Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening 1/24/15 Coastal Winter Storm
Hello to all..
..Strong Coastal Storm to Affect Portions of Southern New England with the potential for heavy wet snow and strong to possibly damaging winds and possibly minor coastal flooding at the time of the early Sunday Morning High Tide..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and Worcester, Middlesex, Western Norfolk, Western Essex and Eastern Hampden County Massachusetts for 4-7″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and the highest amounts in higher terrain locations. The snow will be a wet snow leading to the potential for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Areas surrounding the Winter Storm Watch area may require Winter Weather Advisories in future forecasts..
..Strong Winds Across Cape Cod and the Islands and other eastern and southern coastal areas of Massachusetts will likely require Wind Advisories for portions of this area in future forecasts. Minor Coastal Flooding is also possible at the time of the early Sunday Morning high tide depending on the track and speed of the system in East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely for much of Saturday into Saturday Night..
A strong coastal storm will impact the region Saturday Morning through Saturday Evening. The headlines of the coordination message depict areas that will potentially receive around or more than 6″ of snow and areas that could receive advisory level snowfall. Given snowfall will be heavy and wet, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages will be possible. Key items for this winter storm include the following:
1.) Position of the rain/wet snow line as dictated by the track of the storm system.
2.) The amount of cooling that can take place as the storm intensifies. This will dictate the changeover in locations that have snow changing to rain or precipitation start as rain and changeover to snow.
3.) The storm will intensify rapidly. Where this rapid intensification occurs and its track will determine the extent of the strong to possibly damaging winds near the coast. The lack of a high pressure system to the north could limit the strength of the winds but strong winds for at least Cape Cod and the Islands appears likely.
4.) Minor coastal flooding at the time of the early Sunday Morning high tide in East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands will depend on the track an speed of the system.
Future model trends will depict additional watches, warnings and advisories for the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Friday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics.
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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