. While this may lower snowfall amounts, the icing will have the potential to cause worse conditions including potential for pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Further snow and ice total adjustments will be made before the storm and possibly during the storm as required.
2.) Strong winds will be possible to likely in coastal areas but currently expected to be wind gusts up to 50 MPH. Inland areas could see wind gusts to 40 MPH. Some of this could change based on the intensity of the storm system and the track. That could affect both wind speed intensity and duration of strong winds. There will also be strong winds as the storm departs Sunday Night into Monday Morning.
3.) The snow could be heavy and wet along with the potential for sleet and freezing rain. The weight of the snow and ice coupled with the winds to some extent may cause the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. This aspect will be monitored closely and as mentioned previously, if snow amounts are lowered, ice amounts increase in most areas which could actually lead to greater impact and will be monitored closely.
4.) Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible on the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East Coastal Massachusetts where a Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories are now in effect. While winds are not expected to be as strong as some past nor’easter/coastal storm systems, there is a very high astronomical tide cycle for this weekend which will increase the coastal flood potential.

5.) Spotter reports on snow, ice, amounts, wind measurements of criteria and any damage reports will be critical as well as precipitation type reports when the changeover takes hold. This will factor into forecast adjustments if needed during the storm event.
6.) How these key factors line up and turn into specific outcomes will be better defined after future model runs over the next 12-18 hours.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated as we get closer to the storm event. The next coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow and Ice Maps and Facebook Infographics:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.2050177418409952/2050174001743627/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday Night 1/19/19-Sunday Night 1/20/19

Hello to all…

..Winter has not forgotten Southern New England and it will be felt vigorously this weekend into early next week..
..Light snow for Friday quiet spotty in the coverage area with just a coating of snow in some locations..
..Major winter storm expected and on track for much of Southern New England late Saturday Afternoon into Sunday Night with heavy snow and significant icing both possible with snow and ice changing to heavy rain and strong winds along coastal areas then changing back to snow with a flash freeze before ending and the potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide as we get into the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East Coastal Massachusetts..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Night for the entire NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6″ or more of snow and 0.10″-0.30″ of ice with amounts up to 0.50″ of ice..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the Sunday Morning High Tide Cycle for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated as we get closer to the storm event..

The long quiet period of winter weather with only some strong wind, heavy rainfall events and a few very light snow and ice events is about to come to an end. The light snow for Friday dried out as it went through with a coating of snow in some locations. That brings us to our major winter storm from Saturday Evening into Sunday Evening. The headlines discuss the current potential with Winter Storm Watches expanded to include South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and a Coastal Flood Watch for East Coastal Massachusetts. It is a bit early to get into more specifics in terms of snow and ice amounts though the NWS Boston/Norton Snow and ice maps cover this aspect. Some key factors to the upcoming storm include the following and have not changed much since the last update:

1.) The storm track will determine the area of all snow and where it will be a very heavy snow accumulation, where precipitation mixes with sleet and/or freezing rain with potential sleet and/or ice accumulations and where a changeover to rain occurs. Locations that changeover to rain or sleet and freezing rain will see a changeover to snow before ending with a potential for a flash freeze condition where all wet surfaces will become iced over.
2.) Strong winds will be possible to likely in coastal areas but currently expected to be wind gusts up to 50 MPH. Inland areas could see wind gusts to 35 MPH. Some of this could change based on the intensity of the storm system and the track. That could affect both wind speed intensity and duration of strong winds. There will also be strong winds as the storm departs Sunday Night into Monday Morning.
3.) The snow could be heavy and wet along with the potential for sleet and freezing rain. The weight of the snow and ice coupled with the winds to some extent may cause the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. This aspect will be monitored closely.
4.) Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible on the Sunday Morning high tide cycle in East Coastal Massachusetts where a Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect. While winds are not expected to be as strong as some past nor’easter/coastal storm systems, there is a very high astronomical tide cycle for this weekend which will increase the coastal flood potential.
5.) How these key factors line up and turn into specific outcomes will be better defined after future model runs over the next 12-24 hours.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Boston/Norton are likely at some point Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Evening. Activation plan will be updated as we get closer to the storm event. The next coordination message will be posted by 1000 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snow and Ice Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snow, Ice and Rain Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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