Post Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 7/10/25 Flash Flood Event

Hello to all…

..Heavy Rainfall training over the same area brought a widespread swath of 3-7″ of rainfall across a strip of Norfolk and Northern Plymouth County Massachusetts Thursday Morning into early afternoon. This caused significant flooding including the shutdown of Interstate-93 in the Milton/Quincy/Braintree area. Reliable spotter reports from Amateur Radio, non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters including some embedded in emergency management helped to detail the flooding and rain gauge reports..
..Additional reports, pictures and videos on flooding or rain gauge totals can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the WX1BOX Amateur Radio/non-Amateur Radio spotter log, Local Storm Report and last issued Public Information Statement on this event. This message maybe updated once more this weekend based on any new data, pictures received..

WX1BOX Amateur Radio/non-Amateur Radio Spotter Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/reports_7_10_25.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/LSR_7_10_25.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/PNS_7_10_25.pdf

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Flash Flood Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 7/10/25 Flash Flood/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Ongoing flash flooding affecting portions of Northeast Connecticut and Norfolk County Massachusetts with rainfall reports of 2-4″ with higher amounts occurring this Thursday Morning. Flash Flood Warning was in effect for Windham County CT and recently canceled with an ongoing Flash Flood Warning for Norfolk County Mass. A Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday afternoon for Windham County CT, Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts except for the Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to severe thunderstorms possible in Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut for later this afternoon and evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are ongoing Thursday Morning for current flash flooding and possible later this afternoon and evening for severe weather potential. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This coordination message is shortened due to ongoing operations. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – FINAL – Thursday 7/3/25 Severe Weather Event

Hello to all…

..Significant severe thunderstorms caused large hail covering the ground that had to be shoveled and widespread pockets of tree and power line damage with even some direct structural damage across Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. At the height of the severe weather, we have learned that Rhode Island had over 65,000 without power and with the over 50,000 that were without power in Massachusetts, the maximum power outages at the height of severe weather across Massachusetts and Rhode Island was over 115,000 customers. Additional significant power outages occurred in portions of Connecticut..
..We have posted a Facebook Photo Album of photos from this significant severe weather event and the link is provided below. If time allows will post more photos to this photo album as time permits and will continue to take reports, pictures and videos and add to the historical record for this event. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the last post severe weather coordination message for this event. Below is an updated WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log, the NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report and WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album for this event..
..We very much appreciate all the support of everyone who has provided reports, pictures and videos from this severe weather event particularly taking time out of your Holiday Weekend to do so. Many thanks to all…

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/reports_7_3_25_3.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/LSR_7_3_25.pdf

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.1144066314421851&type=3

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Flash Flood/Heat Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 7/8/25 Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..Intense Heat and Humidity for today will give way to an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm and flash flood risk later Tuesday Afternoon and Evening..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Southern New England now though the greater risk is for thunderstorms and heavy rainfall with the secondary risk being severe weather. Frequent lightning and Heavy rainfall leading to urban/poor drainage/river/stream/flash flooding is the main threat for much of the region but a secondary severe weather threat for strong to damaging winds and hail is also possible..
..The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has continued much of Southern New England in a slight risk for excessive/rainfall and flash flood potential while the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has expanded the marginal risk for severe weather to much of Southern New England Tuesday..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from 2 PM Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Night for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent, Washington Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for 1-2″ inches of rain or more falling in an hour or less and any training of thunderstorms causing higher rainfall amounts particularly in vulnerable flood areas could cause pockets of flash flooding in the Flood Watch area..
..A Heat Advisory is also in effect through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for all of Southern New England except for the East Slopes of the Berkshires and the islands for heat indices to 100 degrees. Use caution exerting yourself outdoors, take frequent breaks and stay hydrated/find a location to cool down today..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible to likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening for severe weather and flash flood potential. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..
..A more complete coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, WPC Day-2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

**Post Severe Weather Coordination Message for the Thursday 7/3/25 Severe Weather Event, a likely final posting, will be completed later on Tuesday AM**

The headlines depict the current thinking on today’s severe weather, flash flood potential for today across Southern New England. Key factors for today include:

1.) Where a frontal boundary and any seabreeze fronts setup as these will be the locations that have a trigger point for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms and potential flash flooding.
2.) For the severe weather potential, heating of the day and favorable parameters pointing to severe weather potential overcome limiting factors that could prevent any severe thunderstorm development as the unfavorable factors include things such as weaker wind shear profiles.
3.) As always with severe/non-severe thunderstorm and flash flood events, not all locations will receive a severe/non-severe thunderstorm or flash flood event. They will be isolated to scattered with pockets of wind damage, hail and urban/poor drainage/river/stream/flash flooding in those isolated to scattered locations some of which could be significant if a storm is water loaded enough to bring damaging winds or train over a vulnerable flood area to cause flash flooding.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets possible to likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening for severe weather and flash flood potential. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated.

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WPC Day-1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpferd (defaults to Day-1 outlook)
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php (defaults to Day-1 graphics)

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather and Flash Flood Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday 7/8/25 – Severe Weather & Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut with thunderstorms and heavy rainfall potential possible across much of Southern New England for Tuesday. Frequent lightning and Heavy rainfall leading to urban/poor drainage/flash flooding is the main threat for much of the region but a secondary severe weather threat for strong to damaging winds and hail is also possible..
..The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a slight risk for excessive/rainfall and flash flood potential while the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather for Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Tuesday for severe weather and flash flood potential. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..
..A more complete coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, WPC Day-2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

**Post Severe Weather Coordination Message for the Thursday 7/3/25 Severe Weather Event, a likely final posting, will be completed on Tuesday AM**

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day2otlk_20250707_1730.html

WPC Day-2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpferd (scroll to day-2 outlook)
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php (Select Day-2 to see graphics)

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 7/3/25 Severe Thunderstorm Event

Hello to all…

..Happy 4th of July Weekend to all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters. We hope those affected by the significant severe thunderstorms in Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts can still enjoy the holiday weekend. We are grateful and appreciate very much all the reports, pictures and videos received to date for this event..
..Significant severe thunderstorms caused large hail covering the ground that had to be shoveled and widespread pockets of tree and power line damage with even some direct structural damage across Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. At the height of the severe weather, we have learned that Rhode Island had over 65,000 without power and with the over 50,000 that were without power in Massachusetts, the maximum power outages at the height of severe weather across Massachusetts and Rhode Island was over 115,000 customers. Additional significant power outages occurred in portions of Connecticut..
..We will continue to take reports, pictures and videos and as time allows post a WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album of this significant severe weather event. We are looking to post the photo album on Sunday AM. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is an updated WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log and NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report for this event and our log will also be updated in the next post severe weather message for Sunday Morning..
..We very much appreciate all the support of everyone who has provided reports, pictures and videos from this severe weather event particularly taking time out of your Holiday Weekend to do so. Many thanks to all…

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/reports_7_3_25_2.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=LSR&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Post Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 7/3/25 – Severe Weather Impacts in Connecticut/Rhode Island/Southeast Massachusetts

Hello to all…

..Happy 4th of July to all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters. We hope those affected by the significant severe thunderstorms in Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts can still enjoy the holiday weekend. We are grateful and appreciate very much all the reports, pictures and videos received to date for this event..
..Significant severe thunderstorms caused large hail covering the ground that had to be shoveled and widespread pockets of tree and power line damage with even some direct structural damage across Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. At the height of the severe weather, over 50,000 were without power in Massachusetts with roughly 30,000 without power in Massachusetts as of 930 AM Friday. Additional significant power outages occurred in portions of Connecticut and Rhode Island..
..We will continue to take reports, pictures and videos and as time allows post a WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album of this significant severe weather event. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log and NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report for this event and our log will also be updated in the next post severe weather message by Saturday Morning..

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/reports_7_3_25.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Report:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=LSR&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday PM/Evening 7/3/25 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening and may start slightly earlier between 12-10 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and torrential rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats as a cold front will usher in cooler and less humid air for a beautiful 4th of July weekend..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued slight risk of severe weather for Western and much of Central Massachusetts, all of Connecticut and nearly all of Rhode Island with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England. SPC has issued a Mesoscale Convective Discussion indicating an 80% chance of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch or two for portions of New England.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe thunderstorm potential for Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A cold front will usher in cooler and less humid air for a beautiful 4th of July weekend but will bring with it the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of moisture convergence coupled with instability, cooling temperatures aloft in the atmosphere and reasonably strong wind shear potential to allow for severe thunderstorm development and how wide the coverage will be in the region.
2.) Timing of the cold front near the timing of peak heating to take advantage of the favorable parameters presuming level of moisture convergence is sufficient for severe thunderstorm development. This will also dictate severe thunderstorm coverage in the area. The timing appears to be a bit earlier but still seems to be favorable for severe thunderstorm development.
3.) As always with severe/non-severe thunderstorm events, not all locations will receive a severe/non-severe thunderstorm. They will be isolated to scattered with pockets of wind damage, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding in those isolated to scattered locations.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible to likely for the severe thunderstorm potential for Thursday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and SPC Mesoscale Convective Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Mesoscale Convective Discussion (MCD):
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1546.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday PM/Evening 7/3/25 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely across much of Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening between 2-10 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and torrential rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats as a cold front will usher in cooler and less humid air for a beautiful 4th of July weekend..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a slight risk of severe weather for Western and much of Central Massachusetts, all of Connecticut and nearly all of Rhode Island with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible to likely for the severe thunderstorm potential for Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A cold front will usher in cooler and less humid air for a beautiful 4th of July weekend but will bring with it the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for much of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of moisture convergence coupled with instability, cooling temperatures aloft in the atmosphere and reasonably strong wind shear potential to allow for severe thunderstorm development and how wide the coverage will be in the region.
2.) Timing of the cold front near the timing of peak heating to take advantage of the favorable parameters presuming level of moisture convergence is sufficient for severe thunderstorm development. This will also dictate severe thunderstorm coverage in the area.
3.) As always with severe/non-severe thunderstorm events, not all locations will receive a severe/non-severe thunderstorm. They will be isolated to scattered with pockets of wind damage, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding in those isolated to scattered locations.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible to likely for the severe thunderstorm potential for Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day2otlk_20250702_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday PM/Evening 7/1/25 Severe Weather/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

.. Showers and thunderstorms were confined to Southeast New England and offshore for Tuesday Morning and were less in coverage than modeled. Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible Tuesday Afternoon and Evening between 3-9 PM across Southern New England with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and torrential rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding as the main threats for portions of the region..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for all of Southern New England for Tuesday. The biggest severe weather potential is likely over interior Southern New England from the I-95 corridor north and west..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will any severe thunderstorm/flood potential for Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A warm front is pushing through the region Tuesday Morning followed by a cold front late Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. The morning activity was limited to Southeast New England and offshore of the coast and clearing is moving in from west to east. This will set the stage for a cold front with isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms swinging through the area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) With less extensive shower and thunderstorm coverage this morning, Satellite imagery is showing reasonably good clearing which should allow for destabilization. The more clearing that develops, the greater heating and destabilization to allow for severe thunderstorm potential in the afternoon and evening.
2.) Timing of the cold front near the timing of peak heating presuming sufficient clearing develops. This will be the needed trigger for thunderstorm development and will dictate the coverage of thunderstorms.
3.) As always with severe/non-severe thunderstorm events, not all locations will receive a severe/non-severe thunderstorm. They will be isolated to scattered with pockets of wind damage, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding in those isolated to scattered locations.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will monitor any severe thunderstorm potential for Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook, X and Bluesky feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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