Storm Coordination Message #1 – Light Snow Potential for Southeast Coastal New England & Snow Squall Potential Across the Region Saturday 2/16/24

Hello to all…

..A light snowfall of a coating to 2″ expected along the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands with isolated higher amounts on Nantucket. This snowfall occurs Saturday Morning possibly into the early Afternoon. After this occurs, there is some potential for snow squalls in Southern New England mid-afternoon to evening from west to east. If that potential becomes more certain, another coordination message will be issued Saturday Morning on that potential..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the light snow potential Saturday Morning and any snow squall potential across Southern New England Saturday Afternoon and Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Snowall Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Night 2/15/24 Thru Friday PM 2/16/24 Accumulating Light Snow & Strong to Damaging Wind Potential

Hello to all…

..A clipper system will bring light snowfall amounts this evening into the early overnight hours to much of interior Southern New England with a Coating to 3″ expected with isolated higher amounts up to 4″ in the East slopes of the Berkshires. The light snow will be followed by strong to damaging wind gusts after the clipper system and its associated cold front passes through the region during the overnight Friday into early Friday Afternoon..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning to 1 AM Friday Afternoon for Hartford County Connecticut, Western Franklin, Western Hampden and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM Friday Morning to 1 PM Friday Afternoon for Tolland, Windham Counties of Connecticut, Middlesex, Worcester, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the islands including Block Island RI for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. Areas outside the wind advisory will see wind gusts of 40-45 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports tonight and final snowfall reports, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports Friday Morning into the early afternoon. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory statement & Wind Gust Map and Snowfall Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement & Wind Gust Map:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #5 – Late Monday Night 2/12/24-Late Tuesday Night 2/13/24 – Coastal Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will take aim on Southern New England late Monday Night through Tuesday Night. The coastal storm will be capable of heavy snow, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong wind gusts at the coast. The storm track has shifted significantly to the south meaning lighter snows in northern and western parts of Southern New England and heavier snowfall in Southeast New England including Cape Cod and the Islands. Coastal flood and wind threats remain similar to the previous update..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and isolated higher amounts wind gusts to 40 MPH at the coast..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Bristol, Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 5-10″ of snow with higher amounts possible and wind gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts except for Cape Cod and the Islands where wind gusts to 65 MPH are likely. In this area, the snow will be heavy and wet and this may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in this area. A period of near blizzard conditions are possible on Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning to 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Worcester, Hampden, Eastern Hampshire, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for central Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-6″ of snow. The Winter Storm Warnings for these areas has been canceled. The Winter Storm Watch and Winter Weather Advisories previously in effect for Franklin and Western Hampshire counties have been canceled as 2″ or less of snow is expected in this area..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 12-5 PM Tuesday Afternoon for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts which includes Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands. Shore road closures and beach erosion in areas hard hit by coastal storms last month are likely in the warning area and possible in the watch area. South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island with a Northeast wind component is not expected to see any coastal flooding from this event.
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 7 AM to 10 PM Tuesday for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH. These winds along with any wet snow accumulation of 3″ or more could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. A best effort/complete Amateur Radio Net Schedule for Tuesday is posted below. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring an end to a relative quiet stretch of weather for the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) As always, storm track will be critical to snowfall amounts and the rain-snow line in Coastal Southeast New England. The current track supports the current headlines and depicts a further south track with greater impacts to Southeast New England including Cape Cod and the Islands and lesser impacts north of the I-90 corridor way from east coastal Massachusetts.
2.) With no high pressure to the north, this will impact the amount of cold air to the north but the system will be intensifying which means dynamic cooling with the intensifying storm would allow for heavy snow expected to affect east and south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will continue to be monitored.
3.) With no high pressure to the north, this should keep the strong wind gusts a bit more muted than some coastal storms. Nonetheless, wind gusts of 40-65 MPH at the coast will be possible with this storm and models have trended a bit stronger with the storm resulting in a High Wind Warning for Cape Cod and the Islands for wind gusts up to 65 MPH. With wind gusts 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast in the Winter Storm Warning area. Those winds are covered under the Winter Storm Warning. The timing of these Northeast winds will have an impact on the level of coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday for East Coastal Massachusetts but a high-end minor to low-end moderate coastal flood event is expected. No impacts are expected in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to the Northeast wind direction based on the current storm track.
4.) Amount of snow will depend on the storm speed and intensity in addition to the track as mentioned in item 1. Also, the snow could be heavy and wet in the Winter Storm Warning area of Southeast Massachusetts and South Central Rhode Island and East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and this aspect will be monitored for any isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and any power outages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. A best effort/complete Amateur Radio Net Schedule for Tuesday is posted below and could change based on storm conditions:

146.940-Mount Tom MA Repeater (PL: 127.3): Nets every 2 hours starting at 7 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.970-Paxton MA Repeater (PL: 114.8) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 730 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.790-Vernon CT Repeater (PL: 82.5) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions (Time Tentative)
147.225-Killingly, CT Repeater (PL: 156.7) – Will call on repeater as needed throughout the day for reports
146.895-Walpole MA Repeater (PL: 123.0) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.955-Westford Repeater (PL: 74.4) – With the latest forecast, nets will be scheduled as needed and if resources allow
145.230-Boston Repeater (PL: 88.5) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions – net may run continuously for a time during the Tuesday PM high tide (Time tentative)
NB1RI Repeater System – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions (times tentative)
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater (PL: 67.0): Nets starting at 9 AM – every 2 hours
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater (PL: 67.0): Nets starting at 930 AM – every 2 hours
146.955-Barnstable Repeater (PL 88.5): Nets starting at 9 AM – every 2 hours

Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Warning Statement & Snowfall Map, Coastal Flood Warning Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #4 – Late Monday Night 2/12/24-Late Tuesday Night 2/13/24 – Coastal Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will take aim on Southern New England late Monday Night through Tuesday Night across much of Southern New England. The coastal storm will be capable of heavy snow, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong wind gusts at the coast. A rain-snow line will be something to be monitored across coastal Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts to 14″ and wind gusts to 40 MPH especially in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and at the coast..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Bristol, Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with higher amounts possible and wind gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts. In this area, the snow will be heavy and wet and this may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in this area.
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 5-9″ of snow and wind gusts to 35 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late tonight through late Tuesday Night for Barnstable County Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and wind gusts to 60 MPH. The snow will be heavy and wet and that along with strong wind gusts could result in isolated to pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area which are Block Island Rhode Island, Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket will receive a coating to 2″ of snow..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 12-5 PM Tuesday Afternoon for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts which includes Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Afternoon for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts. Shore road closures and beach erosion in areas hard hit by coastal storms last month are likely in the warning area and possible in the watch area. South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island with a Northeast wind component is not expected to see any coastal flooding from this event.
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 7 AM to 10 PM Tuesday for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH. These winds along with any wet snow accumulation of 3″ or more could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional Warnings and/or Advisories are likely in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. A partial Amateur Radio Net Schedule for Tuesday is posted below and will be updated in the Monday Evening coordination message. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring an end to a relative quiet stretch of weather for the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) As always, storm track will be critical to snowfall amounts and the rain-snow line in Coastal Southeast New England. The current track supports the current headlines. A track a bit more to the north would mean more of rain-snow line and mix further inland into parts of Eastern Massachusetts. A track further south would bringing heavier snowfall to the south coast, Cape and Islands. A colder solution has been noted in the last several model runs with a bit more of a southerly track and this has built confidence in heavier snowfall in Southeast interior and coastal Massachusetts, Southeast coastal Rhode Island and potentially even Cape Cod with this update.
2.) With no high pressure to the north, this will impact the amount of cold air to the north but the system will be intensifying which means dynamic cooling with the intensifying storm would allow for heavy snow expected to affect east and south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will continue to be monitored.
3.) With no high pressure to the north, this should keep the strong wind gusts a bit more muted than some coastal storms. Nonetheless, wind gusts of 40-60 MPH at the coast will be possible with this storm and models have trended a bit stronger with the storm resulting in a High Wind Warning for Cape Cod and the Islands for wind gusts up to 60 MPH. With wind gusts 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast in the Winter Storm Warning/Watch area, those winds are covered under the Winter Storm Warning/Watch. The timing of these Northeast winds will have an impact on the level of coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday for East Coastal Massachusetts. No impacts are expected in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to the Northeast wind direction based on the current storm track.
4.) Amount of snow will depend on the storm speed and intensity in addition to the track as mentioned in item 1. Also, the snow could be heavy and wet in the Winter Storm Warning area of Southeast Massachusetts and South Central Rhode Island and East Coastal Massachusetts and this aspect will be monitored for any isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and any power outages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. Here is a partial Amateur Radio Net Schedule which will be updated in the Monday evening final Storm Coordination Message:

146.940-Mount Tom MA Repeater (PL: 127.3): Nets every 2 hours starting at 7 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.970-Paxton MA Repeater (PL: 114.8) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 730 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.790-Vernon CT Repeater (PL: 82.5) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions (Time Tentative)
146.895-Walpole MA Repeater (PL: 123.0) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions
146.955-Westford Repeater (PL: 74.4) – TBD and will be updated this evening.
145.230-Boston Repeater (PL: 88.5) – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions – net may run continuously for a time during the Tuesday PM high tide (Time tentative)
NB1RI Repeater System – Nets every 2 hours starting at 700 AM Tuesday and will adjust pending on conditions (time tentative)
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater (PL: 67.0): TBD and will be updated this evening.
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater (PL: 67.0): TBD and will be updated this evening.
146.955-Barnstable Repeater (PL 88.5): TBD and will be updated this evening.

Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement & Snowfall Map, Coastal Flood Warning/Watch Statement, High Wind Warning Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Warning/Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Late Monday Night 2/12/24-Late Tuesday Night 2/13/24 – Coastal Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will take aim on Southern New England late Monday Night through Tuesday Night across much of Southern New England. The coastal storm will be capable of heavy snow, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong wind gusts at the coast. A rain-snow line will be something to be monitored across coastal Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 1 AM Tuesday Morning through 1 AM Wednesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts to 14″ and wind gusts to 40 MPH especially in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and at the coast..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 9-12″ of snow and wind gusts to 35 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Bristol, Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with higher mounts possible and wind gusts to 50 MPH. In this area, the snow will be heavy and wet and this may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in this area. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area on Cape Cod and the Islands will receive 2-4″ of snow on Cape Cod with the highest amounts closest to Cape Cod with a Dusting to 2″ of snow over the Islands..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for Tuesday Afternoon for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts which includes Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands. This could result in shore road closures and beach erosion in areas hard hit by coastal storms last month. Again, South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island without a Northeast wind component is not expected to see any coastal flooding from this event..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for Late Monday Night into Tuesday Evening for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds along with any wet snow accumulation of 3″ or more could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional Warnings and/or Advisories are likely in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. An Amateur Radio Net Schedule for Tuesday will be posted in the Monday Coordination messages. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring an end to a relative quiet stretch of weather for the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) As always, storm track will be critical to snowfall amounts and the rain-snow line in Coastal Southeast New England. The current track supports the current headlines. A track a bit more to the north would mean more of rain-snow line and mix further inland into parts of Eastern Massachusetts. A track further south would bringing heavier snowfall to the south coast, Cape and Islands. A colder solution has been noted in the last several model runs and if this continues, it will build confidence in higher snow amounts in Southeast coastal New England.
2.) With no high pressure to the north, this will impact the amount of cold air to the north but the system will be intensifying which means dynamic cooling with the intensifying storm would allow for heavy snow possibly affecting east and south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will be monitored.
3.) With no high pressure to the north, this should keep the strong wind gusts a bit more muted than some coastal storms. Nonetheless, wind gusts of 40-60 MPH at the coast will be possible with this storm and models have trended a bit stronger with the storm resulting in a High Wind Watch for Cape Cod and the Islands for wind gusts up to 60 MPH. With wind gusts 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast in the Winter Storm Warning/Watch area, those winds are covered under the Winter Storm Warning/Watch. The timing of these Northeast winds will have an impact on the level of coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday for East Coastal Massachusetts. No impacts are expected in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to the Northeast wind direction based on the current storm track.
4.) Amount of snow will depend on the storm speed and intensity in addition to the track as mentioned in item 1. Also, the snow could be heavy and wet in the Winter Storm Watch area of Southeast Massachusetts and South Central Rhode Island and East Coastal Massachusetts and this aspect will be monitored for any isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and any power outages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. An Amateur Radio Net Schedule for Tuesday will be posted in the Monday Coordination messages. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement & Snowfall Map, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Monday Night 2/12/24-Late Tuesday Night 2/13/24 – Coastal Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will take aim on Southern New England late Monday Night through Tuesday Night across much of Southern New England. The coastal storm will be capable of heavy snow, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong wind gusts at the coast. A rain-snow line will be something to be monitored across coastal Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent, Bristol Counties of Rhode Island, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 40 MPH especially in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and at the coast. In Southeast Massachusetts and East Coastal Massachusetts, the snow will be heavy and wet and this could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow and wind gusts to 50 MPH. In this area, the snow will be heavy and wet and this may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage in this area. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area on Cape Cod and the Islands will receive 2-4″ of snow on Cape Cod with the highest amounts closest to Cape Cod with a Dusting to 2″ of snow over the Islands..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for Tuesday Afternoon for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts which includes Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands. This could result in shore road closures and beach erosion in areas hard hit by coastal storms last month. Again, South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island without a Northeast wind component is not expected to see any coastal flooding from this event..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for Late Monday Night into Tuesday Evening for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds along with any wet snow accumulation of 3″ or more could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Additional Warnings and/or Advisories are likely in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring an end to a relative quiet stretch of weather for the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) As always, storm track will be critical to snowfall amounts and the rain-snow line in Coastal Southeast New England. The current track supports the current headlines. A track a bit more to the north would mean more of rain-snow line and mix further inland into parts of Eastern Massachusetts. A track further south would bringing heavier snowfall to the south coast, Cape and Islands.
2.) With no high pressure to the north, this will impact the amount of cold air to the north but the system will be intensifying which means dynamic cooling with the intensifying storm would allow for heavy snow possibly affecting east and south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will be monitored.
3.) With no high pressure to the north, this should keep the strong wind gusts a bit more muted than some coastal storms. Nonetheless, wind gusts of 40-60 MPH at the coast will be possible with this storm and models have trended a bit stronger with the storm resulting in a High Wind Watch for Cape Cod and the Islands for wind gusts up to 60 MPH. With wind gusts 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts at the coast in the Winter Storm Watch area, those winds are covered under the Winter Storm Watch. The timing of these Northeast winds will have an impact on the level of coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday for East Coastal Massachusetts. No impacts are expected in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to the Northeast wind direction based on the current storm track.
4.) Amount of snow will depend on the storm speed and intensity in addition to the track as mentioned in item 1. Also, the snow could be heavy and wet in at least a portion of the Winter Storm Watch area, especially South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island but also in Southeast interior and East Coastal Massachusetts and this aspect will be monitored for any isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and any power outages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Sunday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Map, Coastal Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Monday Night 2/12/24-Late Tuesday Night 2/13/24 – Coastal Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will take aim on Southern New England late Monday Night through Tuesday Night across much of Southern New England. The coastal storm will be capable of heavy snow, minor to moderate coastal flooding and strong wind gusts at the coast. A rain-snow line will be something to be monitored across coastal Southeast New England..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late Monday Night through late Tuesday Night for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent, Bristol Counties of Rhode Island, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 40 MPH especially in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and at the coast..
..Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area along South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island has the potential to receive 2-5″ of snow with 1-2″ of snow over the Cape and Islands..
..Additional Watches, Warnings and Advisories are likely in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring an end to a relative quiet stretch of weather for the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) As always, storm track will be critical to snowfall amounts and the rain-snow line in Coastal Southeast New England. The current track supports the current headlines. A track a bit more to the north would mean more of rain-snow line and mix further inland into parts of Eastern Massachusetts. A track further south would bringing heavier snowfall to the south coast, Cape and Islands.
2.) With no high pressure to the north, this will impact the amount of cold air to the north but the system will be intensifying which means dynamic cooling with the intensifying storm would allow for heavy snow possibly affecting east and south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and will be monitored.
3.) With no high pressure to the north, this should keep the strong wind gusts a bit more muted than some coastal storms. Nonetheless, wind gusts of 40-55 MPH at the coast will be possible with this storm. The timing of these Northeast winds will have an impact on the level of coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday for East Coastal Massachusetts. No impacts are expected in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to the Northeast wind direction based on the current storm track.
4.) Amount of snow will depend on the storm speed and intensity in addition to the track as mentioned in item 1. Also, the snow could be heavy and wet in at least a portion of the Winter Storm Watch area and this aspect will be monitored for any isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and any power outages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Tuesday across much of the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area. Pictures and videos of coastal flooding and any storm damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this message, via the WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Map and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio