Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday Night 2/17/22-Friday Morning 2/18/22 Strong to Damaging Wind & Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..Strong storm system accompanied with warmer temperatures on track to bringing strong to damaging winds and a 3-6 hour period of heavy rainfall between 0.50″-1.50″ with isolated higher rainfall amounts to Southern New England Thursday Night into Friday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Thursday Evening through 9 AM Friday Morning for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible if temperatures are a bit warmer than expected or a fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms develops . These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Thursday Evening into Friday Morning for North-Central Rhode Island, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol,North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and expanded into Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Essex, Central Middlesex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible if temperatures are a bit warmer than expected or a fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms develops..
..Wind Advisories could be issued for areas outside the high wind watch and warning areas in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater, wind damage, and any rain gauge reports 1″ or more Thursday Night into Friday Morning..

A strong storm system will bring very warm temperatures to Southern New England with the potential for a period of heavy rain and strong to damaging winds to the region. The headlines depict current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Strong winds aloft mixing down to the surface. This would be amplified if temperatures remained unusually warm Thursday Night into Friday Morning in the upper 50s to lower 60s or if a fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms develop.
2.) Wind advisories could be posted for portions of Western New England not under any high wind watches or warnings.
3.) Rainfall is not expected to bring widespread flooding but typical urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall and snow melt could occur as the system moves through the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater, wind damage, and any rain gauge reports 1″ or more Thursday Night into Friday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Wind Gust Map..

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=NPW&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Max_wind_gust_map_issued_2_16_22.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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