Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday July 1st Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible for portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts during this Sunday afternoon into early evening. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Biggest question for any threat of a few strong to severe thunderstorms is the ability of a weak frontal boundary to be able to tap into the unstable atmosphere and wind shear profiles to allow for thunderstorm development..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will montior today’s threat. Ops at NWS Taunton would be possible if the threat becomes more widespread..
Hazy, Hot and Humid weather will occur Sunday over much of the region. Unlike the past warm days, where a lack of a trigger and capping in the atmosphere prevented any thunderstorm development, there is the possibility that a weak frontal boundary moving into the area may be enough of a trigger to allow for the formation of a few isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The greatest risk for any strong to severe thunderstorms would be over Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts south of the Massachusetts Turnpike. There is some question as to whether this frontal boundary will be enough of a trigger to tap into an enviroment of instability and shear over the area. If there is not enough forcing, little to no activity could occur, however given the shear profiles and instability and the fact that there is at least some possible focus for thunderstorm devleopment, a message is warranted to monitor the threat for Sunday Afternoon into early this evening.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation and activate as required for any strong to severe thunderstorms that can develop. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if the threat becomes widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated and time allows to send out an updated shortened coordination message. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible for portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts during this Sunday afternoon into early evening. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Biggest question for any threat of a few strong to severe thunderstorms is the ability of a weak frontal boundary to be able to tap into the unstable atmosphere and wind shear profiles to allow for thunderstorm development..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will montior today’s threat. Ops at NWS Taunton would be possible if the threat becomes more widespread..
Hazy, Hot and Humid weather will occur Sunday over much of the region. Unlike the past warm days, where a lack of a trigger and capping in the atmosphere prevented any thunderstorm development, there is the possibility that a weak frontal boundary moving into the area may be enough of a trigger to allow for the formation of a few isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The greatest risk for any strong to severe thunderstorms would be over Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts south of the Massachusetts Turnpike. There is some question as to whether this frontal boundary will be enough of a trigger to tap into an enviroment of instability and shear over the area. If there is not enough forcing, little to no activity could occur, however given the shear profiles and instability and the fact that there is at least some possible focus for thunderstorm devleopment, a message is warranted to monitor the threat for Sunday Afternoon into early this evening.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation and activate as required for any strong to severe thunderstorms that can develop. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if the threat becomes widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated and time allows to send out an updated shortened coordination message. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org