Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday PM & Evening – 6/14/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain likely particularly north and west of the I-95 corridor in Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island as a cold front moves through the region Friday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail, heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England. Severe weather potential timeframe is 12 PM-9 PM Friday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. The Hartford-Tolland County SKYWARN Net will activate on the 147.345 Vernon, CT Repeater for this event due to lack of Echolink/IRLP capability on the 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater..

The first potential severe weather event for the month of June remains possible to likely particularly in interior Southern New England north and west of I-95. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the cold front to take advantage of maximum instability
2.) Any cloud cover from any early shower activity. At 9 AM, there are clouds and showers in Eastern NY that will sweep through Southern New England through the morning hours. Satellite imagery shows clearing behind it and models indicate a second round of activity that could be stronger. This will depend on how quickly showers sweep through the area this morning and the amount of clearing behind it.
3.) Ability for heating and shear to overcome other unfavorable instability parameters though latest model runs have shown some of those unfavorable instability parameters for severe weather potential are now looking more favorable

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. The Hartford-Tolland County SKYWARN Net will activate on the 147.345 Vernon, CT Repeater for this event due to lack of Echolink/IRLP capability on the 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday PM & Evening – 6/14/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely particularly north and west of the I-95 corridor in Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island as a cold front moves through the region Friday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to Damaging Winds, heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats with hail as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and Northwest Rhode Island in a slight risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for the rest of Southern New England. Severe weather potential timeframe is 12 PM-9 PM Friday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

The first potential severe weather event for the month of June is possible to likely particularly in interior Southern New England north and west of I-95. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the cold front to take advantage of maximum instability
2.) Any cloud cover from any early shower activity
3.) Ability for heating and shear to overcome other unfavorable instability parameters

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely for the severe weather potential Friday Afternoon and Evening. Pictures of storm damage and flooding can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. The next coordination message will be posted by 1130 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day2otlk_20240613_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Special Announcement: 13th Anniversary of the June 1st 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak

Hello to all..

We have reached the 13 year anniversary of a historic day in Southern New England Weather History. The June 1st, 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak will be a day long remembered in weather history. This announcement recaps the tornado outbreak and the lessons learned that apply today. This message is leveraged from prior anniversary messages with some updates.

The June 1st, 2011 event was forecasted by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma as far as 5 days out. This is very rare for New England to be in a convective outlook past 3 days. The outlook of ‘Slight Risk’ for severe weather would continue right up through June 1st. As we got into June 1st, a fast moving area of rapidly developing severe thunderstorms ahead of the warm front affected portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts producing large hail. These storms quickly moved out of area and were a sign of things to come and how explosive the atmosphere was on June 1st. Abundant sunshine and rapid heating and destabilization coupled with extremely strong wind shear values, set the stage for a historic major severe weather outbreak in Massachusetts and other parts of New England. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma issued a Mesoscale Convective Discussion highlighting the need for Tornado Watches for much of New York and New England. The Tornado Watches would be issued and supercell severe thunderstorms would move into Southern New England.

Initially the supercells produced very large hail including hail slightly over 4″ in diameter in East Windsor Massachusetts, Berkshire County, which may potentially set the new record for the commonwealth as far as hail size but no tornadic or wind damage activity through 400 PM. This is when the supercell began to take shape in Western Hampden County Massachusetts and set the stage for the large, long track EF-3 Tornado that traversed the area from Westfield to Charlton Massachusetts for a 38-mile long damage path and was on the ground for 70 minutes. Three smaller tornadoes occurred in Western and Central Massachusetts from additional supercells moving through the area. Another area of supercells went through Northern Worcester County into Middlesex and Suffolk Counties producing Golf Ball Sized hail and pockets of wind damage all the way into the Metro Boston area.

June 1st, 2011 underscored how important Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters are to the warning process and how the timely severe weather reporting can not only help the warning process but can also help saves lives. The near real-time reporting of the large EF-3 tornado touchdown with initial preliminary reports in Westfield including from Al Giguere Jr.-KB1VNH, the actual spotting of the EF3 Tornado by several Amateurs including KB1NOX-Richard Stewart who was in a car with several other Amateurs, Western Massachusetts SKYWARN Coordinator, Ray-W1NWS, and the amazing remote webcam footage from WWLP-TV channel 22 in Springfield Massachusetts helped to tell people that not only was this a radar detected tornado but that it was definitely on the ground and doing significant damage. It is quite likely that many lives were saved by this near realtime reporting of the tornado being on the ground.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Nets were active on several Amateur Radio Repeaters including the 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater run by the Mount Tom Amateur Radio Club and with Amateur Radio members and SKYWARN Spotters from the Hampden County Radio Association also reporting into the net. The 146.970-Paxton Repeater run by the Central Massachusetts Amateur Radio Club was active for several hours as well. Both repeaters providing significant near realtime reporting for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes not only to the National Weather Service but also to the media, local, state and federal emergency management officials. The Amateur Radio Internet Radio Linking Project (IRLP)/Echolink system on the echolink conference *NEW-ENG* node 9123/IRLP 9123 was also active with liaisons from various Amateur Radio nets reporting into the network. While not in the NWS Boston/Norton (formerly Taunton) Coverage Area, the 146.910-Mount Greylock Repeater was active with Berkshire County SKYWARN as run by Rick-WA1ZHM with Walt-N1DQU providing information from the net into NWS. Net Controls for the 146.940 Mount Tom Net were Bob Meneguzzo-K1YO and for the 146.970 Paxton Net, John Ruggiero-N2YHK. N9SC-Steve Craven provided a critical liaison link from the 146.970-Paxton Repeater Net to the 146.940-Mount Tom Net during the tornadic outbreak. Many Amateur Radio Operators and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters reported severe weather conditions despite being at risk from these powerful supercells. We are forever grateful for the reporting that helped save lives. The outpouring of damage assessment pictures and videos and reports near and after the event was unprecedented. This clearly helped Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), local and state emergency management perform their duties to try and bring as many resources to bear on the significant path of destruction carved out by the tornado outbreak.

For the victims, today is likely a painful reminder of what occurred and what loses they faced in terms of property damage and possibly lives lost. Our thoughts and prayers remain to all those people that are affected and we hope that they have fully recovered and moved on with their lives after this tornado outbreak.

For those not impacted by such a significant event as June 1st and not impacted severely by other significant severe weather events that have occurred over the past decade, this is a reminder that we must all be prepared for these significant weather situations that occur at low frequency but can be with high impact. The more self-sufficient and prepared we are, the easier the situation will be if we are faced with such a significant scenario if it comes our way and potentially occurs in a more widespread way. For those SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators who have not witnessed such severe weather, this is why we train and prepare because we never know the hour or day where a critical severe weather report can help the warning process and save lives.

On a personal level, we never want severe weather like this to happen but if it has to happen, the level of commitment, support and reporting of the situation in near realtime on June 1st with a high level of precision and quality but also in the quantity that the reports came through in our network is a testament to all of you for remaining dedicated and supportive of the National Weather Service SKYWARN program. It is an honor and a privilege for myself and many of our Amateur Radio SKYWARN Coordinators across the NWS Boston/Norton Coverage Area to serve as leaders of the program and we appreciate everything you do, as without all of you, we wouldn’t have the SKYWARN program we have today in our region. Having been the leader of the program for over 28 years, this was our finest hour in supporting the NWS office and saving lives and it couldn’t have been done without all of your support.

Given the 13-year anniversary, here are some stories from SKYWARN Spotters, Amateur Radio Operators and others from this day as collected in the last few days leading up to this year’s anniversary and previous anniversaries:

Mike Rivers:
I chased that storm. Remember everything. Was a impressive weather day. Sad many lost a lot or all.

KB1MSJ-Bill Collins via WX1BOX Facebook Page:
I was in dispatch at MEMA that day constantly on the radios warning responders of the locations of these tornadoes.

Paul D Kaitz via WX1BOX Facebook Page:
I do remember this very well. Was working DCR fire control at the time.

Michelle Wright via WX1BOX Facebook Page:
A couple of family members were way too close to the tornado for comfort. I felt so helpless because I was unable to reach them to see if they were okay until two days later.

Steve Hooke – Norfolk County Task Force:
13 years ago today I responded to Brimfield with the Norfolk County Task Force to assist with search and rescue after the tornado hit. Only those who were there that night can really understand what we did and what we saw. The destruction was unimaginable. Those assigned to the task force that day have my ultimate respect.

Frank Cummings via the WX1BOX Facebook Page:
I visited a person in that area a few weeks after the storms. His house and property were essentially untouched. All that was left of his next door neighbor’s home was the foundation. and the devastation was widespread. The whole area looked like a game of Giant Pick Up Sticks – trees laying askew for as far as the eye could see and foundations left on lots stripped of almost vegetation. Terrible.

Gail Morrissey – Monson, MA – WX1BOX Twitter/Facebook Feed:
I live three houses down from a tilted one and was home when it hit. Not a fun experience. The upside down house, Judy and Doug’s, were up the street from me. I learned to be a weather spotter from you after this.

I was in Monson (still am) and was ‘in it.’ Lost my home and car in about 40 seconds. Crazy that I still remember every detail like it was yesterday.

Josh Adler – WX1BOX Twitter Feed:
Flew into these storms coming back from LAX to Logan. Single most turbulent flight I’ve ever been on. It was a wild ride!

Joe Sciacca – SKYWARN Spotter and Meteorologist for Precision Weather Forecasting, Inc.:
Here are my memories of June 1, 2011: I was a sophomore in high school at Austin Prep in Reading, MA. It was a Tuesday morning and I was on my way to school. Around 7:30 am I looked to the west and I saw huge overshooting cloud tops. I told my mom that today was going to be a dangerous severe weather day in Southern New England. Checking the radar before school started around 8, I saw a powerful line of thunderstorms in western New England moving east with hail reports. Little that I knew, that the hail was up to 4 inches in diameter. In my younger forecasting days, I had limited model data but the data that I had at the time indicated to me that this was going to be unusual setup. I saw alot of shear, a well mixed boundary layer, and high severe weather parameters. Around 10am or so, the line of thunderstorms moved into the Reading area and there was loud thunder and heavy rain. I checked the radar and satellite and saw clearing coming in from the west. When I saw the clearing sky, I upped my tornado threat to a 8/10 for central Southern New England. I told the kids in my class that a tornado will likely happen today in Western MA. They laughed and said “tornadoes don’t happen here”. As the afternoon went on, about 1 pm in my last class of the day I checked on the weather conditions in the region and I saw a tornado watch issued to our west I think in NY state. We had a entire afternoon of strong heating and destabilization of the atmosphere. Once school let out around 2 and on my way home closer to 3, I looked out to the west, and I saw massive cloud tops that I think were near 80 or so miles to my west from I-93 in Reading, MA. Once I got home, I tuned on the TV and then closer to 4, the tornado warnings started in western MA and it was several hours of live tornadoes on local TV stations like WHDH 7, NECN, WBZ, WCVB. At one point the EAS came on TV. That was insane for me who at the time was 16. It was impossible for me to do my homework that afternoon because of the severe weather and the excitement that I had of watching the TV meteorologist handle what was becoming a historic weather event locally. By time 10pm came, I remember the storms approached into Boston with a severe thundershower if I remember correctly. At this time I had to call it a day since I had school the next day.

Bob Yates – SKYWARN Spotter (Provided an additional photo from Brimfield from 6/1/11):
I volunteered for a few days delivering sandwiches and water from the church just after roads were cleared-

Eric Mikal Birkeland – SKYWARN Spotter:
The damage scar can still be seen by satellite after it snows.

Billy Doyle – SKYWARN Spotter:
I remember very well I was at Cracker Barrel in Sturbridge and a monson on call fire fighter was eating and his pager went off

Jeff Aborn – SKYWARN and Co-Op Observer – Provided Photos from the tornado path on the WX1BOX Tornado feed:
On the afternoon of June 1, 2011 an EF-3 tornado traveled 38 miles through parts of western & central Massachusetts. It caused damage in W Springfield, Monson, Brimfield, and Southbridge. Three lives were taken by the storm and 200 injuries. Jeff–Staffordville

We hope this remembrance makes people never forget what happened on June 1st 2011 and remind ourselves again that we must remain, prepared and vigilant especially here in New England where events such as June 1st can happen but on a low frequency basis. A June 1st 2011 video collage has been posted at our WX1BOX Video Youtube Channel with the direct link listed below as well as a June 1st 2011 tornado timeline video by SKYWARN Spotter Dan Butler. Also listed below is the NWS Massachusetts Tornado Summary, the NWS June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphic, the ARRL Story on the June 1st Tornado Outbreak, the NWS Taunton June 1st Local Storm Report and the Raw Storm log from the WX1BOX Amateur Radio Station.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Video – June 1st, 2011:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9dBRGRQx9bI

Dan Butler SKYWARN Spotter – June 1st, 2011 – Springfield Massachusetts Tornado – Warning: Please note light profanity in this video as there are livewitness videos as part of the timeline:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yvp7NGsxruE

NWS Boston/Norton June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphics:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=326947176276952&set=a.237876368517367
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/June-1st-2011-Massachusetts-Tornado-Outbreak_2022_infographic.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Local Storm Reports 6/1/11:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/lsr_6_1_11.txt

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statement – Tornado Classifications from 6/1/11:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/PNS_Jun_1_2011_BOX_TOR.pdf

ARRL Story from 6/1/11 – Central Massachusetts Experiences Rare Tornado, Area Hams Hasten to Help:
https://www.arrl.org/news/central-massachusetts-experiences-rare-tornado-area-hams-hasten-to-help

NWS Boston/Norton-WX1BOX Raw Amateur Radio Storm Log:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/storm_reports.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Start of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Hello to all…

Saturday June 1st, 2024 marks the start of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season is expected to be a well above normal season per the NOAA/National Hurricane Center, Colorado State University and other outlooks. To mark the start of Atlantic Hurricane Season, NWS Boston/Norton has published a Public Information Statement with the names of the tropical systems for 2024 as well as some tropical cyclone history in Southern New England and tropical cyclone safety tips. Also, the National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center in Miami FL will issue advisories on named systems, Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches and Warnings when a system threatens a land area, Tropical Cyclone Updates on named systems and Tropical Weather Outlooks for potential areas of tropical cyclone development and have issued a summary of their product services and Atlantic storm names in their 8 AM Saturday 6/1/24 Tropical Weather Outlook. The Public Information Statement and NHC Tropical Weather Outlook from 8 AM EDT – Saturday June 1st, 2024 is listed in the links below:

NWS Boston/Norton – Public Information Statement – Start of 2023 Hurricane Season:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/PNS_Start_of_Hurricane_Season_2024.pdf

National Hurricane Center – NHC – Tropical Weather Outlook of tropical names and Tropical Products/Services:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/NHC_Tropical_Weather_Outlook_1st_day_of_Atlantic_Hurricane_Season.pdf

It is noted that the threat of a hurricane to a land area in the Atlantic basin would cause the activation of WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio station at the National Hurricane Center, the Hurricane Watch Net on HF and the VoIP Hurricane Net on Echolink, IRLP and other VoIP modes. Web page resources for these groups are listed below:

WX4NHC – the Amateur Radio station at the National Hurricane Center:
http://www.wx4nhc.org/

Hurricane Watch Net:
https://hwn.org/

VoIP Hurricane Net:
https://voipwx.net/

Please use this time to prepare if a tropical system were to affect Southern New England and remember that the timely reporting of severe weather conditions during tropical systems can save lives and property and the NWS Boston/Norton forecaster and Amateur Radio teams appreciate all your support!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday PM 5/29/24 Through Late Thursday AM 5/30/24 Severe Weather and Localized Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong thunderstorms are possible this Wednesday Afternoon and Evening particularly in interior Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts but all areas should monitor. An isolated severe thunderstorm can also not be ruled out completely. Heavy downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding, small hail and frequent lightning are the primary threats with strong to damaging winds and larger hail as secondary threats.
..The timeframe for this activity is between 2-8 PM Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. After 8 PM Wednesday Afternoon into late Thursday Morning additional convective showers and isolated non-severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours could cause a localized urban and poor drainage flooding issues with the greatest potential in the Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. A general 0.25-1″ rainfall is possible but localized rainfall of 1-2″+ will be possible in areas that get heavier downpours..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible today for any strong to isolated severe thunderstorm activity Wednesday Afternoon and Evening and for any localized flooding issues into late Thursday Morning. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Afternoon & Evening 5/26/24 Strong Thunderstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong thunderstorms are possible this Sunday Afternoon and Evening across interior Southern New England north and west of the I-95 corridor with the greatest potential in interior Northern Massachusetts. An isolated severe thunderstorm can also not be ruled out completely. Heavy downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the primary threats with strong to damaging winds and hail as secondary threats. The timeframe for this activity is between 2-8 PM Sunday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible today for any strong to isolated severe thunderstorm activity this Sunday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Thursday 5/23/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening through around 8 PM Thursday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued most of Southern New England in a marginal risk of severe weather with the greatest potential now along and south of the Mass Pike and could include some coastal areas but all parts of the marginal risk area should monitor conditions today..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets remain possible Thursday for the severe weather potential..

A pre-frontal trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England Thursday setting the stage for potential strong to severe thunderstorm development. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of cloud cover which given current shower and thunderstorm activity over the area could limit the potential a bit but there still could be isolated strong to severe thunderstorms in the area.
2.) Timing of the cold front is a bit earlier in the day which means heating won’t be as maximized per earlier thinking but some storms have been severe in portions of Southeast New York and Southwest Connecticut despite the earlier timing so this will still bear watching.
3.) The coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the region will depend on the above two factors.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Thursday for the severe weather potential. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Afternoon & Evening 5/23/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening anytime between 12-8 PM Thursday. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed nearly all of Southern New England in a marginal risk of severe weather with the greatest potential in interior Southern New England from Boston to Providence north and west..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Thursday for the severe weather potential..

A pre-frontal trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England Thursday setting the stage for potential strong to severe thunderstorm development. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of cloud cover which is currently expected to be low enough for strong to severe thunderstorm development
2.) Timing of the cold front to maximize the heating of the day
3.) The coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms in the region will depend on the above two factors

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are possible Thursday for the severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730_prt.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Afternoon/Evening 5/8/24 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Southern New England this Wednesday Afternoon and Evening with the greatest threat in Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. Threat timeframe is roughly from around 1-8 PM this Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed all of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. The greatest threat within the marginal risk is across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut but the whole risk area particularly interior Southern New England should monitor the potential with hail being the greatest risk east of Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur as required based on any warnings issued or reports meeting the SKYWARN reporting criteria are received. Pictures of hail/wind damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated..

An area of showers and isolated thunderstorms associated with the warm front moved through the area this morning. Satellite imagery indicates areas of clearing that will potentially allow for heating and destabilization moving into Connecticut and Western Massachusetts. This will allow for the development of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in this area. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Amount of heating and instability overlapping cooling aloft and sufficient wind shear profiles for strong to severe thunderstorm development.
2.) Main threat area is Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut where storms will have the best chance to become surface based but east of this area, as storms become elevated could have the risk for some hail particularly in interior locations.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets will occur as required based on any warnings issued or reports meeting the SKYWARN reporting criteria are received. Pictures of hail/wind damage etc. can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org with credit given to the spotter unless otherwise indicated. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

Special Announcement: Severe Weather Preparedness Week – 4/22/24-4/26/24 & Prior Flood Awareness Week – 3/11/24-3/15/24 Web Pages & Public Info Statements

Hello to all…

The week of Monday 4/22/24 through 4/26/24 is Severe Weather Preparedness Week in Southern New England and last month from 3/11/24-3/15/24 was Flood Awareness Week. The links below bring you to the NWS Boston/Norton Severe Weather Preparedness Week and Flood Awareness Week web site pages and Public Information Statements issued during these preparedness/awareness weeks:

NWS Boston/Norton Severe Weather Preparedness Week Page:
https://www.weather.gov/box/severe_safety

NWS Boston/Norton – Public Information Statements – Severe Weather Preparedness Week:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/PNS_Severe_Weather_Preparedness_Week_4_22_24-4_26_24.pdf

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Awareness Week Page:
https://www.weather.gov/box/flood_safety

NWS Boston/Norton – Public Information Statements – Flood Awareness Week:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/PNS_Flood_Safety_Awareness_Week_3_11_24-3_15_24.pdf

We hope this summarized list of information is useful for severe weather and flood preparedness and awareness.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – https://twitter.com/wx1box
Subscribe on YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@wx1box-nwsboston-amateur-radio

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