Blizzard Coordination Message #4 – Friday Morning 2/8/13-Saturday 2/9/13 Major Nor’easter/Blizzard Event

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter/Blizzard Remains Likely for Southern New England. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday late Morning to early afternoon at the latest..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect from 6 AM Friday to 1 PM Saturday Afternoon for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Suffolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Dukes and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for potential blizzard conditions and 18 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts. Winds sustained at 30 to 40 MPH with gusts to at least 65 MPH with possible higher gusts to hurricane force possible along the Southeast New England coast will cause potential for tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. The Blizzard Warning covers both the damaging wind threat as well as heavy snowfall..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect from 6 AM Friday Morning through 1 PM Saturday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut for 18 to 24 Inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH leading to Blizzard Conditions and the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Franklin, Northern Worcester, Hampden, Hampshire and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, and Southern New Hampshire from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for 18 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and the potential for near blizzard conditions with sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Warning and High Wind Warning is now in effect from 1 PM Friday to 7 PM Saturday in Nantucket Island for 4-8 inches of snow with sustained winds 30-50 MPH with gusts up to 70 MPH and possibly wind gusts to hurricane force. Near Blizzard conditions are possible if the highest winds overlap with the heaviest snowfall..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 8 PM Friday Evening through Noon Saturday for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon. The potential exists for a moderate coastal flood event for the Friday Evening high tide and a moderate to major coastal flood event for the Saturday Morning high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 2 PM and possibly as early as noon time lasting through late Saturday Afternoon with overnight operations Friday Night likely..
..ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

A potentially major nor’easter, blizzard is likely for Southern New England. This system may reach a historic status in its impacts across the region. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday late morning to early afternoon at the latest.

The most significant update in this coordination message is that the Blizzard Watch area has been upgraded to a Blizzard Warning except for Nantucket Island. Snowfall amounts remain similar to the previous message. Isolated higher amounts of snowfall greater than 24″ will likely occur in a band or couple bands within the Blizzard Warning area. For Nantucket Island, the Blizzard Watch has been converted to a Winter Storm Warning and High Wind Warning as conditions may not reach blizzard criteria on the island but near blizzard conditions are possible. The other significant update is that the Coastal Flood Watch for East Coastal Massachusetts has been converted to a Coastal Flood Warning from 8 PM Friday Evening to Noon Saturday. Moderate Coastal flooding remains likely during the evening high tide with moderate to major coastal flooding likely during the Saturday Morning high tide.

Meantime, the headlines of Blizzard, Winter Storm, High Wind, and Coastal Flood Warnings with snowfall amounts and potential impacts capture this storm’s potential. Below are some details that still are not yet known with this major storm system:

1.) Small deviations in storm track will affect where the coastal front sets up that will separate all snow areas from a snow to mixed precipitation/rain back over to snow situation. Since the last coordination message, there are no changes to note here except for lesser snowfall amounts expected on Nantucket Island.

2.) Potential impacts will vary based on the speed of the system. Models continue to show this powerful storm will slow down over the region extending the impacts further into the day on Saturday. This will result in higher snowfall amounts and greater impacts from coastal flooding for 2 high tide cycles as well as a stronger period of strong to damaging winds over the region.

3.) The consistency of the snow, i.e.: heavier wet snow versus a drier snow coupled with the strong to damaging winds could determine the extent of any tree and wire damage and potential power outages. Its not clear at this stage where the higher impact areas will be for any tree and wire damage areas though East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands could be the zone of overlap between heavier wetter snow and the strongest winds.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. Make sure you have gas for your generator as well. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 2 PM Friday Afternoon possibly starting as early as Noon time lasting through the overnight into late Saturday Afternoon. ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership. The final coordination message will be issued by 1130 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement, High Wind Warning Statement, Coastal Flood Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Accumulation Prediction Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Accumulation Prediction Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Blizzard Coordination Message #3 – Friday Morning 2/8/13-Saturday 2/9/13 Major Nor’easter/Blizzard Event

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter/Blizzard Remains Likely for Southern New England. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday Morning at the latest..
..A Blizzard Watch remains in effect from Friday Morning to Saturday Afternoon for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for potential blizzard conditions and 18 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for Southern Worcester, Eastern Plymouth, Southern Bristol and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Bristol, Plymouth and Washington Counties Rhode Island for 18 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH possible leading to the potential for blizzard conditions. While a mix or possible changeover to rain may occur, precipitation is expected to change back to all snow and be extremely heavy at times coupled with strong to damaging winds leading to very heavy snowfall amounts and the potential for blizzard conditions. The Winter Storm and High Wind Watches have been cancelled as the Blizzard Watch covers both of these threats..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for 10-16 Inches of snow and sustained winds of 40-50 MPH with gusts to 75 MPH possible leading to the potential for blizzard conditions. Somewhat lesser amounts are possible over Nantucket and possibly Marthas Vineyard depending on the mix and changeover to rain and when it changes back to snow in those locations. On Cape Cod and Block Island RI, a changeover to rain may occur but will flip back to snow and accumulate rapidly with very strong winds leading to the potential for blizzard conditions. The Winter Storm and High Wind Watches have been cancelled as the Blizzard Watch covers both of these threats..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut for 18 to 24 Inches of snow and sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH possible leading to the potential for Blizzard Conditions. In this area, the potential for stronger winds warranted an upgrade to a Blizzard Watch and therefore the Winter Storm Watch has been cancelled and upgraded to this Blizzard Watch..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Franklin, Worcester, Hampden, Hampshire and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for 18 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and the potential for near blizzard conditions..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon. The potential exists for a moderate coastal flood event for the Friday Evening high tide and a moderate to major coastal flood event for the Saturday Morning high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Friday Morning lasting through late Saturday Afternoon with overnight operations Friday Night likely..
..ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

A potentially major nor’easter, blizzard is likely for Southern New England. This system may reach a historic status in its impacts across the region. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday Morning at the latest.

The most significant update in this coordination message is the potential for colder temperatures in Southeast New England which could potentially minimize the time of any mixed precipitation or changeover to rain. This will lead to higher snowfall amounts in this region and overlap with the period of very strong winds. This has necessitated an upgrade to Blizzard Watches for Southeast New England. Since the Blizzard Watch covers both the strong to damaging wind and heavy snowfall threats, the Winter Storm and High Wind Watches for these areas have been cancelled. Across Northern Connecticut, winds strong enough to potentially hit blizzard criteria are possible so Winter Storm Watches have been upgraded to Blizzard Watches for this area as well.

Meantime, the headlines of Blizzard, Winter Storm, High Wind, and Coastal Flood Watches with snowfall amounts and potential impacts capture this storm’s potential. Below are some details that still are not yet known with this major storm system:

1.) Small deviations in storm track will affect where the coastal front sets up that will separate all snow areas from a snow to mixed precipitation/rain back over to snow situation. This could affect snowfall amounts particularly over Southeast New England and that is why Blizzard Watches have been expanded to this region as a track just southeast of the 40 North/70 West benchmark is likely.

2.) Potential impacts will vary based on the speed of the system. Models are beginning to show this powerful storm may slow down over the region extending the impacts further into the day on Saturday. This may result in higher snowfall amounts and greater impacts from coastal flooding over more than 1 tide cycle as well as a stronger period of strong to damaging winds over the region.

3.) The consistency of the snow, i.e.: heavier wet snow versus a drier snow coupled with the strong to damaging winds could determine the extent of any tree and wire damage and potential power outages. Its not clear at this stage where the higher impact areas will be for any tree and wire damage areas.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. Make sure you have gas for your generator as well. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Friday Morning lasting through late Saturday Afternoon with overnight operations Friday Night likely. ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Accumulation Prediction Map:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Accumulation Prediction Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Blizzard Coordination Message #2

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter/Blizzard Likely for Southern New England. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday Morning at the latest..
..A Blizzard Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning to Saturday Afternoon for Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for potential blizzard conditions and 12 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Franklin, Worcester, Hampden, Hampshire and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for 12 to 24 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and the potential for near blizzard conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect  from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for Eastern Plymouth, Southern Bristol, and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 8-15 inches of snow with isolated higher amounts and the potential for near blizzard conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning through Saturday Afternoon for Cape Cod and the Islands for 6″ or more of a heavy wet snow which coupled with winds to near hurricane force may cause significant tree and wire damage and scattered power outages with a potential for near blizzard conditions..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands as well as Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Bristol County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. Wind Gusts to hurricane force are possible over portions of Cape Cod and Nantucket Island..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties from Friday Evening through Saturday Afternoon. The potential exists for a moderate coastal flood event for the Friday Evening high tide and a moderate to major coastal flood event for the Saturday Morning high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Friday Morning lasting through late Saturday Afternoon with overnight operations Friday Night likely..
..ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership..
..Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted..

A potentially major nor’easter, blizzard is likely for Southern New England. This system may reach a historic status in its impacts across the region. Preparations for this major system should be completed by Friday Morning at the latest.

The headlines of Blizzard, Winter Storm, High Wind, and Coastal Flood Watches with snowfall amounts and potential impacts capture this storm’s potential. Below are some details that still are not yet known with this major storm system:

1.) Small deviations in storm track will affect where the coastal front sets up that will separate all snow areas from a snow to mixed precipitation/rain back over to snow situation. This could affect snowfall amounts particularly over Southeast New England.

2.) Potential impacts will vary based on the speed of the system. Models are beginning to show this powerful storm may slow down over the region extending the impacts further into the day on Saturday. This may result in higher snowfall amounts and greater impacts from coastal flooding over more than 1 tide cycle as well as a stronger period of strong to damaging winds over the region.

3.) The consistency of the snow, i.e.: heavier wet snow versus a drier snow coupled with the strong to damaging winds could determine the extent of any tree and wire damage and potential power outages. Its not clear at this stage where the higher impact areas will be for any tree and wire damage areas.

People should prepare for this major storm similar to other past major winter storms for the region. Have plenty of batteries and battery powered equipment on hand and test out this equipment and any generator equipment. If it turns out that you do not lose power in the storm, you will be better prepared for the next storm system.

Pictures from this major storm event will likely be helpful for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes. They can be sent as a reply to this message or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter or Ham Operator for sending the pictures unless otherwise noted.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting Friday Morning lasting through late Saturday Afternoon with overnight operations Friday Night likely. ARES/RACES/EMCOMM Groups across the region are asked to monitor this potential major nor’easter/blizzard closely and seek advice from local leadership. The next coordination message will be issued by 8 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Accumulation Prediction Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Major Winter Storm/Nor’easter Potential late Thursday Night 2/7/13 through Saturday Morning 2/9/13

Hello to all..

..Major Nor’easter becoming likely with significant impacts to Southern New England including Heavy Snowfall, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong to damaging winds..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for this poentially major Winter Storm centered around the Friday to Saturday Morning timeframe..

After several days of the international European or ‘Euro’ model hinting at a major storm, several other computer models including the GFS model are now also supporting a major winter storm for much of Southern New England. There are still a number of details that need to be worked out at this time. They are as follows:

1.) Track position of the storm. A difference of as little as 50 miles west or east could either push the heaviest snowfall further west into the interior if a further west track verifies or closer to the coast if the track is 50 miles further east.

2.) Potential mixed precipitation or period of rain at the coast. This will be determined by the track position as highlighted in factor 1.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Thursday Night through Saturday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Massachusetts from Norfolk County north and west for at least 6″ or more of snow. Winter Storm Watches will likely be extended into parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in future updates.

Strong to Damaging winds will be possible particularly along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, portions of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and higher elevation interior locations of Northeast and Central Massachusetts Friday Evening. This may prompt wind or other headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

Minor to Moderate coastal flooding will be possible on one to potentially two high tide cycles depending on the speed of the storm system. This may prompt Coastal flood headlines as we get closer to this major storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Friday into Saturday Morning. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Post Storm Coordination Message #1/Wind Coordination Message #1

Hello to all..

..Strong to Damaging Winds affected much of Southern New England Particularly Central and Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut with some pockets of wind damage in Western Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire..
..Strong winds but not has severe as what occurred earlier today will affect the region through evening. A Wind Advisory will remain in effect through 600 PM for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. SKYWARN Operations at WX1BOX stopped at 11 AM but SKYWARN self-Activation will montior for any further reports of wind damage..
..Any wind damage pictures from today can be sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this message. Credit will be given to the person that gave the photo unless otherwise noted. This will likely be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement on Wind Reports..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Wind Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Wednesday Evening 1/30/13-Thursday Morning 1/31/13 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Threat for strong to damaging winds for much of Southern New England as a strong cold front moves through the region Wednesday Night into Thursday Morning. Strong Winds also expected behind the front on Thursday..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Rhode Island, Southeast Massachusetts to include Bristol and Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 PM Tonight through 10 AM Thursday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton coverage area from tonight through Thursday Morning for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50-60 MPH likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..   
..A period of heavy rain is also likely as the cold front passes through the region Wednesday Night with the potential for a thunderstorm or two possibly causing pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding as the front moves through and allowing stronger winds to mix down to the surface..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at approximately 9-930 PM lasting into early Thursday Morning. It is noted that the strongest winds are expected from 2-8 AM so overnight ops will occur given possible wind damage issues..

The potential remains for strong to damaging winds across much of Southern New England as a strong cold front moves through the region after a day of unseasonably mild temperatures. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Rhode Island, Southeast Massachusetts to include Bristol and Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 PM Tonight through 10 AM Thursday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton coverage area from tonight through Thursday Morning for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50-60 MPH likely. There will be very strong winds aloft over the region as a cold front moves through the area but an impediment to the strong winds will be a temperature inversion aloft. Nonetheless, convective heavy rain showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two will likely allow enough of the winds to get down to the surface to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages either within the heavy rain showers or just ahead of this activity. It is noted that the strongest winds are expected from 2-8 AM so overnight ops will occur given possible wind damage issues. The brief heavy rainfall may result in pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding in typical locations.

It is noted that later in the day on Thursday strong winds to potentially Wind Advisory levels are possible over much of the NWS Taunton coverage area. If Wind Advisories do get issued for later in the day Thursday, an updated coordination message will be sent if time allows.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at approximately 9-930 PM lasting into early Thursday Morning. This will be the last coordination message for the overnight storm. Again, if time allows, and strong winds are expected to continue later in the day Thursday, a separate coordination message will be sent Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement and the Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday Evening 1/30/13-Thursday Morning 1/31/13 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Threat for strong to damaging winds expanded to all of Southern New England as a strong cold front moves through the region Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning. Strong Winds also expected behind the front on Thursday..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Rhode Island, Southeast Massachusetts to include Bristol and Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 PM Tonight through 8 AM Thursday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton coverage area from tonight through Thursday Morning for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50-60 MPH possible. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages.  
..A period of heavy rain is also likely as the cold front passes through the region Wednesday Night with the potential for a thunderstorm or two possibly causing pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding as the front moves through and allowing stronger winds to mix down to the surface..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Wednesday Evening lasting into early Thursday Morning..

The potential remains for strong to damaging winds across much of Southern New England as a strong cold front moves through the region after a day of unseasonably mild temperatures. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Rhode Island, Southeast Massachusetts to include Bristol and Plymouth Counties and Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 PM Tonight through 8 AM Thursday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. A High Wind Watch remains in effect for the remainder of the NWS Taunton coverage area from tonight through Thursday Morning for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50-60 MPH possible. There will be very strong winds aloft over the region as a cold front moves through the area but an impediment to the strong winds will be a temperature inversion aloft. Nonetheless, convective heavy rain showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two will likely allow enough of the winds to get down to the surface to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages either within the heavy rain showers or just ahead of this activity. The brief heavy rainfall may result in pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding in typical locations.

It is noted that later in the day on Thursday strong winds to potentially Wind Advisory levels are possible over much of the NWS Taunton coverage area. This potential will be updated in the next coordination message.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain likely Wednesday Evening lasting through early Thursday Morning to monitor the strong to damaging wind potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 PM Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Warning Statement and the Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Evening 1/30/13-Thursday Morning 1/31/13 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..A few pockets of freezing rain to affect portions of Western and Central Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire with a Freezing Rain Advisory in effect for this region through 1 AM Wednesday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the pockets of freezing rain Tuesday Evening..
..Threat for strong to damaging winds expanded to all of Southern New England as a strong cold front moves through the region Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from Wednesday Evening through Thursday Morning for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH possible. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..  
..A period of heavy rain is also likely as the cold front passes through the region Wednesday Night with the potential for a thunderstorm or two possibly causing pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding as the front moves through and allowing stronger winds to mix down to the surface..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Wednesday Evening around 6-7 PM lasting into early Thursday Morning..

Overnight Tuesday Evening, some pockets of freezing rain will affect Western and Central Massachusetts through Southern New Hampshire. A Freezing Rain Advisory is in effect through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for slick travel caused by these freezing rain pockets this evening.

As we get into Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning, the potential exists for strong to damaging winds across much of Southern New England. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH possible. The greatest risk for strong to damaging winds will be across East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands and the higher terrain locations of interior Southern New England. There will be very strong winds aloft over the region as a cold front moves through the area but an impediment to the strong winds will be a temperature inversion aloft. Nonetheless, convective heavy rain showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two will likely allow enough of the winds to get down to the surface to cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages either within the heavy rain showers or just ahead of this activity. The brief heavy rainfall may result in pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding in typical locations.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely around 6 or 7 PM Wednesday Evening lasting through early Thursday Morning to monitor the strong to damaging wind potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory for Tuesday Evening, High Wind Watch Statement for Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning and the Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Freezing Rain Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Evening 1/30/13 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong to Damaging Winds and heavy showers and even an isolated thunderstorm or two will affect portions of Southern New England Wednesday Evening..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect from Wednesday Evening through late Wednesday Night for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts for sustained southerly winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH. These winds may cause isolated to scatterred pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Wind Advisories may be required for other parts of Southern New England as we get closer to this storm event..
..Rainfall from heavy rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will likely be 1-2″ and may cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely Wednesday Evening..

Warmer temperatures will move into the region as we get into Wednesday with the potential for temperatures to rise well into the 50s to possibly even 60 degrees in some locations. A strong cold front will then approach the region as we get into Wednesday Evening. There will be very strong winds aloft in the atmosphere but a temperature inversion will inhibit some of the strong winds from reaching the surface. Nonetheless, along coastal and higher terrain locations in Southern New England, strong to damaging winds are possible and a High Wind Watch has been posted for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands including Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts as this is the most likely area to see strong to damaging winds. Wind Advisories may be required for other higher terrain locations of Southern New England as we get closer to this storm event.

Brief heavy rainfall with a convective line of heavy rain showers and possibly even a thunderstorm or two will bring 1-2 inches of rain and the possibility of pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding. These showers and an isolated thunderstorm may also bring stronger winds down to the surface.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely Wednesday Evening for this storm event. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday Afternoon 1/28/13-Tuesday Morning 1/29/13 Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Wintry Mix will affect portions of Southern New England Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning as a warm front brings below normal temperatures to an end across the region..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts and now includes the Metro Boston area and North Shore of Massachusetts through Norfolk County Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island from 1 PM Monday Afternoon through 6 AM Tuesday Morning for snow accumulations of 1-2 inches and icing of a trace to one-tenth of an inch which will lead to slippery travel over this region impacting the Monday Evening commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Northern Bristol County Massachusetts, Southeast Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island from 1 PM this afternoon through Midnight tonight for 1-2 inches of snow and icing of a trace to one-tenth of an inch which will lead to slippery travel over this region impacting the Monday Evening commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Southern New Hampshire from 1 PM Monday Afternoon through 6 AM Tuesday Morning for snow accumulations of 2-4 inches and icing of around a trace which will lead to slippery travel over this region impacting the Monday Evening commute..
..Across the remainder of the region a brief period of snow and ice may occur with accumulations of snow of one inch or less and a trace of ice before precipitation changes over to rain and ends as the warm front pushes through the area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to obtain snowfall reports and changeover in precipitation type as well as icing issues around the region Monday Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton do not appear necessary at this time but will be monitored. This will be the last coordination message on this situation unless a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Map and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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