Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday June 28th, 2013 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with flood to flash flood potential for urban areas and small rivers/streams, damaging winds and large hail possible this Friday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and possibly into Rhode Island depending on amount of clearing and heating that develops later today. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has this region in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather today..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible again this Friday Afternoon and Evening..
Thursday Evening into Friday Morning, some heavy rainfall occurred across Western Massachusetts into Western Connecticut with amounts of 1-2.5″ occurring. Amounts of around or less than 1″ occurred north and east of these locations. Central Hartford County Connecticut was impacted with flash flooding near the time of the evening commute Thursday Evening and SKYWARN Ops were active during that timeframe. Overnight the progressive nature of the rainfall kept significant flooding from occurring and most of the synoptic rainfall went into Eastern New York State.
As we get into today’s potential activity, there are a few showers and thunderstorms with brief heavy rainfall in the area this morning. These are expected to move out and weather models are expecting drier air at the mid-levels to cause skies to clear particularly over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut possibly into Rhode Island. If this clearing occurs as expected, this will set the stage for thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and flood/flash flood potential for urban areas and small streams and isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and large hail as well. SPC has placed this area in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for today. Shear profiles would be sufficient to support severe weather potential but the key for today will be the amount of heating and destabilization and clearing that occurs. Satellite imagery as of 830 AM were showing signs of clearing and clouds thinning across parts of Eastern New York and the mid-atlantic and that may enter parts of western and central New England later today.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible again this Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with flood to flash flood potential for urban areas and small rivers/streams, damaging winds and large hail possible this Friday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and possibly into Rhode Island depending on amount of clearing and heating that develops later today. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has this region in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather today..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible again this Friday Afternoon and Evening..
Thursday Evening into Friday Morning, some heavy rainfall occurred across Western Massachusetts into Western Connecticut with amounts of 1-2.5″ occurring. Amounts of around or less than 1″ occurred north and east of these locations. Central Hartford County Connecticut was impacted with flash flooding near the time of the evening commute Thursday Evening and SKYWARN Ops were active during that timeframe. Overnight the progressive nature of the rainfall kept significant flooding from occurring and most of the synoptic rainfall went into Eastern New York State.
As we get into today’s potential activity, there are a few showers and thunderstorms with brief heavy rainfall in the area this morning. These are expected to move out and weather models are expecting drier air at the mid-levels to cause skies to clear particularly over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut possibly into Rhode Island. If this clearing occurs as expected, this will set the stage for thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and flood/flash flood potential for urban areas and small streams and isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and large hail as well. SPC has placed this area in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for today. Shear profiles would be sufficient to support severe weather potential but the key for today will be the amount of heating and destabilization and clearing that occurs. Satellite imagery as of 830 AM were showing signs of clearing and clouds thinning across parts of Eastern New York and the mid-atlantic and that may enter parts of western and central New England later today.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible again this Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box