Hello to all…

The NWS Taunton Doppler Radar is now back in service and the major upgrade is completed. The details on what was done with the upgrade and the announcement of the radar being back in service can be seen at the following link:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201706211855-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible today across potions of Southern New England particularly along and south of the Mass Pike anytime from 2-8 PM today. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Connecticut and Western Rhode Island in a marginal risk for severe weather and this marginal risk likely extends into portions of Southeast Massachusetts as well. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today to monitor severe weather potential. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the area..

Cooling temperatures aloft with an impulse in the atmosphere and sufficient wind shear profiles could set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in Southern New England particularly along and south of the Mass Pike. There should be a sufficient amount of instability but drier air and lower dewpoints moving in the northwest may limit more substantial coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms and is the reason why the main threat area across Southern New England is along and south of the Mass Pike currently. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today to monitor severe weather potential. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the area. This will be the only full coordination message on this severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut Monday Afternoon and Evening and possible across Central Massachusetts and Northeast Connecticut. Strong to damaging winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly flash flooding are the primary threats. Hail and perhaps even an isolated brief tornado are secondary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut in a slight to enhanced risk of severe weather for Monday with the enhanced risk area expanded slightly eastward further into Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut and a slight risk for severe weather into Central Massachusetts and Northeast Connecticut. The remaining NWS Taunton coverage area has a marginal severe weather risk. The timeframe for severe weather and flash flood potential is 2-11 PM EDT Monday..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Western and Central Massachusetts and Hartford and Tolland Counties of Northern Connecticut..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential..
..Please note that the scheduled Doppler Radar major upgrade has been delayed to start on Tuesday June 20th lasting through Friday June 23rd given the severe weather potential for Monday June 19th..

A reminder that the NWS Taunton Major Doppler Radar Upgrade previously announced to start on Monday 6/19/17 will be delayed to Tuesday 6/20/17 due to the severe weather and flash flooding potential in western parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area for Monday 6/19/17. This means the upgrade will cover approximately four days from Tuesday 6/20/17 through Friday 6/23/17. The details can be seen at the following link to the Public Information Statement:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201706181431-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

Enough severe weather parameters are lining up for a round of isolated to scattered to possibly even scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms across Western Massachusetts and Northern-Central Connecticut. SPC has continued the enhanced risk for severe weather with a slight eastward expansion in the latest update across Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut. The severe weather potential exists through Central Massachusetts and Northeast Connecticut where a slight risk of severe weather is in place but less than areas to the west with the strong to severe thunderstorm potential waning as you get further east due to time of day and more of a marine influence particularly in Southeast New England. While there are some severe weather parameters that are unfavorable, there appears to be the right combination of parameters including high dewpoints, sufficient heating for destabilization. sufficiently strong wind shear profiles and timing and forcing of the cold front that warrants the current enhanced and slight risk areas. The headlines of the coordination message continue to capture things well. The key factors as mentioned in prior messages will determine the coverage of the severe weather and flash flood potential and include:

1.) Sunshine for expected heating and destabilization occurs as expected.
2.) Timing of the cold front is near the favorable timeframe for peak heating.
3.) The forcing of the cold front, high dewpoints and favorably strong wind shear offset other unfavorable parameters for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into Amateur Radio Operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut Monday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly flash flooding are the primary threats. Hail and perhaps even an isolated brief tornado are secondary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut in a slight to enhanced risk of severe weather for Monday. The timeframe for severe weather and flash flood potential is between 2-11 PM EDT Monday..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts and Hartford County of Northern Connecticut and is now expanded to include Worcester and Northern Middlesex County of Massachusetts and Tolland County Connecticut..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential..
..Please note that the scheduled Doppler Radar major upgrade has been delayed to start on Tuesday June 20th lasting through Friday June 23rd given the severe weather potential for Monday June 19th..

Not much change to the earlier thinking on severe weather and flash flooding potential and the key factors that can affect that potential. The Flash Flood Watch has been expanded to include Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and Tolland County Connecticut. It is noted as sent out in a separate message that the NWS Taunton Doppler Radar major upgrade has been delayed to start on Tuesday June 20th. The text of that separate message is listed below:

The NWS Taunton Major Doppler Radar Upgrade previously announced to start on Monday 6/19/17 will be delayed to Tuesday 6/20/17 due to the severe weather and flash flooding potential in western parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area for Monday 6/19/17. This means the upgrade will cover approximately four days from Tuesday 6/20/17 through Friday 6/23/17. The details can be seen at the following link to the Public Information Statement:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201706181431-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

The remainder of the text below is unchanged except to note that the next coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning.

Warm and humid air will be entrenched across Southern New England as we head into the day on Monday. A cold front will approach Southern New England Monday Afternoon and move through the region in the late afternoon Monday through Monday Night. Strong wind shear profiles with expected heating and destabilization are expecting to offset a couple other unfavorable parameters for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly across Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. As the front and any strong to severe thunderstorms make there way eastward it will be into the later afternoon and evening and that will mean weakening of thunderstorms as they move into Eastern New England. The headlines of the coordination message depict the potential for Monday. Key factors for the severe weather and flash flood potential include:

1.) Sunshine for expected heating and destabilization occurs as expected.
2.) Timing of the cold front is near the favorable timeframe for peak heating.
3.) The forcing of the cold front, high dewpoints and favorably strong wind shear offset other unfavorable parameters for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning regarding the severe weather and flash flooding potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170618_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all…

The NWS Taunton Major Doppler Radar Upgrade previously announced to start on Monday 6/19/17 will be delayed to Tuesday 6/20/17 due to the severe weather and flash flooding potential in western parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area for Monday 6/19/17. This means the upgrade will cover approximately four days from Tuesday 6/20/17 through Friday 6/23/17. The details can be seen at the following link to the Public Information Statement:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201706181431-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely over Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut Monday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly flash flooding are the primary threats. Hail and perhaps even an isolated tornado are secondary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut in a slight to enhanced risk of severe weather for Monday..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts and Hartford County of Northern Connecticut..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential..

Warm and humid air will be entrenched across Southern New England as we head into the day on Monday. A cold front will approach Southern New England Monday Afternoon and move through the region in the late afternoon Monday through Monday Night. Strong wind shear profiles with expected heating and destabilization are expecting to offset a couple other unfavorable parameters for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly across Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. As the front and any strong to severe thunderstorms make there way eastward it will be into the later afternoon and evening and that will mean weakening of thunderstorms as they move into Eastern New England. The headlines of the coordination message depict the potential for Monday. Key factors for the severe weather and flash flood potential include:

1.) Sunshine for expected heating and destabilization occurs as expected.
2.) Timing of the cold front is near the favorable timeframe for peak heating.
3.) The forcing of the cold front, high dewpoints and favorably strong wind shear offset other unfavorable parameters for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 1 PM EDT Monday for severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM tonight regarding the severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all…

The following link us a Public Information Statement regarding a major upgrade to the NWS Taunton radar which will render it out of service Monday June 19th through Thursday June 22nd. Details on the NWS Taunton Doppler Radar major upgrade can be found via the following link:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201706151603-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Intense Heat and Humidity today with a Heat Advisory now in effect through 600 PM EDT for Western Essex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts will give way to a cold front sweeping through this afternoon and evening and severe weather potential followed by cooler temperatures for the second half of this week..
..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely across portions of Southern New England Tuesday anytime from around 12-1 PM through 9 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued the region in a marginal risk for severe weather for Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential..

Tuesday will mark the end of a string of hot and humid days as a cold front will move south over the region during the day on Tuesday. Instability will be quite high with sufficient heating and destabilization commencing across the area starting in the morning. The cold frontal timing is now expected to be a bit later and optimal in allowing for max destabilization of the atmosphere with the cold front moving through the region in the mid-afternoon through early evening timeframe from north-northwest to south-southeast. Wind shear profiles are marginal but will increase over the course of the day as the front moves through the region. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. SPC has the region in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around Noon-1 PM EDT to monitor severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message on this severe weather potential as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Heat Advisory Statement and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Heat Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely across portions of Southern New England Tuesday anytime between Noon and 8 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal risk for severe weather for Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon EDT to monitor severe weather potential..

Tuesday will mark the end of a string of hot and humid days as a cold front will move south over the region during the day on Tuesday. Instability levels should be quite high with sufficient heating and destabilization commencing across the area starting in the morning. The cold frontal timing is near optimal or just a touch early in allowing for max destabilization of the atmosphere. Wind shear profiles are marginal but will increase over the course of the day as the front moves through the region. This should set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. SPC has the region in a marginal risk for severe weather.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon EDT to monitor severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170612_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Cool and Wet Pattern may bring potential for heavier convective showers and isolated thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall and urban/poor drainage flooding. Also, strong wind gusts around the 40 MPH range, just below wind advisory criteria, are possible to likely particularly along East Coastal Massachusetts which may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages due to fully foliated trees. The strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will be overnight into Tuesday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong wind and heavy rainfall potential overnight into Tuesday Morning. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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