Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday Afternoon & Evening 7/6/24 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all…
..We hope everyone had an enjoyable Independence Day holiday and are having a great holiday weekend..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible particularly across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut this afternoon and evening any time between 2-9 PM Saturday. Strong to damaging winds, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats with hail as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the area of Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible this Saturday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..
A stalled frontal boundary coupled with warm and humid conditions and increasing wind shear will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly in Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Amount of sunshine for destabilization as morning activity departs the region.
2.) Whether wind shear increases significantly as some convection allowing models (CAMs) are indicating
3.) That there is enough forcing along the stalled out front in the area.
SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible this Saturday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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