Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Saturday May 11th, 2013 Possible Severe Weather Event
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible to likely over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Saturday Afternoon and Evening if sufficient heating and destabilization can occur with sufficient shear profiles ahead of a cold front. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban to poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. Timeframe looks to be a bit later meaning after 300 or 400 PM Saturday Afternoon based on current models..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely late Saturday Afternoon and Evening. If no ops are initiated, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the potential for severe weather today..
Satellite imagery as of Noon today shows cloud cover over the region however some breaks in the clouds have been noted in New York and Pennsylvania. The key item that will determine any severe weather threat continues to be the amount of heating and destabilization that can occur as warm and humid air moves into the area. If sufficient heating can occur, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible to likely over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Saturday Afternoon and evening after 300 or 400 PM. The timing is a bit later based on current trends and model runs. The primary threats would be for strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely late Saturday Afternon and Evening. If no ops are initiated, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the potential for severe weather today. This will be the last complete coordination message on the potential Saturday Afternoon/Evening severe weather threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
“Like” on facebook: http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible to likely over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Saturday Afternoon and Evening if sufficient heating and destabilization can occur with sufficient shear profiles ahead of a cold front. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban to poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. Timeframe looks to be a bit later meaning after 300 or 400 PM Saturday Afternoon based on current models..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely late Saturday Afternoon and Evening. If no ops are initiated, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the potential for severe weather today..
Satellite imagery as of Noon today shows cloud cover over the region however some breaks in the clouds have been noted in New York and Pennsylvania. The key item that will determine any severe weather threat continues to be the amount of heating and destabilization that can occur as warm and humid air moves into the area. If sufficient heating can occur, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible to likely over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Saturday Afternoon and evening after 300 or 400 PM. The timing is a bit later based on current trends and model runs. The primary threats would be for strong to damaging winds, hail and urban and poor drainage flooding.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely late Saturday Afternon and Evening. If no ops are initiated, SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the potential for severe weather today. This will be the last complete coordination message on the potential Saturday Afternoon/Evening severe weather threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
“Like” on facebook: http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/wx1box