Storm Coordination Message #5 – Sunday Evening 2/1/15-Monday 2/2/15 Storm Potential
Hello to all..
..Major Winter Storm on track for Southern New England late Sunday Night through late Monday Night. Most significant change to this coordination message was to update for the Coastal Flood Advisory in the headlines and to add that to paragraph 3 of this message. Remainder is unchanged..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning from North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts north and west through the NWS Taunton coverage area for 6-10 inches of snow in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and 10-14″ in the rest of the warning area. Both the Morning and Evening commutes are expected to be impacted with the morning commute having the most significant impact..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-8″ of snow and up to one-tenth inch of ice. There will be mixed precipitation in this area that will hold down snow amounts but allow for light ice accumulations. If precipitation remains all snow, higher snow amounts will be possible. Even with mixed precipitation, snow amounts will reach warning criteria and the combination of snow and ice will make for hazardous travel..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket and Block Island Rhode Island from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning for 2-5″ of snow and around a trace of ice accumulation..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to Noon for Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties for minor coastal flooding of shore roads that will likely slow down blizzard clean up. This is not expected to be a major coastal flood event..
..SKYWARN self-activation will monitor the major winter storm on Monday beginning in the 530-600 AM ET timeframe..
A storm system affecting the midwest will be making its way towards Southern New England late Sunday Night around Midnight in the west and after midnight in the east and lasting for much of the day Monday. This storm system will likely dump a significant snowfall on much of Southern New England. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning from North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts north and west through the NWS Taunton coverage area for 6-10 inches of snow in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and 10-14″ in the rest of the warning area. Both the Morning and Evening commutes are expected to be impacted with the morning commute having the most significant impact. Snowfall rates of 1-2″ per hour are expected with some blowing and drifting of snow especially in the coastal areas of the warning where wind gusts could reach 35-40 MPH.
A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-8″ of snow and a tenth of an inch of ice. There will be mixed precipitation in this area that will hold down snow amounts but allow for light ice accumulations. If precipitation remains all snow, higher snow amounts will be possible. Even with mixed precipitation, snow amounts will reach warning criteria and the combination of snow and ice will make for hazardous travel. Strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH will be possible towards afternoon and evening in this area as well.
A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to Noon for Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties for minor coastal flooding of shore roads that will likely slow down blizzard clean up. This is not expected to be a major coastal flood event but vulnerable shore locations may be impacted with shore road flooding and this could affect blizzard clean up. The strongest winds are expected to remain near low tide and by the time the late evening high tide occurs, winds will be offshore. The best chance for any minor coastal flooding appears to be the late Monday Morning high tide after adjusting timing with the models.
SKYWARN self-activation will monitor the major winter storm on Monday beginning in the 530-600 AM ET timeframe. This will be the last coordination message for this major winter storm as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics with snowfall totals for the upcoming system:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Major Winter Storm on track for Southern New England late Sunday Night through late Monday Night. Most significant change to this coordination message was to update for the Coastal Flood Advisory in the headlines and to add that to paragraph 3 of this message. Remainder is unchanged..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning from North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts north and west through the NWS Taunton coverage area for 6-10 inches of snow in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and 10-14″ in the rest of the warning area. Both the Morning and Evening commutes are expected to be impacted with the morning commute having the most significant impact..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-8″ of snow and up to one-tenth inch of ice. There will be mixed precipitation in this area that will hold down snow amounts but allow for light ice accumulations. If precipitation remains all snow, higher snow amounts will be possible. Even with mixed precipitation, snow amounts will reach warning criteria and the combination of snow and ice will make for hazardous travel..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket and Block Island Rhode Island from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning for 2-5″ of snow and around a trace of ice accumulation..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to Noon for Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties for minor coastal flooding of shore roads that will likely slow down blizzard clean up. This is not expected to be a major coastal flood event..
..SKYWARN self-activation will monitor the major winter storm on Monday beginning in the 530-600 AM ET timeframe..
A storm system affecting the midwest will be making its way towards Southern New England late Sunday Night around Midnight in the west and after midnight in the east and lasting for much of the day Monday. This storm system will likely dump a significant snowfall on much of Southern New England. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 9 PM Sunday Evening through 1 AM Tuesday Morning from North-Central Rhode Island and Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts north and west through the NWS Taunton coverage area for 6-10 inches of snow in Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and 10-14″ in the rest of the warning area. Both the Morning and Evening commutes are expected to be impacted with the morning commute having the most significant impact. Snowfall rates of 1-2″ per hour are expected with some blowing and drifting of snow especially in the coastal areas of the warning where wind gusts could reach 35-40 MPH.
A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-8″ of snow and a tenth of an inch of ice. There will be mixed precipitation in this area that will hold down snow amounts but allow for light ice accumulations. If precipitation remains all snow, higher snow amounts will be possible. Even with mixed precipitation, snow amounts will reach warning criteria and the combination of snow and ice will make for hazardous travel. Strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH will be possible towards afternoon and evening in this area as well.
A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM to Noon for Eastern Norfolk, Eastern Plymouth and Barnstable Counties for minor coastal flooding of shore roads that will likely slow down blizzard clean up. This is not expected to be a major coastal flood event but vulnerable shore locations may be impacted with shore road flooding and this could affect blizzard clean up. The strongest winds are expected to remain near low tide and by the time the late evening high tide occurs, winds will be offshore. The best chance for any minor coastal flooding appears to be the late Monday Morning high tide after adjusting timing with the models.
SKYWARN self-activation will monitor the major winter storm on Monday beginning in the 530-600 AM ET timeframe. This will be the last coordination message for this major winter storm as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics with snowfall totals for the upcoming system:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box