Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday PM & Evening 8/3/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut though all interior Southern New England should monitor the potential this Saturday Afternoon and Evening between 4-11 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..A Heat Advisory is also in effect until 7 PM Saturday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for hear indices of 95 to 104 degrees. If outdoors, take frequent breaks if working, drink plenty of liquids and find cool areas to rest to avoid heat related illnesses..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for later Saturday PM and evening..

Yesterday, severe weather affected portions of Southern New England. Hardest hit was the Simsbury, Granby, West Suffield, CT area along with East Windsor CT. Other isolated damage were reported in parts of Western, Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Northeast Rhode Island. The WX1BOX Amateur Radio log and NWS Norton Local Storm Report are listed below:

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/reports_8_2_24.pdf

NWS Norton MA Local Storm Report:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/LSR-8-2-24.pdf

Today could have a similar scenario as Friday though a bit later in the day after 4 PM through 11 PM this Saturday Afternoon and Evening. The headlines depict current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Ability of heating and destabilization and marginal wind shear to compensate for other marginal instability factors to produce severe weather
2.) Timing of an impulse in atmosphere to trigger the instability and marginal wind shear for strong to severe thunderstorm development

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Special Announcement: 2024 Northeast HamXposition – SKYWARN Training & Other SKYWARN/Weather Related Topics at HamXpo’2024

Hello to all…

The 2024 Northeast HamXposition and ARRL New England Division Convention will be held from Thursday Evening 8/22/24-Sunday 8/25/24. There will be many interesting forums at this year’s convention. For complete information on this Amateur Radio Convention, please see the following link:
https://hamxposition.org/

We will have a SKYWARN/ARES/RACES table at the Convention as we have had going back to the late 1990s. In addition, there will be several SKYWARN and weather related topics including SKYWARN Training which will be taught by NWS Boston/Norton by recently named Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Frank Nocera and KD1CY-Rob Macedo, Eastern Mass ARES SEC & SKYWARN Coordinator and a perspective on 30 years of NWS-ARRL ARES partnership with Taunton/Norton Office by retired Warning Coordination Meteorologist, KB1GHX-Glenn Field.

The Convention is also honored and privileged that Matt and Danielle Noyes from their new digital weather venture, 1Degree Outside. They will be presenting about their new venture and the vital role Amateur Radio & non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters play with surface reporting during severe weather events and immediately following their presentation will be an Advanced Topics in SKYWARN Presentation combining Doppler Radar Fundamentals and understanding with how to gather critical surface and damage reporting via various techniques utilized within the SKYWARN and Amateur Radio communities during severe weather.

A list of the key SKYWARN and weather related presentations for Northeast HamXposition are listed below:

Friday 8/23/24:
100 PM: NWS SKYWARN and ARRL ARES: 30 Years of Support and Partnership in New England by KB1GHX-Glenn Field, retired NWS Boston/Norton WCM
300 PM: SKYWARN Spotter training by NWS Norton Warning Coordination Meteorologist Frank Nocera and KD1CY-Rob Macedo

Saturday 8/24/24:
100 PM: 1DegreeOutside: A Digital-First Weather Approach and the Vital Role of SKYWARN Spotters by Matt & Danielle Noyes
200 PM: Advanced Topics in SKYWARN – Doppler Radar Fundamentals & How You Can Help with Severe Weather Reporting Situational Awareness by KD1CY-Rob Macedo

There are many other topics related to ARES and Emergency Communications at the convention including presentations from the FEMA Region 1 Disaster Communications department. The full schedule of presentations can be seen here:
https://registration.hamxposition.org/Schedule/

The Convention also features a full Amateur Radio Flea Market and Amateur Radio vendors. For those that maybe interested in getting their Amateur Radio license, the convention has a “Tech in a Day” class on Saturday 8/24/24 and several Volunteer Examiner (VE) test sessions as listed on the schedule.

We hope many from the Amateur Radio community and even those outside of the Amateur Radio community can attend and see the SKYWARN/Weather related presentations and for those that might be interested in getting their Amateur Radio license, use the convention as an opportunity to get licensed by preparing ahead of time or take advantage of the Tech-In-A-Day licensing class offered. Thanks to all for their support!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Flood Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday AM 7/23/24 Severe Weather/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms and localized flooding of urban and poor drainage areas are possible over Cape Cod and the Islands potentially expanding elsewhere across Southeast New England from roughly Westerly to Providence to Newport and points east for overnight into early to mid Tuesday AM between 4-10 AM. Urban and poor drainage flooding is the primary threat but a secondary threat for localized wind damage or an isolated brief tornado and/or waterspout is a secondary threat..
..The key factors in this event is how far north rain and thunderstorms make it into the region. It could be centered over Cape Cod and the Islands, be further south across the islands or south of the islands or trend further north into the Westerly to Providence through Southeast Mass region. This will be monitored closely as the trend has been further north with this activity..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible early Tuesday AM for wind damage, flooding, rain gauge reports 1″ or more etc. depending on the track of this activity. This will be the only coordination message on this potential system for Southeast New England. Below are the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Special Announcement: SKYWARN Email List Issues Over the Past Year Will Be Addressed By the End of September 2024

Hello to all…

Please propagate widely to folks and we have posted this message at the top of our wx1box.org web site.

We have continued to receive a number of questions and problems with regard to our SKYWARN Announcement email list within the last few weeks and we wanted to provide an additional update. As stated previously, over the last year, we have had chronic email server issues with the SKYWARN Announcement list due to new spam prevention techniques launched by some of the larger email providers. At first, it was just Microsoft email addresses but it has now spread to Comcast and some gmail users as well.

Our email administrator, Phil McNamara, is looking to address the issue with a new email server that will have new hardware and software that should fix it completely by the end of September 2024. It has taken longer than expected due to unexpected technical glitches and vacation time of a key professional resource that has been assisting on the new email server software and hardware installation.  We are sorry for the issues this causes you or others that are on the announcement email list that haven’t been receiving messages and how its extended into September. All our coordination messages for severe weather are posted via https://www.wx1box.org and via our Facebook and Twitter feeds under WX1BOX on social media until we address the email issues being seen and this has been a standard protocol for years so please look to these sources if you don’t see emails regarding severe weather potential until this problem is addressed.

We appreciate your understanding during this time and we will send an updated message once the enhancements are completed. Thanks to all for your support of the NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN program and your support of Amateur Radio!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Heat Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday 7/17/24 – Severe Weather & Heat Wave Potential

Hello to all…

..Widespread severe weather event across Western, North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts caused just over 30,000 customers to lose power in Massachusetts at the height of the severe weather with more isolated activity in Northern Connecticut occurred on Tuesday 7/16/24. Any post storm damage reports, pictures, videos from this event welcome..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely across much of Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut possibly extending to the rest of Southern New England this Wednesday Afternoon and Evening between 4-10 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut into extreme Northwest Rhode Island in a slight risk for severe weather with with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England..
..Intense heat and humidity with a heat wave continues Wednesday and will end today. A Heat Advisory is now in effect through 8 PM Wednesday Evening for Eastern Franklin, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island except for Block Island for heat indices up to 101 expected. Drink plenty of liquids and seek cooler air conditioned areas as needed during the heat wave..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Wednesday Afternoon and Evening as needed. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. from the prior events on Monday and Tuesday and anything that occurs on Wednesday can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A heat wave started Monday in much of Southern New England and along with the heat wave, widespread severe weather event across Western, North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts caused just over 30,000 customers to lose power in Massachusetts at the height of the severe weather with more isolated activity in Northern Connecticut occurred on Tuesday 7/16/24. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms impacted portions of Western Massachusetts and the area from Hingham to Cohasset Mass on Monday 7/15/24. Any post storm damage reports, pictures, videos from these events welcome. The WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log and NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports from Tuesday and Monday are listed below:

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log – Tuesday 7/16/24:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/reports_7_16_24.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports – Tuesday 7/16/24:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/LSR_7_16_24.pdf

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log – Monday 7/15/24:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/reports_7_15_24.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports – Monday 7/15/24:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/LSR_7_15_24.pdf

The heat wave continues through Wednesday along with a final round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm potential for Wednesday as a cold front will move through bringing an end to the heat wave starting Thursday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for Wednesday include:

1.) Timing of the cold front and thunderstorms to move in close enough to max heating to take advantage of high levels of instability.
2.) Ability for the complex of strong to severe thunderstorms to sustain itself if it arrives later in the evening.
3.) Whether certain limiting instability factors can be overcome by other more favorable instability parameters similar to Monday.
4.) Level of wind shear is a bit less than the minimal criteria for severe thunderstorm development but may be overcome by factors 1-3.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Wednesday Afternoon and Evening as needed. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. from the prior events on Monday and Tuesday and anything that occurs on Wednesday can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the last severe weather coordination message as we shift into operations mode and a post severe weather coordination message or messages from prior significant severe weather events will be posted by the end of the weekend. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Heat Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 7/16/24-Wednesday 7/17/24 – Severe Weather & Heat Wave Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible across much of Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut possibly into Northwest Rhode Island Tuesday Afternoon and Evening between 2-10 PM EDT with the latter half of the time range the most likely time for severe weather potential. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has Western and Central Massachusetts, Connecticut into extreme Northwest Rhode Island in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather with the higher slight risk area further west into Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut for Tuesday. An enhanced risk for severe weather is just northeast of the Western Massachusetts border into Northeast New York and Southern Vermont for Tuesday as well.
..There is an additional chance for severe weather Wednesday Afternoon and Evening between 1-11 PM EDT as a cold front will bring an end to the heat wave. SPC has a slight risk for severe weather in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut with a marginal risk for severe weather across the west of Southern New England. This will be detailed in a coordination message by Wednesday Morning..
..Intense heat and humidity with a heat wave continues Tuesday through Wednesday as well. A Heat Advisory is now in effect through 8 PM Wednesday Evening for Eastern Franklin, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island except for Block Island for heat indices up to 101 expected. Drink plenty of liquids and seek cooler air conditioned areas as needed during the heat wave..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Tuesday Afternoon and Evening and Wednesday Afternoon and Evening as needed. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A heat wave started Monday in much of Southern New England and along with the heat wave, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms impacted portions of Western Massachusetts and the area from Hingham to Cohasset Mass. The WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log and NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports are listed below:

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/reports_7_15_24.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/LSR_7_15_24.pdf

The heat wave continues through Wednesday along with the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm potential for Tuesday, particularly in Western and Central Southern New England and for much of Southern New England on Wednesday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for Tuesday include:

1.) A complex of strong to severe thunderstorms known as a Mesoscale Convective Vortex or MCV will be moving through Southern Ontario Canada into Western, Central and Eastern New York during the late morning through late afternoon. The timing of this complex of the strong to severe thunderstorms into our coverage area or if strong to severe thunderstorms form out ahead of the complex in western parts of our coverage area near or just past the time of peak heating will determine coverage of isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in our area.
2.) Ability for the complex of strong to severe thunderstorms to sustain itself if it arrives later in the evening.
3.) Whether certain limiting instability factors can be overcome by other more favorable instability parameters similar to Monday.
4.) Level of wind shear is a bit less than the minimal criteria for severe thunderstorm development but may be overcome by factors 1-3.

The additional severe weather potential for Wednesday will be covered in future coordination messages most likely Wednesday Morning. The headlines give quick details on Wednesday’s potential as a cold front will end the heat wave over the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Tuesday Afternoon and Evening and Wednesday Afternoon and Evening as needed. This will be the only coordination message on Tuesday’s severe weather potential and a message on Wednesday’s severe weather potential will be posted by 1130 AM Wednesday Morning. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement & Facebook Infographics on Heat/Severe Weather:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/nmCK1tukqEu1Q6bE/

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather/Heat Coordination Message #1 – Monday 7/15/24-Wednesday 7/18/24 – Severe Weather & Heat Wave Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible across much of interior Southern New England Monday Afternoon and Evening between 2-9 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. There are additional chances for severe weather Tuesday and especially Wednesday of this week..
..Intense heat and humidity with a heat wave is also expected Monday through Wednesday as well. A Heat Advisory is now in effect through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Eastern Franklin, Worcester, Middlesex, Essex, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island for heat indices between 98-101 degrees. A Heat Advisory is now in effect through 8 PM Wednesday Evening for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island, Norfolk, North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for heat indices of 103 expected..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Monday Afternoon and Evening and Tuesday and Wednesday as needed. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

A heat wave has started today in much of Southern New England and with it will also come the threat of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over the Monday through Wednesday timeframe. Heat safety precautions of drinking plenty of liquids and finding a cool place from the heat as needed should be employed over this 3-day period. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for Monday include:

1.) Level of forcing and trigger in the atmosphere for strong to severe tstorm development.
2.) Whether certain limiting instability factors can be overcome by other more favorable instability parameters.
3.) Level of wind shear is a bit less than the minimal criteria for severe thunderstorm development but may be overcome by factors 1 and 2.

The additional severe weather potential for Tuesday and Wednesday will be covered in future coordination messages on that day.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will be done as needed for severe weather potential Monday Afternoon and Evening and Tuesday and Wednesday as needed. This will be the only coordination message on Monday’s severe weather potential and a message on Tuesday and Wednesday’s severe weather potential will be posted by 1130 AM Tuesday Morning. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, flooding, etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1, Day-2 and Day-3 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement & Facebook Infographics on Heat:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=802525465385785&set=pcb.802526062052392

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Saturday 7/13/24 – Heavy Rainfall/Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..A storm system will bring showers and embedded thunderstorms with heavy downpours which could lead to flooding particularly of urban and poor drainage areas..
..A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Norton Coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands for excessive rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage areas from late tonight through Saturday Evening. At this time the greatest risk in the Flood Watch area for flooding is along and south of the Mass. Pike and may also depend on heavy downpours training over the same area and in particular, urban and poor drainage areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio call-Up Nets are possible for flooding reports and rain gauge reports of 1″ or more over the course of the day Saturday. Pictures and videos of flooding can be seen as a reply to this email via the WX1BOX Facebook & Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Flood Watch Statement..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday Afternoon and Evening 7/9/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..A Heat Advisory is in effect through 8 PM Wednesday for heat indices of 98-99 degrees for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties northward. Use caution in the heat today, drink plenty of liquids and find a cool spot as needed today..
..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible for much of Southern New England except for Cape Cod and the Islands Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal risk of severe weather for Tuesday with the best chance of severe weather along and north of the Mass Pike. Timeframe is between 2-10 PM Tuesday..
..There will be additional potential for severe weather on Wednesday and this will be detailed in a future coordination message either later tonight or early Wednesday Morning depending on severe weather operations this evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Tuesday. Another more complete coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Tuesday Morning. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated.

Intense heat and humidity and a trigger in the atomsphere will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in portions of interior Southern New England. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The greatest potential in the marginal risk area will be along and north of the Mass Pike.
2.) Ability for heating, destabilization of the atmosphere from intense heating and sufficiently strong wind shear profiles to overcome other unfavorable factors to allow for strong to severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Tuesday. Another more complete coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Tuesday Morning. Pictures and videos of storm damage, hail, and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the last coordination message on Tuesday’s severe weather potential unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update as we shift into operations mode. There is potential for more severe weather on Wednesday and a coordination message on that potential will either be posted later this afternoon/evening and/or early Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Heat Advisory Statement and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Heat Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday PM & Evening 7/9/24 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible for much of Southern New England except for Cape Cod and the Islands Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal risk of severe weather for Tuesday. Timeframe is between 2-10 PM Tuesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Tuesday. Another more complete coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day2otlk_20240708_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

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