Severe Weather Coordination Message – Friday August 17th Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Night across interior Southern New England. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat is contingent on amount of instability and the overlap between the instability and increasing wind shear over the region. The Storm Prediction Center has the ‘See Text’ 5% severe weather probability over the area for Friday Night..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Evening..
A Cold Front in Western New York State will approach the region from the west later this afternoon and tonight. There will be some instability over the region through heating and destablization before clouds increase ahead of the cold front. As the front approaches, wind shear profiles will increase over the region but the frontal timing will be towards tonight as heating decreases. The main question on the extent of any severe weather threat will be how much instability occurs during the day and remains into Friday Night and the overlap of that instability with increasing wind shear ahead of the cold front Friday Night. Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon in western areas extending into interior central and eastern locations overnight Friday Night with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. SPC has placed the region in the 5% ‘see text’ severe weather potential and NWS Taunton is in agreement.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Night across interior Southern New England. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat is contingent on amount of instability and the overlap between the instability and increasing wind shear over the region. The Storm Prediction Center has the ‘See Text’ 5% severe weather probability over the area for Friday Night..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Evening..
A Cold Front in Western New York State will approach the region from the west later this afternoon and tonight. There will be some instability over the region through heating and destablization before clouds increase ahead of the cold front. As the front approaches, wind shear profiles will increase over the region but the frontal timing will be towards tonight as heating decreases. The main question on the extent of any severe weather threat will be how much instability occurs during the day and remains into Friday Night and the overlap of that instability with increasing wind shear ahead of the cold front Friday Night. Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon in western areas extending into interior central and eastern locations overnight Friday Night with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. SPC has placed the region in the 5% ‘see text’ severe weather potential and NWS Taunton is in agreement.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org