Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday August 10th, 2012 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today during the afternoon and evening with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding being the main threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of heating that takes place over the region..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather and NWS Taunton is in agreement..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely this Friday Afternoon and Evening..
At 735 AM, Doppler Radar showed an area of showers and thunderstorms over Eastern Pennsylvania and New York State and moving into parts of Eastern New York. This activity should continue moving north and then northeastward into Southern New England for later today. Satellite imagery shows some breaks in the cloud cover which allow for at least some heating and destablization to take place over the region. This will set the stage for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to potentially flash flooding as the primary threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of surface heating. If significant heating takes place, this could potentially allow for a more widespread severe weather threat. Less heating will mean a more isolated severe weather threat with more of a flash flood threat expected. Wind shear profiles are stronger today then they were yesterday and are conducive for some severe thunderstorm development if sufficient heating takes place. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for severe weather over much of interior Southern New England though some coastal areas are included.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely this Friday Afternoon and evening. This will likely be the only complete coordination message issued on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today during the afternoon and evening with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding being the main threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of heating that takes place over the region..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather and NWS Taunton is in agreement..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely this Friday Afternoon and Evening..
At 735 AM, Doppler Radar showed an area of showers and thunderstorms over Eastern Pennsylvania and New York State and moving into parts of Eastern New York. This activity should continue moving north and then northeastward into Southern New England for later today. Satellite imagery shows some breaks in the cloud cover which allow for at least some heating and destablization to take place over the region. This will set the stage for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to potentially flash flooding as the primary threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of surface heating. If significant heating takes place, this could potentially allow for a more widespread severe weather threat. Less heating will mean a more isolated severe weather threat with more of a flash flood threat expected. Wind shear profiles are stronger today then they were yesterday and are conducive for some severe thunderstorm development if sufficient heating takes place. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for severe weather over much of interior Southern New England though some coastal areas are included.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely this Friday Afternoon and evening. This will likely be the only complete coordination message issued on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org