Hello to all..

..Hurricane Sandy pounded Eastern Jamaica and taking aim on Eastern Cuba and the Bahamas with tropical storm to hurricane force conditions likely in these areas. Sandy is expected to become a large storm system off the US East Coast of either tropical nature or of hybrid (both tropical and non-tropical) nature with potential significant impacts to much of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area..
..Multiple reliable computer weather models depict a powerful storm system of large and severe nature taking aim on portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US Coast. The potential exists for either a close pass from the storm resulting in strong to damaging winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding and isolated to scattered power outages or for a direct hit with strong to damaging and possibly hurricane force winds with possibly widespread downed trees and wires and power outages, significant beach erosion and  coastal storm surge flooding over several high tide cycles and heavy rainfall for the region..
..Interests in Southern New England should begin monitoring the progress of Hurricane Sandy. This message’s intent, at this very early stage, is to have folks begin the monitoring process..

Hurricane Sandy caused high end tropical storm to low-end hurricane force conditions across Eastern Jamaica. Sandy is now taking aim on Eastern Cuba and the Bahamas region. Sandy is then expected to move parallel but offshore of the US East Coast. Multiple computer models are depicting a scenario where Sandy, either as a tropical system or a hybrid/nor’easter system with both tropical and non-tropical characteristics tracks into either the northern mid-atlantic or Southern New England providing either a moderate to severe impact to the region. A scenario where Sandy moves out to sea continues to lessen as multiple models are agreeing on a solution with an impact to the Northeast and US Mid-Atlantic coasts.

The two more likely scenarios at this time are either a storm that causes a direct hit on the northern mid-atlantic where Southern New England sees a moderate impact of strong to damaging winds, isolated to scattered power outages and minor to moderate coastal flooding and beach erosion over several high tide cycles and heavy rainfall. The other scenario is one that tracks Sandy directly into Southern New England which would mean damaging to hurricane force winds, significant beach erosion and severe coastal flooding over several high tide cycles and even heavier rainfall. As stated previously, an out to sea track now seems the least likely track given model solutions tracking closer to the region.

The Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, WX4NHC, the VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net have been active since Wednesday Morning for Sandy’s impact on Jamaica and Eastern Cuba and up into the Central and Northwest Bahamas. See their respective net links for details:

VoIP Hurricane Net:
http://www.voipwx.net

Hurricane Watch Net:
http://www.hwn.org

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track and intensity of Hurricane Sandy. People should gradually begin reviewing their preparedness measures for storm force or tropical storm to hurricane force conditions as a precaution. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips via the link below:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurrpre.txt

Once again, Hurricane Sandy should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory information on Hurricane Sandy are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Sandy Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt33.KNHC.html

Hurricane Sandy Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt43.KNHC.html

Hurricane Sandy Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt23.KNHC.html

Hurricane Sandy Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font13.KNHC.html

The next coordination message will likely be posted some time either Thursday Morning or Thursday Evening pending further computer model data on the track of Sandy and significant updates to Sandy’s status as a tropical system from an intensity and transition to a hybrid system perspective.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

A 4.0 (originally recorded as 4.6) on the Richter Scale Earthquake occurred in the Sanford Maine area. Numerous Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters reported feeling the effects across the NWS Taunton Coverage area.

If you felt this earthquake in this region, please follow the instructions per this link or utilize the USGS national link (listed as the second link below):

http://www.bc.edu/research/westonobservatory/northeast/ifyoufelt.html

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/usb000d75b#dyfi_form

Information on this earthquake can be seen at the following link:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/usb000d75b#summary

Emails or filling out the USGS form per the web site links are likely preferred over voice phone calls.

Thanks for your cooperation!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator           
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Strong Storm system is still expected to bring a period of heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging wind and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area including Southern New Hampshire from 4 AM Today through 6 AM Wednesday for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated higher wind gusts are possible in higher terrain locations as well as some south coastal areas..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much Western and Central Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms for this evening into early Wednesday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 PM ET Tuesday Evening lasting through early Wednesday Morning..

A strong cold front will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and urban and poor drainage flooding. The focus of the activity will be during Tuesday Evening lasting through Wednesday Morning. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area including Southern New Hampshire from 4 PM today through 6 AM Wednesday. The strongest winds are expected in the Connecticut River Valley from 4 PM to Midnight and from 7 PM to 6 AM from the Worcester hills to the coastal areas. There is the potential for isolated higher wind gusts in higher terrain and coastal locations that may reach High Wind Warning criteria and this will be monitored through the event.

The Storm Prediction Center has extended the Slight Risk area for severe thunderstorms to include much of Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island. Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible later this evening and will be capable of damaging winds and urban and poor drainage flooding. This would likely be in a line configuration of storms affecting the area with convection capable of mixing strong winds aloft down to the surface. Other areas outside of the Slight Risk area in the NWS Taunton coverage area have the potential for an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm as well with this storm system.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 PM ET Tuesday Evening lasting through early Wednesday Morning for this storm system. This will likely be the last coordination message on this event unless a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Strong Storm system to bring a period of heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging wind and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Morning for strong to possibly damaging winds for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area except for Southern New Hampshire for southerly wind gusts of 45-55 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts over the higher terrain and south coastal New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 PM ET Tuesday Evening lasting through early Wednesday Morning..

A strong cold front will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and urban and poor drainage flooding. The focus of the activity will be during Tuesday Evening lasting through Wednesday Morning. A High Wind Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Southern New Hampshire for Tuesday Evening into Wednesday Morning. The strongest winds are expected in the Connecticut River Valley from 4 PM to Midnight and from 7 PM to 4 AM from the Worcester hills to the coastal areas.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Southwest Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms and the potential exists for Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and urban and poor drainage flooding. This would likely be in a line configuration of storms affecting the area. Other areas outside of the Slight Risk area in the NWS Taunton coverage area have the potential for an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm as well with this storm system.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 6 PM ET Tuesday Evening lasting through early Wednesday Morning for this storm system. Another coordination message will be posted by 830 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Potential remains for a significant severe weather outbreak across portions of Western and Central New England from Western Middlesex County Massachusetts through Eastern New York State, most of Southern New Hampshire, and most of Connecticut, particularly Western and Central Connecticut. Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely in Eastern New England from Eastern Connecticut through Rhode Island, Eastern Massachusetts and Southeast New Hampshire..
..The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has continued a Moderate Risk for severe weather over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts, and Western and Central Connecticut and a Slight Risk for severe weather exists for Eastern Connecticut, Rhode Island, Eastern Massachusetts into Southeast New Hampshire. Widespread pockets of damaging winds, large hail, urban and poor drainage flooding and an isolated tornado risk are the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM ET Saturday with the threat timeframe being mid-afternoon through late evening..
..ARES/RACES/MARS and other EMCOMM Groups should closely monitor the progress of this weather situation and seek consultation from local leaderhsip..

Satellite imagery is showing clouds with some breaks over the region and similar breaks with clouds over New York and the Mid-Atlantic area. The clouds are expected to thin out a bit more which should allow for sufficient heating and destablization with very strong wind shear over the area for a potentially significant severe weather outbreak. SPC has continued with a moderate risk for severe weather over Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts, and Western and Central Connecticut and a Slight Risk for severe weather exists for Eastern Connecticut, Rhode Island, Eastern Massachusetts into Southeast New Hampshire. Widespread pockets of damaging winds, large hail, urban and poor drainage flooding and an isolated tornado risk are the primary threats.

The expected scenario is that isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will organize during the afternoon and early evening hours and these could be discreet supercells capable of damaging winds, large hail, urban and poor drainage flooding and the isolated tornado threat would be maximized with these discreet cells. As we get toward early to mid evening, a squall line of severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds of at least 60 MPH and possibly over 70 MPH, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding will sweep through the region. The activity will be strongest over the Moderate Risk area but could also affect the Slight Risk area of Eastern New England in a weaker state as the cold front sweeps offshore of the region by Sunday Morning. The squall line is likely the biggest threat in today’s expected severe weather scenario but isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms out ahead of the squall line may pose the risk of an isolated tornado.

As mentioned in the prior coordination message, there are some factors to be contended with that could mitigate the threat. Some of the factors here include:

1.) Sufficient clearing to allow for heating and destablization over the course of the day Saturday across the region or the ability of jet dynamics and strong wind shear that is expected to accompany to cold front to overcome any potential lack of heating.

2.) Cold frontal timing may be past peak heating of the day which could be a mitigating factor unless favorably strong wind shear profiles have the ability to compensate for frontal timing if past peak heating.

It is noted that a previous moderate risk for severe weather earlier this summer resulted in no severe weather over the area. The factors in this scenario are different and appear a bit more favorable. Also, in general, the last 3 of 4 moderate risk areas have verified over our area and in the case of the last moderate risk area, it was verified across New York and the mid atlantic states.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM ET Saturday lasting through early Sunday Morning. The threat for severe weather is centered anytime from mid-afternoon through late evening. ARES/RACES/MARS and other EMCOMM Groups should closely monitor the progress of this weather situation and seek consultation from local leaderhsip. This will likely be the last coordination message for this potential severe weather event as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Public Severe Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and SPC Experimental Briefing from 600 AM today that will not be updated again but could be a useful briefing tool:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Public Severe Weather Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Experimental Multimedia Briefing in MP4 Format:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.mp4

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator     
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Potential for a Severe Weather Outbreak across portions of Western and Central New England from Western Middlesex County Massachusetts west, most of Southern New Hampshire and most of Connecticut. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary threats. Isolated supercells are possible if storms organize ahead of what is expected to be a squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms..
..SPC has placed portions of Western and Central New England in a Moderate Risk for Severe Weather with a Slight Risk for severe weather across Eastern New England. NWS Taunton is in agreement on a potential severe weather threat..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely mid-to-late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning..

The potential exists for a severe weather outbreak across portions of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the area of Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and much of Connecticut in a Moderate Risk for Severe Weather with a Slight Risk for Severe Weather across much of the remainder of Eastern New England. The severe weather threat surrounds a cold front in the Midwest United States which will enter the Northeast on Saturday and traverse off the coast by early Sunday Morning. Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms could develop by mid to late afternoon across the area ahead of the cold front. These isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms could allow for a supercell or two to form over the area. Following those storms, a long-lived Squall line of thunderstorms with damaging winds and large hail as the main threats could traverse the region.

As always with forecasting severe weather outbreaks, there are some factors to be contended with that could mitigate the threat. Some of the factors here include:

1.) Sufficient clearing to allow for heating and destablization over the course of the day Saturday across the region or the ability of jet dynamics and strong wind shear that is expected to accompany to cold front to overcome any potential lack of heating.

2.) Cold frontal timing may be past peak heating of the day which could be a mitigating factor unless favorably strong wind shear profiles have the ability to compensate for frontal timing if past peak heating.

It is noted that a previous moderate risk for severe weather earlier this summer resulted in no severe weather over the area. The factors in this scenario are different and appear a bit more favorable. Also, in general, the last 3 of 4 moderate risk areas have verified over our area and in the case of the last moderate risk area, it was verified across the mid atlantic states.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely anytime in the Saturday mid-to-late afternoon timeframe through early Sunday Morning. Another coordination messages will be posted by Noon Saturday. Below is the SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator     
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Read more

Hello to all..

The following is an announcement from KB1GHX-Glenn Field, NWS Taunton Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM), regarding the 13th Annual Southern New England Weather Conference on Saturday October 27th, 2012. The announcement is listed below:

Earlybird registration is now available through Sept. 9 for this year’s 13th Annual Southern New England Weather Conference.  The conference will be held on Saturday, October 27th at Meditech Corp. in Canton, MA (at base of Blue Hill), same place as last year.

The conference is sponsored by the not-for-profit Blue Hill Observatory Science Center.  We have a fantastic program lined up for this year.  Unlike previous conferences, which covered a wide range of meteorological topics, this year we are going to explore in-depth three major events that all happened in 2011: 

1) the June 1 Springfield/Monson/Brimfield Tornado
2) Tropical Storm Irene
3) “Snowtober” — the late October 2011 snowstorm. 

We plan to cover each event from several interesting angles.  For example, for the tornado, we will discuss meteorological factors; have tv meteorologists show media storm coverage; give a talk on the disaster surveying process and its challenges; and we will hear personal accounts from survivors and even a reverend who will discuss how he handled the spiritual healing for the bereaved and other townsfolk.  For Irene, we will have presentations from the CT Dept. of Emergency Services and Public Protection, by the East Haven Fire Chief (Cosey Beach had tremendous coastal flooding), by the U.S. Geological Survey, by NWS-Burlington and the Executive Director of the Blue Hill Observatory (who lives in Vermont), etc.  And for Snowtober, we will address some issues that may not first come to mind, such as air quality issues that resulted from use of wood-burning stoves… and Jet Blue Airlines will be there to discuss an operational airline perspective and the impacts of the storm (remember the stranded passengers at Bradley International Airport?).  National Grid will give a presentation on the wild weather of 2011 and its impact on the delivery of electricity (tornadoes, hurricanes, snowstorms each require different types of restoration planning). 

Assuming there is no major outbreak of severe weather the last week of October, our keynote speaker in the afternoon will be Dr. Greg Forbes, the Severe Weather Expert from The Weather Channel in Atlanta, GA to discuss the very severe 2011 that struck the entire nation.  Also, before the conference, we will be having a “Breakfast with Matt” with some tidbits about various weather websites.

The cost of the earlybird registration (collected by Blue Hill Observatory Science Center) is $89; after Sept. 10, it increases to $99…and registration onsite will be $109.  This includes a continental breakfast and a delicious hot lunch buffet provided by Rita’s Catering of Boston. 

Conference website: http://www.sneweatherconf.org
Conference agenda/abstracts/biographies:  http://www.sneweatherconf.org/2012Agenda.shtml
Conference registration:  http://www.sneweatherconf.org/confregform.cfm

Please share this with all of your colleagues/friends… or anyone else… it is open to the entire general public and is presented at a very understandable level — it’s not a conference just for meteorologists!  Thanks and hope to see you there.

— Glenn Field -WCM; NWS Taunton

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator     
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

Amateur Radio Hurricane Nets will be activated Tuesday Morning through Wednesday Afternoon for the impact of Isaac on the Northern US Gulf Coast. The details of those activation plans can be seen via the following links:

http://www.hwn.org
http://www.voipwx.net

Listen only information for these nets appear on their web sites. For those interested in reports received by the VoIP Hurricane Net from various resources, the following is a report viewer that can be seen as reports are entered:

http://report.voipwx.net/qilan/nhcwx/list_VOIP_records?auth=OK

We hope the Northern US Gulf Coast is spared the worst from this large and dangerous tropical system. Ironically, this system will be affecting the region on the 7 year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina though Isaac is not expected to be as bad as Katrina and the 1 year anniversary of Irene’s impact on Southern New England.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator    
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

The Boxboro Hamfest and New England ARRL Division Convention will be held Friday August 24th-26th, 2012 at the Holiday Inn in Boxboro Massachusetts. General information on the Hamfest/Convention including the complete forum program, schedule, dinners, vendors and other events can be seen via the following link:

http://www.boxboro.org

There will be a RACES/ARES/SKYWARN booth at the Boxboro Hamfest/New England Division Convention staffed by Eastern Massachusetts ARES, RACES, SKYWARN personnel who can answer questions on the various EMCOMM programs in Massachusetts and direct folks within the New England Division to resources within their section. Please stop by and visit the booth during the convention/hamfest. Sign-ups for ARES and SKYWARN and various email lists will be taken at the booth throughout the convention timeframe. Additional booths by other organizations will be present and see boxboro.org for more information.

The Hamfest and New England Division Convention will feature the following in regards to SKYWARN/ARES/RACES/MARS/EMCOMM related items:

-SKYWARN Training on Friday August 24th, 2012 from 1-4 PM in the Cotillion Room at the Holiday Inn in Boxboro. The session is open to anyone wishing to receive SKYWARN training and will count for full training class credit.

Emergency Communications/SKYWARN Presentations on Saturday August 25th, 2012 in the Seminar Conference Room:

-MA Interoperable Program Mike Neilsen – W1MPN from 9 AM-10 AM

-9/11 – A 10 Year Retrospective Steve Schwarm – W3EVE from 10 AM-11 AM

-SKYWARN Overview presented by Rob Macedo-KD1CY from 11 AM-Noon.

-ARES SEC (Section Emergency Coordinator) Forum moderated/presented by Rob Macedo-KD1CY with representation from various ARES Section Emergency Coordinators and their designees Noon-1 PM.

It is also noted that at the Boxboro Banquet on Saturday Evening August 25th, Connecticut TV Meteorologist Geoff Fox-K1GF will be the guest speaker.

Emeregency Communications Presentations on Sunday August 26th, 2012:

-Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines MARS Joint Meeting moderated by Bob Veth-K1RJV/NNN0FCC in the Cotillion Conference Room from 10 AM-Noon. Open to all Amateur Radio Operators

Once again, a complete forum schedule, vendors and other information on the Boxboro Hamfest/New England Division Convention are available via their web site at http://www.boxboro.org

We look forward to seeing many folks at the convention!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator    
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Night across interior Southern New England. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat is contingent on amount of instability and the overlap between the instability and increasing wind shear over the region. The Storm Prediction Center has the ‘See Text’ 5% severe weather probability over the area for Friday Night..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon through Friday Evening..

A Cold Front in Western New York State will approach the region from the west later this afternoon and tonight. There will be some instability over the region through heating and destablization before clouds increase ahead of the cold front. As the front approaches, wind shear profiles will increase over the region but the frontal timing will be towards tonight as heating decreases. The main question on the extent of any severe weather threat will be how much instability occurs during the day and remains into Friday Night and the overlap of that instability with increasing wind shear ahead of the cold front Friday Night. Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon in western areas extending into interior central and eastern locations overnight Friday Night with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. SPC has placed the region in the 5% ‘see text’ severe weather potential and NWS Taunton is in agreement.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Read more