Severe Weather and Heat Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 7/18/13-Saturday 7/20/13 Severe Weather & Heat Potential
Hello to all..
..Intense Heat and Humidity will last through Saturday. Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisories are in effect today for much of Southern New England and will likely be reissued Friday and possibly Saturday as the heat wave continues..
..As we get into Saturday, intense heat and humidity will then be followed by a cold front with scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms on Saturday with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats as a rare Slight Risk for Severe Weather has been issued for Saturday for all of Southern New England in the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-3 Outlook and Southern New England has been in a severe weather outlook for Saturday from SPC going back to their Day-7 Outlook..
..Thursday and Friday could see an isolated to scattered strong or severe thunderstorm threat but current expectations are that the chances of a more widespread severe weather event will stay north and west of Southern New England during this period though this will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
The intense heat and humidity will continue through Saturday across much of Southern New England as the heat wave continues. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories are in effect for much of Southern New England today and will likely be reissued for Friday and possibly Saturday. Details on Heat Advisories/Excessive Heat Warnings can be seen via the following link:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
As we get into Saturday, the heat wave will end as a strong cold front is expected to make its way into Southern New England. Models have been insistent out as far as 7 days that scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms will organize in a line or several line configurations with the potential for damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. Specific details and timing have yet to be worked out and there are some slight questions on cloud debris from prior thunderstorm complexes potentially limiting instability slightly but confidence is fairly high on at least some severe weather activity particularly in interior Southern New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon and Evening.
For Thursday and Friday, an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm threat cannot be ruled out but current expectations are for the more widespread severe weather threat to remain north and west of Southern New England. On Wednesday Evening, much of Northern Vermont, North-Central New Hampshire and Southern Maine were affected by a severe thunderstorm complex and its possible additional complexes could occur between today and Friday but are likely to stay north of our region. This will still be monitored closely in case parts of Southern New England could be clipped by this activity.
Unless the potential changes for more widespread severe weather either later today or Friday, the next coordination message on the Saturday Severe Weather Potential will be posted Friday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1, Day-2 and Day-3 Severe Weather Outlooks:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Intense Heat and Humidity will last through Saturday. Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisories are in effect today for much of Southern New England and will likely be reissued Friday and possibly Saturday as the heat wave continues..
..As we get into Saturday, intense heat and humidity will then be followed by a cold front with scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms on Saturday with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats as a rare Slight Risk for Severe Weather has been issued for Saturday for all of Southern New England in the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-3 Outlook and Southern New England has been in a severe weather outlook for Saturday from SPC going back to their Day-7 Outlook..
..Thursday and Friday could see an isolated to scattered strong or severe thunderstorm threat but current expectations are that the chances of a more widespread severe weather event will stay north and west of Southern New England during this period though this will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
The intense heat and humidity will continue through Saturday across much of Southern New England as the heat wave continues. Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories are in effect for much of Southern New England today and will likely be reissued for Friday and possibly Saturday. Details on Heat Advisories/Excessive Heat Warnings can be seen via the following link:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
As we get into Saturday, the heat wave will end as a strong cold front is expected to make its way into Southern New England. Models have been insistent out as far as 7 days that scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms will organize in a line or several line configurations with the potential for damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. Specific details and timing have yet to be worked out and there are some slight questions on cloud debris from prior thunderstorm complexes potentially limiting instability slightly but confidence is fairly high on at least some severe weather activity particularly in interior Southern New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon and Evening.
For Thursday and Friday, an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm threat cannot be ruled out but current expectations are for the more widespread severe weather threat to remain north and west of Southern New England. On Wednesday Evening, much of Northern Vermont, North-Central New Hampshire and Southern Maine were affected by a severe thunderstorm complex and its possible additional complexes could occur between today and Friday but are likely to stay north of our region. This will still be monitored closely in case parts of Southern New England could be clipped by this activity.
Unless the potential changes for more widespread severe weather either later today or Friday, the next coordination message on the Saturday Severe Weather Potential will be posted Friday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1, Day-2 and Day-3 Severe Weather Outlooks:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box