Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will bring significant snow especially to interior areas of Southern New England with strong to damaging winds possible at the coast and the potential for locations near the rain-snow line to have a heavier wet snow that could cause tree and power line damage from wet snow load. Storm timeframe is from late Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Night..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Saturday Afternoon through late Sunday Night for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence, Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Essex, Middlesex, and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and wind gusts of 40 MPH. In the southern and eastern areas of the Winter Storm Watch area, the snow will be heavy and wet and that combined with wind gusts could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of strong winds and snow load..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Afternoon through late Saturday Night for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts, Southeast Providence and Eastern Kent Counties of Rhode Island for 4-7″ of snow and wind gusts of 40 MPH. In this area, the snow will be heavy and wet and that combined with wind gusts could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of strong winds and snow load..
..Additional Winter Weather and possibly wind headlines could be posted in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Saturday Night into Sunday for snowfall reports, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and any snow load/wind damage reports. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring the first significant snowfall to much of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking which include the rain-snow-mix line possibly being a bit south of the Boston to Providence corridor where Winter Storm Watches have been expanded into these areas. Key factors remain:

1.) The track of the storm as that will depict whether the rain-snow line is further offshore or moves inland into the I-95 corridor of Southeast New England. The trend on the rain-snow-mix line has been a bit southeast since yesterday’s update.
2.) The intensity of the storm as that will depict the strength of the winds and whether higher snowfall amounts can be realized over a portion of Southern New England.
3.) The speed of the storm as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Saturday Night into Sunday for snowfall reports, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and any snow load/wind damage reports. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter for the pictures/videos unless otherwise indicated. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Watch Statement/Snowfall Map, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement/Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will bring significant snow especially to interior areas of Southern New England with strong to damaging winds possible at the coast and the potential for location near the rain-snow line to have a heavier wet snow that could cause tree and power line damage from wet snow load. Storm timeframe is from late Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Night..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Afternoon through late Sunday Night for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence, Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Essex, Middlesex, and Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow and wind gusts of 40 MPH. In the southern and eastern areas of the Winter Storm Watch area, the snow will be heavy and wet and that combined with wind gusts could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage from the combination of strong winds and snow load..
..Additional Winter Weather and possibly wind headlines could be posted in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Saturday Night into Sunday for snowfall reports, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and any snow load/wind damage reports. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

A coastal storm will bring the first significant snowfall to much of Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The track of the storm as that will depict whether the rain-snow line is further offshore or moves inland into the I-95 corridor of Southeast New England.
2.) The intensity of the storm as that will depict the strength of the winds and whether higher snowfall amounts can be realized over a portion of Southern New England.
3.) The speed of the storm as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely Saturday Night into Sunday for snowfall reports, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and any snow load/wind damage reports. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feed or via the email address pics@nsradio.org Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Winter Storm Watch Statement/Snowfall Map, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement/Snowfall Map:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..A strong coastal storm will bring another round of strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall to much of Southern New England with the potential for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding to South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island late Sunday Night through Monday Evening. This storm system is more intense and will intensify significantly on approach and over Southern New England which means the potential for strong to damaging winds could be more widespread than the event early last week..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for late Sunday Night through Monday Evening for South Coastal Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts including Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. A High Wind Watch is now in effect from late Sunday Night through Monday Evening for Western Norfolk, North-Central Bristol, North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. Additional Wind headlines will be likely for other inland areas in future updates. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Sunday Evening to Monday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden and Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a widespread 2-3″ of rain with higher amounts of 3-4″ possible. These rains coupled with the rains from early last week bring the potential for flooding of urban, poor drainage areas, small rivers and streams. Areas outside of the Flood Watch area will receive a widespread 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts..
..A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for the Monday Midday High Tide for Southeast Providence, Eastern Kent, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding of shore roads in this area. Additional coastal flood headlines for South Coastal Massachusetts are possible in future updates. This will depend on the strongest winds coinciding before and during that high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge, flooding, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports for this storm system. The peak of the storm will be Monday Morning through mid-afternoon. Pictures and videos of storm damage and flooding and can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

Another storm system will bring the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall and the potential of minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding if the strong to damaging winds are before and during the Monday high tide cycle. The headlines depict the current thinking with High Wind Watches expanded to the I-95 corridor of Southern New England, Flood Watches posted for western and central portions of Southern New England and Coastal Flood Watches for the south coast of Rhode Island. Key factors include:

1.) This is a strong/deeper coastal storm system than the one early last week. With the storm last week, approximately 14,000 customers lost power in Southern New England with close to 9,000 in Massachusetts. The strong wind gusts forecast did materialize but were in pockets and isolated to pockets where heavier rain and convective showers brought the winds down to the surface. It was also noted that areas just inland of some coastal areas also had some of the strongest winds. Where this storm will be stronger and intensifying near or over Southern New England, it is becoming more likely that this will allow for winds of similar magnitude as last week but over a larger area which could create more scattered pockets of wind damage and power outages than the last storm event. Additional wind headlines are possible in future updates.
2.) Heavy rainfall and renewed potential for flooding is possible across portions of Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and possibly into Northwest Rhode Island with 2-3″ of rain with isolated higher amounts of 4″ where Flood Watches are now posted. A widespread 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are expected in the remainder of Southern New England with more nuisance type flooding possible.
3.) A Coastal Flood Watch is now in effect for South Coastal Rhode Island for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide if strong winds occur before and during the Monday midday high tide cycle. Additional coastal flood headlines for South Coastal Massachusetts are likely in future updates.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge, flooding, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports for this storm system. The peak of the storm will be Monday Morning through mid-afternoon. Pictures and videos of storm damage and flooding and can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Flood Watch Statement with Rainfall Map, High Wind Watch Statement with Wind Gust Map, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Flood Watch Statement & Rainfall Map:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NWS_Norton_Rainfall_Map_Monday_12_18_23.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement & Wind Gust Map:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..A strong coastal storm will bring another round of strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall to much of Southern New England with the potential for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding to South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. This storm system is more intense and will intensify significantly on approach and over Southern New England which means the potential for strong to damaging winds could be more widespread than the event early last week..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for late Sunday Night through Monday Evening for South Coastal Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and East Coastal Massachusetts including Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. Additional Wind headlines will be likely for inland areas in future updates. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages..
..Heavy rainfall of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts are likely in Southern New England with the higher end rainfall amounts in Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut. This will be monitored for potential flooding of urban, poor drainage areas, small rivers and streams..
..Minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding is possible at the time of the Monday high tide in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. This will depend on the strongest winds coinciding before and during that high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge, flooding, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports for this storm system. The peak of the storm will be Monday Morning through mid-afternoon. Pictures and videos of storm damage and flooding and can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org..

Another storm system will bring the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall and the potential of minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding if the strong to damaging winds are before and during the Monday high tide cycle. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) This is a strong/deeper coastal storm system than the one early last week. With the storm last week, approximately 14,000 customers lost power in Southern New England with close to 9,000 in Massachusetts. The strong wind gusts forecast did materialize but were in pockets and isolated to pockets where heavier rain and convective showers brought the winds down to the surface. It was also noted that areas just inland of some coastal areas also had some of the strongest winds. Where this storm will be stronger and intensifying near or over Southern New England, this may allow for winds of similar magnitude as last week but over a larger area which could create more scattered pockets of wind damage and power outages than the last storm event. Additional wind headlines are possible in future updates.
2.) Heavy rainfall and renewed potential for flooding is possible across portions of Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and possibly into parts of Rhode Island. A widespread 1-3″ of rainfall is likely with isolated higher amounts and the overall highest amounts in interior Southern New England. As we get into the higher resolution model runs, we will have a better idea of where the heaviest rainfall will occur in the region.
3.) Minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide if strong winds occur before and during the high tide cycle. This will be monitored for future updates.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rain gauge, flooding, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports for this storm system. The peak of the storm will be Monday Morning through mid-afternoon. Pictures and videos of storm damage and flooding and can be sent as a reply to this message, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds and via the email address pics@nsradio.org. The next coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, High Wind Watch Statement, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..Significant Multi-Hazard Storm on track to impact Southern New England late Sunday Afternoon through early Monday Afternoon with the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall leading to river/stream/urban flood potential, and the potential for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across portions of South Coastal Rhode Island & Massachusetts..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire NWS Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Sunday Afternoon to Monday Evening for 2-4″ of rain across the whole watch area and a band of 4-6″ of rain with locally higher amounts across portions of South-Central Connecticut and South-Central Massachusetts potentially leading to flooding of small rivers, streams and urbanized areas..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Eastern Plymouth, Southern Plymouth, Southern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island from 10 PM Sunday Night through 10 AM Monday Morning and for Cape Cod and the Islands from 10 PM Sunday Night to 1 PM Monday Afternoon for sustained winds of 30-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages likely..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening to 1 PM Monday Afternoon for Providence, Kent and Bristol Counties of Rhode Island, Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages likely..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 4 AM-8 AM Monday Morning for Southeast Providence, Bristol, Eastern Kent, Newport, Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Southern Bristol County of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along vulnerable shore roads in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..Some snow is possible Monday Morning into the early afternoon for portions of the higher elevations in Northern and Western Massachusetts. At this time, this looks confined to Northwest Franklin and Northwest Hampshire Counties where 1-3″ of snow is possible and an inch or less of snow elsewhere in the higher elevations but this will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater. Pictures and videos of storm damage, coastal flooding, river, stream or urban flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and/or Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..

A significant multi-hazard storm has potential to bring impacts to Southern New England Sunday Night through Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) How much winds will be able to mix down to the surface in Cape Cod and the Islands and coastal Southern New England as there are very strong winds aloft. Models have continued the trend of stronger winds in more areas so High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories have been posted and expanded.
2.) If a convective line of showers or thunderstorms forms and further supports mixing down of damaging winds to the surface and also enhances heavy rainfall.
3.) Strength of the low pressure system as it moves over Southern New England as that could also impact the strength of the winds. The stronger solutions that were in the model runs during the day have continued into Sunday Morning which is another reason for the increased and expanded damaging winds in the area.
4.) There will be a changeover to snow on the back end of the system with the greatest threat for heavy snowfall in Northern New England but will need to monitor the higher elevations of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts for snow on the back-end of the system as it winds down. At this time, snow accumulations are expected to be light but this will bear watching in case there is more precipitation on the back-end of the storm that would allow for higher snow amounts.
5.) Axis of heavy rainfall and whether it can cause river, stream and/or urban flooding in the Flood Watch area. Confidence is growing in potential flooding and there will be an axis of 4-6″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts in the Flood Watch area which is now being predicted to be across South-Central Connecticut and South-Central Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater. Amateur Radio repeater monitoring will be done during this storm event. Pictures and videos of storm damage, coastal flooding, river, stream or urban flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and/or Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated.

While the main focus of that monitoring will be Monday Morning through early Afternoon, we will have nets on the 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater at 8 PM and 10 PM Sunday Evening and on Monday Morning at 6 AM, 8 AM, and 10 AM. Additional nets could occur in other parts of the coverage area on Monday or repeaters will be monitored as needed for areas hardest hit by this storm.

This will likely be the last coordination message on this multi-hazard storm unless a significant update to the situation occurs and/or further Amateur Radio net schedules are defined and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NWS-Boston-Norton-Rainfall-Forecast-12_10_23_12_11_23_Rev_2.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement & Wind Gust Map:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NWS-Boston-Norton-Wind-Gust-Map-12_10_23_12_11_23_Rev_2.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..Significant Multi-Hazard Storm on track to impact Southern New England Sunday Night and Monday Morning with the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall leading to river/stream/urban flood potential, and the potential for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across portions of South Coastal Rhode Island & Massachusetts..
..A Flood Watch has been expanded and is now in effect for the entire NWS Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Sunday Afternoon to Monday Evening for 2-4″ of rain with locally higher amounts potentially leading to flooding of small rivers, streams and urbanized areas..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Late Sunday Night into Monday Afternoon for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM Sunday Evening to 9 AM Friday Morning for Eastern and Southern Plymouth, Southern Bristol County Massachusetts, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages possible. Additional portions of Southern New England could have some wind headlines in future updates..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for Southeast Providence, Bristol, Eastern Kent, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide along vulnerable shore roads in Southern Rhode Island. Additional coastal flood headlines are possible in future updates..
..Some snow is possible Monday Morning into the early afternoon for portions of the higher elevations in Northern and Western Massachusetts. Its a bit early to determine amounts at this time and will be updated in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater. Pictures and videos of storm damage, coastal flooding, river, stream or urban flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and/or Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..

A significant multi-hazard storm has potential to bring impacts to Southern New England Sunday Night through Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) How much winds will be able to mix down to the surface in Cape Cod and the Islands and coastal Southern New England as there are very strong winds aloft. Some models had backed off slightly on the winds earlier today but high resolution models are indicating stronger winds in this area and in other parts of Southeast New England and this bears watching if that trend continues.
2.) If a convective line of showers or thunderstorms forms and further supports mixing down of damaging winds to the surface and also enhances heavy rainfall.
3.) Strength of the low pressure system as it moves over Southern New England as that could also impact the strength of the winds. Again, some models had the low pressure a bit weaker this morning but that trend has reversed a bit in the latest model runs.
4.) The biggest through for any changeover to snow on the back end of the system is in Northern New England but will need to monitor the higher elevations of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts for any precipitation changeover.
5.) Axis of heavy rainfall and whether it can cause river, stream and/or urban flooding in the Flood Watch area. Confidence is growing in potential flooding

SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater. The next coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NWS-Boston-Norton-Rainfall-Forecast-12_10_23_12_11_23.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement & Wind Gust Map:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/NWS-Boston-Norton-Wind-Gust-Map-12_10_23_12_11_23.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Hello to all…

..Significant Multi-Hazard Storm on track to impact Southern New England Sunday Night and Monday Morning with the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall leading to river/stream/urban flood potential, and the potential for minor to low-end moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide across portions of South Coastal Rhode Island & Massachusetts..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect for Northern Connecticut and Western Massachusetts from Northern Middlesex and Worcester Counties west from Sunday Afternoon to Monday Evening for 2-3″ of rain with locally higher amounts potentially leading to flooding of small rivers, streams and urbanized areas..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Late Sunday Night into Monday Afternoon for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. Additional portions of Southern New England could have some wind headlines in future updates. These winds will have the potential to cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage with scattered power outages possible..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for Southeast Providence, Bristol, Eastern Kent, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide along vulnerable shore roads in Southern Rhode Island. Additional coastal flood headlines are possible in future updates..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater..

A significant multi-hazard storm has potential to bring impacts to Southern New England Sunday Night through Monday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking and there are no changes since last night but there will be changes in future updates. Key factors include:

1.) How much winds will be able to mix down to the surface in Cape Cod and the Islands and coastal Southern New England as there are very strong winds aloft.
2.) If a convective line of showers or thunderstorms forms and further supports mixing down of damaging winds to the surface and also enhances heavy rainfall.
3.) Strength of the low pressure system as it moves over Southern New England as that could also impact the strength of the winds.
4.) The biggest through for any changeover to snow on the back end of the system is in Northern New England but will need to monitor the higher elevations of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts for any precipitation changeover.
5.) Axis of heavy rainfall and whether it can cause river, stream and/or urban flooding in the Flood Watch area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with monitoring of Amateur Radio Repeaters is likely late Sunday Night through Monday Morning for reportable criteria on rain gauge reports, rain related flooding, coastal flooding, wind damage and measured wind gusts 40 MPH or Greater. The next coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Saturday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Flood Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
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