Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday 7/24/12 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong to Severe Thunderstorm activity stayed to the north and west of the NWS Taunton coverage area today..
..A Cold front will approach the region Tuesday. The timing of the cold front and whether or not it is near the time of peak heating will dictate the potential of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail, and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded Central and Eastern New England to a Slight Risk of severe weather for late Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening and NWS Taunton is in agreement..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening..

Today, severe weather stayed to the north and west of the NWS Taunton coverage area with a couple brief strong thunderstorms entering extreme Southwest New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts this evening. As we get into Tuesday, a cold front will approach the region from the west. The timing of this cold front will be key to severe weather potential. If it approaches too early, the severe weather threat could be mitigated, however, if it comes into the region in the late morning or afternoon timeframe, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding would be likely over the area. It is noted that SPC has placed portions of Central and Eastern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather which is an upgrade from the prior Day-2 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton is in agreement. By Tuesday Morning, we should have a better idea of the severe weather potential and timing of the cold front but it appears the severe weather potential for Tuesday is greater than Monday at this time.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Morning Tuesday through Tuesday Evening. The next coordination message will be issued by 9 AM ET Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1207231732.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Strong to Severe Thunderstorm activity stayed to the north and west of the NWS Taunton coverage area today..
..A Cold front will approach the region Tuesday. The timing of the cold front and whether or not it is near the time of peak heating will dictate the potential of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail, and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded Central and Eastern New England to a Slight Risk of severe weather for late Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening and NWS Taunton is in agreement..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening..

Today, severe weather stayed to the north and west of the NWS Taunton coverage area with a couple brief strong thunderstorms entering extreme Southwest New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts this evening. As we get into Tuesday, a cold front will approach the region from the west. The timing of this cold front will be key to severe weather potential. If it approaches too early, the severe weather threat could be mitigated, however, if it comes into the region in the late morning or afternoon timeframe, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding would be likely over the area. It is noted that SPC has placed portions of Central and Eastern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather which is an upgrade from the prior Day-2 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton is in agreement. By Tuesday Morning, we should have a better idea of the severe weather potential and timing of the cold front but it appears the severe weather potential for Tuesday is greater than Monday at this time.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely late Morning Tuesday through Tuesday Evening. The next coordination message will be issued by 9 AM ET Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1207231732.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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