Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England with heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams with the potential for strong to damaging winds and scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages Sunday Morning into Monday Afternoon..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening through Monday Afternoon for South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands for Southeast Winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65-70 MPH on Sunday Night and West Winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH on Monday. The High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday Evening to late Sunday Night for Southeast winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area. Total rainfall of 2-4″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. Rainfall closer to the 2″ range is expected in eastern areas with the heavier rainfall of up to 4″ with isolated higher amounts more likely over portions of the Connecticut River Valley and the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. This amount of rainfall and any higher amounts in thunderstorms could cause flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and smaller rivers and streams..
..SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds..

The potential exists for a significant coastal storm to affect Southern New England Sunday Afternoon into Monday Afternoon. The headlines of this coordination message detail the latest information. Key items that will bear watching as we get closer to this storm system’s impacts include the following:

1.) Exact track of the coastal system. Some models are indicating a track up the Hudson River Valley or Western New England while other models are closer to Eastern New England. This will affect where the heaviest rainfall occurs and how widespread the damaging wind threat is in the region.
2.) How quickly the storm system intensifies as it tracks into and north of the region. This will also affect the rainfall/flooding and damaging wind impacts.
3.) Influence of Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 and how much moisture and energy from this system interacts with the coastal storm and its explosive development.

As we get closer to the event, the configuration of watches will be changed based on the above 3 factors.

SKYWARN Activation is likely Sunday through Monday. SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm from Sunday morning through mid-afternoon with Ops at NWS Taunton likely centered around Sunday Afternoon into early Monday Morning followed by self-activation monitoring into Monday Afternoon for continued threat of strong winds. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch and Flash Flood Watch Statements, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experiemental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and the WX1BOX Facebook Infographics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1522247687869597

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. There is a very low risk for an isolated and brief tornado in the coverage area as a secondary risk..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts for localized flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and flashier small streams and rivers..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from Noon Tuesday to 11 AM Wednesday for sustained winds of 10-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

There have been no significant changes to watches and advisories across the area at this time. There could be a need for expansion of the Flash Flood Watch into other parts of Southern New England in future updates and the severe weather concerns will be monitored.

Confidence continues on wind gusts up to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts in stronger convective showers and thunderstorms as well as the potential for convective heavy rainfall in a relatively short period of time resulting in Flash Flooding. A Wind Advisory remains posted for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area from Noon Tuesday through 11 AM Wednesday Morning along with a Flash Flood Watch for Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut from Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. The headlines have additional info on the potential. SPC has maintained the marginal to slight risk for severe weather across portions of Southern New England in the Tuesday Afternoon to early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. This will likely be the last complete coordination message on this weather situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for that update. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Facebook Infographics and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1518627524898280

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. There is a very low risk for an isolated and brief tornado in the coverage area as a secondary risk..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Morning for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts for localized flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and flashier small streams and rivers..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area from Noon Tuesday to 11 AM Wednesday for sustained winds of 10-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

Several updates with this coordination message as confidence is growing on wind gusts up to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts in stronger convective showers and thunderstorms as well as the potential for convective heavy rainfall in a relatively short period of time resulting in Flash Flooding. A Wind Advisory is now posted for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area from Noon Tuesday through 11 AM Wednesday Morning along with a Flash Flood Watch for Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut from Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. The headlines have additional info on the potential. SPC has maintained the marginal to slight risk for severe weather across portions of Southern New England in the Tuesday Afternoon to early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Facebook Infographics and SPC Day-2 and Day-3 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/posts/1518221631605536

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

A strong cold front will slowly move through New England as we get into the Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. The front will be accompanied by heavy rainfall and the potential for convective showers and even isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms which will have the potential to bring strong winds down to the surface in addition to heavy rainfall and there will also be the potential for general strong to damaging winds as the front moves through which could result in Wind headlines in future updates. With the dry conditions, the rainfall in some sense is much needed but could fall in a short period of time which could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding. The headlines of the coordination message cover the situation well including the marginal to slight risk for severe weather over Southern New England over the next couple of days.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 and Day-3 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

The Southern New England Weather Conference will take place Saturday November 4th, 2017. The conference will be held at the Meditech Facility in Foxboro, Massachusetts. Some of the topics that will be covered in 2017 include:

-TV Meteorologist Panel Discussion
-Tribute to Dick Albert
-Ready for Hurricane Rhody?
-Two Unusual Tornadoes: Concord, MA (2016) & Conway, MA (2017)

The agenda for the Southern New England Weather Conference can be seen via the following link:
http://www.sneweatherconf.org/2017Agenda.pdf

Registration Fees:
Student/Teacher/Military/Blue Hill Observatory Member Registration: $99
Regular Registration: $109

To register go to the main Southern New England Weather Conference link at http://www.sneweatherconf.org/ and click the “Click here to register for conference” link.

We hope to see many of you at the 2017 Southern New England Weather Conference!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

There are two Fall SKYWARN Training Classes available during the next few weeks. Below is the list of locations which can also be seen at the following link:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/36

Monday October 16th, 2017 – 700-900 PM:
Memorial Hall
198 Main Street
Monson, MA
Taught by: NWS Forecasters
Registration: None Required

Saturday October 21st, 2017: 1000 AM-1230 PM:
Brockton EMA Office – War Memorial Building
156 West Elm Street
Brockton, MA
Taught by: Amateur Radio Coordinator
Sponsored by: Brockton Emergency Management Agency
Registration: Pre-registration required – email bematraining@cobma.us

Tuesday October 24th, 2017: 630-830 PM:
Leominster Emergency Management Classroom A
37 Carter Street
Leominster, MA
Taught by: NWS Taunton Forecasters
Registration: None Required

Wednesday November 1st, 2017: 700-930 PM:
JF Kennedy Middle School Auditorium
1071 South Main Street
Southington (Plantsville), CT
Taught by: Amateur Radio Coordinator
Sponsored by: Southington CERT Team
Registration: None Required

Please spread the word on the two Fall classes available. A full slate of SKYWARN Classes will be offered again in the Spring to Summer of 2018.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Post Tropical Storm Jose Message updated for the NWS Taunton Post Tropical Cyclone Report on Jose with a link provided below. An update to the Jose photo album will likely occur between now and this weekend. This will be the last Post Tropical Storm Jose coordination message unless a significant change to the data occurs..
..Tropical Storm Jose brought pockets of tree and wire damage, isolated power outages, pockets of coastal flooding and very high surf conditions and heavy rainfall and minor street flooding issues to Southern New England..
..Any photos and videos can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org and will be added to the WX1BOX Facebook Album and posted on the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds with credit given to the Amateur Radio Operator/SKYWARN Spotter for the photo/video.
..The following is a compilation of all reports of damage, rainfall etc. as provided by SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators from across the region. This includes the NWS Taunton Local Storm Report, Public Information Statement and Post Tropical Cyclone Jose report, WX1BOX Facebook Album and WX1BOX raw Amateur Radio log..

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports – Wind Damage/Flooding/Wind Gust/High Sustained Wind Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_9_22_17_516PM_jose_reports.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_spotter_reports_9_23_17_1007_am.txt

NWS Taunton Post Tropical Cyclone Jose Report:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/PSH_9_26_17_Jose.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1701080463259298

WX1BOX Raw Amateur Radio Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_9_23_17_jose.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Tropical Storm Jose brought pockets of tree and wire damage, isolated power outages, pockets of coastal flooding and very high surf conditions and heavy rainfall and minor street flooding issues to Southern New England..
..Any photos and videos can be sent as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds or via the email address pics@nsradio.org and will be added to the WX1BOX Facebook Album and posted on the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds with credit given to the Amateur Radio Operator/SKYWARN Spotter for the photo/video.
..The following is a compilation of all reports of damage, rainfall etc. as provided by SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators from across the region. This includes the NWS Taunton Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement, WX1BOX Facebook Album and WX1BOX raw Amateur Radio log. This coordination message will be updated once more when the NWS Taunton Post Tropical Storm Jose report is issued..

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports – Wind Damage/Flooding/Wind Gust/High Sustained Wind Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_9_22_17_516PM_jose_reports.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_spotter_reports_9_23_17_1007_am.txt

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1701080463259298

WX1BOX Raw Amateur Radio Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_9_23_17_jose.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

 

Read more

Hello to all..

..Hurricane Jose weakens to a tropical storm. Confidence continues in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm but more confined to the Cape and Islands with some wind effects farther north and west. Wind effects expected to last through early Thursday Evening..
..The Tropical Storm Warning from Hull Massachusetts southward to Sagamore Beach and west of Woods Hole has been discontinued meaning the Tropical Storm Warning for Newport and Washington Counties Rhode Island and southern Bristol and Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties is discontinued..
..A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Sagamore Beach Massachusetts to Woods Hole Massachusetts and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-60 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts possible and 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion..
..A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Barnstable and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for 2-5″ of rain with isolated higher amounts..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 1000 AM Wednesday Morning through 6 PM Thursday for all of Rhode Island except Northwest Rhode Island and Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts up to 45 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible along the coastal areas and at Blue Hill. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 11AM to 3PM Wednesday for Eastern Plymouth County for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide Wednesday..
..A High Surf Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Essex, Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island through County Massachusetts through 8 AM Friday for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Tropical Storm Jose. The High Surf Advisory was expanded back into parts of East and South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island due to discontinuing the Tropical Storm Warning for these areas..
..Tropical Storm Jose will continue to gradually weaken in 1-2 days and become post tropical in about 2 days but has a large storm envelope and it will continue to become a larger system with an expanding rain and wind field and will continue to travel northward-northeastward for the next day or so and then turn toward the northeast south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark Wednesday into Thursday. On this track, the stronger impacts will stay offshore for a time but because Jose is expanding and will expand further when it becomes post tropical. prolonged period of strong wind gusts will continue in the Tropical Storm Warning and Wind Adivsory areas into Thursday..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of both Jose and Maria. These hurricane nets are activated for Maria and will remain active through late Wednesday Night for Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands and will continue to monitor the progress of Jose. Check out the Hurricane Watch Net web site at http://www.hwn.org and the VoIP Hurricane Net web site at http://www.voipwx.net for more information..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor any increase of winds and the coastal flood potential for Tuesday Evening and now through Wednesday Morning. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely but may not commence until Wednesday Afternoon. Shortened coordination messages will be sent updating the SKYWARN Activation status since the winds may occur over a prolonged basis..

Tropical Storm Jose is currently a 70 MPH tropical storm and is moving northeastward. Jose will gradually weaken over the next day or two but Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field can continue to expand over the next few days. Jose will continue to track to the northeast and east and southeast in the 2-5 day period likely becoming post tropical in about 2 days. Model guidance today has shifted south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark which caused adjustments to the tropical storm warning area to be focused on the Cape and Islands region but Wind Advisories, Heavy Surf Advisories and Coastal Flood Advisories posted further north and west across the coverage area as Jose becomes post tropical the wind fields will expand further. The headlines of this coordination message capture the updates. Factors that are still in play with Jose include the following:

1.) The size of Jose has expanded and will continue to expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.
2.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Tropical Storm Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Eastern New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Jose along with minor coastal flooding along the north shore of Massachusetts.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Tropical Storm Jose. People should be reviewing and implementing their preparedness measures for tropical storm conditions in and near the Tropical Storm Warning area. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips and a recently issued Public Information Statement on Tropical Storm preparedness can be seen via the links below:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_ts_watch_jose_9_17_17.txt

The latest NWS Taunton Tropical Storm Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Tropical Storm Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Tropical Storm Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wtus81.KBOX.html
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1709181532.wtus81.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Surf/Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Tropical Storm Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

This will likely be the last complete coordination message unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Shortened coordination messages will be issued on SKYWARN Activation status Wednesday into Thursday as we shift into operations mode.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Confidence continues in tropical storm impacts to portions of Southern New England similar to that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type of storm..
..A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Hull Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island and includes all of Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island, Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with wind gusts in the 45-60 MPH range with isolated higher wind gusts possible and 2-5″ of rain likely. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages as well as urban and poor drainage flooding from heavy rainfall along with minor to moderate coastal flooding and the potential for significant beach erosion..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for Barnstable and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts from Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Afternoon for 2-5″ of rain with isolated higher amounts..
..Interests elsewhere in Southern New England just to the north and west of the current Tropical Storm Warning area should closely monitor the progress of Jose as he may bring wind gusts in the 30-40 MPH range and some rainfall which may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage across as well as minor coastal flooding issues in coastal areas north of the Tropical Storm Warning. Wind and Coastal flood headlines are possible for these areas in future updates..
..A High Surf Advisory is now in effect for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts through 2 AM Thursday for southerly swell, high surf and rip currents at area beaches from Hurricane Jose. The High Surf Advisory is no longer in effect for Southeast New England as this is covered under the Tropical Storm Warning..
..Hurricane Jose is holding steady currently but will gradually weaken in 1-2 days but has a large storm envelope and it will continue to become a larger system with an expanding rain and wind field and will continue to travel northward for the next couple of days and then turn toward the northeast and east around or just south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark later Tuesday Night and Wednesday. This slight shift south may reduce impacts in north and west parts of the Tropical Storm Warning area to frequent tropical storm force wind gusts versus sustained tropical storm force winds and reduce concerns north and west of the Tropical Storm Warning regarding winds but a slight shift closer to the benchmark would bring the winds further north and west. No major changes to impacts over Cape Cod and the Islands..
..VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net management are monitoring the progress of both Jose and Maria. These hurricane nets activated for Maria last night for her impact on the Caribbean islands and will activate later Tuesday Night through Wednesday for Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands and will continue to monitor the progress of Jose. Check out the Hurricane Watch Net web site at http://www.hwn.org and the VoIP Hurricane Net web site at http://www.voipwx.net for more information..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor any increase of winds and the coastal flood potential for Tuesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely starting around 6 AM Wednesday Morning into Wednesday Night with direct impacts in the tropical storm warning area similar to a nor’easter or strong nor’easter type system likely..

Hurricane Jose is currently a 75 MPH category-1 hurricane and is moving northward after briefly stalling Tuesday Evening. Jose will gradually weaken and go below hurricane strength in the next day or two but Jose’s wind field is expanding and his wind field can continue to expand over the next few days. Jose will continue to track towards the north over the next day or so and then shift to the north-northeast and east and southeast in the 2-5 day period. Model guidance today has continued to hover around or slightly south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark with a few models north and west of the benchmark. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for Southeast New England from Hull Massachusetts to Watch Hill Rhode Island along with high surf advisories for the North Shore of Massachusetts and a Flash Flood Watch for Cape Cod and Nantucket as indicated in the headlines and the current expected conditions are that of a nor’easter or strong nor’easter as indicated in the headlines of this message. Interests elsewhere in Southern New England should monitor the progress of Jose as areas just to the northwest of the Tropical Storm Warning could see minor coastal flooding at the coast and wind gusts near or at Wind Advisory criteria with some rain which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. This risk to areas north and west is a bit less with a track slightly to the south and east but if some of the models that are around or slightly north and west of the 40 North/70 West benchmark verify, the risk of winds to advisory level would increase again. Factors that are still in play with Jose include the following:

1.) The size of Jose has expanded and will continue to expand as he moves up the coast and he may start a transition into a post-tropical system which may allow wind fields to expand further including on the west side of the system.
2.) The gradient between high pressure in Canada and Hurricane Jose may be a contributing factor to the strong winds over Southeast New England and could allow for some strong winds in other parts of the area north of Eastern New England depending on the track, strength and structure of Jose along with minor coastal flooding along the north shore of Massachusetts.

Amateur Radio and Non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters should continue to keep high situational awareness regarding the track, intensity and structure of Hurricane Jose. People should be reviewing and implementing their preparedness measures for tropical storm conditions in and near the Tropical Storm Warning area. This information has been provided via the Hurricane Preparedness Week at a link to that is below:

Hurricane Preparedness Week Public Information Statements of Safety Tips and a recently issued Public Information Statement on Tropical Storm preparedness can be seen via the links below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/hurr_prepare_week_2017.txt
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_ts_watch_jose_9_17_17.txt

Once again, Hurricane Jose should be monitored closely by people in Southern New England. The latest NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement, High Surf Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and advisory and key messages information on Hurricane Jose are listed below:

NWS Taunton Hurricane Jose Local Statement – Tropical Storm Warning Information Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wtus81.KBOX.html
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1709181532.wtus81.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt32.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt42.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt22.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font12.KNHC.html

Hurricane Jose Key Messages Slide:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/AL122017_key_messages.png

The next coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Tuesday Evening pending further computer model data on the track of Jose and significant updates to Jose’s status as a tropical system from an intensity perspective and any changes to watches/warnings/advisories for the region.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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