Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday PM & Evening – 6/14/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain likely particularly north and west of the I-95 corridor in Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island as a cold front moves through the region Friday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail, heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England. Severe weather potential timeframe is 12 PM-9 PM Friday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. The Hartford-Tolland County SKYWARN Net will activate on the 147.345 Vernon, CT Repeater for this event due to lack of Echolink/IRLP capability on the 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater..

The first potential severe weather event for the month of June remains possible to likely particularly in interior Southern New England north and west of I-95. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the cold front to take advantage of maximum instability
2.) Any cloud cover from any early shower activity. At 9 AM, there are clouds and showers in Eastern NY that will sweep through Southern New England through the morning hours. Satellite imagery shows clearing behind it and models indicate a second round of activity that could be stronger. This will depend on how quickly showers sweep through the area this morning and the amount of clearing behind it.
3.) Ability for heating and shear to overcome other unfavorable instability parameters though latest model runs have shown some of those unfavorable instability parameters for severe weather potential are now looking more favorable

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. The Hartford-Tolland County SKYWARN Net will activate on the 147.345 Vernon, CT Repeater for this event due to lack of Echolink/IRLP capability on the 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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