Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Southern New Hampshire, and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. Advisory level snowfall is possible across portions of Eastern New England away from coastal locations..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the late afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency..
..Across Southeast New England strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH and heavy rainfall with rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with locally higher amounts possible. The models are consolidating on a track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark which will allow for colder air to seep further south and east and has resulted in an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch into Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and the watch now also includes Southern New Hampshire. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the immediate coast. Strong winds remain likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England with heavy rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. Wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range are possible in the coastal plain.

The coastal storm is still about 1.5-2 days away and there is still a level of track differences between the different models but the track difference is closing. The last model runs have consolidated on a bit colder solution and one that would allow for significant snow occurring a bit further east into parts of interior Northeast Mass, Northwest Rhode Island and also further north into Southern New Hampshire. Further changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Future model runs will continue to better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday. The next coordination message will be issued by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow. Areas to the north and east could be impacted with advisory level snowfall..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Specific timing of activation to be defined as we get closer to this storm event..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the east of the Winter Storm Watch area. Strong winds will also be likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England.

The coastal storm is still about 2 days away and there is a wide envelope of storm tracks for the region. Changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Given the significant amount of travel being done on Monday and that confidence level is high enough for the potential of 6″ or more of snow over west-central portions of Southern New England, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this area. Future model runs will better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Specific timing of activation to be defined as we get closer to this storm event. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 11/24/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System will bring a period of heavy rainfall and strong winds to portions of Southern New England..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 2 PM Monday for Kent, Bristol, Washington, and Newport Counties of Rhode Island and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 7-11 AM for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide which may result in minor coastal flooding of the most vulnerable shore roads in the area..
..A period of heavy rainfall may affect the morning commute with nuisance flooding of the typical urban and poor drainage areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Monday Morning into the mid-afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on the Monday storm potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs..
..It is noted that a larger storm may impact Southern New England on Wednesday, the busiest travel day of the year. Specific impacts are still uncertain at this time but this will be monitored closely. Coordination Messages for this system could start as early as Monday Evening..
..Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Special Announcement: Final SKYWARN Training Class of 2014 – Sandwich Mass. Emergency Operations Center – Monday 11/24/14 – 7-10 PM

Hello to all..

We will have one last SKYWARN Training Class for 2014. This will be at the Sandwich Massachusetts Emergency Operations Center and co-sponsored by the town of Sandwich Emergency Management Agency. Details on the class are listed below:

Monday November 24th, 2014 7-10 PM:
Sandwich Emergency Operations Center (EOC)
270 Quaker Meetinghouse Road
East Sandwich, MA
Taught by: Amateur Radio Coordinator
Registration: Required RSVP via email: Rob Macedo-KD1CY – rmacedo@rcn.com and Sandwich Emergency Management Director Brian Gallant –  bgall3473@aol.com
Co-Sponsor: Sandwich Emergency Management

We look forward to the class and appreciate the co-sponsorship of Sandwich Emergency Management as they have been a strong supporter of the NWS Taunton SKYWARN program.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System is affecting the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall especially this afternoon and evening with strong to damaging winds likely in Eastern and Southeastern New England this afternoon and evening as well..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts particularly in elevations above 1000 feet for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for all of Rhode Island and North-Central Bristol, Western Plymouth, Norfolk, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..

A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm is bringing a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England particularly in the higher elevations, heavy rainfall for much of Southern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England as we get into this afternoon an evening. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system.

Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation and the potential for stronger wind gusts and those stronger wind gusts extending northward into East-Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as models depict a stronger wind field covering a larger part of the area. The wind threat remains contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 50s and lower 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. The trend has been towards a stronger wind field aloft. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.
4.) Position of the warm front. Some models bring the warm front further north which would allow the strong to damaging wind threat to expand farther inland. This will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System will affect the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall. Strong to damaging winds are likely in Southeastern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 AM-1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for Southeast Providence, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Bristol ad Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely anytime after 1-2 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..

A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm will bring a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England, heavy rainfall in Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system. Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation. The wind threat is contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. Some models have a stronger lower level wind field than others and the low level jet strength will depict the extent of the strong to damaging wind event. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely anytime after 1-2 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday Evening 11/13/14-Friday Morning 11/14/14 Light Accumulating Snow Event

Hello to all..

..Light accumulating snowfall remains likely across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start from west to east over much of Southern New England as rain changing to snow with a brief burst of heavier snow possible during the overnight in the west and near the Friday Morning commute potentially impacting the commute in eastern areas. Total snowfall of a coating-2″ is expected area wide with the potential of 2-4″ amounts over portions of Northwest Rhode Island, Central-Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 9 AM Friday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this event looking for snowfall reports early Friday Morning across the area. This will be the last coordination message unless a significant upgrade to the situation has occurred. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Evening 11/13/14-Friday Morning 11/14/14 Light Accumulating Snow Event

Hello to all..

..Light accumulating snowfall likely across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start from west to east over much of Southern New England as rain changing to snow with a brief burst of heavier snow possible during the overnight in the west and near the Friday Morning commute potentially impacting the commute in eastern areas. Total snowfall of a coating-2″ is expected area wide with the potential of 2-4″ amounts over portions of North-Central Rhode Island, Northeast Connecticut and portions of Central-Southern Worcester, Western-Central Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Northwest Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this event looking for snowfall reports early Friday Morning across the area. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Special Announcement: NWS Taunton MA Winter Weather Preparedness Week – Monday 11/3/14-Friday 11/7/14

Hello to all..

The week of November 3rd through November 7th was the NWS Taunton MA Winter Weather Preparedness Week. NWS Taunton issued 5 Public Information Statements on various subjects on Winter Weather Preparedness. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week web page as well as a listing of NWS Taunton Public Information Statements that has the text information from the Winter Weather Preparedness Week web page:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week Web Page:
http://www.weather.gov/box/WinterWeatherPreparednessWeek

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week – Public Information Statements:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/winter_weather_preparedness_11_8_14.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday Late Evening 11/1/14-Sunday Afternoon 11/2/14 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm On Track with strongest winds and another round of coastal flooding slated for Sunday Morning lasting into afternoon with a period of heavy rainfall and the possibility of some snow that could accumulate but the snow forecast is highly uncertain..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands and is expanded to Eastern Essex County through 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect through 6 PM Sunday for the remainder of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts and isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts through 1000 AM Sunday for moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide and a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1000 AM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday..

Over the course of Saturday, wind gusts in the 50-58 MPH range and isolated tree and wire damage have been reported. Pockets of coastal flooding were reported particularly over portions of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts from Scituate through Plymouth. Conditions will worsen as we get towards Sunday Morning as the wind speeds increase and another round of precipitation and another round of coastal flooding expected for the Sunday Morning high tide. The headlines of this coordination message depict the threats well. Below is the link to the latest Local Storm Report:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

There is now an uncertain risk for the heavy rainfall that will start overnight to mix with and change to a wet snow especially in parts of Eastern and Central Massachusetts north and west of Boston. Factors regarding the snowfall include:

1.) Where does a heavy band of precipitation develop as the storm intensifies and does that allow for cooling for snow and for the snow to accumulate.
2.) The ground temperatures for any snow to accumulate.
3.) Air temperatures and any cooling caused by the heavy precipitation.
4.) Wind direction and the ability for cold air to rush in and overlap with the heavy band of precipitation.

There have been reports this evening of wet snow flakes mixing in with the rain. This may be an indicator of the potential for colder air to lock in with a heavier band of precipitation but there remains high uncertainties in this scenario and this will be monitored closely when Amateur Radio Ops resume at NWS Taunton at 5 AM Sunday Morning.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday. This will be the last complete coordination message. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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