Uncategorized – Page 140

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday 11/28/14 Light Snowfall Event

November 28, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Light Snowfall Impacting Eastern New England This Morning into Early Afternoon..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until Noon for Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Western and Eastern Plymouth Counties for 1-4″ of snow. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 3 PM for Barnstable County Massachusetts for 1-2″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports through the day today. This will be the only coordination message on today’s snowfall unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Post Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Major Winter Storm for New Hampshire and Northern and Western Massachusetts

November 27, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Happy Thanksgiving to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators..
..Major Winter Storm blankets Southern New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts with 5-10″ of snow with higher amounts up to 13″. In New Hampshire, widespread tree and power line damage has occurred in Central and Southern parts of the state with over 200,000 people without power. In Northern and far western Massachusetts in the higher elevation and hill towns scattered tree and power line damage and scattered power outages have occurred with about 17000 without power per WEMCO and approximately 18000 without power per National Grid mostly in the Northern Massachusetts area..
..Lower elevation locations in interior Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut had 1-3″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in some locations that are up at 400-600 foot levels..
..Southeast New England sustained wind gusts of greater than 45 MPH and isolated pockets of tree and wire damage along with 1.5-2.5″ of rain from this storm system..
..Post storm damage pictures during Thanksgiving morning if it is safe to do so and without getting in the way of public safety or utility companies over Southern New Hampshire and Northern and Western Massachusetts will be helpful to understand the extent of damage for state, federal emergency management officials, the National Weather Service offices of Taunton MA and Gray Maine. Credit will be given to the spotter for providing the pictures..
..Another post storm coordination message will follow by Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement giving an overview of storm related damage and snow, rain, wind reports over the area as well as the WX1BOX last storm log issued at 1155 PM Wednesday 11/26/14..

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Snow/Rain/Wind Measurement Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Storm Reports Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_11_26_14.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #5 – Wednesday 11/26/14-Thanksgiving Morning 11/27/14 Coastal Storm

November 26, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong to damaging winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect Through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday Morning through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for 1-3″ of slushy snow accumulation. This is the area with the lowest confidence in terms of snowfall amounts but current trends with a closer storm track has reduced snowfall amounts in this area..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 2 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 3 AM Thursday Morning for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely to possibly 55 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 2 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 3 AM Wednesday Morning for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Bristol County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely. Areas north and west of the Wind Advisory area in Southeast New England will likely see wind gusts to 40 MPH. These winds have the potential to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Warning area and possibly the Winter Weather Advisory area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the mid-afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory issuance north and west of the Cape Cod Canal may see heavy rainfall change to a period of snow or mixed precipitation before the storm ends Thursday Morning with little to no accumulation..
..Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around 9 AM Wednesday lasting through late Wednesday Night for this coastal storm as the onset of precipitation is earlier than previously expected..
..Storm related pictures/video of snowfall and damage can be sent to our Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the pics@nsrdio.org email address with credit given to the spotter and the pictures and video shared with the media and emergency management unless otherwise indicated..

A Wind Advisory continues for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands from 2 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 3 AM Thursday Morning. This is a higher end wind advisory with wind gusts to 50 or possibly even 55 MPH possible and there is a chance of even higher wind gusts. The Wind Advisory is expanded to include South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Bristol County RI for the same timeframe. Areas in Southeast New England just outside the Wind Advisory area could see wind gusts around 40 MPH later this afternoon and tonight. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in the coastal plain. Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Precipitation is now moving into the region. Small deviations in track, speed, intensity of the system and the amount of cold air that is drawn into the system can still cause deviations to the current thinking and forecast particularly in the Boston to Providence corridor and eastern areas of the Winter Storm Warnings currently in place but the forecast based on current trends seems on track at this time.

Precipitation type and changeover information and where frozen precipitation is accumulating (paved surfaces and grassy surfaces or just grassy surfaces) will be very critical to this storm in addition to snow accumulation information. Also, if your elevation is known, that will also be helpful to draw any delineation that may be based on elevation.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around 9 AM Wednesday Morning lasting through late Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message issued on this coastal storm. Storm related pictures/video of snowfall and damage can be sent to our Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the pics@nsrdio.org email address with credit given to the spotter and the pictures and video shared with the media and emergency management unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Facebook Posting of a graphical briefing including graphical snowfall amounts:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Storm Briefing Via Facebook:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.718982938196080/718982668196107/?type=1&permPage=1

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #4 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thanksgiving Morning 11/27/14 Coastal Storm Potential

November 26, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong to damaging winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 AM Wednesday Morning Through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Hartford and Tolland Counties of Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and all of Southern New Hampshire for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday Morning through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Windham County Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for 6-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday Morning through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, and Suffolk Counties of Massachusetts and Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for 3-6″ of snow along with a trace of ice. This is the area with the lowest confidence in terms of snowfall amounts..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 2 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 3 AM Thursday Morning for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 to possibly 55 MPH possible. Areas north and west of the Wind Advisory area in Southeast New England will likely see wind gusts to 40 MPH. These winds have the potential to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Warning area and possibly the Winter Weather Advisory area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the mid-afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory issuance north and west of the Cape Cod Canal may see heavy rainfall change to a period of snow or mixed precipitation before the storm ends Thursday Morning.
..Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 9 AM Wednesday lasting through late Wednesday Night for this coastal storm as the onset of precipitation is earlier than previously expected..
..Storm related pictures/video of snowfall and damage can be sent to our Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the pics@nsrdio.org email address with credit given to the spotter and the pictures and video shared with the media and emergency management unless otherwise indicated..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. The headlines of the coordination message depict the current threats. Computer model runs have been in good agreement but its noted that 18z American model runs have trended a bit warmer and trended a bit further west with the storm center from near or outside the 40 North/70 West benchmark to near Nantucket or inside the 40 North/70 West benchmark which may affect precipitation type and accumulation amounts in the transitional zone area in the Boston-Providence corridor and Route 128 corridor and may bring some mixed precipitation to the eastern areas of the Winter Storm Warning area. This is only one model run and may not constitute a trend but this will be monitored closely. A Wind Advisory has replaced the High Wind Watch for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands from 2 PM Wednesday Afternoon through 3 AM Thursday Morning. This is a higher end wind advisory with wind gusts to 50 or possibly even 55 MPH possible and there is a chance of even higher wind gusts. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in the coastal plain. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts in the Winter Storm Watch/Warning areas, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

While the storm is now under 24 hours away from impacts, small deviations in track, speed, intensity of the system and the amount of cold air that is drawn into the system can still cause deviations to the current thinking and forecast particularly in the Boston to Providence corridor and eastern areas of the Winter Storm Warnings currently in place. Future model runs could cause changes in the forecast if the American models depiction at 18z becomes more of a trend or the current forecast could be supported if it is just one model run that shows a slightly closer track and more warm air wrapped into the system. Future model runs may continue to affect the current slate of warnings and advisories in place and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 9 AM Wednesday Morning lasting through late Wednesday Evening. The next coordination message will be issued if time allows by 830 AM Wednesday Morning. Storm related pictures/video of snowfall and damage can be sent to our Facebook and Twitter feeds, as a reply to this message or to the pics@nsrdio.org email address with credit given to the spotter and the pictures and video shared with the media and emergency management unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Facebook Posting of a graphical briefing including graphical snowfall amounts:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Storm Briefing Via Facebook:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.718728341554873/718727831554924/?type=1&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Coastal Storm Potential

November 25, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong to damaging winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday Morning Through 10 AM Thursday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Cheshire County New Hampshire for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Central and Northern Middlesex Counties, Western Essex, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts, Hillsborough County of New Hampshire and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible in northern and western parts of the watch area..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Suffolk, and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and Western Kent County of Rhode Island for 4-6″ of snow. This area will be near the transition zone between snow and rain and is low confidence on snowfall totals at the present time..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from Wednesday Afternoon through late Wednesday Night for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH possible. Coastal areas north and west of the High Wind Watch area will likely be put under wind advisories in future forecasts. These winds have the potential to cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the mid-afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency. Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch issuance north and west of the Cape Cod Canal may see heavy rainfall change to a period of snow before the storm ends Thursday Morning.
..Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 10-11 AM Wednesday..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. The headlines of the coordination message depict the current threats. Computer model runs have shifted slightly to the east which has allowed for a colder solution and the potential for more snow over eastern areas of the region which has meant an extension of Winter Storm Watches further east to near Boston and just to the northwest of Providence. The trend in the models will continue to be monitored as this will depict where the rain/snow line will be. Over Western Massachusetts, Southwest New Hampshire, and Northwest Connecticut, confidence is now high enough to convert Winter Storm Watches to Winter Storm Warnings for that region. The other notable change since the last update is that High Wind Watches have been posted from Wednesday Afternoon to late Wednesday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the islands as stronger winds are now expected as models depict stronger winds mixing down to the surface. Wind Advisories will likely be needed for coastal and possibly southeast interior areas north and west of the High Wind Watch area. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages in the coastal plain. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts in the Winter Storm Watch/Warning areas, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. Coastal flooding is currently not expected due to lower astronomical tides and the short duration of the strong winds at the coast. Heavy rainfall in Southeast New England may lead to urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

The coastal storm is still about 1-1.5 days away and there is still a level of track differences between the different models but the track difference is closing. The last model runs continue to have consolidated on a bit colder solution and one that would allow for significant snow occurring a bit further east possibly to near Boston and just northwest of the Providence area. Also, stronger winds are now expected in coastal areas and possibly some southeast interior locations. Further changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Future model runs will continue to better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses even further east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 10-11 AM Wednesday. The next coordination message will be issued by 1000 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Storm Potential

November 24, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm will affect the region Wednesday into Thanksgiving Morning with strong winds along the coast line and the potential for heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall possibly changing to snow before ending across the coastal plain north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Southern New Hampshire, and Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible. Advisory level snowfall is possible across portions of Eastern New England away from coastal locations..
..Locations in the Winter Storm Watch area will be monitored closely not only for the potential of significant travel impacts (worst in the late afternoon/evening) but also for the potential of isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow likely being of a heavy and wet consistency..
..Across Southeast New England strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH and heavy rainfall with rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow with locally higher amounts possible. The models are consolidating on a track near the 40 North/70 West benchmark which will allow for colder air to seep further south and east and has resulted in an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch into Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and the watch now also includes Southern New Hampshire. In addition to potential for significant travel impacts, the potential for isolated tree and wire damage due to the snow being heavy and wet will also need to be monitored. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the south and east of the Winter Storm Watch area away from the immediate coast. Strong winds remain likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England with heavy rainfall changing to a period of snow before ending north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. Wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range are possible in the coastal plain.

The coastal storm is still about 1.5-2 days away and there is still a level of track differences between the different models but the track difference is closing. The last model runs have consolidated on a bit colder solution and one that would allow for significant snow occurring a bit further east into parts of interior Northeast Mass, Northwest Rhode Island and also further north into Southern New Hampshire. Further changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Future model runs will continue to better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Rough start time for activation is around 11 AM Wednesday. The next coordination message will be issued by 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 11/26/14-Thursday Morning 11/27/14 Storm Potential

November 24, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

A coastal storm will affect one of the busiest travel days of the year with heavy snowfall in the interior and heavy rainfall changing to snow over portions of Eastern New England north and west of the Cape Cod Canal. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut and Western and Central Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow. The potential exists for advisory level snows to the east of the Winter Storm Watch area. Strong winds will also be likely along coastal areas of Eastern New England.

The coastal storm is still about 2 days away and there is a wide envelope of storm tracks for the region. Changes in the storm track could affect where the rain/snow line sets up, where the strongest winds occur and where the heaviest precipitation will occur. Given the significant amount of travel being done on Monday and that confidence level is high enough for the potential of 6″ or more of snow over west-central portions of Southern New England, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this area. Future model runs will better pin down snowfall amounts for the region and where the rain-snow line sets up and whether it collapses east through portions of Eastern New England. These future model runs may affect where additional watches, warnings and advisories are issued and expected snowfall amounts over Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton likely Wednesday Morning into Thursday Morning. Specific timing of activation to be defined as we get closer to this storm event. The next coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 11/24/14 Storm Potential

November 24, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System will bring a period of heavy rainfall and strong winds to portions of Southern New England..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 2 PM Monday for Kent, Bristol, Washington, and Newport Counties of Rhode Island and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 7-11 AM for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide which may result in minor coastal flooding of the most vulnerable shore roads in the area..
..A period of heavy rainfall may affect the morning commute with nuisance flooding of the typical urban and poor drainage areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions Monday Morning into the mid-afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on the Monday storm potential unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs..
..It is noted that a larger storm may impact Southern New England on Wednesday, the busiest travel day of the year. Specific impacts are still uncertain at this time but this will be monitored closely. Coordination Messages for this system could start as early as Monday Evening..
..Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Special Announcement: Final SKYWARN Training Class of 2014 – Sandwich Mass. Emergency Operations Center – Monday 11/24/14 – 7-10 PM

November 18, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

We will have one last SKYWARN Training Class for 2014. This will be at the Sandwich Massachusetts Emergency Operations Center and co-sponsored by the town of Sandwich Emergency Management Agency. Details on the class are listed below:

Monday November 24th, 2014 7-10 PM:
Sandwich Emergency Operations Center (EOC)
270 Quaker Meetinghouse Road
East Sandwich, MA
Taught by: Amateur Radio Coordinator
Registration: Required RSVP via email: Rob Macedo-KD1CY – rmacedo@rcn.com and Sandwich Emergency Management Director Brian Gallant – bgall3473@aol.com
Co-Sponsor: Sandwich Emergency Management

We look forward to the class and appreciate the co-sponsorship of Sandwich Emergency Management as they have been a strong supporter of the NWS Taunton SKYWARN program.

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential

November 17, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System is affecting the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall especially this afternoon and evening with strong to damaging winds likely in Eastern and Southeastern New England this afternoon and evening as well..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts particularly in elevations above 1000 feet for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for all of Rhode Island and North-Central Bristol, Western Plymouth, Norfolk, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..

A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm is bringing a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England particularly in the higher elevations, heavy rainfall for much of Southern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England as we get into this afternoon an evening. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system.

Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation and the potential for stronger wind gusts and those stronger wind gusts extending northward into East-Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as models depict a stronger wind field covering a larger part of the area. The wind threat remains contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 50s and lower 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. The trend has been towards a stronger wind field aloft. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.
4.) Position of the warm front. Some models bring the warm front further north which would allow the strong to damaging wind threat to expand farther inland. This will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

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