Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Convective Shower/Strong Thunderstorm Potential – Thursday 3/17/16
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm remains possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation and NWS Taunton has put out a Special Weather Statement on the convective shower and strong to possibly severe thunderstorm potential..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today..
A strong upper level low pressure system is on track to affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. SPC has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:
1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential. Profiles are very dry which could limit thunderstorm development and limit the extent of convective showers.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating, moisture and the cold air pool aloft over the region
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today. This will be the last complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm remains possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation and NWS Taunton has put out a Special Weather Statement on the convective shower and strong to possibly severe thunderstorm potential..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today..
A strong upper level low pressure system is on track to affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. SPC has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:
1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential. Profiles are very dry which could limit thunderstorm development and limit the extent of convective showers.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating, moisture and the cold air pool aloft over the region
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today. This will be the last complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box