Hello to all..

..Confidence has grown further in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm..
..A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect from Hull Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-60 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts possible and 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion.
..Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should closely monitor the progress of Jose as he may bring wind gusts in the 30-40 MPH range and some rainfall which may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage across areas north and west of the current Tropical Storm Warning as well as minor coastal flooding issues in coastal areas north of the Tropical Storm Warning..
..A High Surf Advisory remains in effect through 800 PM Monday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island, Southern Bristol County, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. This advisory will likely be extended over the next few days in both time and areal coverage as Jose approaches Southern New England..
..Hurricane Jose is gradually weakening but has a large storm envelope and it will continue to become a larger system with an expanding rain and wind field and will continue to travel northward for the next couple of days and then turn toward the northeast and east around the 40 North/70 West benchmark later Tuesday Night and Wednesday..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of both Jose and Maria. These hurricane nets have now activated for Maria and her impact on the Caribbean islands Monday Afternoon through Wednesday and will continue to monitor the progress of Jose. Check out the Hurricane Watch Net web site at http://www.hwn.org and the VoIP Hurricane Net web site at http://www.voipwx.net for more information..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely some time late Tuesday into Wednesday Night with direct impacts in the tropical storm warning area similar to a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type system now likely..

Hurricane Jose is currently a 75 MPH category-1 hurricane and has continues its northward motion. Jose will gradually weaken and go below hurricane strength in the next day or two but Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field can continue to expand over the next few days. Jose will continue to track towards the north over the next day or two and then shift to the north-northeast and east and southeast in the 2-5 day period. Model guidance today has continued to hover around the 40 North/70 West benchmark or slightly to the west and north of the benchmark while a few models are little south and east of the benchmark. Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect for Southeast New England from Hull Massachusetts to Watch Hill Rhode Island along with high surf advisories as indicated in the headlines and the current expected conditions are that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter as indicated in the headlines of this message. Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should monitor the progress of Jose as areas just to the northwest of the Tropical Storm Warning could see minor coastal flooding at the coast and wind gusts up to 40 MPH with some rain which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Factors that are still in play with Jose include the following:

1.) The size of Jose has expanded and will continue to expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.
2.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Eastern New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Jose along with minor coastal flooding along the north shore of Massachusetts.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should be reviewing and implementing their preparedness measures for tropical storm conditions in and near the Tropical Storm Warning area. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips and a recently issued Public Information Statement on Tropical Storm preparedness can be seen via the links below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_ts_watch_jose_9_17_17.txt

Once again, Hurricane Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Hurricane Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wtus81.KBOX.html
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1709181532.wtus81.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

The next coordination message will be posted either by 1130 PM Monday Evening or 900 AM Tuesday Morning pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective and any changes to watches/warnings/advisories for the region.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Hello to all..

..Confidence growing in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm..
..A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect from Plymouth Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-55 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts likely with 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion. Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should closely monitor the progress of Jose..
..A High Surf Advisory is now in effect through 800 PM Monday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island, Southern Bristol County, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. This advisory will likely be extended over the next few days in both time and areal coverage as Jose approaches Southern New England..
..Hurricane Jose has gradually intensified and will either intensify slightly more or hold its intensity for another day or so before it gradually weakens. During this entire timeframe, however, Jose is expected to become a larger system with an expanding rain and wind field and will continue to travel northward for the next couple of days and then turn toward the northeast and east around or just north of 40 North latitude later Tuesday Night and Wednesday..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of both Jose and Maria. Since Jose is not near land, they are not active at this time. These hurricane nets will be activating for Maria and her impact on the Caribbean islands Monday Afternoon through Wednesday and will continue to monitor the progress of Jose..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely some time late Tuesday into Wednesday Night presuming direct impacts of some kind into Southern New England occur and the most likely scenario at this time is tropical storm force conditions in Southeast New England though there remains a bit of uncertainty with track and the wind field and if it will extend further into Southern New England..

Hurricane Jose is currently a 90 MPH category-1 hurricane and has continues its northward motion. Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field is expected to continue to expand over the next few days. Jose is expected to continue to track towards the north with some increase in forward speed and has gradually intensified and will either intensify slightly more or hold its intensity for another day or so before it gradually weakens. Model guidance today has continued to hover around the 40 North/70 West benchmark or slightly to the west and north of the benchmark while a few models are little south and east of the benchmark. Tropical Storm Watches are now in effect for Southeast New England along with high surf advisories as indicated in the headlines and the current expected conditions are that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter as indicated in the headlines of this message. Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should monitor the progress of Jose. Factors that are still in play with Jose include the following:

1.) Jose has strengthened a bit over the weekend and then will gradually weaken as it moves up to New England. Models are varying the speed of Jose on his closest approach to the region. This will effect ultimate direct impacts on weather in Southern New England in the late Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe presuming a close enough track to affect portions of Southern New England as currently indicated.
2.) The size of Jose has expanded and will continue to expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.
3.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Eastern New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Hurricane Jose.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips and a recently issued Public Information Statement on Tropical Storm preparedness can be seen via the links below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_ts_watch_jose_9_17_17.txt

Once again, Hurricane Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Watch Information Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Hurricane Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Watch Infromation Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wtus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

The next coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Monday Morning pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Hurricane Jose is expected to continue to at least gradually intensify or become a larger system and he is now moving more northward at this time. This northward motion is expected to continue over the next three days parallel to the US East Coast followed by a northeast and possibly eastward motion in 3-5 days. As the wind field expands, the possibility of direct impacts remain in Southern New England in the late Tuesday to Wednesday Night timeframe. Latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory mentions interests from North Carolina northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose with Tropical Storm Watches potentially posted for parts of this area in the next day or two..
..A High Surf Advisory is now in effect from 700 AM to 800 PM Sunday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island, Southern Bristol County, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. This advisory will likely be extended over the next few days in both time and areal coverage as Jose approaches Southern New England..
..The extent on specifics of other direct impacts besides swells and rip currents along the New England Coast remain uncertain but heavy rain, strong winds, Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are possible and the most likely scenario at this time understanding uncertainty remains is the potential for tropical storm force conditions for Southeast New England especially for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of Jose. Since Jose is not near land, they are not active at this time. As an aside, these hurricane nets may need to activate for Maria and her impact on the Caribbean islands Monday Evening through Wednesday..
..Interests in Southern New England should continue to monitor the progress of Hurricane Jose. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks continue the monitoring process. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible some time late Tuesday into Wednesday Night presuming direct impacts of some kind into Southern New England occur and the most likely scenario at this time is tropical storm force conditions in Southeast New England particularly Cape Cod and the Islands though there remains uncertainty with track and the wind field into this region..

Hurricane Jose is currently a 80 MPH category-1 hurricane and is now on the move to the north. Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field is expected to continue to expand over the next few days. Jose is expected to continue to track towards the north with some increase in forward speed and should at least gradually intensify or become an even larger storm system over the next few days. Model guidance today has shifted and congealed around a track around the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Some models are a little north and west of the benchmark while other models are a little south and east of the benchmark. The NHC advisory mentions interests from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose and that tropical storm watches could potentially be posted for parts of this area in the next day or two. A High Surf Advisory is now in effect for portions of South Coastal Rhode Island and South Coastal Massachusetts and this is likely to continue to be posted over the next few days as swell and rip currents from Jose begin and continue to effect the coastline. The model guidance consensus has improved since yesterday implying a potential for tropical storm conditions in the form of heavy rain, gusty winds and coastal flooding in Southeast New England especially for Cape Cod and the Islands pending the track, size and structure of Jose. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ continues to cover portions of Southern New England with the latest forecast package with Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts at most risk for direct impacts currently with tropical storm force conditions. The track guidance could still shift further to the east or closer to the coast in the next several updates as we are still 4 days away so there remains a level of uncertainty with conditions in the region. A few other key items for consideration as we continue to monitor Jose’s progress:

1.) Jose will strengthen a bit over the weekend and then gradually weaken as it moves up to New England. Models are varying the speed of Jose on his closest approach to the region. This will effect ultimate direct impacts on weather in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe presuming a close enough track to affect portions of Southern New England.

2.) The size of Jose will expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system. It is noted from the 500 PM EDT Saturday 9/16/17 advisory that the wind field is expanding.

3.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Southeast New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Hurricane Jose.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt

Once again, Hurricane Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Hurricane Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

The next coordination message will likely be posted some time Sunday pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Hello to all..

..Jose Regains Hurricane Status as of 500 PM EDT – Friday September 15th, 2017..
..Hurricane Jose is expected to continue to at least gradually intensify and he is now on the move to the Northwest at 10 MPH. It is expected to gradually turn North-Northwestward and Northward over the next few days and continue to move parallel to the US East Coast with the possibility of direct impacts in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe. Latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory mentions interests from North Carolina northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose..
..The extent on specifics of impact are too early to state at this time but swells and rip currents along the New England Coast are likely. Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are potential threats..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of Jose. Since it is not near land, they are not active at this time..
..Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Hurricane Jose. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks begin the monitoring process. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible some time Tuesday into Wednesday presuming direct impacts of some kind into Southern New England occur..

Hurricane Jose is currently a 75 MPH category-1 hurricane and is now on the move to the Northwest at 10 MPH. Over the next few days, Jose is expected to track more towards the northwest and northward with some increase in forward speed and should at least gradually intensify. Model guidance has shifted a bit closer to the coast with some reliable guidance bringing Jose to near the 40 North/70 west benchmark just south of Nantucket or perhaps within 10-20 miles of Nantucket Island. Other models are further west while others are still further east and there remains considerable spread in the guidance. The NHC advisory mentions interests from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose so that necessitates continuing coordination messages. Given the spread in the model guidance, it is too early to state any direct impacts with the exception of swells and rip currents along the New England coast which are likely as we get into the weekend and early next week. Heavy Rains, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding to South Coastal New England are all potential threats pending the track of Jose if a closer to the coast impact verifies Tuesday into Wednesday. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ now covers much Southern New England with the latest forecast package with Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts at most risk for direct impacts currently. A few key items for consideration as we continue to monitor Jose’s progress:

1.) Jose will strengthen a bit over the weekend and then gradually weaken as it moves up to New England. Models are varying the speed of Jose on his closest approach to the region. This will effect ultimate direct impacts on weather in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe presuming a close enough track to affect portions of Southern New England.

2.) The size of Jose will expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track and intensity of Hurricane Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt

Once again, Hurricane Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Hurricane Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

The next coordination message will likely be posted some time Saturday pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Hello to all..

..Tropical Storm Jose is expected to at least gradually intensify and after making a cyclonic loop 400 miles east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas, it will gradually move west and northwestward and then nothward parallel to the US East Coast with the possibility of direct impacts in Southern New England in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe. Latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory mentions interests from North Carolina northward to New England on the US East Coast should monitor the progress of Jose..
..The extent on specifics of impact are too early to state at this time but swells and rip currents along the New England Coast are likely. Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding and Beach Erosion along the South Coast of New England are potential threats..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of Jose. Since it is not near land, they are not active at this time..
..Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Tropical Storm Jose. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks begin the monitoring process..

Tropical Storm Jose is currently a 70 MPH tropical storm making a cyclonic loop to the east-northeast of the Bahamas. Over the next few days, Jose is expected to track more towards the northwest and northward with some increase in forward speed and should at least gradually intensify. Model guidance has shifted a bit closer to the coast with some reliable guidance bringing Jose to near the 40 North/70 west benchmark just south of Nantucket. Other models are further west while others are still further east and there is considerable spread in the guidance. The NHC advisory mentions interests from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose so that necessitates starting coordination messages. Given the spread in the model guidance, it is too early to state any direct impacts with the exception of swells and rip currents along the New England coast which are likely as we get into the weekend and early next week. Heavy Rains, Gusty Winds, and Coastal Flooding to South Coastal New England are all potential threats pending the track of Jose if a closer to the coast impact verifies Tuesday into Wednesday. The track error ‘cone of uncertainty’ is approaching Southern New England with the latest forecast package.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track and intensity of Tropical Storm Jose. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for tropical storm/hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt

Once again, Tropical Storm Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory information on Tropical Storm Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Tropical Storm Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

The next coordination message will likely be posted some time Friday Evening pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island and possibly into Eastern Connecticut today through late afternoon. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through late tonight from Worcester County through Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts west of the Cape Cod Canal for thunderstorms causing urban/poor drainage flooding to flash flooding in localized areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather and flash flood potential for today into tonight. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut but timing is for late Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has maintained the region in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats..
..As we get into later Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night, the severe weather threat wanes across western areas but heavy rainfall and localized urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding is possible across portions of Southern New England and there is a marginal risk for severe weather over a localized area of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts area for Wednesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor activity later this afternoon and tonight. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday for urban and poor drainage flooding and flash flooding..
..This message also contains a Special Announcement regarding Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net activation plans..

A strong cold front will be moving towards New England on Tuesday and will have sufficiently strong wind shear values and moisture pooling ahead of the front. The cold frontal timing is slower than originally projected and will now affect the region late Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night with the best timeframe between 5-10 PM. This may limit the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms as it will be towards the end of the peak heating cycle. An increasing concern exists for Wednesday into Wednesday Night for urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding from showers and non-severe thunderstorms during this timeframe with a marginal risk for severe weather and isolated severe thunderstorms across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to monitor activity late Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday into Wednesday Night. Another coordination message on Wednesday’s flood potential will be posted by 1130 PM EDT Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170905_1730.html

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Irma and impacts to the Northern Leeward Islands potentially extending to the British and US Virgin Islands and Puero Rico..

..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Evening and later this week into the weekend as necessary..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Irma..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:

http://www.voipwx.net/node/684

ARRL Web Story – Some Amateur Radio Preparations Under Way for Hurricane Irma:

http://www.arrl.org/news/some-amateur-radio-preparations-under-way-for-hurricane-irma

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats..
..As we get into later Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night, the severe weather threat but heavy rainfall and localized urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding is possible across portions of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely any time after 200 PM Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation of some type with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday..
..This message also contains a Special Announcement regarding Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net activation plans..

A strong cold front will be moving towards New England on Tuesday and will have sufficiently strong wind shear values and moisture pooling ahead of the front. While there will be some cloud cover, there is still expected to be sufficient heating for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and into Northwest Connecticut but could come as far east as the Boston to Providence corridor. The cold front will be slowing its approach toward Southern New England so areas south and east of Boston to Providence may see little to no rainfall. The headlines of the coordination message capture the severe weather situation well and the timing of the severe weather into the marginal to slight risk areas is between 2-10 PM on Tuesday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely any time after 200 PM Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation of some type with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM EDT Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170904_1730.html

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Irma and impacts to the Northern Leeward Islands potentially extending to the British and US Virgin Islands and Puero Rico..

..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Evening and later this week into the weekend as necessary..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Irma..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:

http://www.voipwx.net/node/684

ARRL Web Story – Some Amateur Radio Preparations Under Way for Hurricane Irma:

http://www.arrl.org/news/some-amateur-radio-preparations-under-way-for-hurricane-irma

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..The disturbance that was classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 will intensify as a non-tropical entity to become a nor’easter or ocean storm bringing strong to damaging winds and some rainfall to Southeast New England if the system tracks close enough to Southern New England..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to around 50 MPH. These winds will bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Wind Gusts around 40 MPH could occur in Southeast Plymouth into Southern Bristol County Massachusetts depending on storm track..
..A High Surf Advisory is in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands and expanded to include Washington County Rhode Island through 8 PM Wednesday Evening for high surf and dangerous rip currents for any people going to the beach during this timeframe..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for tonight through early Wednesday Afternoon..

The disturbance that was potential tropical cyclone 10 will intensify as a non-tropical entity into a nor’easter type ocean storm. Models consensus has been a bit further to the south but still close enough between the low pressure system to the south and high pressure to the north to allow for strong to damaging winds over the Cape and Islands and a period of rain particularly over the Cape and Islands with wind gusts to 40 MPH and light rain possible over Southeast Coastal New England. Rainfall amounts will be less than 1″ in most areas with some rainfall amounts of around 1″ or more on the islands and possibly the Outer Cape. High surf and rip currents will be an issue along the coast.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for tonight through early Wednesday Afternoon. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 is less likely to become a tropical entity but will intensify to become a nor’easter or hybrid type system bringing strong to damaging winds and some rainfall to Southeast New England if the system tracks close enough to Southern New England..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for Nantucket Island from late tonight through Wednesday Afternoon for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH possible. A Wind Advisory is in effect for Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds will bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. Wind Gusts around 40 MPH could occur in Southeast Plymouth into Southern Bristol County Massachusetts depending on storm track..
..A High Surf Advisory is in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 8 PM Tuesday Evening through 8 PM Wednesday Evening for high surf and dangerous rip currents for any people going to the beach during this timeframe..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for tonight through early Wednesday Afternoon..

Potential tropical cyclone 10, while less likely to become a tropical entity, will intensify as a non-tropical or hybrid system into a nor’easter type coastal storm. Models have been in two camps with one set of reliable models tracking near or inside the 40 North/70 West benchmark while other models are more off shore to the south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. A consensus blend is being used and currently this is expected to bring some strong to damaging winds to Cape Cod and the Islands with some wind gusts around 40 MPH possible in Southern Bristol and Southeast Plymouth County Massachusetts. Rainfall amounts will be less than 1″ in most areas with some rainfall amounts of around 1″ or more on the islands and possibly the Outer Cape. High surf and rip currents will be an issue along the coast.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system for tonight through early Wednesday Afternoon. An updated coordination message will be posted by 1000 PM EDT Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch and Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more